This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sturm Graz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.10
2.20
0.93
1.80
1.27
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
1.80
1.00
2.00
0.25
1.67
1.50
vs Weaker (17)
2.47
1.12
2.78
1.11
2.12
1.12
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.7%
Under 1.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.6%
Under 2.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.2%
Under 3.5
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.8%
No
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
15.2%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.3%
0-3 ✓
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
WSG Wattens goals ↓
Sturm Graz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
15%
12%
5.5%
1.9%
1
7.3%
13%
8.6%
4.1%
1.4%
2
3.2%
4.5%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
3
0.8%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = WSG Wattens goals (down), columns = Sturm Graz goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sturm Graz
1.97
Austria Vienna
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.78
Wolfsberger AC
1.72
Lask Linz
1.71
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.33
FC BW Linz
1.19
WSG Wattens
0.94
Grazer AK
0.88
Austria Klagenfurt
0.84
SCR Altach
0.81
WSG Wattens is 1.03 points worse than Sturm Graz in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sturm Graz
2.06
Wolfsberger AC
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.66
Lask Linz
1.60
Austria Vienna
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.21
FC BW Linz
1.16
WSG Wattens
1.09
Grazer AK
1.06
Austria Klagenfurt
1.03
SCR Altach
0.91
WSG Wattens is 0.97 goals worse than Sturm Graz in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 2.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Austria Vienna
1.00
Red Bull Salzburg
1.12
Lask Linz
1.14
Wolfsberger AC
1.19
Sturm Graz
1.22
TSV Hartberg
1.27
Rapid Vienna
1.32
FC BW Linz
1.41
SCR Altach
1.44
WSG Wattens
1.56
Grazer AK
1.69
Austria Klagenfurt
2.19
WSG Wattens is 0.34 goals worse than Sturm Graz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
62%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
57%
Austria Vienna
54%
Sturm Graz
52%
TSV Hartberg
50%
SCR Altach
47%
Wolfsberger AC
46%
WSG Wattens
45%
Austria Klagenfurt
45%
FC BW Linz
41%
Grazer AK
41%
WSG Wattens is 6.2 percentage points worse than Sturm Graz in terms of average possession (45% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
WSG Wattens
For 3.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sturm Graz
For 4.8 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
WSG Wattens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.5
10.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
23.6
23.5
23.6
vs Stronger (24)
10.2
9.9
10.5
4.0
3.9
4.1
23.0
22.9
23.1
vs Similar (25)
9.2
9.1
9.4
4.1
4.0
4.2
24.1
24.1
24.1
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
45%
52%
38%
56%
48%
63%
64%
65%
62%
% under line
55%
48%
62%
44%
52%
37%
36%
35%
38%
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sturm Graz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.1
9.9
4.0
4.2
3.7
24.7
22.9
26.5
vs Stronger (4)
10.2
10.0
10.5
2.5
4.0
1.0
23.2
21.5
25.0
vs Similar (21)
9.5
8.8
10.2
4.2
4.1
4.3
25.3
23.9
26.5
vs Weaker (25)
9.4
9.2
9.5
4.0
4.4
3.6
24.5
22.3
26.6
% over line
51%
43%
58%
50%
58%
42%
68%
52%
83%
% under line
49%
57%
42%
50%
42%
58%
32%
48%
17%
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wolfsberger AC
10.4
Austria Vienna
10.3
Lask Linz
9.9
TSV Hartberg
9.7
WSG Wattens
9.7
Rapid Vienna
9.6
SCR Altach
9.5
Sturm Graz
9.5
Grazer AK
9.3
FC BW Linz
9.2
Austria Klagenfurt
9.1
Red Bull Salzburg
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Austria Vienna
6.0
Wolfsberger AC
5.3
Grazer AK
5.3
SCR Altach
5.1
TSV Hartberg
5.0
Rapid Vienna
4.9
Austria Klagenfurt
4.7
Lask Linz
4.6
Sturm Graz
4.5
FC BW Linz
4.5
WSG Wattens
4.4
Red Bull Salzburg
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SCR Altach
26.6
Austria Vienna
25.5
Grazer AK
25.3
Sturm Graz
24.8
Lask Linz
24.4
Wolfsberger AC
24.2
FC BW Linz
23.4
WSG Wattens
23.3
Rapid Vienna
23.3
TSV Hartberg
23.1
Austria Klagenfurt
22.8
Red Bull Salzburg
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.1%
Under 9.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.5%
Under 3.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.1%
Under 21.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
WSG Wattens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.43
0.31
0.23
0.53
0.59
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
0.54
0.20
0.20
0.38
0.75
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.38
0.38
0.25
0.62
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sturm Graz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.47
0.80
0.40
1.27
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.40
0.50
0.00
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (17)
1.24
0.47
1.11
0.44
1.38
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
WSG Wattens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.31
0.31
0.82
1.24
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
1.31
0.40
0.40
0.38
1.88
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.50
0.25
0.25
1.12
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sturm Graz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.63
1.40
0.53
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.60
1.50
0.25
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (17)
1.24
0.65
1.67
0.67
0.75
0.62
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
WSG Wattens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bror Blume Jensen14%
Valentino Müller12%
Quincy Butler12%
Stefan Skrbo12%
Mahamadou Diarra12%
Jonas David12%
Jamie Lawrence11%
Tobias Anselm10%
Lukas Hinterseer9%
Johannes Naschberger8%
Cem Üstündag8%
David Jaunegg5%
David Gugganig4%
Matthäus Taferner4%
Alexander Ranacher0%
Florian Rieder0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Osarenren Okungbowa0%
Lennart Czyborra0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Thomas Geris0%
Yannick Votter0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matthäus Taferner33%
Lukas Sulzbacher33%
Jamie Lawrence25%
Stefan Skrbo24%
Florian Rieder20%
Osarenren Okungbowa20%
Mahamadou Diarra20%
David Gugganig17%
Cem Üstündag15%
David Jaunegg14%
Lukas Hinterseer13%
Valentino Müller12%
Quincy Butler12%
Jonas David12%
Bror Blume Jensen10%
Adam Stejskal9%
Johannes Naschberger8%
Yannick Votter8%
Alexander Ranacher8%
Tobias Anselm5%
Lennart Czyborra0%
Thomas Geris0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bror Blume Jensen29%
Jonas David12%
Matthäus Taferner11%
Valentino Müller9%
Quincy Butler9%
Stefan Skrbo8%
Alexander Ranacher8%
David Gugganig4%
Mahamadou Diarra4%
Cem Üstündag4%
Jamie Lawrence4%
Florian Rieder0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Tobias Anselm0%
Osarenren Okungbowa0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
Lennart Czyborra0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Johannes Naschberger0%
Thomas Geris0%
David Jaunegg0%
Yannick Votter0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonas David12%
Tobias Anselm10%
Valentino Müller9%
David Gugganig4%
Stefan Skrbo4%
Mahamadou Diarra4%
Alexander Ranacher0%
Florian Rieder0%
Matthäus Taferner0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Osarenren Okungbowa0%
Bror Blume Jensen0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
Lennart Czyborra0%
Quincy Butler0%
Jamie Lawrence0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Johannes Naschberger0%
Thomas Geris0%
David Jaunegg0%
Cem Üstündag0%
Yannick Votter0%
Sturm Graz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mika Biereth45%
Otar Kiteishvili28%
William Bøving24%
Leon Grgić21%
Seedy Jatta17%
Erencan Yardımcı15%
Malick Yalcouyé12%
Tomi Horvat10%
Tochi Chukwuani9%
Arjan Malić7%
Jusuf Gazibegović5%
Lovro Zvonarek5%
Gregory Wüthrich4%
Niklas Geyrhofer4%
Max Johnston3%
Jon Gorenc Stanković3%
Emanuel Aiwu3%
Dimitri Lavalėe3%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Emir Karić0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
Daniil Khudyakov0%
Emran Soglo0%
Belmin Beganović0%
Amady Camara0%
Jacob Hödl0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jusuf Gazibegović47%
Belmin Beganović33%
Erencan Yardımcı31%
Emanuel Aiwu27%
Daniil Khudyakov25%
Dimitri Lavalėe22%
Tochi Chukwuani21%
Emir Karić20%
Jon Gorenc Stanković19%
Malick Yalcouyé18%
Jacob Hödl17%
Gregory Wüthrich16%
Seedy Jatta14%
Max Johnston14%
Niklas Geyrhofer12%
Leon Grgić11%
Mika Biereth9%
Otar Kiteishvili8%
Arjan Malić7%
Lovro Zvonarek5%
Tomi Horvat5%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
William Bøving0%
Emran Soglo0%
Amady Camara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tomi Horvat18%
Max Johnston17%
Mika Biereth14%
William Bøving13%
Jon Gorenc Stanković13%
Leon Grgić11%
Otar Kiteishvili8%
Seedy Jatta7%
Emir Karić7%
Tochi Chukwuani6%
Dimitri Lavalėe5%
Jusuf Gazibegović5%
Stefan Hierländer5%
Malick Yalcouyé3%
Gregory Wüthrich0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
Erencan Yardımcı0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Daniil Khudyakov0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Emran Soglo0%
Belmin Beganović0%
Arjan Malić0%
Amady Camara0%
Jacob Hödl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mika Biereth18%
Leon Grgić16%
Otar Kiteishvili15%
William Bøving13%
Tomi Horvat13%
Erencan Yardımcı8%
Tochi Chukwuani6%
Jusuf Gazibegović5%
Lovro Zvonarek5%
Amady Camara4%
Gregory Wüthrich4%
Jon Gorenc Stanković3%
Malick Yalcouyé3%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Emir Karić0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
Dimitri Lavalėe0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Seedy Jatta0%
Max Johnston0%
Daniil Khudyakov0%
Emran Soglo0%
Belmin Beganović0%
Arjan Malić0%
Jacob Hödl0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
WSG Wattens's squad is €45m less valuable than Sturm Graz's (€7m vs €52m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
WSG Wattens's attack is €23m less valuable than Sturm Graz's (€3m vs €26m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
WSG Wattens's midfield is €12m less valuable than Sturm Graz's (€2m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
WSG Wattens's defence is €11m less valuable than Sturm Graz's (€3m vs €13m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Lask Linz
Austria Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg
Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
Austria Klagenfurt
SCR Altach