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Žalgiris II vs Garliava Result & Analysis

Date: 22/10/2022
Time: 08:00
Final 1-0
Žalgiris II
Žalgiris II
Vs
39%
24%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Garliava
Garliava
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Žalgiris II win✓ Hit
39.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Garliava win✗ Miss
36.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D13L21W44D41W13L02L23L01L32WA·NEP10/07H·MIN05/08A·TRA12/08H·ATM27/08A·BAN02/09H·PAN18/09A·ŠIL30/09H·NEV08/10A·BAB12/10H·DAI17/10
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.481.841.311.851.671.83
vs Stronger (11)1.001.910.831.671.202.20
vs Similar (10)1.801.701.601.602.001.80
vs Weaker (4)2.002.002.003.002.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Garliava) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarliavaGarliava

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L21W33D03L10W23L00D20W32W10WA·DAI05/08H·BE113/08A·EKR20/08H·BFA26/08A·MIN03/09H·NEP10/09A·TRA16/09H·BAB01/10A·ATM07/10H·BAN14/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.121.771.151.381.082.15
vs Stronger (22)0.951.821.181.550.732.09
vs Similar (4)2.001.501.000.503.002.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Žalgiris II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
86.4%
Under 1.5
13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
66.3%
Under 2.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.5%
Under 3.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.0%
No
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
7.0%
2-0
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
1-0 ✓
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
Žalgiris II goals ↓
Garliava goals →
01234
04.2%4.5%4.6%2.5%1.1%
14.8%11%8.0%4.4%1.9%
25.0%8.4%7.0%3.9%1.6%
32.9%4.9%4.1%2.3%0.9%
41.3%2.1%1.8%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Žalgiris II goals (down), columns = Garliava goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dainava
2.23
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.07
Šiauliai II
2.00
Nevėžis
1.93
Be1 NFA
1.90
Šilas
1.77
Babrungas
1.53
Ekranas
1.37
BFA
1.27
Žalgiris II
1.20
Panevėžys II
1.20
Minija
1.10
Garliava
1.10
Trakai II
1.07
FA Šiauliai II
1.04
Atmosfera
0.80
Banga II
0.67
Žalgiris II is 0.10 points better than Garliava in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dainava
2.30
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.20
BFA
1.80
Babrungas
1.73
Nevėžis
1.73
Šilas
1.70
Ekranas
1.60
Panevėžys II
1.57
Šiauliai II
1.50
Žalgiris II
1.47
Atmosfera
1.37
Trakai II
1.37
Be1 NFA
1.30
FA Šiauliai II
1.07
Garliava
1.03
Minija
0.90
Banga II
0.87
Žalgiris II is 0.43 goals better than Garliava in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Šiauliai II
0.50
Be1 NFA
0.63
Nevėžis
0.87
Dainava
1.03
Babrungas
1.13
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.20
Minija
1.30
Šilas
1.37
BFA
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.60
Trakai II
1.60
Garliava
1.67
Ekranas
1.70
FA Šiauliai II
1.89
Panevėžys II
2.10
Banga II
2.23
Atmosfera
2.23
Žalgiris II is 0.07 goals better than Garliava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L11D22D11D11D01L01L00D21WA·NEP10/07H·MIN05/08A·TRA12/08H·ATM27/08A·BAN02/09H·PAN18/09A·ŠIL30/09H·NEV08/10A·BAB12/10H·DAI17/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.960.750.920.671.00
vs Stronger (11)0.360.910.500.670.201.20
vs Similar (9)0.891.221.001.250.801.20
vs Weaker (4)1.250.501.001.001.500.00
Clean sheet %38% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Garliava) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarliavaGarliava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W02L01L10W10W00D10W11D10WA·DAI05/08H·BE113/08A·EKR20/08H·BFA26/08A·MIN03/09H·NEP10/09A·TRA16/09H·BAB01/10A·ATM07/10H·BAN14/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.840.420.500.381.15
vs Stronger (21)0.430.810.500.500.361.09
vs Similar (4)0.251.000.000.500.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Žalgiris II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Žalgiris II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D10W22D30W02L01L22D01L11DA·NEP10/07H·MIN05/08A·TRA12/08H·ATM27/08A·BAN02/09H·PAN18/09A·ŠIL30/09H·NEV08/10A·BAB12/10H·DAI17/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.920.671.001.000.83
vs Stronger (11)0.641.000.331.001.001.00
vs Similar (9)1.110.561.000.501.200.60
vs Weaker (4)0.751.501.002.000.501.00
Clean sheet %42% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Garliava) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarliavaGarliava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D31W02L00D13L00D10W21W00DA·DAI05/08H·BE113/08A·EKR20/08H·BFA26/08A·MIN03/09H·NEP10/09A·TRA16/09H·BAB01/10A·ATM07/10H·BAN14/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.760.920.830.830.691.00
vs Stronger (21)0.571.000.801.000.361.00
vs Similar (4)1.750.501.000.002.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Žalgiris II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Žalgiris II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
Žalgiris II and Garliava have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
Žalgiris II and Garliava have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
Žalgiris II and Garliava have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
Žalgiris II and Garliava have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
ŽI wins
0
Draws
0
GAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Žalgiris II vs Garliava · H/A from ŽI
DateH/AGameScore
17/06/22AGarliava Vs ŽI1-3

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/22HŽI Vs Dainava3-2
12/10/22ABabrungas Vs ŽI1-0
08/10/22HŽI Vs Nevėžis2-3
30/09/22AŠilas Vs ŽI2-0
18/09/22HŽI Vs Panevėžys II1-3
02/09/22ABanga II Vs ŽI1-4
27/08/22HŽI Vs Atmosfera4-4
12/08/22ATrakai II Vs ŽI1-2
05/08/22HŽI Vs Minija1-3
10/07/22ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs ŽI2-2

GarliavaGarliava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/10/22HGAR Vs Banga II1-0
07/10/22AAtmosfera Vs GAR2-3
01/10/22HGAR Vs Babrungas2-0
16/09/22ATrakai II Vs GAR0-0
10/09/22HGAR Vs Neptūną Klaipėda2-3
03/09/22AMinija Vs GAR0-1
26/08/22HGAR Vs BFA0-3
20/08/22AEkranas Vs GAR3-3
13/08/22HGAR Vs Be1 NFA2-1
05/08/22ADainava Vs GAR2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Žalgiris II
Žalgiris II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.12
HomeLDLLW0.92
AwayDWWLL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%23%33%
AVG goals3.323.153.50
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %64%62%67%
Over 3.5 %44%38%50%
Scored1.481.311.67
Conceded1.841.851.83
BTTS60%54%67%
Clean Sheet20%23%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Garliava
Garliava
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.12
HomeWLLWW1.31
AwayLDWDW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%38%23%
AVG goals2.882.543.23
Over 1.5 %77%77%77%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %35%23%46%
Scored1.121.151.08
Conceded1.771.382.15
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet27%31%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DainavaDainava3067
70%
2.2
6931+38
3.3
90%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
2Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3062
63%
2.1
6636+30
3.4
90%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3NevėžisNevėžis3058
57%
1.9
5226+26
2.6
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
4Be1 NFABe1 NFA3057
50%
1.9
3919+20
1.9
73%
27%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.6
-
5ŠilasŠilas3053
53%
1.8
5141+10
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
-
6BabrungasBabrungas3046
43%
1.5
5234+18
2.9
80%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
7EkranasEkranas3041
40%
1.4
4851-3
3.3
87%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
8BFABFA3038
37%
1.3
5447+7
3.4
90%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
9Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3036
30%
1.2
4448-4
3.1
73%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
10Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3036
33%
1.2
4763-16
3.7
97%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
11MinijaMinija3033
30%
1.1
2739-12
2.2
67%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
12GarliavaGarliava3033
30%
1.1
3150-19
2.7
73%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
13Trakai IITrakai II3032
23%
1.1
4148-7
3.0
77%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
14FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II2829
32%
1.0
3053-23
3.0
82%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15AtmosferaAtmosfera3024
20%
0.8
4167-26
3.6
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
16Banga IIBanga II3020
17%
0.7
2667-41
3.1
73%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
17Šiauliai IIŠiauliai II24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.5
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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