Zbrojovka Brno are favoured to win, with a 42% chance, followed by a 30% draw and a 28% chance for Hradec Králové. The match is expected to see 2.4 goals on average, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.2% probability. Zbrojovka’s home form shows they average 1.82 goals scored and 0.82 conceded against similar opposition, while Hradec Králové’s away record is 0.78 scored and 0.67 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.8%), Under 5.5 (96.7%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.1%) and Home under 3.5 goals (95.4%). Zbrojovka are on a three-game winning streak, while Hradec Králové are coming off a defeat.
Results analysis
Zbrojovka Brno continued a four-game winning streak, beating Hradec Králové 1-0 to confirm the model’s prediction of a home win, which carried a 42% probability. The favoured outcome proved correct, and the final score matched the most likely 1-1 or 1-0 scenario. Every model selection hit: Under 7.5 goals (99.7%), Under 6.5 goals (98.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6%), Under 5.5 goals (96.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.3%) and Home under 3.5 goals (95.3%). The game delivered a low-scoring affair, with the home side’s defensive solidity and the away side’s limited attack keeping total goals well below the predicted 2.4.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Zbrojovka Brno win✓ Hit
42.4%
Avg Implied 39.3% · @ 2.36
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.49
BetVictor
2.45
Dafabet
2.43
William Hil
2.40
Betano
2.40
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.25
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Bet365
3.30
Unibet
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Hradec Králové win✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 32.2% · @ 2.88
Edge
-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.96
Dafabet
2.95
10Bet
2.92
1xBet
2.89
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Zbrojovka Brno
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
0.77
2.06
0.82
2.00
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.67
0.56
1.82
0.82
1.43
0.14
vs Weaker (10)
2.70
1.10
2.40
0.80
3.00
1.40
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hradec Králové
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.90
1.44
0.69
0.79
1.14
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
1.70
1.20
1.40
0.80
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.20
0.50
1.55
0.36
0.78
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.7%
@ 1.28-3.2%
Under 1.5
30.3%
@ 3.43+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Betano
3.50
1xBet
3.42
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.1%
@ 1.92-6.8%
Under 2.5
57.9%
@ 1.84+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
SBO
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Unibet
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.4%
@ 3.24-7.3%
Under 3.5
78.6%
@ 1.30+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
10Bet
3.25
Under
Betano
1.36
Unibet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.6%
@ 1.69-6.1%
No
51.4%
@ 2.05+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.75
Betfair
1.75
Superbet
1.73
William Hil
1.70
BetVictor
1.70
No
Betano
2.12
Unibet
2.10
1xBet
2.09
Marathonbet
2.06
Betfair
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%@ 5.88+6.7%
1-0 ✓
11.3%@ 7.62+5.4%
0-0
10.7%@ 9.53+6.0%
2-1
8.6%@ 8.61+3.5%
2-0
8.4%@ 11.13+4.4%
0-1
8.4%@ 8.67+3.3%
1-2
6.6%@ 9.68+2.1%
0-2
5.0%@ 13.82+1.8%
Zbrojovka Brno goals ↓
Hradec Králové goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.4%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.6%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.4%
8.6%
4.4%
1.5%
0.4%
3
3.7%
3.8%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zbrojovka Brno goals (down), columns = Hradec Králové goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Zbrojovka Brno is 0.77 points better than Hradec Králové in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Zbrojovka Brno is 0.87 goals better than Hradec Králové in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 0.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Zbrojovka Brno is 0.17 goals better than Hradec Králové in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Zbrojovka Brno is 9.2 percentage points worse than Hradec Králové in terms of average possession (45% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Zbrojovka Brno
For 3.8 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hradec Králové
For 4.6 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 10.6 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zbrojovka Brno
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
11.0
6.5
0.3
0.3
0.2
21.8
20.0
24.5
vs Stronger (2)
11.0
15.0
7.0
2.0
0.0
4.0
20.5
17.0
24.0
vs Similar (32)
8.0
9.0
6.0
0.3
0.6
0.1
22.7
21.5
25.0
vs Weaker (16)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
40%
67%
0%
4%
4%
4%
60%
33%
100%
% under line
60%
33%
100%
96%
96%
96%
40%
67%
0%
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hradec Králové
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.7
10.0
3.3
3.9
2.7
22.8
23.0
22.7
vs Stronger (13)
11.2
13.2
9.2
3.8
4.3
3.3
20.9
21.0
20.8
vs Similar (36)
9.3
8.4
10.3
3.2
3.8
2.6
23.5
23.6
23.4
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
49%
43%
55%
38%
58%
19%
60%
57%
64%
% under line
51%
57%
45%
62%
42%
81%
40%
43%
36%
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
11.0
Zbrojovka Brno
10.6
Bohemians 1905
10.3
Slovácko
10.2
Slovan Liberec
10.0
Sparta Praha
9.9
Hradec Králové
9.9
Baník Ostrava
9.9
Pardubice
9.9
FK Jablonec
9.8
Plzen
9.4
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.3
Teplice
9.0
Artis
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plzen
5.5
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Sparta Praha
4.8
Pardubice
4.4
Teplice
4.4
Slavia Praha
4.3
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
Slovácko
4.0
FK Jablonec
4.0
Zlin
3.9
Hradec Králové
3.8
Bohemians 1905
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.6
Artis
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.8
Zlin
28.6
Teplice
28.4
Slavia Praha
26.9
Slovácko
26.7
Sigma Olomouc
26.6
FK Jablonec
26.5
Artis
26.5
Plzen
26.3
Pardubice
25.5
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Sparta Praha
24.7
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Bohemians 1905
22.9
Hradec Králové
22.9
Zbrojovka Brno
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.2%
@ 1.87+7.6%
Under 9.5
42.8%
@ 1.85-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
Unibet
1.91
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.89
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Bet365
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.9%
@ 1.70+0.1%
Under 3.5
46.1%
@ 1.98-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Under
Superbet
2.00
Betano
1.95
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
68.3%
Under 21.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zbrojovka Brno or Draw✓ Hit
72.5%
Avg Implied 67.8% · @ 1.38
Edge
+4.7%
42%
30%
27%
covers Zbrojovka Brno + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Zbrojovka Brno or Hradec Králové✓ Hit
69.9%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.30
Edge
-1.9%
42%
30%
27%
covers Zbrojovka Brno + Hradec Králové
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Draw or Hradec Králové✗ Miss
57.6%
Avg Implied 60.4% · @ 1.55
Edge
-2.8%
42%
30%
27%
covers Draw + Hradec Králové
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.7%
@ 1.25-0.7%
Under
26.3%
@ 3.62+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Unibet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.69
Marathonbet
3.64
BetVictor
3.60
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.6%
@ 2.24-3.0%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.59+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
BetVictor
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Under
Unibet
1.66
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 5.01-3.4%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.14+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Marathonbet
5.10
Superbet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 11.56-3.5%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.03+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
64.2%
@ 1.32-5.9%
Under
35.8%
@ 3.11+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.34
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Betano
3.15
BetVictor
3.13
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
27.5%
@ 2.59-8.4%
Under
72.5%
@ 1.45+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.69
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
Under
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 6.16-6.5%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.09+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.80
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
10Bet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Unibet
1.09
Hradec Králové over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 14.83-4.4%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.02+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Zbrojovka Brno, so a minus line means Zbrojovka Brno give that many goals of a start and Hradec Králové receive them. At -1, Zbrojovka Brno must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zbrojovka Brno win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zbrojovka Brno)Actual: Hradec Králové
Zbrojovka Brno -2
7.4%
@ 9.28-2.1%
Draw -2
13.0%
@ 6.17-1.3%
Hradec Králové +2
79.7%
@ 1.16+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.60
Unibet
8.50
Marathonbet
6.30
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.40
Unibet
5.80
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (Zbrojovka Brno)Actual: Draw
Zbrojovka Brno -1
20.3%
@ 4.48+0.3%
Draw -1
22.1%
@ 3.97-0.5%
Hradec Králové +1
57.6%
@ 1.56+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.50
Draw
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Away
Unibet
1.61
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Handicap +1 (Zbrojovka Brno)Actual: Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno +1
72.5%
@ 1.38+7.6%
Draw +1
16.7%
@ 4.50-3.2%
Hradec Králové -1
10.8%
@ 5.91-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Unibet
1.35
Draw
Marathonbet
4.70
Unibet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.45
10Bet
4.33
Away
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
6.00
Marathonbet
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Superbet
5.55
Handicap +2 (Zbrojovka Brno)Actual: Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno +2
89.2%
@ 1.10+7.2%
Draw +2
7.7%
@ 8.00-3.6%
Hradec Králové -2
3.1%
@ 13.50-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
7.50
Away
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Unibet
12.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zbrojovka Brno
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.17
0.88
0.06
0.85
0.31
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.00
0.82
0.00
0.71
0.00
vs Weaker (10)
1.10
0.40
1.00
0.20
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
90% (+63pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hradec Králové
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.33
0.56
0.25
0.36
0.43
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.20
0.64
0.18
0.33
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.9%
@ 1.39+2.0%
Under 0.5
31.1%
@ 2.81-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Under
Pinnacle
2.96
William Hil
2.90
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Superbet
2.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.6%
@ 2.76+1.0%
Under 1.5
65.4%
@ 1.40-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.87
Superbet
2.77
Bet365
2.75
Under
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.5%
@ 7.10+0.4%
Under 2.5
86.5%
@ 1.07-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
William Hil
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
51.6%
@ 1.99+4.8%
Under
48.4%
@ 1.75-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Under
Unibet
1.81
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.2%
@ 6.06+0.9%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.10-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.75
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.90
Superbet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 17.67-1.7%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.01+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.7%
@ 2.19-4.6%
Under
62.3%
@ 1.61+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.26
1xBet
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.7%
@ 7.20-3.2%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.07+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
7.00
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 18.75-3.7%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zbrojovka Brno
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.60
1.18
0.76
1.15
0.38
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.56
1.00
0.82
0.71
0.14
vs Weaker (10)
1.60
0.70
1.40
0.60
1.80
0.80
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hradec Králové
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.88
0.44
0.43
0.71
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.10
0.80
1.00
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.30
0.91
0.18
0.44
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.2%
@ 1.22+4.6%
Under 0.5
19.8%
@ 3.80-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Under
Betano
3.95
Marathonbet
3.94
1xBet
3.94
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.2%
@ 2.08+0.4%
Under 1.5
54.8%
@ 1.68-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
Under
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.6%
@ 4.41-1.4%
Under 2.5
80.4%
@ 1.17+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.35
1xBet
4.35
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.6%
@ 1.69+0.9%
Under
44.4%
@ 2.05-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.72
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Superbet
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
24.9%
@ 4.40+3.7%
Under
75.1%
@ 1.18-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
Superbet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 11.83-2.0%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.02+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
49.6%
@ 1.84-0.6%
Under
50.4%
@ 1.86+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Superbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.9%
@ 5.19-2.9%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.13+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.15
Betano
4.70
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 14.50-4.1%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.6%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.1%
1.02
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.4%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Unibet
1.09
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.9%
1.09
Betano
1.14
Unibet
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.07
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.2%
1.10
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.08
-
-
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.5%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.1%
1.13
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.9%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.8%
1.10
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
80.6%
1.25
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
-
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.17
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
79.7%
1.16
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.6%
1.30
Betano
1.36
Unibet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
75.1%
1.18
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-3.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.1%
1.29
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.27
-
-
-
+4.2%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
73.7%
1.25
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
72.5%
1.45
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
72.5%
1.38
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.38
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
72.5%
1.38
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Unibet
1.35
+7.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zbrojovka Brno
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D. Vašulín67%
Lucky Ezeh33%
T. Vachoušek20%
A. Vaníček17%
F. Vedral17%
J. Zmrhal0%
J. Janetzký0%
J. Klíma0%
P. Čavoš0%
B. Kanakimana0%
O. Velich0%
Amadou Dante0%
Štěpán Langer0%
M. Rymarenko0%
A. Hrdina0%
Lukáš Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Lukáš Saal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
A. Vaníček33%
Amadou Dante33%
J. Janetzký20%
P. Čavoš20%
Lukáš Saal20%
F. Vedral17%
J. Zmrhal0%
J. Klíma0%
D. Vašulín0%
B. Kanakimana0%
O. Velich0%
Štěpán Langer0%
M. Rymarenko0%
T. Vachoušek0%
A. Hrdina0%
Lucky Ezeh0%
Lukáš Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
T. Vachoušek40%
Amadou Dante33%
A. Vaníček17%
F. Vedral17%
J. Zmrhal0%
J. Janetzký0%
J. Klíma0%
P. Čavoš0%
D. Vašulín0%
B. Kanakimana0%
O. Velich0%
Štěpán Langer0%
M. Rymarenko0%
A. Hrdina0%
Lucky Ezeh0%
Lukáš Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Lukáš Saal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. Vašulín33%
B. Kanakimana33%
T. Vachoušek20%
A. Vaníček17%
J. Zmrhal0%
J. Janetzký0%
J. Klíma0%
P. Čavoš0%
F. Vedral0%
O. Velich0%
Amadou Dante0%
Štěpán Langer0%
M. Rymarenko0%
A. Hrdina0%
Lucky Ezeh0%
Lukáš Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Lukáš Saal0%
Hradec Králové
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
František Čech20%
M. van Buren17%
Vladimír Darida17%
T. Slončík17%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
D. Trubač0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
D. Horák0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
A. Umar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Dancák33%
Filip Čihák33%
Elione Neto33%
M. Valenta20%
František Čech20%
A. Umar20%
Vladimír Darida17%
D. Trubač17%
D. Horák17%
M. van Buren0%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
A. Vlkanova0%
A. Zadražil0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
T. Slončík0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
D. Horák17%
J. Uhrinčať17%
M. van Buren0%
Vladimír Darida0%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
D. Trubač0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
František Čech0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
T. Slončík0%
A. Umar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. van Buren33%
Vladimír Darida33%
D. Horák33%
T. Slončík33%
D. Trubač17%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
František Čech0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
A. Umar0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Zbrojovka Brno's squad is €5m less valuable than Hradec Králové's (€10m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Zbrojovka Brno's attack is €1m less valuable than Hradec Králové's (€3m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Zbrojovka Brno and Hradec Králové have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Zbrojovka Brno's defence is €2m less valuable than Hradec Králové's (€5m vs €7m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
Teplice
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
Bohemians 1905
Plzen
Artis
Slovácko
Pardubice
Zlin