Zbrojovka Brno are the clear favourites, with a 54 % chance of victory, a 28 % draw probability and 18 % for Zlín. The model expects 2.4 goals on average, most likely a single-goal total of 2, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for the home side at 13.2 %. Brno’s home form shows they average 1.88 goals scored and only 0.38 conceded against similar opponents, while Zlín’s away record is 0.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2 %), Away under 3.5 goals (99.0 %), Under 6.5 (98.8 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.2 %), Under 5.5 (96.4 % with a 5 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.6 %), and Away under 2.5 goals (95.0 %). Brno are on a winning streak after a 2-0 triumph over Teplice, whereas Zlín come off five consecutive defeats, last losing 0-1 to Slovan Liberec.
Results analysis
The model’s forecast proved accurate as Zbrojovka Brno secured a 3-2 home win, extending their three-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 53% probability and was correct. The most likely scoreline of 1-0 fell short, but the total goals of 2.4 was close to the 3-2 result. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 (99.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.0%), Under 6.5 (98.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5%), Under 5.5 (96.5%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.2%), and Away under 2.5 goals (94.8%). The selections performed as predicted, confirming the model’s strong predictive accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Zbrojovka Brno win✓ Hit
53.5%
Avg Implied 56.8% · @ 1.63
Edge
-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.67
Dafabet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied 24.7% · @ 3.74
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.90
Dafabet
3.90
Pinnacle
3.86
1xBet
3.82
Unibet
3.80
Zlin win✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied 18.5% · @ 5.00
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.36
Dafabet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.05
Bet365
5.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Zbrojovka Brno
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
0.73
2.00
0.75
2.14
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
1.59
0.47
1.70
0.70
1.43
0.14
vs Weaker (11)
2.82
1.09
2.40
0.80
3.17
1.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zlin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.93
1.25
1.88
1.00
2.00
vs Stronger (13)
1.23
2.15
1.29
1.71
1.17
2.67
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.76
1.22
2.00
0.88
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.1%
@ 1.28-2.6%
Under 1.5
29.9%
@ 3.41+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.45
10Bet
3.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.8%
@ 1.91-6.4%
Under 2.5
57.2%
@ 1.85+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
1.98
SBO
1.97
Bet365
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Under
1xBet
1.90
Unibet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.9%
@ 3.23-6.9%
Under 3.5
78.1%
@ 1.31+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.52
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.34
Unibet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.7%
@ 1.87-3.8%
No
54.3%
@ 1.83+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.90
Betfair
1.90
BetVictor
1.87
No
Unibet
1.87
Betfair
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Betano
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.1%@ 6.16+5.9%
1-1
13.0%@ 6.73+6.5%
2-0
11.2%@ 7.15+5.0%
0-0
10.3%@ 9.34+5.6%
2-1
9.3%@ 7.58+3.4%
0-1
6.4%@ 11.98+2.7%
3-0
5.8%@ 11.60+2.0%
1-2
4.9%@ 14.88+1.9%
Zbrojovka Brno goals ↓
Zlin goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
6.4%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
1
13%
13%
4.9%
1.4%
0.3%
2
11%
9.3%
3.8%
1.1%
0.2%
3
5.8%
4.8%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.3%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zbrojovka Brno goals (down), columns = Zlin goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Zbrojovka Brno is 2.17 points better than Zlin in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Zbrojovka Brno is 0.83 goals better than Zlin in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Zbrojovka Brno is 1.33 goals better than Zlin in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 2.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Zbrojovka Brno is 1.5 percentage points better than Zlin in terms of average possession (45% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Zbrojovka Brno
For 3.2 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.3 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 9.8 · Total 21.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zlin
For 3.5 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 14.9 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zbrojovka Brno
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
11.5
6.5
0.2
0.2
0.2
21.2
18.0
24.5
vs Stronger (2)
11.0
15.0
7.0
2.0
0.0
4.0
20.5
17.0
24.0
vs Similar (32)
7.0
8.0
6.0
0.2
0.4
0.1
22.0
19.0
25.0
vs Weaker (16)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
25%
50%
0%
4%
4%
4%
50%
0%
100%
% under line
75%
50%
100%
96%
96%
96%
50%
100%
0%
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zlin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.4
9.6
3.0
3.1
2.9
29.0
30.5
27.4
vs Stronger (19)
8.6
8.0
9.2
3.0
2.7
3.3
27.2
29.5
25.2
vs Similar (31)
10.1
10.2
10.0
3.0
3.3
2.7
30.3
31.1
29.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
43%
32%
42%
44%
40%
88%
90%
84%
% under line
62%
57%
68%
58%
56%
60%
12%
10%
16%
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
10.8
Zbrojovka Brno
10.6
Bohemians 1905
10.3
Slovácko
10.3
Pardubice
10.1
Baník Ostrava
10.0
Hradec Králové
9.9
FK Jablonec
9.8
Slovan Liberec
9.8
Sparta Praha
9.7
Plzen
9.5
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.3
Teplice
9.0
Artis
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Plzen
5.3
Sparta Praha
4.8
Slavia Praha
4.5
Teplice
4.5
Pardubice
4.4
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Zlin
3.9
Slovácko
3.9
Hradec Králové
3.7
Bohemians 1905
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.6
Artis
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.9
Zlin
28.7
Teplice
28.2
Sigma Olomouc
26.8
Slavia Praha
26.7
Slovácko
26.6
FK Jablonec
26.5
Artis
26.4
Plzen
26.1
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Pardubice
25.4
Baník Ostrava
24.6
Sparta Praha
24.4
Bohemians 1905
22.9
Hradec Králové
22.8
Zbrojovka Brno
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.5%
@ 2.02+8.8%
Under 9.5
45.5%
@ 1.71-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.17
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
1.98
Under
Unibet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.68
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.0%
@ 1.41-7.2%
Under 3.5
42.0%
@ 2.63+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.37
Under
Betano
2.67
Superbet
2.60
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.3%
Under 21.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zbrojovka Brno or Draw✓ Hit
81.3%
Avg Implied 81.5% · @ 1.14
Edge
-0.2%
53%
28%
19%
covers Zbrojovka Brno + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Zbrojovka Brno or Zlin✓ Hit
72.2%
Avg Implied 75.6% · @ 1.23
Edge
-3.4%
53%
28%
19%
covers Zbrojovka Brno + Zlin
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Draw or Zlin✗ Miss
46.5%
Avg Implied 42.9% · @ 2.17
Edge
+3.6%
53%
28%
19%
covers Draw + Zlin
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.19
Marathonbet
2.19
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.0%
@ 1.15-1.9%
Under
21.0%
@ 4.87+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.13
Under
1xBet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Unibet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
46.3%
@ 1.77-6.4%
Under
53.7%
@ 1.97+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
BetVictor
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Under
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.01
Unibet
1.98
Pinnacle
1.98
Betano
1.95
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
20.7%
@ 3.39-6.7%
Under
79.3%
@ 1.28+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.71
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Betano
3.35
Under
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 7.35-5.3%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.07+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.60
Superbet
7.20
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Zlin over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
56.4%
@ 1.59-1.8%
Under
43.6%
@ 2.22+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.61
BetVictor
1.60
Under
Unibet
2.28
10Bet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.20
Zlin over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
20.2%
@ 3.91-3.6%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.22+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.33
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
Under
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Zlin over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 10.89-3.5%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.04+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
10.20
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Zlin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 29.50-2.3%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Superbet
35.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Zbrojovka Brno, so a minus line means Zbrojovka Brno give that many goals of a start and Zlin receive them. At -1, Zbrojovka Brno must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zbrojovka Brno win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zbrojovka Brno)Actual: Zlin
Zbrojovka Brno -2
12.0%
@ 5.39-4.5%
Draw -2
16.8%
@ 4.59-2.6%
Zlin +2
71.1%
@ 1.40+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.25
Unibet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.00
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
Superbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Away
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Handicap -1 (Zbrojovka Brno)Actual: Draw
Zbrojovka Brno -1
28.9%
@ 2.71-4.0%
Draw -1
24.6%
@ 3.42-1.4%
Zlin +1
46.5%
@ 2.16+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.80
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Unibet
2.65
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Superbet
3.45
10Bet
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Unibet
3.35
Away
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.19
Superbet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.12
Handicap +1 (Zbrojovka Brno)Actual: Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno +1
81.3%
@ 1.16+5.2%
Draw +1
12.5%
@ 5.76-2.8%
Zlin -1
6.2%
@ 10.16-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.20
Unibet
6.00
Marathonbet
4.33
Away
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.65
Handicap +2 (Zbrojovka Brno)Actual: Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno +2
93.8%
@ 1.03+3.0%
Draw +2
4.7%
@ 15.00-1.5%
Zlin -2
1.5%
@ 32.00-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
13.00
Away
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
30.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zbrojovka Brno
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.17
0.88
0.06
1.00
0.29
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.00
0.80
0.00
0.71
0.00
vs Weaker (11)
1.27
0.36
1.00
0.20
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
90% (+63pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zlin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.80
0.62
0.50
0.50
1.14
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
0.77
0.43
0.29
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.82
0.78
0.67
0.62
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.7%
@ 1.37+2.9%
Under 0.5
29.3%
@ 2.89-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.39
BetVictor
1.39
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Pinnacle
2.95
10Bet
2.95
William Hil
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.6%
@ 2.73+1.6%
Under 1.5
64.4%
@ 1.41-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.97
Betano
2.92
William Hil
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Under
Unibet
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.0%
@ 6.89-1.4%
Under 2.5
88.0%
@ 1.07+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.00
Betano
6.70
Superbet
6.60
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
55.2%
@ 1.71+0.7%
Under
44.8%
@ 2.04-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.74
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
Unibet
2.07
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.2%
@ 4.46-1.6%
Under
80.8%
@ 1.17+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
4.55
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.50
Superbet
4.35
10Bet
4.33
Under
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.8%
@ 11.75-3.2%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.02+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Zlin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.4%
@ 2.78-0.0%
Under
66.6%
@ 1.39+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.11
Betano
2.82
Superbet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.76
1xBet
2.72
Under
Unibet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Zlin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.6%
@ 10.50-2.2%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.02+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
11.00
1xBet
11.00
10Bet
9.50
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Zlin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 50.00-99.1%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zbrojovka Brno
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.57
1.12
0.69
1.14
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.47
0.90
0.70
0.71
0.14
vs Weaker (11)
1.55
0.73
1.40
0.60
1.67
0.83
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zlin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.13
0.62
1.38
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (13)
0.85
1.38
0.86
1.43
0.83
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.94
0.44
1.33
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.9%
@ 1.23+4.6%
Under 0.5
20.1%
@ 3.74-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Under
Betano
3.85
1xBet
3.84
Marathonbet
3.78
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
49.3%
@ 2.08+4.8%
Under 1.5
50.7%
@ 1.67-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Under
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
18.9%
@ 4.43-2.0%
Under 2.5
81.1%
@ 1.18+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.80
Superbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.30
Marathonbet
4.25
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
64.7%
@ 1.50+2.7%
Under
35.3%
@ 2.44-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.51
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Under
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.46
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
27.3%
@ 3.31-0.6%
Under
72.7%
@ 1.28+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.45
Superbet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.26
Betano
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.7%
@ 8.35-1.4%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.04+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Superbet
8.60
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Zlin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
41.4%
@ 2.31+1.3%
Under
58.6%
@ 1.55-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.32
1xBet
2.32
10Bet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
Betano
2.30
Under
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
Zlin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
9.2%
@ 7.88-2.5%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.05+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Marathonbet
8.10
10Bet
8.00
Superbet
8.00
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Zlin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 22.25-1.8%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
32.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.02
Superbet
1.02
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.8%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.4%
1.02
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.6%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
+2.5%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
90.5%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+5.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.3%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.06
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
81.3%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
81.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.1%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
+2.0%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.8%
1.17
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.9%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
79.8%
1.22
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+3.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
79.3%
1.28
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
+6.7%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
79.0%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.13
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.1%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Unibet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
+6.9%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
77.4%
1.45
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.42
-
-
-
+13.8%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.2%
1.19
Betano
1.19
-
-
-
-
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
72.7%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
+0.6%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.2%
1.23
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
71.1%
1.40
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.7%
1.37
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.39
BetVictor
1.39
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.1%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
-2.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zbrojovka Brno
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D. Vašulín67%
Lucky Ezeh33%
T. Vachoušek20%
A. Vaníček17%
F. Vedral17%
J. Zmrhal0%
J. Janetzký0%
J. Klíma0%
P. Čavoš0%
B. Kanakimana0%
O. Velich0%
Amadou Dante0%
Štěpán Langer0%
M. Rymarenko0%
A. Hrdina0%
Lukáš Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Lukáš Saal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
A. Vaníček33%
Amadou Dante33%
J. Janetzký20%
P. Čavoš20%
Lukáš Saal20%
F. Vedral17%
J. Zmrhal0%
J. Klíma0%
D. Vašulín0%
B. Kanakimana0%
O. Velich0%
Štěpán Langer0%
M. Rymarenko0%
T. Vachoušek0%
A. Hrdina0%
Lucky Ezeh0%
Lukáš Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
T. Vachoušek40%
Amadou Dante33%
A. Vaníček17%
F. Vedral17%
J. Zmrhal0%
J. Janetzký0%
J. Klíma0%
P. Čavoš0%
D. Vašulín0%
B. Kanakimana0%
O. Velich0%
Štěpán Langer0%
M. Rymarenko0%
A. Hrdina0%
Lucky Ezeh0%
Lukáš Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Lukáš Saal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. Vašulín33%
B. Kanakimana33%
T. Vachoušek20%
A. Vaníček17%
J. Zmrhal0%
J. Janetzký0%
J. Klíma0%
P. Čavoš0%
F. Vedral0%
O. Velich0%
Amadou Dante0%
Štěpán Langer0%
M. Rymarenko0%
A. Hrdina0%
Lucky Ezeh0%
Lukáš Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Lukáš Saal0%
Zlin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Fukala25%
Jakub Černín20%
Daniel Šmiga20%
Marián Pišoja0%
Stanislav Dostal0%
Lukas Bartosak0%
Tomáš Poznar0%
Miloš Kopečný0%
Jakub Kolar0%
Michal Cupak0%
Stanley Kanu0%
Cletus Nombil0%
Frank Appiah 0%
Tom Ulbrich0%
Stanislav Petruta0%
Tomas Hellebrand0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miloš Kopečný60%
Lukas Bartosak50%
Marián Pišoja40%
Tom Ulbrich25%
Stanislav Petruta25%
Tomáš Poznar20%
Jakub Černín20%
Frank Appiah 20%
Daniel Šmiga20%
Tomas Hellebrand20%
Michal Fukala0%
Stanislav Dostal0%
Jakub Kolar0%
Michal Cupak0%
Stanley Kanu0%
Cletus Nombil0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marián Pišoja20%
Michal Fukala0%
Stanislav Dostal0%
Lukas Bartosak0%
Tomáš Poznar0%
Miloš Kopečný0%
Jakub Černín0%
Jakub Kolar0%
Michal Cupak0%
Stanley Kanu0%
Cletus Nombil0%
Frank Appiah 0%
Daniel Šmiga0%
Tom Ulbrich0%
Stanislav Petruta0%
Tomas Hellebrand0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tom Ulbrich25%
Marián Pišoja0%
Michal Fukala0%
Stanislav Dostal0%
Lukas Bartosak0%
Tomáš Poznar0%
Miloš Kopečný0%
Jakub Černín0%
Jakub Kolar0%
Michal Cupak0%
Stanley Kanu0%
Cletus Nombil0%
Frank Appiah 0%
Daniel Šmiga0%
Stanislav Petruta0%
Tomas Hellebrand0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Zbrojovka Brno's squad is €3m more valuable than Zlin's (€10m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Zbrojovka Brno and Zlin have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Zbrojovka Brno and Zlin have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Zbrojovka Brno's defence is €2m more valuable than Zlin's (€5m vs €2m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
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Slavia Praha
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
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Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
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Plzen
Artis
Slovácko
Pardubice