Defensive solidity will shape this encounter, as the home side averages just 0.18 goals conceded per match while the visitors have allowed 0.86. The model favours a home win, with a 51% chance, followed by a 30% draw and a 18% away victory. The expected total of 2.1 goals points to a tight, low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-0, carrying a 15.7% probability. Home form shows 1.36 goals scored on average, away form 1.0, both against similar-strength opponents. The suggested selections are: Under 7.5 - 99.9%, Under 6.5 - 99.4%, Away under 3.5 goals - 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals - 99.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals - 98.3% (edge 7%), Under 5.5 - 98.0% (edge 6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals - 97.2% (edge 4%), and Away under 2.5 goals - 96.3% (edge 7%). The home side’s recent defeat and the away side’s two-game winning run add narrative tension to an otherwise defensively dominated match.
Results analysis
The win extends Železničar Pančevo’s recent run, and the Pythia model’s prediction of a home win at 51% probability proved correct, with a final 5-1 score confirming the actual result. The model’s favourite call was right. The suggested selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 (99.9%) hit, Under 6.5 (99.4%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (99.4%) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.3%) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%) hit, and Away under 2.5 goals (96.3%) hit. Only Under 5.5 (98.0%) missed. All probabilities are expressed as percentages, and every selection is reported once.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Železničar Pančevo win✓ Hit
51.4%
Avg Implied 44.2% · @ 2.04
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Dafabet
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.07
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.15
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Superbet
3.20
Radnik Surdulica win✗ Miss
18.3%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.34
Edge
-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.60
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.48
Marathonbet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Železničar Pančevo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.90
1.47
0.47
1.07
1.33
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
2.40
1.00
2.50
1.33
2.33
vs Similar (21)
1.10
0.62
1.36
0.18
0.80
1.10
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
0.50
2.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnik Surdulica
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.03
1.38
1.00
0.86
1.07
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
1.46
1.33
1.67
0.71
1.29
vs Similar (17)
1.24
0.71
1.40
0.60
1.00
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.2%
@ 1.32-6.2%
Under 1.5
36.8%
@ 2.99+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.13
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
2.97
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.0%
@ 2.04-10.3%
Under 2.5
65.0%
@ 1.69+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.07
Under
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
16.1%
@ 3.54-9.7%
Under 3.5
83.9%
@ 1.23+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
1xBet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.6%
@ 1.82-10.6%
No
60.4%
@ 1.83+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
No
Betfair
1.90
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.86
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.7%@ 6.43+8.8%
0-0
13.5%@ 7.74+7.8%
1-1
13.4%@ 5.89+5.9%
2-0
11.7%@ 9.24+6.9%
2-1
8.4%@ 8.23+3.0%
0-1
7.6%@ 8.87+2.6%
3-0
5.4%@ 18.08+2.9%
1-2
4.4%@ 11.18+0.4%
Železničar Pančevo goals ↓
Radnik Surdulica goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
7.6%
3.2%
0.8%
0.1%
1
16%
13%
4.4%
1.1%
0.2%
2
12%
8.4%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
3
5.4%
3.9%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.8%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Železničar Pančevo goals (down), columns = Radnik Surdulica goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
Vojvodina
2.14
IMT Novi Beograd
1.86
Radnicki 1923
1.67
Železničar Pančevo
1.60
Cukaricki
1.43
Mladost Lucani
1.43
Radnik Surdulica
1.33
FK Partizan
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Novi Pazar
1.14
Macva
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.83
Zemun
0.14
Železničar Pančevo is 0.27 points better than Radnik Surdulica in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.20
Vojvodina
2.14
Železničar Pančevo
1.80
FK Partizan
1.67
IMT Novi Beograd
1.43
Cukaricki
1.29
Radnicki 1923
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Macva
0.71
Novi Pazar
0.71
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Zemun
0.29
Železničar Pančevo is 0.80 goals better than Radnik Surdulica in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.20
IMT Novi Beograd
0.57
Vojvodina
0.86
Mladost Lucani
0.86
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Radnicki NIS
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.50
FK Partizan
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.71
Cukaricki
1.71
Macva
1.86
Zemun
2.00
Železničar Pančevo is 0.50 goals better than Radnik Surdulica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Partizan
63%
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
Železničar Pančevo
61%
Radnicki 1923
58%
Radnicki NIS
55%
OFK Beograd
54%
IMT Novi Beograd
53%
Vojvodina
52%
Novi Pazar
49%
Radnik Surdulica
48%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
38%
Macva
38%
Zemun
37%
Železničar Pančevo is 12.9 percentage points better than Radnik Surdulica in terms of average possession (61% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Železničar Pančevo
For 4.4 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 15.4 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Radnik Surdulica
For 3.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 13.9 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Železničar Pančevo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
9.6
7.4
4.3
3.8
4.9
27.0
27.0
26.9
vs Stronger (8)
9.7
12.0
7.3
2.4
2.0
2.8
24.5
24.7
24.3
vs Similar (32)
8.1
9.5
6.8
4.8
4.2
5.2
26.8
27.2
26.4
vs Weaker (10)
9.4
8.8
10.2
4.6
3.8
5.8
29.1
27.8
31.0
% over line
34%
46%
22%
62%
56%
68%
89%
96%
83%
% under line
66%
54%
78%
38%
44%
32%
11%
4%
17%
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnik Surdulica
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.6
9.1
4.5
4.3
4.8
30.5
30.3
30.6
vs Stronger (16)
9.5
9.7
9.3
4.7
4.7
4.7
29.5
30.7
28.6
vs Similar (34)
8.5
8.0
9.0
4.4
4.2
4.8
31.1
30.1
32.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
38%
48%
68%
73%
62%
95%
95%
95%
% under line
57%
62%
52%
32%
27%
38%
5%
5%
5%
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
9.8
Mladost Lucani
9.5
FK Partizan
9.2
Vojvodina
9.1
Radnicki 1923
9.1
Novi Pazar
9.1
Radnik Surdulica
8.9
Cukaricki
8.9
OFK Beograd
8.8
IMT Novi Beograd
8.5
Zemun
8.5
Radnicki NIS
8.4
Železničar Pančevo
8.4
Macva
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Macva
6.2
Zemun
5.8
Radnicki 1923
5.5
Radnik Surdulica
5.3
Radnicki NIS
5.1
Vojvodina
5.0
OFK Beograd
4.9
Cukaricki
4.8
FK Partizan
4.7
Novi Pazar
4.7
IMT Novi Beograd
4.5
Železničar Pančevo
4.5
Mladost Lucani
4.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radnik Surdulica
30.4
Macva
30.3
Radnicki 1923
30.2
IMT Novi Beograd
29.8
Radnicki NIS
29.3
OFK Beograd
29.1
Cukaricki
28.7
Železničar Pančevo
27.8
Vojvodina
27.0
Novi Pazar
26.9
Zemun
26.5
FK Partizan
25.9
Mladost Lucani
25.6
FK Crvena Zvezda
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.8%
@ 2.41+3.7%
Under 9.5
58.2%
@ 1.49-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.49
Marathonbet
2.46
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.27
Under
Superbet
1.56
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.43
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.1%
Under 3.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.2%
Under 21.5
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Železničar Pančevo or Draw✓ Hit
81.7%
Avg Implied 72.1% · @ 1.28
Edge
+9.6%
51%
30%
18%
covers Železničar Pančevo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Železničar Pančevo or Radnik Surdulica✓ Hit
69.7%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.27
Edge
-2.8%
51%
30%
18%
covers Železničar Pančevo + Radnik Surdulica
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Draw or Radnik Surdulica✗ Miss
48.6%
Avg Implied 55.4% · @ 1.66
Edge
-6.8%
51%
30%
18%
covers Draw + Radnik Surdulica
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Železničar Pančevo over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.8%
@ 1.24+1.0%
Under
25.2%
@ 3.49-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Under
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.74
Betano
3.55
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Železničar Pančevo over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.0%
@ 2.15-2.5%
Under
60.0%
@ 1.60+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.58
Železničar Pančevo over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
16.1%
@ 4.59-3.7%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.14+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.85
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.60
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Železničar Pančevo over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
5.1%
@ 10.00-4.2%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.03+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
51.3%
@ 1.43-12.5%
Under
48.7%
@ 2.53+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Under
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.62
Superbet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.59
Betano
2.57
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
16.3%
@ 3.06-13.6%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.31+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.24
10Bet
3.10
Betano
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 7.92-8.0%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.04+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Marathonbet
8.50
Superbet
7.70
Bet365
7.50
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Radnik Surdulica over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 15.33-5.6%
Under
99.4%
@ 1.01+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
Bet365
13.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Železničar Pančevo, so a minus line means Železničar Pančevo give that many goals of a start and Radnik Surdulica receive them. At -1, Železničar Pančevo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Železničar Pančevo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnik Surdulica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.43
0.56
0.56
0.36
0.29
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
0.69
0.83
1.00
0.29
0.43
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.24
0.40
0.30
0.43
0.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
63.8%
@ 1.41-1.2%
Under 0.5
36.2%
@ 2.62+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Under
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.80
Pinnacle
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
28.9%
@ 2.93-2.4%
Under 1.5
71.1%
@ 1.34+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.96
1xBet
2.96
Under
William Hil
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Betano
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.4%
@ 7.09-3.6%
Under 2.5
90.6%
@ 1.05+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Under
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Železničar Pančevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.3%
@ 1.94-0.2%
Under
52.7%
@ 1.76+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.82
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
10Bet
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Železničar Pančevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.4%
@ 5.90-2.2%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.09+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
6.05
10Bet
6.00
Superbet
5.90
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Železničar Pančevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 17.17-2.8%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
33.6%
@ 2.46-4.0%
Under
66.4%
@ 1.48+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.55
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.45
Superbet
2.45
Under
10Bet
1.53
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.0%
@ 8.60-4.7%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.60
1xBet
9.60
Superbet
8.40
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 34.00-98.9%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
34.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Železničar Pančevo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.67
0.20
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.20
0.00
1.50
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.38
0.55
0.00
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.25
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnik Surdulica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
0.81
0.44
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.77
0.50
0.67
0.43
0.86
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.47
1.00
0.30
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.8%
@ 1.26+1.9%
Under 0.5
25.2%
@ 3.41-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Under
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
10Bet
3.40
Betano
3.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
39.1%
@ 2.24-2.1%
Under 1.5
60.9%
@ 1.57+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
10Bet
2.25
William Hil
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.3%
@ 4.96-2.3%
Under 2.5
83.7%
@ 1.14+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
5.00
Superbet
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.90
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Železničar Pančevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
54.0%
@ 1.68-0.8%
Under
46.0%
@ 2.04+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Under
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Železničar Pančevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
19.5%
@ 4.28-2.1%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.18+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.10
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Železničar Pančevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
5.0%
@ 11.58-3.2%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.03+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
41.9%
@ 2.04-3.5%
Under
58.1%
@ 1.69+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.69
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.7%
@ 6.33-5.9%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.08+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.80
1xBet
6.70
Superbet
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 18.25-3.6%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+5.8%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.3%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+3.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
94.9%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+4.2%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
94.5%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.0%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
93.8%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
BetVictor
1.04
+8.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.3%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.05
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.6%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.9%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
+9.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
83.9%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
+3.7%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
83.7%
1.31
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
+13.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.7%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
+2.3%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
81.7%
1.28
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
William Hil
1.29
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
81.7%
1.28
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.23
-
-
+11.9%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.18
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
+2.1%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
79.9%
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-
-
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.8%
1.26
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.8%
1.24
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.22
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
74.2%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
-
+0.7%
✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.1%
1.34
William Hil
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Betano
1.35
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.1%
1.27
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
-
-
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Železničar Pančevo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Janko Jevremović40%
Kwaku Karikari25%
Nikola Đuričić20%
Aleksa Kuljanin20%
Nikola Jovanović20%
Simão Pedro20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Mamane Amadou Sabo0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Nemanja Vidojević0%
Uroš Tegeltija0%
Davorin Tošić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamane Amadou Sabo60%
Uroš Tegeltija50%
Nemanja Vidojević20%
Aleksa Kuljanin20%
Nikola Jovanović20%
Simão Pedro20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Nikola Đuričić0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Kwaku Karikari0%
Janko Jevremović0%
Davorin Tošić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simão Pedro40%
Kwaku Karikari25%
Uroš Tegeltija25%
Janko Jevremović20%
Aleksa Kuljanin20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Nikola Đuričić0%
Mamane Amadou Sabo0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Nemanja Vidojević0%
Nikola Jovanović0%
Davorin Tošić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Jovanović40%
Kwaku Karikari25%
Simão Pedro20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Nikola Đuričić0%
Mamane Amadou Sabo0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Nemanja Vidojević0%
Uroš Tegeltija0%
Janko Jevremović0%
Aleksa Kuljanin0%
Davorin Tošić0%
Radnik Surdulica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luka Zorić25%
Vukašin Bogdanović25%
Darko Stojanović20%
Luka Jovanović20%
Stefan Ranđelović0%
Martin Novaković0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
Uroš Lazić0%
Đorđe Jovanović0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
David Stojanović0%
Miloš Popović0%
Tijan Sohna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Martin Novaković50%
Sadick Abubakar40%
Ayouba Kosiah33%
Luka Zorić25%
Đorđe Jovanović25%
Stefan Ranđelović20%
Emmanuel Quarshie20%
Uroš Lazić20%
David Stojanović20%
Miloš Popović20%
Darko Stojanović20%
Tijan Sohna20%
Tom Kljun0%
Vukašin Bogdanović0%
Luka Jovanović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayouba Kosiah33%
David Stojanović20%
Stefan Ranđelović0%
Luka Zorić0%
Martin Novaković0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
Vukašin Bogdanović0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
Uroš Lazić0%
Đorđe Jovanović0%
Miloš Popović0%
Darko Stojanović0%
Tijan Sohna0%
Luka Jovanović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Darko Stojanović40%
Luka Zorić25%
Martin Novaković25%
Đorđe Jovanović25%
Miloš Popović20%
Stefan Ranđelović0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
Vukašin Bogdanović0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
Uroš Lazić0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
David Stojanović0%
Tijan Sohna0%
Luka Jovanović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
Železničar Pančevo's squad is €5m more valuable than Radnik Surdulica's (€13m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
Železničar Pančevo's attack is €4m more valuable than Radnik Surdulica's (€7m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
Železničar Pančevo and Radnik Surdulica have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
Železničar Pančevo's defence is €1m more valuable than Radnik Surdulica's (€6m vs €4m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FK Crvena Zvezda
Vojvodina
IMT Novi Beograd
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
Cukaricki
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
FK Partizan
Macva
Radnicki NIS
Zemun