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Žilina II vs Dubnica Result & Analysis

Date: 29/10/2022
Time: 08:30
Final 3-1
Žilina II
Žilina II
Vs
48%
24%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dubnica
Dubnica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Žilina II win✓ Hit
47.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dubnica win✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-883W23L04L22D42W14L01L30W30W10WH·RAČ06/08A·POV12/08H·TAT20/08A·POH27/08H·KOM03/09A·FK 10/09H·HUM18/09H·PET08/10A·DOL16/10A·SLA23/10
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.922.672.001.431.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)2.112.113.202.200.752.00
vs Weaker (4)1.751.500.001.002.331.67
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubnica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DubnicaDubnica

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L03L11D02L01L00D12L20W10WH·RAČ20/08A·POV27/08H·TAT03/09A·POH09/09H·KOM17/09A·FK 01/10H·HUM08/10A·DOL12/10A·ŠAM16/10H·PET22/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.131.000.881.141.43
vs Stronger (2)0.503.000.003.001.003.00
vs Similar (12)1.250.921.330.671.171.17
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.3%
Under 1.5
13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.1%
Under 2.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.3%
Under 3.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.8%
No
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1 ✓
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
3-2
4.3%
Žilina II goals ↓
Dubnica goals →
01234
04.3%3.9%3.6%1.8%0.6%
15.5%10%7.0%3.4%1.3%
26.2%9.1%6.7%3.3%1.2%
34.0%5.9%4.3%2.1%0.8%
41.9%2.8%2.1%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Žilina II goals (down), columns = Dubnica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FK Košice
2.20
Tatran Prešov
2.07
Komárno
1.77
Žilina II
1.67
Spartak Myjava
1.43
Slovan Bratislava II
1.43
Pohronie
1.37
Považská Bystrica
1.33
Šamorín
1.33
Púchov
1.27
Slavoj Trebišov
1.20
Petržalka
1.13
Dolný Kubín
1.13
Humenné
1.07
Rača
0.87
Dubnica
0.83
Žilina II is 0.83 points better than Dubnica in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Žilina II
2.23
FK Košice
2.03
Považská Bystrica
1.73
Tatran Prešov
1.63
Púchov
1.57
Spartak Myjava
1.53
Šamorín
1.47
Slovan Bratislava II
1.43
Pohronie
1.40
Komárno
1.37
Petržalka
1.33
Dubnica
1.27
Dolný Kubín
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.07
Rača
0.83
Humenné
0.80
Žilina II is 0.97 goals better than Dubnica in terms of goals scored per game (2.23 vs 1.27).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Košice
0.70
Tatran Prešov
0.80
Komárno
0.87
Humenné
1.17
Spartak Myjava
1.37
Petržalka
1.43
Púchov
1.47
Slavoj Trebišov
1.47
Pohronie
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.60
Šamorín
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Rača
1.73
Dubnica
1.97
Dolný Kubín
2.00
Žilina II is 0.30 goals better than Dubnica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Žilina IIŽilina II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D01L04L20W30W10W01L30W20W00DH·RAČ06/08A·POV12/08H·TAT20/08A·POH27/08H·KOM03/09A·FK 10/09H·HUM18/09H·PET08/10A·DOL16/10A·SLA23/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.080.851.331.330.860.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.111.001.601.400.500.50
vs Weaker (4)1.000.500.001.001.330.33
Clean sheet %54% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubnica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DubnicaDubnica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L01L10W02L01L00D00D20W10WH·RAČ20/08A·POV27/08H·TAT03/09A·POH09/09H·KOM17/09A·FK 01/10H·HUM08/10A·DOL12/10A·ŠAM16/10H·PET22/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.750.620.710.86
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (12)0.920.671.000.670.830.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubnica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubnica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubnica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Žilina IIŽilina II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-661W22D00D02L12L04L00D00D10W10WH·RAČ06/08A·POV12/08H·TAT20/08A·POH27/08H·KOM03/09A·FK 10/09H·HUM18/09H·PET08/10A·DOL16/10A·SLA23/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.921.081.330.670.571.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.001.111.600.800.251.50
vs Weaker (4)0.751.000.000.001.001.33
Clean sheet %46% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubnica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DubnicaDubnica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D02L01L00D00D00D12L00D00DH·RAČ20/08A·POV27/08H·TAT03/09A·POH09/09H·KOM17/09A·FK 01/10H·HUM08/10A·DOL12/10A·ŠAM16/10H·PET22/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.400.250.250.430.57
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.330.250.330.000.330.50
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubnica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubnica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubnica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (25)
€6m
KOM (24)
€3m
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (5)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (9)
€2m
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (11)
€2m
KOM (9)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ŽI wins
0
Draws
0
DUB wins

Head-to-head

Žilina II vs Dubnica · H/A from ŽI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/10/22ASlavoj Trebišov Vs ŽI0-1
16/10/22ADolný Kubín Vs ŽI0-3
08/10/22HŽI Vs Petržalka3-0
18/09/22HŽI Vs Humenné0-1
10/09/22AFK Košice Vs ŽI4-1
03/09/22HŽI Vs Komárno4-2
27/08/22APohronie Vs ŽI2-2
20/08/22HŽI Vs Tatran Prešov0-4
12/08/22APovažská Bystrica Vs ŽI3-2
06/08/22HŽI Vs Rača8-3

DubnicaDubnica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/22HDUB Vs Petržalka1-0
16/10/22AŠamorín Vs DUB0-2
12/10/22ADolný Kubín Vs DUB2-1
08/10/22HDUB Vs Humenné0-0
01/10/22AFK Košice Vs DUB1-0
17/09/22HDUB Vs Komárno0-2
09/09/22APohronie Vs DUB1-1
03/09/22HDUB Vs Tatran Prešov0-3
27/08/22APovažská Bystrica Vs DUB2-1
20/08/22HDUB Vs Rača1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Žilina II
Žilina II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.23
HomeWLWLW1.50
AwayLDLWW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%29%
AVG goals3.924.673.29
Over 1.5 %85%83%86%
Over 2.5 %77%83%71%
Over 3.5 %46%50%43%
Scored2.002.671.43
Conceded1.922.001.86
BTTS54%50%57%
Clean Sheet23%17%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Dubnica
Dubnica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.20
HomeDLLDW1.38
AwayLDLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%38%29%
AVG goals2.201.882.57
Over 1.5 %73%62%86%
Over 2.5 %47%38%57%
Over 3.5 %7%0%14%
Scored1.071.001.14
Conceded1.130.881.43
BTTS40%12%71%
Clean Sheet33%50%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK KošiceFK Košice3066
67%
2.2
6121+40
2.7
77%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
1222.00.7
-
2Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov3062
67%
2.1
4924+25
2.4
77%
60%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
3KomárnoKomárno3053
47%
1.8
4126+15
2.2
67%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.40.9
-
4Žilina IIŽilina II3050
50%
1.7
6750+17
3.9
80%
73%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.7
-
5Spartak MyjavaSpartak Myjava3043
40%
1.4
4641+5
2.9
80%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
6Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3043
40%
1.4
4345-2
2.9
87%
70%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.5
-
7PohroniePohronie3041
33%
1.4
4245-3
2.9
83%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.5
-
8Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3040
33%
1.3
5248+4
3.3
80%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
9ŠamorínŠamorín3040
40%
1.3
4450-6
3.1
77%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.51.7
-
10PúchovPúchov3038
37%
1.3
4744+3
3.0
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
11Slavoj TrebišovSlavoj Trebišov3036
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
67%
53%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
12PetržalkaPetržalka3034
27%
1.1
4043-3
2.8
80%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.4
-
13Dolný KubínDolný Kubín3034
33%
1.1
3660-24
3.2
87%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
14HumennéHumenné3032
23%
1.1
2435-11
2.0
63%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15RačaRača3026
20%
0.9
2552-27
2.6
63%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
-
16DubnicaDubnica3025
20%
0.8
3859-21
3.2
83%
67%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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