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Žilina II vs Humenné Result & Analysis

Date: 18/09/2022
Time: 11:30
Final 0-1
Žilina II
Žilina II
Vs
54%
23%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Humenné
Humenné
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model projects a high-scoring encounter with an expected 3.3 goals, centring on a 3-goal total that carries a 22% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.4% chance. Home side Žilina II are favoured to win, with a 54% chance of victory, a 23% chance of a draw and a 23% chance of an away win. The match is expected to see 3.3 goals on average, and the most probable total is 3. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals carries an 85.3% probability. Žilina II’s home form shows they average 0.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded against stronger opponents, while Humenné, playing away, have a similar scoring rate but concede more. The suggested pick is Over 1.5 with an 85.3% probability. The model’s pick is a home win.

Results analysis

The upset was immediate: a 0-1 away win for Humenné overturned the model’s pre-match favourite, the home win at 54%. The prediction was wrong, and the final score confirmed the away triumph. The model’s only other selection, Over 1.5 goals with an 85.3% probability, missed as the match produced a single goal. The game was a low-scoring affair, with the most likely total of three goals proving too optimistic. Humenné’s recent form, coming off a defeat, matched the home side’s slump, and the final result underscored the volatility of the Slovak 2. liga.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Žilina II win✗ Miss
53.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Humenné win✓ Hit
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-812L12L02L83W23L04L22D42W14LA·PÚC15/07H·SLO24/07A·SPA30/07H·RAČ06/08A·POV12/08H·TAT20/08A·POH27/08H·KOM03/09A·FK 10/09
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.112.673.252.751.202.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)2.142.713.252.750.672.67
vs Weaker (2)2.002.50--2.002.50
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L21W03L21W00D00D00D13L11DA·RAČ17/07H·POV23/07H·TAT31/07H·POH06/08A·KOM13/08H·FK 20/08A·DOL28/08A·ŠAM02/09H·PET10/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.221.001.200.251.25
vs Stronger (9)0.671.221.001.200.251.25
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.3%
Under 1.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.4%
Under 2.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.3%
Under 3.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.8%
No
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
5.1%
Žilina II goals ↓
Humenné goals →
01234
04.6%3.7%3.0%1.3%0.4%
16.4%10%6.1%2.6%0.8%
27.5%9.6%6.2%2.7%0.9%
35.1%6.5%4.2%1.8%0.6%
42.6%3.3%2.1%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Žilina II goals (down), columns = Humenné goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FK Košice
2.20
Tatran Prešov
2.07
Komárno
1.77
Žilina II
1.67
Spartak Myjava
1.43
Slovan Bratislava II
1.43
Pohronie
1.37
Považská Bystrica
1.33
Šamorín
1.33
Púchov
1.27
Slavoj Trebišov
1.20
Petržalka
1.13
Dolný Kubín
1.13
Humenné
1.07
Rača
0.87
Dubnica
0.83
Žilina II is 0.60 points better than Humenné in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Žilina II
2.23
FK Košice
2.03
Považská Bystrica
1.73
Tatran Prešov
1.63
Púchov
1.57
Spartak Myjava
1.53
Šamorín
1.47
Slovan Bratislava II
1.43
Pohronie
1.40
Komárno
1.37
Petržalka
1.33
Dubnica
1.27
Dolný Kubín
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.07
Rača
0.83
Humenné
0.80
Žilina II is 1.43 goals better than Humenné in terms of goals scored per game (2.23 vs 0.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Košice
0.70
Tatran Prešov
0.80
Komárno
0.87
Humenné
1.17
Spartak Myjava
1.37
Petržalka
1.43
Púchov
1.47
Slavoj Trebišov
1.47
Pohronie
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.60
Šamorín
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Rača
1.73
Dubnica
1.97
Dolný Kubín
2.00
Žilina II is 0.50 goals worse than Humenné in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Žilina IIŽilina II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L02L22D01L04L20W30W10WA·PÚC15/07H·SLO24/07A·SPA30/07H·RAČ06/08A·POV12/08H·TAT20/08A·POH27/08H·KOM03/09A·FK 10/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.111.251.750.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.001.291.251.750.670.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %44% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HumennéHumenné

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L00D10W00D00D00D01L11DA·RAČ17/07H·POV23/07H·TAT31/07H·POH06/08A·KOM13/08H·FK 20/08A·DOL28/08A·ŠAM02/09H·PET10/09
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.220.330.400.400.000.25
vs Stronger (9)0.220.330.400.400.000.25
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Žilina IIŽilina II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L11D00D61W22D00D02L12L04LA·PÚC15/07H·SLO24/07A·SPA30/07H·RAČ06/08A·POV12/08H·TAT20/08A·POH27/08H·KOM03/09A·FK 10/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.111.562.001.000.402.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.141.432.001.000.002.00
vs Weaker (2)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %22% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HumennéHumenné

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W03L11D00D00D00D12L00DA·RAČ17/07H·POV23/07H·TAT31/07H·POH06/08A·KOM13/08H·FK 20/08A·DOL28/08A·ŠAM02/09H·PET10/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.440.890.600.800.251.00
vs Stronger (9)0.440.890.600.800.251.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %56% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (25)
€6m
KOM (24)
€3m
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Žilina II and Humenné have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (5)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
Žilina II and Humenné have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (9)
€2m
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Žilina II and Humenné have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (11)
€2m
KOM (9)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Žilina II and Humenné have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ŽI wins
0
Draws
0
HUM wins

Head-to-head

Žilina II vs Humenné · H/A from ŽI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/09/22AFK Košice Vs ŽI4-1
03/09/22HŽI Vs Komárno4-2
27/08/22APohronie Vs ŽI2-2
20/08/22HŽI Vs Tatran Prešov0-4
12/08/22APovažská Bystrica Vs ŽI3-2
06/08/22HŽI Vs Rača8-3
30/07/22ASpartak Myjava Vs ŽI2-0
24/07/22HŽI Vs Slovan Bratislava II1-2
15/07/22APúchov Vs ŽI2-1

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/09/22HHUM Vs Petržalka1-1
02/09/22AŠamorín Vs HUM3-1
28/08/22ADolný Kubín Vs HUM0-0
20/08/22HHUM Vs FK Košice0-0
13/08/22AKomárno Vs HUM0-0
06/08/22HHUM Vs Pohronie2-1
31/07/22HHUM Vs Tatran Prešov0-3
23/07/22HHUM Vs Považská Bystrica2-1
17/07/22ARača Vs HUM2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Žilina II
Žilina II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWL0.78
HomeLWLW1.50
AwayLLLDL0.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%50%0%
AVG goals4.786.003.80
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %89%100%80%
Over 3.5 %67%75%60%
Scored2.113.251.20
Conceded2.672.752.60
BTTS78%75%80%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Humenné
Humenné
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLD1.11
HomeWLWDD1.60
AwayLDDL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%40%0%
AVG goals1.892.201.50
Over 1.5 %67%80%50%
Over 2.5 %44%60%25%
Over 3.5 %11%0%25%
Scored0.671.000.25
Conceded1.221.201.25
BTTS44%60%25%
Clean Sheet33%20%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK KošiceFK Košice3066
67%
2.2
6121+40
2.7
77%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
1222.00.7
-
2Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov3062
67%
2.1
4924+25
2.4
77%
60%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
3KomárnoKomárno3053
47%
1.8
4126+15
2.2
67%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.40.9
-
4Žilina IIŽilina II3050
50%
1.7
6750+17
3.9
80%
73%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.7
-
5Spartak MyjavaSpartak Myjava3043
40%
1.4
4641+5
2.9
80%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
6Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3043
40%
1.4
4345-2
2.9
87%
70%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.5
-
7PohroniePohronie3041
33%
1.4
4245-3
2.9
83%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.5
-
8Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3040
33%
1.3
5248+4
3.3
80%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
9ŠamorínŠamorín3040
40%
1.3
4450-6
3.1
77%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.51.7
-
10PúchovPúchov3038
37%
1.3
4744+3
3.0
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
11Slavoj TrebišovSlavoj Trebišov3036
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
67%
53%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
12PetržalkaPetržalka3034
27%
1.1
4043-3
2.8
80%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.4
-
13Dolný KubínDolný Kubín3034
33%
1.1
3660-24
3.2
87%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
14HumennéHumenné3032
23%
1.1
2435-11
2.0
63%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15RačaRača3026
20%
0.9
2552-27
2.6
63%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
-
16DubnicaDubnica3025
20%
0.8
3859-21
3.2
83%
67%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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