This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.23
1.62
1.25
1.57
1.21
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
2.00
1.20
1.80
0.67
2.33
vs Similar (15)
2.00
1.00
2.12
1.25
1.86
0.71
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.86
1.00
0.33
1.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.3%
Under 1.5
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.7%
Under 2.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.5%
Under 3.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.3%
No
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-2
4.6%
1-0 ✓
4.4%
Žilina goals ↓
Spartak Trnava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
3.7%
3.8%
2.1%
0.9%
1
4.4%
9.7%
7.4%
4.1%
1.7%
2
5.1%
8.5%
7.1%
4.0%
1.7%
3
3.2%
5.4%
4.6%
2.5%
1.1%
4
1.6%
2.6%
2.2%
1.2%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Žilina goals (down), columns = Spartak Trnava goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.28
Dunajska Streda
1.81
Spartak Trnava
1.78
Žilina
1.72
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.59
AS Trencin
1.53
Petržalka
1.50
Ružomberok
1.47
Skalica
1.25
Podbrezová
1.16
Zemplín Michalovce
0.88
FK Košice
0.84
Zlaté Moravce
0.38
Žilina is 0.06 points worse than Spartak Trnava in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 1.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.38
Žilina
1.69
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.56
Podbrezová
1.53
Dunajska Streda
1.53
AS Trencin
1.50
Spartak Trnava
1.47
Ružomberok
1.19
Skalica
1.09
Petržalka
1.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.94
FK Košice
0.84
Zlaté Moravce
0.66
Žilina is 0.22 goals better than Spartak Trnava in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Trnava
0.91
Slovan Bratislava
0.97
Dunajska Streda
1.00
AS Trencin
1.06
Skalica
1.19
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.28
Ružomberok
1.34
Žilina
1.41
Zemplín Michalovce
1.47
Petržalka
1.50
FK Košice
1.75
Podbrezová
1.88
Zlaté Moravce
2.06
Žilina is 0.50 goals worse than Spartak Trnava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 0.91).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AS Trencin
64%
Slovan Bratislava
57%
Žilina
56%
Podbrezová
55%
Dukla Banská Bystrica
49%
Dunajska Streda
48%
Zlaté Moravce
47%
Spartak Trnava
47%
Skalica
45%
Zemplín Michalovce
45%
Ružomberok
44%
FK Košice
42%
Žilina is 8.5 percentage points better than Spartak Trnava in terms of average possession (56% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Žilina
For 4.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 11.6 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartak Trnava
For 3.3 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 10.6 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Žilina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.6
9.7
2.7
3.0
2.4
22.8
22.9
22.8
vs Stronger (7)
7.6
9.0
5.5
1.1
2.0
0.5
18.4
19.3
17.0
vs Similar (15)
8.8
9.8
7.8
2.7
3.1
2.3
21.4
18.0
25.8
vs Weaker (28)
10.6
9.5
11.7
3.1
3.2
2.9
24.5
26.1
22.7
% over line
47%
45%
50%
34%
40%
28%
54%
47%
62%
% under line
53%
55%
50%
66%
60%
72%
46%
53%
38%
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.7
9.9
3.8
4.1
3.6
23.9
24.6
23.1
vs Stronger (12)
8.7
8.5
9.0
4.8
4.6
5.2
27.1
29.2
24.6
vs Similar (25)
9.2
8.6
9.8
3.7
4.2
3.2
23.0
22.7
23.4
vs Weaker (13)
10.0
9.0
10.8
3.2
3.2
3.1
22.5
23.6
21.5
% over line
49%
50%
48%
56%
54%
58%
56%
57%
55%
% under line
51%
50%
52%
44%
46%
42%
44%
43%
45%
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Podbrezová
11.5
Zemplín Michalovce
10.9
Zlaté Moravce
10.7
Dunajska Streda
10.5
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.4
AS Trencin
10.3
Žilina
10.0
Ružomberok
10.0
Spartak Trnava
9.4
FK Košice
9.4
Skalica
9.4
Slovan Bratislava
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AS Trencin
5.2
Zlaté Moravce
4.6
Dunajska Streda
4.5
Skalica
4.5
Slovan Bratislava
4.4
Spartak Trnava
4.4
Podbrezová
4.4
Dukla Banská Bystrica
4.2
Ružomberok
4.0
Žilina
3.8
FK Košice
3.2
Zemplín Michalovce
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Zlaté Moravce
26.9
Ružomberok
26.4
Slovan Bratislava
25.9
Skalica
25.5
Dunajska Streda
25.4
Podbrezová
24.8
Dukla Banská Bystrica
24.4
AS Trencin
24.2
Spartak Trnava
24.1
FK Košice
23.2
Zemplín Michalovce
23.2
Žilina
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.8%
Under 9.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.9%
Under 3.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
53.9%
Under 21.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Žilina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
1.00
0.67
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.25
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
1.00
0.42
1.17
0.17
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (14)
1.00
0.57
1.00
0.86
1.00
0.29
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.23
0.62
0.19
0.64
0.29
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.25
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.27
1.00
0.25
0.57
0.29
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.14
0.33
0.00
1.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
77% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Žilina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Žilina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.07
1.33
1.20
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.75
1.50
3.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.58
1.17
0.83
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (14)
1.00
1.00
1.43
1.00
0.57
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.00
1.00
1.06
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.75
1.00
1.60
0.67
2.00
vs Similar (15)
1.20
0.73
1.12
1.00
1.29
0.43
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.71
0.67
0.33
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Žilina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Žilina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dávid Ďuriš50%
Matúš Rusnák25%
Timotej Jambor21%
Patrik Leitner17%
Patrik Iľko12%
Samuel Gidi12%
Yves Erick Bile12%
Mario Sauer11%
Samuel Ďatko8%
Ján Minárik7%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula7%
Xavier Adang7%
Dominik Javorček6%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Krisztián Bari0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Timotej Hranica0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ján Minárik27%
Tomáš Hubočan20%
Patrik Leitner17%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula13%
Samuel Gidi12%
Yves Erick Bile12%
Krisztián Bari7%
Xavier Adang7%
Patrik Iľko6%
Dominik Javorček6%
Mario Sauer6%
Dávid Ďuriš0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Ďatko15%
Ján Minárik13%
Xavier Adang13%
Patrik Iľko12%
Timotej Jambor7%
Dominik Javorček6%
Samuel Gidi6%
Yves Erick Bile6%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Dávid Ďuriš0%
Krisztián Bari0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Patrik Leitner0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Mario Sauer0%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Timotej Jambor36%
Dávid Ďuriš25%
Matúš Rusnák25%
Patrik Iľko18%
Mario Sauer17%
Yves Erick Bile12%
Ján Minárik7%
Krisztián Bari7%
Dominik Javorček6%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Patrik Leitner0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Samuel Gidi0%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Xavier Adang0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Spartak Trnava
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Ďuriš25%
Marco Đuričin25%
Adrian Zeljković18%
Samuel Štefánik14%
Marek Ujlaky14%
Erik Daniel10%
Philip Azango9%
Kelvin Ofori8%
Tomáš Poznar8%
Martin Mikovič5%
Roman Procházka0%
Dominik Takáč0%
Milan Ristovski0%
Filip Bainović0%
Lukáš Štetina0%
Kristián Koštrna0%
Jan Bernát0%
Martin Šulek0%
Jakub Paur0%
Martin Bukata0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Andrej Đurić0%
Kazeem Bolaji Soliu0%
Miha Kompan Breznik0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roman Procházka36%
Adrian Zeljković32%
Miha Kompan Breznik25%
Sebastian Kóša24%
Martin Mikovič23%
Martin Bukata18%
Lukáš Štetina17%
Michal Ďuriš15%
Marek Ujlaky14%
Jan Bernát13%
Jakub Paur12%
Kristián Koštrna9%
Tomáš Poznar8%
Andrej Đurić8%
Erik Daniel5%
Martin Šulek5%
Philip Azango4%
Dominik Takáč4%
Kelvin Ofori4%
Milan Ristovski0%
Filip Bainović0%
Marco Đuričin0%
Samuel Štefánik0%
Kazeem Bolaji Soliu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Štefánik14%
Jakub Paur12%
Erik Daniel10%
Martin Mikovič9%
Philip Azango9%
Kelvin Ofori8%
Roman Procházka7%
Jan Bernát7%
Michal Ďuriš5%
Kristián Koštrna5%
Dominik Takáč0%
Milan Ristovski0%
Filip Bainović0%
Marco Đuričin0%
Lukáš Štetina0%
Martin Šulek0%
Martin Bukata0%
Tomáš Poznar0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Andrej Đurić0%
Kazeem Bolaji Soliu0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Miha Kompan Breznik0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michal Ďuriš25%
Erik Daniel15%
Filip Bainović12%
Jan Bernát7%
Martin Bukata6%
Adrian Zeljković5%
Philip Azango4%
Kelvin Ofori4%
Roman Procházka0%
Dominik Takáč0%
Milan Ristovski0%
Martin Mikovič0%
Marco Đuričin0%
Lukáš Štetina0%
Kristián Koštrna0%
Martin Šulek0%
Jakub Paur0%
Samuel Štefánik0%
Tomáš Poznar0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Andrej Đurić0%
Kazeem Bolaji Soliu0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Miha Kompan Breznik0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ZM (14)
€1m
Žilina's squad is €5m more valuable than Spartak Trnava's (€12m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
Žilina's attack is €2m more valuable than Spartak Trnava's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
Žilina and Spartak Trnava have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
Žilina's defence is €3m more valuable than Spartak Trnava's (€6m vs €3m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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Slovan Bratislava
Dunajska Streda
Dukla Banská Bystrica
AS Trencin
Ružomberok
Skalica
Podbrezová
Zemplín Michalovce
FK Košice
Zlaté Moravce
Petržalka