Slovan Liberec is the favourite to win this match, with their recent form taking a turn for the better after a draw against Slavia Praha. Zlin, however, has been struggling, having lost four consecutive matches before a last-minute win against Plzen. The model predicts an away win for Slovan Liberec with a 45% probability, while Zlin's chances of winning stand at 26% and the draw at 29%.
The expected total number of goals is 2.5, with the most likely score being 1-1 at a probability of 13.6%. Slovan Liberec is expected to score 2 goals on average when playing away against a weaker opponent, while conceding 0.25 goals. Zlin, on the other hand, scores 1.38 goals at home against a stronger opponent and concedes 1.75 goals.
The model's selection for the match result is an away win for Slovan Liberec. The model also suggests selecting Over 21.5 fouls (94%), Draw or Away (78%), Under 3.5 (75%), Home or Away (74%), and Over 1.5 (74%).
Results analysis
The win extends Slovan Liberec’s recent run, and the Czech Liga fixture delivered exactly what the Pythia model predicted. The final score was 0-1, an away win that matched the model’s favourite, which carried a 44 % pre-match probability. The model’s call was correct. Every suggested pick settled in the model’s favour: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.1 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3 %, Over 19.5 fouls at 97.5 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.4 %, Under 6.5 at 97.3 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.0 %, and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.0 %. All selections were settled, confirming the model’s comprehensive accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Zlin win✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.85
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.15
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Dafabet
3.95
10Bet
3.95
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.37
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.52
Dafabet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.46
Slovan Liberec win✓ Hit
44.4%
Avg Implied 48.7% · @ 1.89
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.95
888Sport
1.95
Superbet
1.92
SBO
1.91
Betano
1.91
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Zlin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.93
1.31
1.88
0.86
2.00
vs Stronger (13)
1.15
2.15
1.43
1.71
0.83
2.67
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.76
1.22
2.00
0.88
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Liberec) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovan Liberec
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.00
1.07
0.79
1.31
1.19
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.75
0.67
1.67
1.20
1.80
vs Similar (19)
1.11
0.79
1.00
0.56
1.20
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.33
2.00
0.50
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.8%
@ 1.28+2.4%
Under 1.5
25.2%
@ 3.37-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.30
888Sport
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.46
BetVictor
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.6%
@ 1.92-0.2%
Under 2.5
51.4%
@ 1.83+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
1.98
SBO
1.96
Bet365
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Under
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Betfair
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.8%
@ 3.29-1.5%
Under 3.5
73.2%
@ 1.30+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.72
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Betano
3.35
Under
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.6%
@ 1.77+1.3%
No
46.4%
@ 1.94-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.87
888Sport
1.80
Bet365
1.80
William Hil
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
No
1xBet
1.98
Bet365
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
10Bet
1.95
888Sport
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%@ 6.23+6.4%
0-1 ✓
9.7%@ 6.67+3.0%
1-2
9.1%@ 7.77+3.4%
0-0
8.5%@ 9.29+3.7%
0-2
8.1%@ 8.48+2.9%
1-0
7.0%@ 10.31+2.7%
2-1
6.9%@ 11.82+3.1%
2-2
5.1%@ 13.34+1.8%
Zlin goals ↓
Slovan Liberec goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
9.7%
8.1%
4.0%
1.5%
1
7.0%
13%
9.1%
4.5%
1.7%
2
4.6%
6.9%
5.1%
2.6%
1.0%
3
1.7%
2.6%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zlin goals (down), columns = Slovan Liberec goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Zlin is 2.17 points worse than Slovan Liberec in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 2.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Zlin is 0.50 goals worse than Slovan Liberec in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Zlin is 1.67 goals worse than Slovan Liberec in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Zlin is 3.7 percentage points worse than Slovan Liberec in terms of average possession (43% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Zlin
For 3.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 14.9 · Total 30.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slovan Liberec
For 4.5 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 13.6 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zlin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.3
9.6
2.9
2.8
2.9
29.0
30.4
27.4
vs Stronger (17)
8.5
7.6
9.2
3.0
2.2
3.7
27.0
29.3
25.2
vs Similar (33)
10.1
10.2
10.0
2.8
3.1
2.5
30.3
31.1
29.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
40%
32%
40%
40%
40%
87%
90%
84%
% under line
64%
60%
68%
60%
60%
60%
13%
10%
16%
This opponent (Slovan Liberec) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovan Liberec
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.4
10.4
5.1
5.0
5.2
28.7
29.1
28.2
vs Stronger (12)
10.2
10.3
10.2
5.7
5.7
5.6
28.6
29.1
27.8
vs Similar (32)
10.0
9.0
10.9
5.0
4.9
5.1
29.0
29.6
28.4
vs Weaker (6)
8.7
9.0
8.3
4.3
3.7
5.0
27.3
26.7
28.0
% over line
46%
42%
50%
80%
75%
85%
88%
92%
83%
% under line
54%
58%
50%
20%
25%
15%
12%
8%
17%
This opponent (Zlin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.3
Slavia Praha
10.8
Zbrojovka Brno
10.7
Bohemians 1905
10.4
Slovácko
10.3
Slovan Liberec
10.0
Baník Ostrava
10.0
Pardubice
9.9
Sparta Praha
9.9
FK Jablonec
9.8
Hradec Králové
9.7
Plzen
9.5
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.2
Teplice
9.2
Artis
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Plzen
5.2
Sparta Praha
4.9
Teplice
4.5
Slavia Praha
4.5
Pardubice
4.3
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
Sigma Olomouc
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Zlin
3.9
Slovácko
3.9
Bohemians 1905
3.7
Hradec Králové
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.6
Artis
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.8
Zlin
28.6
Teplice
28.3
Sigma Olomouc
26.8
FK Jablonec
26.4
Slavia Praha
26.3
Slovácko
26.3
Plzen
25.5
Pardubice
25.4
Artis
25.2
Mlada Boleslav
25.1
Baník Ostrava
24.6
Sparta Praha
24.2
Bohemians 1905
22.7
Hradec Králové
22.7
Zbrojovka Brno
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.3%
@ 1.89-2.7%
Under 9.5
53.7%
@ 1.81+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.87
Betano
1.87
Under
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
Unibet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.3%
@ 1.44+2.6%
Under 3.5
34.7%
@ 2.42-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.44
Under
Superbet
2.42
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
94.0%
Under 21.5
6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zlin or Draw✗ Miss
48.7%
Avg Implied 50.9% · @ 1.83
Edge
-2.1%
27%
28%
44%
covers Zlin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
SBO
1.84
Zlin or Slovan Liberec✓ Hit
74.2%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.27
Edge
+0.8%
27%
28%
44%
covers Zlin + Slovan Liberec
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Draw or Slovan Liberec✓ Hit
77.1%
Avg Implied 75.8% · @ 1.23
Edge
+1.3%
27%
28%
44%
covers Draw + Slovan Liberec
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.25
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zlin over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
66.9%
@ 1.46+3.1%
Under
33.1%
@ 2.56-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.51
BetVictor
1.47
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.62
888Sport
2.60
Pinnacle
2.58
Unibet
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Zlin over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.3%
@ 3.22+1.4%
Under
69.7%
@ 1.31-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.57
BetVictor
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Zlin over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 8.60-0.8%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.05+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
888Sport
9.00
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.60
Superbet
8.10
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
Zlin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 22.25-1.7%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Slovan Liberec over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.6%
@ 1.19+4.4%
Under
17.4%
@ 4.25-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
888Sport
4.20
Slovan Liberec over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
52.1%
@ 1.95+4.4%
Under
47.9%
@ 1.78-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
888Sport
2.00
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.95
BetVictor
1.95
Under
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Slovan Liberec over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.5%
@ 3.95+2.1%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.21-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.20
888Sport
4.20
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Slovan Liberec over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 9.38-0.0%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.05+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
888Sport
10.00
Superbet
8.70
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Zlin, so a minus line means Zlin give that many goals of a start and Slovan Liberec receive them. At -1, Zlin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zlin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zlin)Actual: Slovan Liberec
Zlin -2
2.7%
@ 23.00-1.3%
Draw -2
6.4%
@ 11.50-1.6%
Slovan Liberec +2
90.9%
@ 1.05+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
20.00
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
10.00
Away
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Handicap -1 (Zlin)Actual: Slovan Liberec
Zlin -1
9.1%
@ 8.62-1.3%
Draw -1
13.8%
@ 5.50-2.6%
Slovan Liberec +1
77.1%
@ 1.23+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.70
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
7.80
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
Superbet
5.35
Unibet
5.00
Away
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Handicap +1 (Zlin)Actual: Draw
Zlin +1
48.7%
@ 1.83+0.0%
Draw +1
22.4%
@ 3.58-2.5%
Slovan Liberec -1
28.9%
@ 3.38+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Unibet
1.81
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Superbet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.50
Away
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Unibet
3.30
Handicap +2 (Zlin)Actual: Zlin
Zlin +2
71.1%
@ 1.28+1.1%
Draw +2
16.0%
@ 5.31-0.9%
Slovan Liberec -2
12.9%
@ 6.87-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
Superbet
5.25
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Away
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.55
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zlin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.80
0.69
0.50
0.43
1.14
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
0.77
0.57
0.29
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.82
0.78
0.67
0.62
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Liberec) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovan Liberec
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.47
0.43
0.36
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.88
0.00
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.32
0.44
0.11
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.5%
@ 1.38+2.3%
Under 0.5
30.5%
@ 2.83-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Under
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
2.90
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Pinnacle
2.87
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.4%
@ 2.78+0.0%
Under 1.5
66.6%
@ 1.39-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.06
Betano
2.95
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Under
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.9%
@ 7.09-0.2%
Under 2.5
87.1%
@ 1.07+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
William Hil
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Betano
6.80
Marathonbet
6.65
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zlin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.9%
@ 2.49+4.6%
Under
58.1%
@ 1.48-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.71
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.49
Marathonbet
2.49
Superbet
2.47
Under
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
Zlin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 8.86-0.2%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.04+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.90
1xBet
9.90
Superbet
8.60
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Zlin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 36.00-98.3%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
36.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Liberec over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.3%
@ 1.82-1.5%
Under
50.7%
@ 1.88+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.86
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Under
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.87
Unibet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Slovan Liberec over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 5.07-4.6%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.13+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.25
1xBet
5.25
Betano
5.10
Superbet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Under
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Slovan Liberec over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 13.33-4.1%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
11.00
Under
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zlin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.13
0.62
1.38
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (13)
0.77
1.38
0.86
1.43
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.94
0.44
1.33
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Liberec) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovan Liberec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.64
0.43
0.81
0.62
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.88
0.67
0.67
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.47
0.56
0.44
0.70
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.4%
Under 0.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.2%
Under 1.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.6%
Under 2.5
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zlin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.2%
Under
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.9%
Under
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Liberec over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
61.5%
Under
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Liberec over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.8%
Under
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Liberec over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
90.9%
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
90.0%
1.05
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
-
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.9%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.1%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.13
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.9%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Unibet
1.09
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
82.6%
1.19
Betano
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
77.1%
1.23
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.25
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
77.1%
1.23
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.4%
1.30
Unibet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.8%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.30
888Sport
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
74.5%
1.21
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.2%
1.27
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.29
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.2%
1.30
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.30
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
71.1%
1.28
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.8%
1.36
Superbet
1.36
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zlin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Fukala25%
Jakub Černín20%
Daniel Šmiga20%
Marián Pišoja0%
Stanislav Dostal0%
Lukas Bartosak0%
Tomáš Poznar0%
Miloš Kopečný0%
Jakub Kolar0%
Michal Cupak0%
Stanley Kanu0%
Cletus Nombil0%
Frank Appiah 0%
Tom Ulbrich0%
Stanislav Petruta0%
Tomas Hellebrand0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miloš Kopečný60%
Lukas Bartosak50%
Marián Pišoja40%
Tom Ulbrich25%
Stanislav Petruta25%
Tomáš Poznar20%
Jakub Černín20%
Frank Appiah 20%
Daniel Šmiga20%
Tomas Hellebrand20%
Michal Fukala0%
Stanislav Dostal0%
Jakub Kolar0%
Michal Cupak0%
Stanley Kanu0%
Cletus Nombil0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marián Pišoja20%
Michal Fukala0%
Stanislav Dostal0%
Lukas Bartosak0%
Tomáš Poznar0%
Miloš Kopečný0%
Jakub Černín0%
Jakub Kolar0%
Michal Cupak0%
Stanley Kanu0%
Cletus Nombil0%
Frank Appiah 0%
Daniel Šmiga0%
Tom Ulbrich0%
Stanislav Petruta0%
Tomas Hellebrand0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tom Ulbrich25%
Marián Pišoja0%
Michal Fukala0%
Stanislav Dostal0%
Lukas Bartosak0%
Tomáš Poznar0%
Miloš Kopečný0%
Jakub Černín0%
Jakub Kolar0%
Michal Cupak0%
Stanley Kanu0%
Cletus Nombil0%
Frank Appiah 0%
Daniel Šmiga0%
Stanislav Petruta0%
Tomas Hellebrand0%
Slovan Liberec
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrik Dulay50%
Lukáš Mašek33%
Ghislain Vénuste Baboula25%
Soliu Afolabi25%
Aziz Kayondo17%
Lukáš Masopust0%
Tomáš Koubek0%
Vasil Kušej0%
Jan Mikula0%
Lukáš Hůlka0%
Raimonds Krollis0%
Josef Koželuh0%
Augustin Drakpe0%
Vojtěch Stránský0%
Petr Hodouš0%
Milan Lexa0%
Fallou Faye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Soliu Afolabi50%
Raimonds Krollis40%
Lukáš Hůlka33%
Vojtěch Stránský33%
Fallou Faye33%
Jan Mikula25%
Patrik Dulay25%
Petr Hodouš20%
Lukáš Masopust17%
Josef Koželuh17%
Aziz Kayondo17%
Tomáš Koubek0%
Vasil Kušej0%
Augustin Drakpe0%
Lukáš Mašek0%
Ghislain Vénuste Baboula0%
Milan Lexa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vasil Kušej25%
Ghislain Vénuste Baboula25%
Patrik Dulay25%
Lukáš Masopust0%
Tomáš Koubek0%
Jan Mikula0%
Lukáš Hůlka0%
Raimonds Krollis0%
Josef Koželuh0%
Augustin Drakpe0%
Vojtěch Stránský0%
Lukáš Mašek0%
Aziz Kayondo0%
Petr Hodouš0%
Milan Lexa0%
Soliu Afolabi0%
Fallou Faye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lukáš Mašek33%
Ghislain Vénuste Baboula25%
Soliu Afolabi25%
Raimonds Krollis20%
Petr Hodouš20%
Josef Koželuh17%
Fallou Faye17%
Lukáš Masopust0%
Tomáš Koubek0%
Vasil Kušej0%
Jan Mikula0%
Lukáš Hůlka0%
Augustin Drakpe0%
Vojtěch Stránský0%
Aziz Kayondo0%
Milan Lexa0%
Patrik Dulay0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Zlin's squad is €20m less valuable than Slovan Liberec's (€7m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Zlin's attack is €15m less valuable than Slovan Liberec's (€2m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Zlin's midfield is €2m less valuable than Slovan Liberec's (€2m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Zlin's defence is €3m less valuable than Slovan Liberec's (€2m vs €5m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Zbrojovka Brno
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
Teplice
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
Plzen
Artis
Slovácko
Pardubice