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Zrinski Jurjevac vs Dubrava Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Zrinski Jurjevac
Zrinski Jurjevac
Vs
50%
30%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Zrinski Jurjevac win✗ Miss
50.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb win✓ Hit
19.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W21W02L02L03L20W01L01L02L05LH·SES18/05A·VUK24/05H·SIB02/06H·JAR18/08A·VUK24/08H·ORI01/09A·SES06/09H·CRO14/09H·DUG18/09A·HNK21/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.771.400.671.000.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.200.771.400.671.000.87
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W01L30W21W21W30W13L12L02L00DH·BSK17/05A·SIB25/05H·SOL01/06H·OPA16/08A·RUD25/08H·BSK31/08A·JAR07/09H·VUK13/09A·ORI18/09H·SES21/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.271.441.190.791.36
vs Stronger (3)1.002.331.002.001.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.151.151.501.070.771.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinski Jurjevac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.1%
Under 1.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.0%
Under 2.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.5%
Under 3.5
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.0%
No
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
8.6%
0-1 ✓
7.7%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
Zrinski Jurjevac goals ↓
Dubrava Zagreb goals →
01234
013%7.7%3.5%0.9%0.2%
115%14%4.8%1.3%0.2%
211%8.6%3.4%0.9%0.2%
35.1%4.0%1.6%0.4%0.1%
41.8%1.4%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zrinski Jurjevac goals (down), columns = Dubrava Zagreb goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
2.18
Opatija
2.06
Orijent 1919
1.70
Sesvete
1.48
HNK Cibalia
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.21
Rudes
1.18
Jarun
1.12
Dugopolje
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.27
Zrinski Jurjevac is 1.12 points worse than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of average points per game (0.27 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.67
Opatija
1.45
HNK Cibalia
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.21
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.06
Croatia Zmijavci
1.00
Jarun
1.00
Dugopolje
1.00
Rudes
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.45
Zrinski Jurjevac is 0.61 goals worse than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals scored per game (0.45 vs 1.06).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.42
Opatija
0.61
Orijent 1919
0.94
Sesvete
0.97
Rudes
1.00
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
HNK Cibalia
1.18
Jarun
1.18
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Dugopolje
1.58
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.15
Zrinski Jurjevac is 1.06 goals worse than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals conceded per game (2.15 vs 1.09).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D01L01L01L00D01L00D00D01LH·SES18/05A·VUK24/05H·SIB02/06H·JAR18/08A·VUK24/08H·ORI01/09A·SES06/09H·CRO14/09H·DUG18/09A·HNK21/09
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.300.730.270.270.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.500.300.730.270.270.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L10W21W11D20W10W10W02L00DH·BSK17/05A·SIB25/05H·SOL01/06H·OPA16/08A·RUD25/08H·BSK31/08A·JAR07/09H·VUK13/09A·ORI18/09H·SES21/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.810.560.290.57
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.590.590.860.570.310.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinski Jurjevac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D21W01L01L02L20W00D01L02L04LH·SES18/05A·VUK24/05H·SIB02/06H·JAR18/08A·VUK24/08H·ORI01/09A·SES06/09H·CRO14/09H·DUG18/09A·HNK21/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.670.400.730.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.700.470.670.400.730.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D20W00D10W10W03L02L00D00DH·BSK17/05A·SIB25/05H·SOL01/06H·OPA16/08A·RUD25/08H·BSK31/08A·JAR07/09H·VUK13/09A·ORI18/09H·SES21/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.620.620.500.79
vs Stronger (3)0.672.000.501.501.003.00
vs Similar (27)0.560.560.640.500.460.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinski Jurjevac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
ZJ wins
0
Draws
1
DZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zrinski Jurjevac vs Dubrava Zagreb · H/A from ZJ
DateH/AGameScore
23/03/24HZJ Vs Dubrava Zagreb2-0
16/03/24HZJ Vs Dubrava Zagreb0-2
21/10/23ADubrava Zagreb Vs ZJ0-1

Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24AHNK Cibalia Vs ZJ5-0
18/09/24HZJ Vs Dugopolje0-2
14/09/24HZJ Vs Croatia Zmijavci0-1
06/09/24ASesvete Vs ZJ1-0
01/09/24HZJ Vs Orijent 19192-0
24/08/24AVukovar Vs ZJ3-0
18/08/24HZJ Vs Jarun0-2
02/06/24HZJ Vs Sibenik0-2
24/05/24AVukovar Vs ZJ1-2
18/05/24HZJ Vs Sesvete1-0

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24HDZ Vs Sesvete0-0
18/09/24AOrijent 1919 Vs DZ2-0
13/09/24HDZ Vs Vukovar1-2
07/09/24AJarun Vs DZ3-1
31/08/24HDZ Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo3-0
25/08/24ARudes Vs DZ1-2
16/08/24HDZ Vs Opatija2-1
01/06/24HDZ Vs Solin3-0
25/05/24ASibenik Vs DZ1-0
17/05/24HDZ Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zrinski Jurjevac
Zrinski Jurjevac
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL2.07
HomeLLWLL2.09
AwayWWLLL2.05
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %67%68%65%
AVG goals2.172.232.10
Over 1.5 %62%73%50%
Over 2.5 %40%32%50%
Over 3.5 %12%14%10%
Scored1.361.591.10
Conceded0.810.641.00
BTTS24%14%35%
Clean Sheet55%64%45%
Corners---
Cards---
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD1.24
HomeWWWLD1.28
AwayLLWLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.382.522.24
Over 1.5 %72%80%64%
Over 2.5 %46%56%36%
Over 3.5 %20%16%24%
Scored1.041.200.88
Conceded1.341.321.36
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3372
64%
2.2
5514+41
2.1
58%
30%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.4
-
2OpatijaOpatija3368
58%
2.1
4820+28
2.1
64%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.50.6
-
3Orijent 1919Orijent 19193356
42%
1.7
4631+15
2.3
76%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.9
-
4SesveteSesvete3349
42%
1.5
3632+4
2.1
52%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.0
-
5HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3346
36%
1.4
4739+8
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.2
-
6Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3346
42%
1.4
3536-1
2.2
61%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.1
-
7Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3346
39%
1.4
4042-2
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3340
30%
1.2
3343-10
2.3
58%
45%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
9RudesRudes3339
30%
1.2
3133-2
1.9
61%
30%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3110.91.0
-
10JarunJarun3337
27%
1.1
3339-6
2.2
70%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
11DugopoljeDugopolje3331
18%
0.9
3352-19
2.6
79%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.6
-
12Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac339
3%
0.3
1571-56
2.6
67%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.2
-
Croatia: First NL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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