This opponent (Vukovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vukovar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.87
1.50
0.94
1.43
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.80
0.80
1.57
0.71
2.33
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.30
0.90
1.44
1.11
1.18
0.73
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinski Jurjevac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.3%
Under 1.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
32.9%
Under 2.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
14.7%
Under 3.5
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.5%
No
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
14.6%
0-1
13.3%
1-0
10.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
Zrinski Jurjevac goals ↓
Vukovar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
13%
8.1%
3.0%
0.8%
1
11%
15%
7.4%
2.7%
0.8%
2
5.6%
6.1%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
3
1.7%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zrinski Jurjevac goals (down), columns = Vukovar goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Vukovar
2.18
Opatija
2.06
Orijent 1919
1.70
Sesvete
1.48
HNK Cibalia
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.21
Rudes
1.18
Jarun
1.12
Dugopolje
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.27
Zrinski Jurjevac is 1.91 points worse than Vukovar in terms of average points per game (0.27 vs 2.18).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.67
Opatija
1.45
HNK Cibalia
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.21
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.06
Croatia Zmijavci
1.00
Jarun
1.00
Dugopolje
1.00
Rudes
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.45
Zrinski Jurjevac is 1.21 goals worse than Vukovar in terms of goals scored per game (0.45 vs 1.67).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.42
Opatija
0.61
Orijent 1919
0.94
Sesvete
0.97
Rudes
1.00
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
HNK Cibalia
1.18
Jarun
1.18
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Dugopolje
1.58
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.15
Zrinski Jurjevac is 1.73 goals worse than Vukovar in terms of goals conceded per game (2.15 vs 0.42).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zrinski Jurjevac
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.40
0.67
0.40
0.13
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.40
0.40
0.67
0.40
0.13
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vukovar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.17
0.38
0.19
0.71
0.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.10
0.29
0.14
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.55
0.20
0.44
0.22
0.64
0.18
Clean sheet %
83% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinski Jurjevac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zrinski Jurjevac
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.60
0.40
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.67
0.57
0.60
0.40
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vukovar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
1.12
0.75
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.30
0.70
1.29
0.57
1.33
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.75
0.70
1.00
0.89
0.55
0.55
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinski Jurjevac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Vukovar · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jakov PuljiÄ48%
Robin GonzÃĄlez14%
Lovro Banovec12%
Å imun ButiÄ6%
Jakov Gurlica6%
Mario TadiÄ5%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kerim ÃalhanoÄlu5%
Vito ÄaiÄ4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan PaviÄiÄ0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Marino Bulat0%
Moreno Å―ivkoviÄ0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David MejÃa0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Kristijan ÄabrajiÄ0%
Lovre KuluÅĄiÄ0%
Luka Klanac0%
Mario TiÄinoviÄ0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Niko PajvanÄiÄ0%
Danijel VinkoviÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marin Pilj80%
Lovre KuluÅĄiÄ43%
David MejÃa30%
Moreno Å―ivkoviÄ29%
Jakov Biljan27%
Jakov PuljiÄ22%
Rafael Camacho20%
Josip Elez20%
Lovro Banovec20%
Luka Klanac20%
Eniss Shabani18%
Robin GonzÃĄlez17%
Kristijan PaviÄiÄ17%
Vito ÄaiÄ17%
Jakov Gurlica17%
Mario TadiÄ16%
Mario TiÄinoviÄ15%
Marino Bulat13%
Antonio Bosec10%
Alen Jurilj10%
Kerim ÃalhanoÄlu10%
Kristijan ÄabrajiÄ10%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Å imun ButiÄ0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Niko PajvanÄiÄ0%
Danijel VinkoviÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lovro Banovec16%
Robin GonzÃĄlez14%
Kerim ÃalhanoÄlu10%
Mario TiÄinoviÄ10%
Eniss Shabani9%
Moreno Å―ivkoviÄ7%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kristijan ÄabrajiÄ5%
Rafael Camacho0%
Jakov PuljiÄ0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan PaviÄiÄ0%
Mario TadiÄ0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Marino Bulat0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David MejÃa0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Vito ÄaiÄ0%
Jakov Gurlica0%
Lovre KuluÅĄiÄ0%
Å imun ButiÄ0%
Luka Klanac0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Niko PajvanÄiÄ0%
Danijel VinkoviÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakov PuljiÄ30%
Robin GonzÃĄlez7%
Å imun ButiÄ6%
Mario TadiÄ5%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kerim ÃalhanoÄlu5%
Lovro Banovec4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan PaviÄiÄ0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Marino Bulat0%
Moreno Å―ivkoviÄ0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David MejÃa0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Vito ÄaiÄ0%
Jakov Gurlica0%
Kristijan ÄabrajiÄ0%
Lovre KuluÅĄiÄ0%
Luka Klanac0%
Mario TiÄinoviÄ0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Niko PajvanÄiÄ0%
Danijel VinkoviÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Croatia: First NL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →