Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.38
0.38
0.50
0.33
0.29
0.43
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.62
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
69% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
0.76
0.89
0.56
0.50
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.80
0.50
0.50
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.71
1.67
0.67
0.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.62
1.00
0.67
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.75
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
46% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
0.65
0.78
0.67
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.50
0.83
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.86
0.67
1.00
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 1.5
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 3.5
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś— Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrick Mortensen44%
Mikael Anderson19%
Mikkel Duelund17%
Sebastian Grønning17%
Jelle Duin13%
Yann Bisseck12%
Kevin Yakob12%
Peter Bjur9%
Mads Emil Madsen7%
Sigurd Haugen6%
Thomas Kristensen5%
Frederik Tingager3%
Sebastian Hausner0%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Nicolai Poulsen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Anthony D'Alberto0%
Gift Links0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Eric Kahl0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Adam Daghim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolai Poulsen36%
Adam Daghim33%
Felix Beijmo29%
Mikkel Duelund25%
Albert Grønbæk25%
Sebastian Hausner20%
Sebastian Grønning17%
Kevin Yakob17%
Mikael Anderson15%
Thomas Kristensen15%
Mads Emil Madsen15%
Sigurd Haugen13%
Tobias Mølgaard12%
Eric Kahl10%
Yann Bisseck9%
Peter Bjur9%
Frederik Brandhof8%
Anthony D'Alberto8%
Gift Links7%
Frederik Tingager7%
Jelle Duin7%
Patrick Mortensen6%
Jesper Hansen3%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mikkel Duelund17%
Felix Beijmo14%
Nicolai Poulsen11%
Kevin Yakob8%
Mads Emil Madsen7%
Gift Links7%
Frederik Tingager7%
Tobias Mølgaard6%
Frederik Brandhof4%
Mikael Anderson4%
Sigurd Haugen3%
Patrick Mortensen3%
Yann Bisseck3%
Sebastian Hausner0%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Sebastian Grønning0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Jelle Duin0%
Anthony D'Alberto0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Peter Bjur0%
Eric Kahl0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Thomas Kristensen0%
Adam Daghim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sebastian Grønning33%
Mikael Anderson31%
Patrick Mortensen22%
Mads Emil Madsen7%
Gift Links7%
Sigurd Haugen6%
Eric Kahl3%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Sebastian Hausner0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Nicolai Poulsen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Yann Bisseck0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Jelle Duin0%
Anthony D'Alberto0%
Kevin Yakob0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Peter Bjur0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Thomas Kristensen0%
Adam Daghim0%
Brondby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ohi Omoijuanfo54%
Oscar Schwartau21%
HĂĄkon Evjen20%
Nicolai Vallys17%
Mathias Kvistgaarden15%
Jens Martin Gammelby10%
Josip Radošević10%
Anis Ben Slimane9%
Andreas Maxsø9%
Christian Cappis9%
Simon Hedlund7%
Marko Divković7%
Sebastian Søraas Sebulonsen5%
Daniel Wass4%
Blás Riveros4%
Sigurd Rosted0%
Mathias Greve0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Kevin Mensah0%
Frederik Alves Ibsen0%
Thomas Mikkelsen0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Frederik Winther0%
Rasmus Lauritsen0%
Joe Bell0%
Peter Bjur0%
Carl Björk0%
Henrik Heggheim0%
Yousef Salech0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yousef Salech33%
Andreas Maxsø27%
Daniel Wass25%
Christian Cappis23%
Kevin Tshiembe23%
Nicolai Vallys21%
Henrik Heggheim20%
Anis Ben Slimane19%
Mathias Kvistgaarden18%
Sigurd Rosted17%
Josip Radošević17%
Simon Hedlund14%
Joe Bell14%
Frederik Winther13%
Ohi Omoijuanfo12%
Kevin Mensah11%
Rasmus Lauritsen11%
Jens Martin Gammelby10%
Mathias Greve7%
Marko Divković7%
Mads Hermansen7%
HĂĄkon Evjen7%
Sebastian Søraas Sebulonsen5%
Blás Riveros4%
Frederik Alves Ibsen0%
Thomas Mikkelsen0%
Peter Bjur0%
Carl Björk0%
Oscar Schwartau0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marko Divković21%
Nicolai Vallys21%
Daniel Wass17%
Mathias Kvistgaarden12%
Rasmus Lauritsen11%
Simon Hedlund11%
Mathias Greve7%
HĂĄkon Evjen7%
Joe Bell5%
Christian Cappis5%
Ohi Omoijuanfo4%
Mads Hermansen3%
Josip Radošević3%
Anis Ben Slimane3%
Andreas Maxsø0%
Sigurd Rosted0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Kevin Mensah0%
Frederik Alves Ibsen0%
Thomas Mikkelsen0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Frederik Winther0%
Blás Riveros0%
Peter Bjur0%
Sebastian Søraas Sebulonsen0%
Carl Björk0%
Henrik Heggheim0%
Yousef Salech0%
Oscar Schwartau0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ohi Omoijuanfo29%
Mathias Kvistgaarden18%
Nicolai Vallys17%
Simon Hedlund11%
Marko Divković7%
Oscar Schwartau5%
Daniel Wass4%
Blás Riveros4%
Anis Ben Slimane3%
Andreas Maxsø0%
Sigurd Rosted0%
Christian Cappis0%
Mathias Greve0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Josip Radošević0%
Kevin Mensah0%
Frederik Alves Ibsen0%
Thomas Mikkelsen0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Frederik Winther0%
HĂĄkon Evjen0%
Rasmus Lauritsen0%
Joe Bell0%
Peter Bjur0%
Sebastian Søraas Sebulonsen0%
Carl Björk0%
Henrik Heggheim0%
Yousef Salech0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
Aarhus's squad is €12m less valuable than Brondby's (€36m vs €48m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
Aarhus and Brondby have a similar attack value (both €14m).
đź§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
Aarhus's midfield is €3m more valuable than Brondby's (€14m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Aarhus's defence is €14m less valuable than Brondby's (€8m vs €22m).
Denmark: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →