This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.53
2.23
1.62
1.53
1.47
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.60
2.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
2.20
1.70
2.40
1.90
2.00
1.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.00
0.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.5%
Under 2.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.1%
Under 3.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.0%
No
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
Aarhus goals ↓
Viborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
3.9%
2.6%
0.9%
0.3%
1
8.2%
11%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.3%
9.9%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
6.2%
6.7%
3.6%
1.3%
0.3%
4
3.1%
3.3%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aarhus goals (down), columns = Viborg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.97
FC Midtjylland
1.94
Brondby
1.59
Silkeborg
1.58
Viborg
1.47
Randers FC
1.45
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Aarhus
1.25
Sonderjyske
1.16
Vejle
0.88
Lyngby
0.84
Aalborg
0.75
Aarhus is 0.22 points worse than Viborg in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.00
FC Copenhagen
1.88
Brondby
1.81
Silkeborg
1.79
Viborg
1.78
Randers FC
1.76
Aarhus
1.66
FC Nordsjaelland
1.66
Sonderjyske
1.47
Vejle
1.16
Aalborg
1.06
Lyngby
0.81
Aarhus is 0.12 goals worse than Viborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.78).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Copenhagen
1.03
Silkeborg
1.27
FC Midtjylland
1.31
Lyngby
1.34
Aarhus
1.44
Brondby
1.44
Viborg
1.56
Randers FC
1.61
FC Nordsjaelland
1.75
Sonderjyske
2.00
Vejle
2.00
Aalborg
2.09
Aarhus is 0.12 goals better than Viborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
61%
Brondby
54%
Silkeborg
54%
FC Copenhagen
53%
Aarhus
52%
Viborg
49%
FC Midtjylland
48%
Aalborg
47%
Sonderjyske
47%
Lyngby
47%
Randers FC
46%
Vejle
42%
Aarhus is 3.0 percentage points better than Viborg in terms of average possession (52% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aarhus
For 6.0 · Against 3.2 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Viborg
For 4.6 · Against 7.1 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 11.5 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aarhus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.7
8.8
3.9
4.7
3.3
23.8
25.0
22.8
vs Stronger (12)
9.4
9.5
9.3
4.5
5.3
3.7
22.8
26.0
19.5
vs Similar (34)
8.9
9.6
8.3
3.4
4.0
3.0
23.8
24.4
23.2
vs Weaker (4)
10.5
10.5
10.5
6.5
7.5
5.5
27.5
26.5
28.5
% over line
41%
45%
38%
54%
61%
48%
65%
77%
54%
% under line
59%
55%
62%
46%
39%
52%
35%
23%
46%
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
11.9
10.9
3.5
3.3
3.6
22.1
20.7
23.6
vs Stronger (9)
11.2
11.4
11.0
3.8
3.8
3.8
23.1
22.2
24.2
vs Similar (32)
10.9
11.6
10.1
3.4
3.4
3.4
21.8
20.2
23.7
vs Weaker (9)
13.4
14.0
13.0
3.3
2.3
3.8
21.9
20.3
22.8
% over line
71%
74%
68%
52%
50%
54%
53%
43%
64%
% under line
29%
26%
32%
48%
50%
46%
47%
57%
36%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Viborg
11.3
FC Midtjylland
10.9
Vejle
10.7
Lyngby
10.6
Brondby
10.3
Randers FC
10.3
Aalborg
10.0
FC Nordsjaelland
9.9
Sonderjyske
9.8
FC Copenhagen
9.7
Aarhus
9.3
Silkeborg
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aarhus
4.4
FC Copenhagen
4.0
Lyngby
3.9
FC Midtjylland
3.9
Viborg
3.9
Vejle
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.7
Randers FC
3.7
Brondby
3.6
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
Aalborg
3.5
Silkeborg
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lyngby
24.0
Aarhus
23.8
Sonderjyske
23.1
Randers FC
23.1
Vejle
22.8
Viborg
21.9
FC Midtjylland
21.8
FC Copenhagen
21.4
Aalborg
21.3
Brondby
21.1
FC Nordsjaelland
20.7
Silkeborg
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.2%
Under 9.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.4%
Under 3.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.4%
Under 21.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
1.07
0.64
0.75
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
0.86
1.33
0.67
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.67
1.00
0.70
0.82
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.73
1.38
0.69
0.65
0.76
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.80
2.00
0.50
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.15
0.90
1.40
0.80
0.90
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.25
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.60
1.07
0.43
0.88
0.75
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.14
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (21)
1.19
0.43
1.30
0.30
1.09
0.55
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
0.85
0.92
0.88
0.71
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.00
0.50
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.05
0.80
1.00
1.10
1.10
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.80
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrick Mortensen47%
Tobias Bech27%
Mikael Anderson20%
Mads Emil Madsen16%
Gift Links8%
Frederik Tingager7%
Youssouph Badji7%
Felix Beijmo6%
Tobias Mølgaard6%
Kristian Arnstad4%
Henrik Dalsgaard4%
Nicolai Poulsen4%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Max Power0%
Michael Akoto0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Eric Kahl0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Tobias Bach0%
Richmond Gyamfi0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristian Arnstad25%
Nicolai Poulsen21%
Jacob Andersen19%
Tobias Bech17%
Mikael Anderson17%
Eric Kahl16%
Mads Emil Madsen13%
Tobias Mølgaard12%
Felix Beijmo10%
Frederik Brandhof9%
Gift Links8%
Henrik Dalsgaard8%
Max Power7%
Patrick Mortensen6%
Tobias Bach6%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Michael Akoto0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Richmond Gyamfi0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mikael Anderson20%
Youssouph Badji13%
Mads Emil Madsen10%
Felix Beijmo10%
Gift Links8%
Eric Kahl8%
Nicolai Poulsen7%
Tobias Bech7%
Jacob Andersen6%
Tobias Bach6%
Kristian Arnstad4%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Henrik Dalsgaard0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Max Power0%
Michael Akoto0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Richmond Gyamfi0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mikael Anderson33%
Patrick Mortensen31%
Tobias Bech20%
Gift Links8%
Frederik Tingager3%
Mads Emil Madsen3%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Henrik Dalsgaard0%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Nicolai Poulsen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Max Power0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Michael Akoto0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Kristian Arnstad0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Tobias Bach0%
Richmond Gyamfi0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Viborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yonis Njoh36%
Isak Steiner Jensen30%
Ivan Näsberg21%
Serginho21%
Frederik Damkjer20%
Stipe Radić15%
Renato Júnior14%
Magnus Westergaard13%
Jeppe Grønning12%
Charly Horneman12%
Jakob Vester12%
Oliver Bundgaard11%
Thomas Jørgensen11%
Nicolas Bürgy8%
Anosike Ementa6%
Justin Lonwijk5%
Srdjan Kuzmić5%
Jean-Manuel Mbom3%
Daniel Anyembe3%
Oscar Hedvall0%
Lucas Lund Pedersen0%
Jamie Jacobs0%
Elias Andersson0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Sofus Berger0%
Mads Søndergaard0%
Ibrahim Said0%
Asker Beck0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jeppe Grønning38%
Mads Søndergaard36%
Magnus Westergaard33%
Justin Lonwijk30%
Renato Júnior28%
Jamie Jacobs25%
Nicolas Bürgy23%
Elias Andersson17%
Srdjan Kuzmić14%
Hjalte Bidstrup14%
Daniel Anyembe13%
Serginho12%
Asker Beck8%
Jakob Vester8%
Oscar Hedvall7%
Ivan Näsberg7%
Anosike Ementa6%
Stipe Radić5%
Charly Horneman4%
Isak Steiner Jensen4%
Jean-Manuel Mbom3%
Lucas Lund Pedersen0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Sofus Berger0%
Ibrahim Said0%
Yonis Njoh0%
Thomas Jørgensen0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Serginho42%
Mads Søndergaard21%
Renato Júnior14%
Magnus Westergaard13%
Thomas Jørgensen11%
Srdjan Kuzmić10%
Isak Steiner Jensen7%
Jean-Manuel Mbom7%
Daniel Anyembe6%
Stipe Radić5%
Justin Lonwijk5%
Charly Horneman4%
Anosike Ementa3%
Oscar Hedvall0%
Lucas Lund Pedersen0%
Jeppe Grønning0%
Jamie Jacobs0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Elias Andersson0%
Nicolas Bürgy0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Sofus Berger0%
Ibrahim Said0%
Asker Beck0%
Yonis Njoh0%
Jakob Vester0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Isak Steiner Jensen22%
Serginho21%
Renato Júnior17%
Anosike Ementa10%
Asker Beck8%
Charly Horneman8%
Ibrahim Said7%
Yonis Njoh7%
Magnus Westergaard7%
Justin Lonwijk5%
Srdjan Kuzmić5%
Thomas Jørgensen4%
Stipe Radić0%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Oscar Hedvall0%
Lucas Lund Pedersen0%
Jeppe Grønning0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Jamie Jacobs0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Elias Andersson0%
Nicolas Bürgy0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Sofus Berger0%
Mads Søndergaard0%
Jakob Vester0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
Aarhus's squad is €16m more valuable than Viborg's (€36m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
Aarhus's attack is €8m more valuable than Viborg's (€14m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
Aarhus's midfield is €12m more valuable than Viborg's (€14m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
VEJ (9)
€4m
Aarhus's defence is €3m less valuable than Viborg's (€8m vs €11m).
Denmark: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Silkeborg
Brondby
Randers FC
FC Nordsjaelland
Sonderjyske
Vejle
Lyngby
Aalborg