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AC Milan vs AS Roma Result & Analysis

Date: 01/10/2017
Time: 00:00
Final 0-2
AC Milan
AC Milan
Vs
26%
26%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AS Roma
AS Roma
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Milan win✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AS Roma win✓ Hit
48.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L11D30W12L30W21W14L21W20W02LH·AS 07/05A·ATA13/05H·BOL21/05A·CAG28/05A·CRO20/08H·CAG27/08A·LAZ10/09H·UDI17/09H·SPA20/09A·SAM24/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.171.670.931.131.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.001.801.001.751.001.83
vs Weaker (20)1.600.851.910.641.221.11
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AS RomaAS Roma

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L41W31W53W32W10W13L30W40W31WH·LAZ30/04A·AC 07/05H·JUV14/05A·CHI20/05H·GEN28/05A·ATA20/08H·INT26/08H·HEL16/09A·BEN20/09H·UDI23/09
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.400.932.311.122.500.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.831.081.711.432.000.60
vs Weaker (18)2.780.832.780.892.780.78
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.9%
Under 1.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.3%
Under 2.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.9%
Under 3.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.6%
No
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-2 ✓
7.8%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
AC Milan goals ↓
AS Roma goals →
01234
06.2%7.8%7.8%4.6%2.0%
15.1%12%9.6%5.6%2.5%
23.8%6.7%5.9%3.4%1.5%
31.6%2.7%2.4%1.4%0.6%
40.5%0.8%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Milan goals (down), columns = AS Roma goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Juventus
2.50
Napoli
2.39
AS Roma
2.03
Inter
1.89
Lazio
1.89
AC Milan
1.68
Atalanta
1.58
Fiorentina
1.50
Torino
1.42
Sampdoria
1.42
Sassuolo
1.13
Genoa
1.08
Chievo
1.05
Udinese
1.05
Bologna
1.03
Cagliari
1.03
Spal
1.00
Crotone
0.92
Hellas Verona
0.66
Benevento
0.55
AC Milan is 0.34 points worse than AS Roma in terms of average points per game (1.68 vs 2.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lazio
2.34
Juventus
2.26
Napoli
2.03
Inter
1.74
AS Roma
1.61
Atalanta
1.50
Sampdoria
1.47
AC Milan
1.47
Torino
1.42
Fiorentina
1.42
Udinese
1.26
Bologna
1.05
Crotone
1.05
Spal
1.03
Chievo
0.95
Cagliari
0.87
Benevento
0.87
Genoa
0.87
Hellas Verona
0.79
Sassuolo
0.76
AC Milan is 0.13 goals worse than AS Roma in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.61).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Juventus
0.63
AS Roma
0.74
Napoli
0.76
Inter
0.79
Atalanta
1.03
AC Milan
1.11
Genoa
1.13
Torino
1.21
Fiorentina
1.21
Lazio
1.29
Bologna
1.37
Chievo
1.55
Spal
1.55
Sassuolo
1.55
Sampdoria
1.58
Cagliari
1.61
Udinese
1.66
Crotone
1.74
Hellas Verona
2.05
Benevento
2.21
AC Milan is 0.37 goals worse than AS Roma in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 0.74).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

For 6.9 · Against 5.5 · Total 12.4

🚩 Corners

17047981035326926610351097111713881112131516A·SAMH·SPAH·UDIA·LAZH·CAGA·CROA·CAGH·BOLA·ATAH·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

6021212112132232212512332355436A·SAMH·SPAH·UDIA·LAZH·CAGA·CROA·CAGH·BOLA·ATAH·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 12.2 · Total 25.9

⚠️ Fouls

3701713191513101214201714913169881112930342326372329171921A·SAMH·SPAH·UDIA·LAZH·CAGA·CROA·CAGH·BOLA·ATAH·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AS RomaAS Roma

For 6.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 11.3

🚩 Corners

1805892811261462635679851311918589111613H·UDIA·BENH·HELH·INTA·ATAH·GENA·CHIH·JUVA·AC H·LAZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

6012121121223215141232322565H·UDIA·BENH·HELH·INTA·ATAH·GENA·CHIH·JUVA·AC H·LAZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.7 · Total 20.6

⚠️ Fouls

3009108107121281614814111196912101019181920302222152120H·UDIA·BENH·HELH·INTA·ATAH·GENA·CHIH·JUVA·AC H·LAZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)12.212.012.45.35.25.428.428.728.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)10.910.211.55.86.25.227.929.826.1
vs Weaker (34)12.812.812.85.14.65.528.628.228.9
% over line74%72%76%74%72%76%82%72%92%
% under line26%28%24%26%28%24%18%28%8%
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AS RomaAS Roma

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)12.112.711.53.93.44.524.823.725.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)11.612.311.04.74.35.125.324.026.5
vs Weaker (31)12.412.811.93.52.94.124.523.625.5
% over line70%69%71%54%46%62%72%73%71%
% under line30%31%29%46%54%38%28%27%29%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sassuolo
12.6
Inter
12.6
AC Milan
12.2
AS Roma
12.1
Spal
12.0
Sampdoria
11.2
Torino
11.1
Hellas Verona
11.1
Fiorentina
10.8
Napoli
10.6
Atalanta
10.5
Crotone
10.5
Udinese
10.5
Chievo
10.4
Benevento
10.3
Bologna
10.3
Cagliari
10.0
Lazio
10.0
Genoa
9.7
Juventus
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AC Milan
5.3
Cagliari
5.0
Sassuolo
4.9
Fiorentina
4.9
Genoa
4.9
Sampdoria
4.9
Atalanta
4.7
Bologna
4.7
Hellas Verona
4.6
Inter
4.6
Lazio
4.6
Udinese
4.4
Juventus
4.4
Torino
4.2
Chievo
4.2
Napoli
4.1
AS Roma
3.9
Spal
3.8
Crotone
3.8
Benevento
2.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Atalanta
30.3
Hellas Verona
29.7
Cagliari
29.0
Chievo
28.7
Fiorentina
28.6
Sassuolo
28.5
Torino
28.4
Genoa
28.4
AC Milan
28.4
Crotone
27.8
Sampdoria
27.5
Juventus
27.5
Inter
27.3
Spal
26.8
Bologna
26.7
Udinese
26.3
Lazio
25.2
AS Roma
24.8
Benevento
22.2
Napoli
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
70.9%
Under 9.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.2%
Under 3.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.2%
Under 21.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L00D01L30W10W02L21W10W00DH·AS 07/05A·ATA13/05H·BOL21/05A·CAG28/05A·CRO20/08H·CAG27/08A·LAZ10/09H·UDI17/09H·SPA20/09A·SAM24/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.870.600.470.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.401.200.751.250.171.17
vs Weaker (20)0.800.500.910.360.670.67
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AS RomaAS Roma

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W11D22D11D10W10W20W20W30WH·LAZ30/04A·AC 07/05H·JUV14/05A·CHI20/05H·GEN28/05A·ATA20/08H·INT26/08H·HEL16/09A·BEN20/09H·UDI23/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.371.120.441.210.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.670.420.570.570.800.20
vs Weaker (18)1.500.331.560.331.440.33
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W30W11D00D11D12L00D10W02LH·AS 07/05A·ATA13/05H·BOL21/05A·CAG28/05A·CRO20/08H·CAG27/08A·LAZ10/09H·UDI17/09H·SPA20/09A·SAM24/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.430.800.330.670.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.600.600.250.500.830.67
vs Weaker (20)0.800.351.000.270.560.44
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AS RomaAS Roma

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L21W20W31W21W00D03L10W20W01LH·LAZ30/04A·AC 07/05H·JUV14/05A·CHI20/05H·GEN28/05A·ATA20/08H·INT26/08H·HEL16/09A·BEN20/09H·UDI23/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.571.190.691.290.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.170.671.140.861.200.40
vs Weaker (18)1.280.501.220.561.330.44
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls91.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls82.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners80.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners70.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

AC Milan · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafael Leão29%
Christian Pulišić24%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Strahinja Pavlović14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Alexis Saelemaekers8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Youssouf Fofana6%
Luka Modrić6%
Santiago Giménez6%
Niclas Füllkrug5%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Samuele Ricci3%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pervis Estupiñán29%
Fikayo Tomori19%
Strahinja Pavlović16%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Rafael Leão16%
Alexis Saelemaekers13%
Matteo Gabbia13%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Luka Modrić11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Zachary Athekame11%
Mike Maignan10%
Davide Bartesaghi9%
Koni De Winter7%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek6%
Christian Pulišić0%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christian Pulišić12%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Alexis Saelemaekers11%
Rafael Leão10%
Christopher Nkunku9%
Luka Modrić8%
Fikayo Tomori8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Ardon Jashari6%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafael Leão26%
Christian Pulišić21%
Santiago Giménez17%
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christopher Nkunku12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Ardon Jashari6%
Alexis Saelemaekers5%
Samuele Ricci3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Luka Modrić0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Koni De Winter0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
David Odogu0%
Zachary Athekame0%
AS Roma · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donyell Malen50%
Antonio Arena33%
Lorenzo Pellegrini21%
Evan Ferguson18%
Artem Dovbyk17%
Matías Soulé17%
Wesley13%
Evan Ndicka12%
Mario Hermoso11%
Paulo Dybala11%
Tommaso Baldanzi10%
Gianluca Mancini9%
Niccolò Pisilli9%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Robinio Vaz7%
Neil El Aynaoui6%
Manu Koné5%
Bryan Cristante4%
Jan Ziółkowski4%
Devyne Rensch3%
Zeki Çelik2%
Angeliño0%
Mile Svilar0%
Leon Bailey0%
Kostas Tsimikas0%
Bryan Zaragoza0%
Daniele Ghilardi0%
Lorenzo Venturino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mario Hermoso31%
Gianluca Mancini27%
Angeliño22%
Tommaso Baldanzi20%
Wesley18%
Stephan El Shaarawy18%
Neil El Aynaoui18%
Bryan Cristante17%
Jan Ziółkowski17%
Evan Ndicka17%
Bryan Zaragoza17%
Niccolò Pisilli12%
Zeki Çelik11%
Daniele Ghilardi11%
Manu Koné8%
Kostas Tsimikas8%
Devyne Rensch6%
Lorenzo Pellegrini6%
Donyell Malen5%
Matías Soulé5%
Evan Ferguson5%
Mile Svilar0%
Paulo Dybala0%
Leon Bailey0%
Artem Dovbyk0%
Robinio Vaz0%
Lorenzo Venturino0%
Antonio Arena0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Paulo Dybala22%
Leon Bailey18%
Bryan Zaragoza17%
Matías Soulé17%
Devyne Rensch12%
Lorenzo Pellegrini12%
Niccolò Pisilli12%
Artem Dovbyk11%
Donyell Malen10%
Evan Ferguson9%
Zeki Çelik9%
Manu Koné8%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Neil El Aynaoui6%
Mario Hermoso6%
Gianluca Mancini4%
Bryan Cristante4%
Kostas Tsimikas4%
Wesley3%
Angeliño0%
Mile Svilar0%
Evan Ndicka0%
Tommaso Baldanzi0%
Daniele Ghilardi0%
Jan Ziółkowski0%
Robinio Vaz0%
Lorenzo Venturino0%
Antonio Arena0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Donyell Malen55%
Antonio Arena33%
Evan Ferguson23%
Paulo Dybala19%
Matías Soulé17%
Lorenzo Pellegrini9%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Evan Ndicka5%
Bryan Cristante4%
Niccolò Pisilli3%
Mario Hermoso3%
Manu Koné3%
Wesley3%
Gianluca Mancini2%
Angeliño0%
Mile Svilar0%
Leon Bailey0%
Kostas Tsimikas0%
Artem Dovbyk0%
Zeki Çelik0%
Devyne Rensch0%
Neil El Aynaoui0%
Bryan Zaragoza0%
Tommaso Baldanzi0%
Daniele Ghilardi0%
Jan Ziółkowski0%
Robinio Vaz0%
Lorenzo Venturino0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
CAG (31)
€134m
HV (34)
€57m
SAM (27)
€37m
BEN (30)
€12m
AC Milan's squad is €114m more valuable than AS Roma's (€585m vs €471m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
SAM (7)
€14m
HV (10)
€13m
BEN (8)
€4m
AC Milan's attack is €85m more valuable than AS Roma's (€223m vs €138m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
HV (9)
€14m
SAM (6)
€7m
BEN (9)
€3m
AC Milan's midfield is €35m more valuable than AS Roma's (€153m vs €118m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
HV (15)
€30m
SAM (14)
€17m
BEN (13)
€5m
AC Milan's defence is €6m less valuable than AS Roma's (€209m vs €215m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
AM wins
1
Draws
3
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AC Milan vs AS Roma · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/17HAM Vs AS Roma1-4
12/12/16AAS Roma Vs AM1-0
14/05/16HAM Vs AS Roma1-3
09/01/16AAS Roma Vs AM1-1

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/17ASampdoria Vs AM2-0
20/09/17HAM Vs Spal2-0
17/09/17HAM Vs Udinese2-1
10/09/17ALazio Vs AM4-1
27/08/17HAM Vs Cagliari2-1
20/08/17ACrotone Vs AM0-3
28/05/17ACagliari Vs AM2-1
21/05/17HAM Vs Bologna3-0
13/05/17AAtalanta Vs AM1-1
07/05/17HAM Vs AS Roma1-4

AS RomaAS Roma

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/17HAR Vs Udinese3-1
20/09/17ABenevento Vs AR0-4
16/09/17HAR Vs Hellas Verona3-0
26/08/17HAR Vs Inter1-3
20/08/17AAtalanta Vs AR0-1
28/05/17HAR Vs Genoa3-2
20/05/17AChievo Vs AR3-5
14/05/17HAR Vs Juventus3-1
07/05/17AAC Milan Vs AR1-4
30/04/17HAR Vs Lazio1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.66
HomeLWWWW1.96
AwayDLWLL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%60%36%
AVG goals2.702.802.60
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %56%60%52%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.481.681.28
Conceded1.221.121.32
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners12.1812.0012.36
Cards5.305.165.44
AS Roma
AS Roma
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.32
HomeWWLWW2.50
AwayWWWWW2.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %74%81%67%
AVG goals3.403.463.33
Over 1.5 %82%88%75%
Over 2.5 %72%77%67%
Over 3.5 %56%58%54%
Scored2.382.502.25
Conceded1.020.961.08
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet38%38%38%
Corners12.1012.6511.50
Cards3.943.424.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1JuventusJuventus3895
79%
2.5
8624+62
2.9
71%
55%
34%
8.3
32%
4.4
58%
24.8
71%
569
2401401892.30.6
-
2NapoliNapoli3891
74%
2.4
7729+48
2.8
66%
55%
39%
9.7
50%
3.8
53%
19.4
29%
459
2061011522.00.8
-
3AS RomaAS Roma3877
61%
2.0
6128+33
2.3
63%
37%
21%
11.1
68%
3.4
53%
22.5
53%
471
1381182151.60.7
-
4LazioLazio3872
55%
1.9
8949+40
3.6
87%
76%
45%
9.8
47%
4.1
58%
21.4
58%
240
6086932.31.3
-
5InterInter3872
53%
1.9
6630+36
2.5
76%
47%
29%
12.5
82%
4.2
58%
23.0
55%
694
2202322421.70.8
-
6AC MilanAC Milan3864
47%
1.7
5642+14
2.6
79%
47%
24%
10.4
55%
4.5
58%
26.6
82%
585
2231532091.51.1
-
7AtalantaAtalanta3860
42%
1.6
5739+18
2.5
79%
45%
18%
11.0
71%
4.3
58%
26.1
82%
438
1581281531.51.0
-
8FiorentinaFiorentina3857
42%
1.5
5446+8
2.6
76%
50%
18%
10.7
55%
5.3
74%
26.4
76%
330
125107981.41.2
-
9TorinoTorino3854
34%
1.4
5446+8
2.6
79%
58%
29%
10.6
61%
4.2
58%
29.1
92%
144
4346541.41.2
-
10SampdoriaSampdoria3854
42%
1.4
5660-4
3.1
82%
63%
42%
11.5
71%
4.5
63%
24.5
71%
37
147171.51.6
-
11SassuoloSassuolo3843
29%
1.1
2959-30
2.3
63%
42%
16%
11.0
66%
4.7
66%
28.1
87%
194
9053520.81.6
-
12GenoaGenoa3841
29%
1.1
3343-10
2.0
47%
32%
18%
8.9
42%
4.2
61%
27.8
74%
182
5444840.91.1
-
13UdineseUdinese3840
32%
1.1
4863-15
2.9
82%
58%
26%
10.6
61%
3.8
47%
24.8
66%
157
4639721.31.7
-
14
C
Chievo
3840
26%
1.1
3659-23
2.5
68%
50%
21%
10.2
55%
3.9
47%
24.9
66%
0
0000.91.6
-
15BolognaBologna3839
29%
1.0
4052-12
2.4
71%
53%
13%
10.3
50%
4.8
74%
25.4
76%
218
10434791.11.4
-
16CagliariCagliari3839
29%
1.0
3361-28
2.5
68%
55%
21%
9.8
50%
4.7
68%
28.8
87%
134
5131520.91.6
-
17SpalSpal3838
21%
1.0
3959-20
2.6
79%
42%
29%
10.1
53%
4.9
82%
30.0
89%
0
0001.01.6
-
18
C
Crotone
3835
24%
0.9
4066-26
2.8
76%
53%
29%
10.3
58%
3.8
58%
26.1
76%
0
0001.11.7
-
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3825
18%
0.7
3078-48
2.8
76%
63%
34%
10.1
55%
4.5
74%
25.2
74%
57
1314300.82.1
-
20BeneventoBenevento3821
16%
0.6
3384-51
3.1
74%
61%
29%
9.7
45%
4.1
61%
26.0
74%
12
4350.92.2
-
Italy: Serie A 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

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