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AC Milan vs Cagliari Result & Analysis

Date: 11/01/2025
Time: 19:45
Final 1-1
AC Milan
AC Milan
Vs
61%
24%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cagliari
Cagliari
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Milan win✗ Miss
60.8%
Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.33
Edge
-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.5%
Avg Implied 17.9% · @ 5.31
Edge
+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cagliari win✗ Miss
14.8%
Avg Implied 10.6% · @ 8.99
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W33D00D32W30W12L21W00D10W11DA·REA05/11A·CAG09/11H·JUV23/11A·SLO26/11H·EMP30/11A·ATA06/12H·FK 11/12H·GEN15/12A·HEL20/12H·AS 29/12
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.332.001.191.431.50
vs Stronger (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Similar (14)1.071.431.141.431.001.43
vs Weaker (15)2.271.272.671.001.671.67
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Cagliari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CagliariCagliari

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L12L33D22D10W01L01L12L03L21WH·BOL29/10A·LAZ04/11H·AC 09/11A·GEN24/11H·HEL29/11A·FIO08/12H·ATA14/12A·VEN22/12H·INT28/12A·MON05/01
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.771.251.751.071.79
vs Stronger (11)1.092.181.002.001.252.50
vs Similar (18)1.061.501.121.501.001.50
vs Weaker (1)4.002.004.002.00--
Clean sheet %10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.6%
@ 1.60-10.8%
Under 2.5
51.4%
@ 2.34+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.0%
No
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.3%
2-0
12.1%
1-1 ✓
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.7%
AC Milan goals ↓
Cagliari goals →
01234
08.4%4.7%2.3%0.6%0.1%
112%12%4.2%1.1%0.2%
212%9.6%3.8%1.0%0.2%
37.4%5.9%2.3%0.6%0.1%
43.4%2.7%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Milan goals (down), columns = Cagliari goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Napoli
2.16
Inter
2.13
Atalanta
1.95
Juventus
1.84
AS Roma
1.82
Fiorentina
1.71
Lazio
1.71
AC Milan
1.66
Bologna
1.63
Como
1.29
Udinese
1.16
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.13
Hellas Verona
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Parma
0.95
Lecce
0.89
Empoli
0.82
Venezia
0.76
Monza
0.47
AC Milan is 0.71 points better than Cagliari in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 0.95).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.08
Atalanta
2.05
Lazio
1.61
AC Milan
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.55
Juventus
1.53
Bologna
1.50
AS Roma
1.47
Como
1.29
Parma
1.16
Udinese
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Torino
1.03
Genoa
0.97
Hellas Verona
0.89
Empoli
0.87
Venezia
0.84
Monza
0.74
Lecce
0.71
AC Milan is 0.55 goals better than Cagliari in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.05).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Napoli
0.71
Inter
0.92
Juventus
0.92
AS Roma
0.92
Atalanta
0.97
Fiorentina
1.08
AC Milan
1.13
Torino
1.18
Bologna
1.24
Genoa
1.29
Lazio
1.29
Como
1.37
Udinese
1.47
Venezia
1.47
Cagliari
1.47
Lecce
1.53
Parma
1.53
Empoli
1.55
Hellas Verona
1.74
Monza
1.82
AC Milan is 0.34 goals better than Cagliari in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Inter
59%
Bologna
59%
Juventus
58%
Atalanta
55%
Lazio
55%
Como
55%
Napoli
55%
AC Milan
54%
AS Roma
54%
Fiorentina
51%
Monza
49%
Torino
47%
Udinese
47%
Genoa
46%
Venezia
45%
Cagliari
45%
Parma
44%
Lecce
44%
Empoli
41%
Hellas Verona
38%
AC Milan is 9.3 percentage points better than Cagliari in terms of average possession (54% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

For 5.4 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

130658392647738424365811111110710126913H·AS A·HELH·GENH·FK A·ATAH·EMPA·SLOH·JUVA·CAGA·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

80441123222234322248225247526H·AS A·HELH·GENH·FK A·ATAH·EMPA·SLOH·JUVA·CAGA·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.7 · Total 24.7

⚠️ Fouls

3001789211112171113141216121591211791125302328272827211820H·AS A·HELH·GENH·FK A·ATAH·EMPA·SLOH·JUVA·CAGA·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CagliariCagliari

For 5.3 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

1403157842546718663327241212710814959A·MONH·INTA·VENH·ATAA·FIOH·HELA·GENH·AC A·LAZH·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

1302321332312222103224253653421346A·MONA·VENH·ATAA·FIOH·HELA·GENH·AC A·LAZH·BOLA·UDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

3501916145116161020910127117111712171835191726292218182935A·MONH·INTA·VENH·ATAA·FIOH·HELA·GENH·AC A·LAZH·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.29.94.54.24.822.221.223.3
vs Stronger (1)13.0-13.06.0-6.020.0-20.0
vs Similar (24)8.98.39.65.04.55.522.522.023.2
vs Weaker (25)10.010.29.93.93.93.922.020.423.7
% over line52%50%54%60%58%62%46%38%54%
% under line48%50%46%40%42%38%54%62%46%
This opponent (Cagliari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CagliariCagliari

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.610.34.74.45.124.725.523.9
vs Stronger (18)9.29.19.44.53.85.423.425.121.4
vs Similar (30)11.111.710.64.84.94.825.525.725.3
vs Weaker (2)11.09.013.05.03.07.025.027.023.0
% over line52%46%58%64%65%62%74%77%71%
% under line48%54%42%36%35%38%26%23%29%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Empoli
10.8
Udinese
10.5
Cagliari
10.4
Parma
10.3
Lecce
10.0
Venezia
9.9
Lazio
9.7
Hellas Verona
9.7
AC Milan
9.6
Napoli
9.5
Inter
9.5
AS Roma
9.5
Genoa
9.4
Juventus
9.4
Como
9.2
Monza
9.2
Torino
9.1
Fiorentina
8.7
Bologna
8.6
Atalanta
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.9
Bologna
5.2
Parma
5.0
Fiorentina
4.9
Udinese
4.9
Cagliari
4.8
AS Roma
4.7
Como
4.7
Lecce
4.6
Hellas Verona
4.6
Monza
4.6
AC Milan
4.5
Venezia
4.5
Genoa
4.4
Torino
4.4
Juventus
4.1
Empoli
4.0
Napoli
4.0
Atalanta
3.4
Inter
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Empoli
27.8
Bologna
27.4
Como
27.3
Lecce
25.8
Hellas Verona
25.8
Monza
25.8
Fiorentina
25.7
Venezia
25.1
Lazio
25.0
Udinese
24.9
Cagliari
24.7
Torino
24.0
Genoa
24.0
Parma
23.8
AS Roma
23.8
Atalanta
23.6
Napoli
23.0
Inter
22.9
AC Milan
22.2
Juventus
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.5%
Under 9.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
67.6%
Under 3.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
64.2%
Under 21.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W21W00D11D20W11D10W00D00D11DA·REA05/11A·CAG09/11H·JUV23/11A·SLO26/11H·EMP30/11A·ATA06/12H·FK 11/12H·GEN15/12A·HEL20/12H·AS 29/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.631.120.500.640.79
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.500.790.570.860.430.71
vs Weaker (15)1.200.471.560.220.670.83
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Cagliari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CagliariCagliari

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D12L11D00D01L00D01L00D11DH·BOL29/10A·LAZ04/11H·AC 09/11A·GEN24/11H·HEL29/11A·FIO08/12H·ATA14/12A·VEN22/12H·INT28/12A·MON05/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.730.560.560.290.93
vs Stronger (11)0.450.730.570.570.251.00
vs Similar (18)0.330.780.380.620.300.90
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L00D21W10W01L11D00D10W00DA·REA05/11A·CAG09/11H·JUV23/11A·SLO26/11H·EMP30/11A·ATA06/12H·FK 11/12H·GEN15/12A·HEL20/12H·AS 29/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.700.880.690.790.71
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (14)0.570.640.570.570.570.71
vs Weaker (15)1.070.801.110.781.000.83
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Cagliari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CagliariCagliari

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L21W11D10W00D01L11D03L10WH·BOL29/10A·LAZ04/11H·AC 09/11A·GEN24/11H·HEL29/11A·FIO08/12H·ATA14/12A·VEN22/12H·INT28/12A·MON05/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.030.691.190.790.86
vs Stronger (11)0.641.450.431.431.001.50
vs Similar (18)0.720.720.750.880.700.60
vs Weaker (1)2.002.002.002.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards83.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls78.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners74.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christian Pulišić29%
Santiago Giménez26%
Álvaro Morata26%
Tijjani Reijnders25%
Rafael Leão22%
Tammy Abraham19%
Luka Jović18%
João Félix14%
Samuel Chukwueze11%
Theo Hernández9%
Davide Calabria8%
Noah Okafor6%
Strahinja Pavlović6%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Malick Thiaw3%
Youssouf Fofana2%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Yunus Musah0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Álvaro Morata35%
Ismaël Bennacer29%
Filippo Terracciano25%
Davide Calabria23%
Álex Jiménez23%
Fikayo Tomori21%
Emerson Royal21%
Warren Bondo20%
João Félix19%
Yunus Musah18%
Theo Hernández17%
Santiago Giménez16%
Rafael Leão14%
Matteo Gabbia14%
Youssouf Fofana14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek11%
Malick Thiaw10%
Strahinja Pavlović9%
Francesco Camarda7%
Christian Pulišić6%
Kyle Walker6%
Luka Jović6%
Tijjani Reijnders6%
Samuel Chukwueze6%
Mike Maignan4%
Tammy Abraham2%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Noah Okafor0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafael Leão20%
Christian Pulišić19%
Youssouf Fofana18%
Santiago Giménez16%
Ismaël Bennacer14%
Tammy Abraham14%
Noah Okafor12%
Theo Hernández9%
Samuel Chukwueze8%
Tijjani Reijnders8%
Álex Jiménez8%
Fikayo Tomori6%
Yunus Musah5%
Álvaro Morata4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek4%
Malick Thiaw3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
João Félix0%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Davide Calabria0%
Luka Jović0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Félix29%
Rafael Leão14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Álvaro Morata13%
Theo Hernández11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Christian Pulišić10%
Tammy Abraham7%
Youssouf Fofana4%
Álex Jiménez4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek4%
Matteo Gabbia3%
Samuel Chukwueze3%
Yunus Musah3%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Davide Calabria0%
Luka Jović0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Strahinja Pavlović0%
Noah Okafor0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Cagliari
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Roberto Piccoli28%
Nadir Zortea16%
Florinel Coman11%
Nicolas Viola11%
Răzvan Marin9%
Leonardo Pavoletti7%
Zito Luvumbo7%
Matteo Prati7%
Gianluca Gaetano7%
Gianluca Lapadula7%
Alessandro Deiola6%
José Luis Palomino5%
Adam Obert4%
Yerry Mina3%
Sebastiano Luperto3%
Michel Ndary Adopo3%
Gabriele Zappa2%
Alen Sherri0%
Elia Caprile0%
Tommaso Augello0%
Mattia Felici0%
Mateusz Wieteska0%
Simone Scuffet0%
Paulo Azzi0%
Antoine Makoumbou0%
Kingstone Mutandwa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Florinel Coman22%
Paulo Azzi22%
Alessandro Deiola22%
José Luis Palomino20%
Leonardo Pavoletti18%
Adam Obert17%
Yerry Mina16%
Roberto Piccoli15%
Mateusz Wieteska14%
Gabriele Zappa12%
Răzvan Marin11%
Sebastiano Luperto11%
Nicolas Viola11%
Michel Ndary Adopo11%
Antoine Makoumbou9%
Tommaso Augello7%
Zito Luvumbo7%
Matteo Prati7%
Gianluca Lapadula7%
Nadir Zortea5%
Mattia Felici5%
Gianluca Gaetano0%
Alen Sherri0%
Elia Caprile0%
Simone Scuffet0%
Kingstone Mutandwa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tommaso Augello20%
Mattia Felici14%
Gianluca Gaetano13%
Sebastiano Luperto11%
Antoine Makoumbou9%
Zito Luvumbo7%
Răzvan Marin6%
Nadir Zortea5%
Adam Obert4%
Nicolas Viola4%
Alessandro Deiola3%
Michel Ndary Adopo3%
Roberto Piccoli2%
Gabriele Zappa0%
Yerry Mina0%
Alen Sherri0%
José Luis Palomino0%
Leonardo Pavoletti0%
Elia Caprile0%
Gianluca Lapadula0%
Mateusz Wieteska0%
Florinel Coman0%
Simone Scuffet0%
Paulo Azzi0%
Matteo Prati0%
Kingstone Mutandwa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roberto Piccoli38%
Gianluca Lapadula27%
Gianluca Gaetano13%
Paulo Azzi11%
Leonardo Pavoletti7%
Nicolas Viola4%
Zito Luvumbo4%
Yerry Mina3%
Răzvan Marin3%
Sebastiano Luperto3%
Gabriele Zappa0%
Alen Sherri0%
José Luis Palomino0%
Michel Ndary Adopo0%
Alessandro Deiola0%
Elia Caprile0%
Tommaso Augello0%
Mattia Felici0%
Mateusz Wieteska0%
Florinel Coman0%
Simone Scuffet0%
Nadir Zortea0%
Antoine Makoumbou0%
Matteo Prati0%
Adam Obert0%
Kingstone Mutandwa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
AC Milan's squad is €451m more valuable than Cagliari's (€585m vs €134m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
AC Milan's attack is €172m more valuable than Cagliari's (€223m vs €51m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
AC Milan's midfield is €122m more valuable than Cagliari's (€153m vs €31m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
AC Milan's defence is €157m more valuable than Cagliari's (€209m vs €52m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
AM wins
2
Draws
0
CAG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AC Milan vs Cagliari · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/24ACagliari Vs AM3-3
11/05/24HAM Vs Cagliari5-1
27/09/23ACagliari Vs AM1-3
19/03/22ACagliari Vs AM0-1
29/08/21HAM Vs Cagliari4-1
16/05/21HAM Vs Cagliari0-0
18/01/21ACagliari Vs AM0-2
01/08/20HAM Vs Cagliari3-0

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/12/24HAM Vs AS Roma1-1
20/12/24AHellas Verona Vs AM0-1
15/12/24HAM Vs Genoa0-0
11/12/24HAM Vs FK Crvena Zvezda2-1
06/12/24AAtalanta Vs AM2-1
30/11/24HAM Vs Empoli3-0
26/11/24ASlovan Bratislava Vs AM2-3
23/11/24HAM Vs Juventus0-0
09/11/24ACagliari Vs AM3-3
05/11/24AReal Madrid Vs AM1-3

CagliariCagliari

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/01/25AMonza Vs CAG1-2
28/12/24HCAG Vs Inter0-3
22/12/24AVenezia Vs CAG2-1
14/12/24HCAG Vs Atalanta0-1
08/12/24AFiorentina Vs CAG1-0
29/11/24HCAG Vs Hellas Verona1-0
24/11/24AGenoa Vs CAG2-2
09/11/24HCAG Vs AC Milan3-3
04/11/24ALazio Vs CAG2-1
29/10/24HCAG Vs Bologna0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWD1.80
HomeDWWDD1.92
AwayWDWLW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%54%50%
AVG goals3.202.963.46
Over 1.5 %76%73%79%
Over 2.5 %70%62%79%
Over 3.5 %44%38%50%
Scored1.921.961.88
Conceded1.281.001.58
BTTS62%50%75%
Clean Sheet32%42%21%
Corners9.569.239.92
Cards4.484.234.75
Cagliari
Cagliari
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.02
HomeLDWLL1.27
AwayLDLLW0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%31%17%
AVG goals2.923.082.75
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %56%58%54%
Over 3.5 %32%35%29%
Scored1.161.350.96
Conceded1.761.731.79
BTTS64%69%58%
Clean Sheet10%12%8%
Corners10.4410.5810.29
Cards4.824.565.08

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NapoliNapoli3882
63%
2.2
5927+32
2.3
71%
45%
16%
9.4
50%
3.2
41%
23.3
66%
459
2061011521.60.7
55%
2InterInter3881
63%
2.1
7935+44
3.0
79%
55%
39%
9.5
43%
3.3
44%
22.5
49%
694
2202322422.10.9
59%
3AtalantaAtalanta3874
58%
1.9
7837+41
3.0
82%
55%
39%
8.4
24%
3.4
36%
22.4
55%
438
1581281532.11.0
55%
4JuventusJuventus3870
47%
1.8
5835+23
2.4
76%
42%
21%
9.5
53%
3.8
58%
22.9
71%
569
2401401891.50.9
58%
5AS RomaAS Roma3869
53%
1.8
5635+21
2.4
66%
39%
24%
8.5
39%
4.3
59%
24.0
68%
471
1381182151.50.9
54%
6FiorentinaFiorentina3865
50%
1.7
6041+19
2.7
71%
61%
24%
8.0
30%
4.9
81%
27.2
86%
330
125107981.61.1
51%
7LazioLazio3865
47%
1.7
6149+12
2.9
82%
61%
29%
10.4
50%
6.2
92%
24.5
76%
240
6086931.61.3
55%
8AC MilanAC Milan3863
47%
1.7
6143+18
2.7
82%
61%
26%
9.9
53%
4.1
50%
22.7
50%
585
2231532091.61.1
54%
9BolognaBologna3862
42%
1.6
5747+10
2.7
82%
53%
34%
8.2
34%
4.4
70%
31.0
97%
218
10434791.51.2
59%
10ComoComo3849
34%
1.3
4952-3
2.7
84%
45%
24%
8.3
39%
5.1
74%
27.6
95%
488
261831441.31.4
55%
11TorinoTorino3844
26%
1.2
3945-6
2.2
68%
26%
21%
9.3
50%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
144
4346541.01.2
47%
12UdineseUdinese3844
32%
1.2
4156-15
2.6
74%
50%
24%
10.0
61%
4.3
65%
24.9
76%
157
4639721.11.5
47%
13GenoaGenoa3843
26%
1.1
3749-12
2.3
68%
39%
21%
9.4
42%
4.1
64%
25.7
79%
182
5444841.01.3
46%
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3837
26%
1.0
3466-32
2.6
68%
47%
26%
9.3
47%
4.4
65%
25.1
66%
57
1314300.91.7
38%
15ParmaParma3836
18%
0.9
4458-14
2.7
71%
55%
39%
10.3
68%
4.4
55%
23.4
61%
142
3560461.21.5
44%
16CagliariCagliari3836
24%
0.9
4056-16
2.5
76%
50%
21%
9.8
50%
3.8
53%
24.3
66%
134
5131521.11.5
45%
17LecceLecce3834
21%
0.9
2758-31
2.2
58%
39%
24%
10.4
47%
4.1
61%
24.2
68%
72
2016370.71.5
44%
18EmpoliEmpoli3831
16%
0.8
3359-26
2.4
74%
47%
21%
9.6
50%
3.9
46%
27.8
84%
20
11640.91.6
41%
19VeneziaVenezia3829
13%
0.8
3256-24
2.3
68%
42%
24%
9.6
47%
3.9
45%
26.3
79%
117
3931470.81.5
45%
20MonzaMonza3818
8%
0.5
2869-41
2.6
79%
50%
24%
8.7
45%
4.2
58%
28.3
84%
70
2624200.71.8
49%
Italy: Serie A 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches