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AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Stats

Date: 20/09/2026
Time: 18:45
AC Milan
AC Milan
Vs
57%
27%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lecce
Lecce
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

AC Milan are tipped to win as the model’s pick, with a 56 % chance of a home victory, 27 % for a draw and 17 % for a Lecce win. The match is expected to see about 2.4 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 27 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Milan, with a 13.1 % chance. Milan’s home form against weaker opposition shows an average of 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded, while Lecce, playing away against stronger teams, averages 0.43 scored and 1.57 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7 %), Under 6.5 (99.0 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.9 %), Under 5.5 (96.8 %), Away under 2.5 goals (94.6 %), Home under 3.5 goals (93.4 %), Home +2 handicap (93.3 %) and Under 4.5 (91.1 %). Milan’s recent win over Torino and Lecce’s three-game winning streak set the tone for a tight contest.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Milan win
57.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lecce win
16.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L10W00D02L23L21W12L21W20WA·NAP06/04H·UDI11/04A·HEL19/04H·JUV26/04A·SAS03/05H·ATA10/05A·GEN17/05H·CAG24/05A·TOR23/08H·VEN28/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.971.291.071.500.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.000.821.000.801.000.83
vs Weaker (19)1.631.051.441.221.800.90
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LecceLecce

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L02L11D00D21W01L32W10W20W04LH·ATA06/04A·BOL12/04H·FIO20/04A·HEL25/04A·PIS01/05H·JUV09/05A·SAS17/05H·GEN24/05A·VEN23/08H·AS 31/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.330.671.400.801.27
vs Stronger (15)0.271.800.122.000.431.57
vs Similar (15)1.200.871.290.711.121.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%020%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.7%
Under 1.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.3%
Under 2.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.6%
Under 3.5
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
43.6%
No
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
12.2%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.0%
AC Milan goals ↓
Lecce goals →
01234
010%5.9%2.6%0.7%0.1%
114%13%4.3%1.1%0.2%
212%9.2%3.5%0.9%0.2%
36.6%5.0%1.9%0.5%0.1%
42.7%2.0%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Milan goals (down), columns = Lecce goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Venezia
1.12
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Frosinone
1.03
Monza
1.01
Lecce
1.00
AC Milan is 0.84 points better than Lecce in terms of average points per game (1.84 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Lazio
1.08
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Venezia
1.00
Frosinone
0.91
Monza
0.90
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
AC Milan is 0.66 goals better than Lecce in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 0.74).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
AC Milan
0.92
Inter
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Parma
1.21
Bologna
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Venezia
1.48
Frosinone
1.62
Monza
1.64
Torino
1.66
AC Milan is 0.39 goals better than Lecce in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
AC Milan is 10.2 percentage points better than Lecce in terms of average possession (52% vs 42%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

For 2.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.2

🚩 Corners

1002242554422321316433446108454777H·VENA·TORH·CAGA·GENH·ATAA·SASH·JUVA·HELH·UDIA·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

90131223233542321124145695222H·VENA·TORH·CAGA·GENH·ATAA·SASH·JUVA·HELH·UDIA·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 11.3 · Total 21.4

⚠️ Fouls

3208119108919881716161286139146719191727253220192313H·VENA·TORH·CAGA·GENH·ATAA·SASH·JUVA·HELH·UDIA·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LecceLecce

For 3.3 · Against 4.4 · Total 7.7

🚩 Corners

14021351682171642526825387108767147H·AS A·VENH·GENA·SASH·JUVA·PISA·HELH·FIOA·BOLH·ATA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

70113124111245224222425267622H·AS A·VENH·GENA·SASH·JUVA·PISA·HELH·FIOA·BOLH·ATA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.4

⚠️ Fouls

34098128116137718131519158131915101817201720252834213428H·AS A·VENH·GENA·SASH·JUVA·PISA·HELH·FIOA·BOLH·ATA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.58.48.53.33.43.221.821.921.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (21)8.26.99.43.64.13.121.221.920.6
vs Weaker (29)8.69.37.93.23.03.422.221.922.5
% over line41%45%36%52%62%42%55%50%59%
% under line59%55%64%48%38%58%45%50%41%
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LecceLecce

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.88.611.03.53.83.225.626.225.1
vs Stronger (24)9.87.811.93.13.52.722.923.722.2
vs Similar (26)9.89.410.13.84.13.628.428.828.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line56%38%75%46%48%44%67%71%62%
% under line44%62%25%54%52%56%33%29%38%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Frosinone
10.2
Lecce
9.8
Juventus
9.7
Inter
9.3
Bologna
9.3
Atalanta
9.2
Udinese
9.2
Venezia
9.0
Monza
9.0
Cagliari
9.0
Fiorentina
8.9
Sassuolo
8.8
Lazio
8.7
AS Roma
8.6
AC Milan
8.6
Genoa
8.6
Parma
8.5
Torino
8.4
Napoli
8.4
Como
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.3
Fiorentina
4.9
Frosinone
4.8
Como
4.5
Genoa
4.4
Sassuolo
4.4
Monza
4.3
Venezia
4.3
AS Roma
4.2
Bologna
4.0
Cagliari
3.9
Parma
3.8
Lecce
3.8
AC Milan
3.7
Udinese
3.7
Juventus
3.7
Atalanta
3.6
Napoli
3.4
Torino
3.4
Inter
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Frosinone
30.3
Venezia
29.6
Bologna
28.4
Fiorentina
28.3
AS Roma
28.0
Genoa
27.1
Monza
27.0
Cagliari
26.8
Como
26.1
Lecce
25.4
Udinese
25.1
Lazio
24.9
Sassuolo
24.6
Parma
24.4
Torino
24.2
Inter
23.9
Juventus
23.5
Napoli
23.3
Atalanta
22.0
AC Milan
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.4%
Under 9.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.8%
Under 3.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.5%
Under 21.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
AC Milan or Draw
79.7%
Avg Implied -
57%
27%
16%
covers AC Milan + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AC Milan or Lecce
70.8%
Avg Implied -
57%
27%
16%
covers AC Milan + Lecce
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Lecce
49.5%
Avg Implied -
57%
27%
16%
covers Draw + Lecce
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
AC Milan over/under 0.5
Over
76.6%
Under
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5
Over
42.7%
Under
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5
Over
18.0%
Under
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 3.5
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 0.5
Over
56.6%
Under
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5
Over
20.4%
Under
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 3.5
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to AC Milan, so a minus line means AC Milan give that many goals of a start and Lecce receive them. At -1, AC Milan must win by two or more to land; a one-goal AC Milan win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (AC Milan)
AC Milan -2
10.2%
Draw -2
15.8%
Lecce +2
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (AC Milan)
AC Milan -1
26.0%
Draw -1
24.5%
Lecce +1
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (AC Milan)
AC Milan +1
79.7%
Draw +1
13.5%
Lecce -1
6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (AC Milan)
AC Milan +2
93.2%
Draw +2
5.2%
Lecce -2
1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W00D01L02L00D11D00D00DA·NAP06/04H·UDI11/04A·HEL19/04H·JUV26/04A·SAS03/05H·ATA10/05A·GEN17/05H·CAG24/05A·TOR23/08H·VEN28/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.500.360.640.500.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.180.450.200.600.170.33
vs Weaker (19)0.580.530.440.670.700.40
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LecceLecce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L01L00D00D01L21W10W00D03LH·ATA06/04A·BOL12/04H·FIO20/04A·HEL25/04A·PIS01/05H·JUV09/05A·SAS17/05H·GEN24/05A·VEN23/08H·AS 31/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.530.470.600.330.47
vs Stronger (15)0.200.800.001.000.430.57
vs Similar (15)0.600.271.000.140.250.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D00D01L21W21W01L21W20WA·NAP06/04H·UDI11/04A·HEL19/04H·JUV26/04A·SAS03/05H·ATA10/05A·GEN17/05H·CAG24/05A·TOR23/08H·VEN28/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.470.930.431.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.820.360.800.200.830.50
vs Weaker (19)1.050.531.000.561.100.50
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LecceLecce

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L10W00D21W00D11D00D20W01LH·ATA06/04A·BOL12/04H·FIO20/04A·HEL25/04A·PIS01/05H·JUV09/05A·SAS17/05H·GEN24/05A·VEN23/08H·AS 31/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.800.200.800.470.80
vs Stronger (15)0.071.000.121.000.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.600.600.290.570.880.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.7%-------
Under 6.599.1%-------
Away under 3.5 goals99.0%-------
Under 5.597.1%-------
Away under 2.5 goals94.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.0%-------
Home +2 handicap93.2%-------
Under 4.591.8%-------
Home under 2.5 goals82.0%-------
Under 5.5 cards81.4%-------
Under 11.5 corners80.9%-------
Home or Draw79.7%-------
Home +1 handicap79.7%-------
Away under 1.5 goals79.6%-------
Under 3.578.4%-------
Over 19.5 fouls78.1%-------
Home over 0.5 goals76.6%-------
Away +2 handicap74.0%-------
Over 2.5 cards73.2%-------
Under 10.5 corners71.4%-------
Home or Away70.8%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

AC Milan · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafael Leão29%
Christian Pulišić24%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Strahinja Pavlović14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Alexis Saelemaekers8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Youssouf Fofana6%
Luka Modrić6%
Santiago Giménez6%
Niclas Füllkrug5%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Samuele Ricci3%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pervis Estupiñán29%
Fikayo Tomori19%
Strahinja Pavlović16%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Rafael Leão16%
Alexis Saelemaekers13%
Matteo Gabbia13%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Luka Modrić11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Zachary Athekame11%
Mike Maignan10%
Davide Bartesaghi9%
Koni De Winter7%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek6%
Christian Pulišić0%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christian Pulišić12%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Alexis Saelemaekers11%
Rafael Leão10%
Christopher Nkunku9%
Luka Modrić8%
Fikayo Tomori8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Ardon Jashari6%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafael Leão26%
Christian Pulišić21%
Santiago Giménez17%
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christopher Nkunku12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Ardon Jashari6%
Alexis Saelemaekers5%
Samuele Ricci3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Luka Modrić0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Koni De Winter0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
David Odogu0%
Zachary Athekame0%
Lecce
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Olaf Gorter33%
Tiago Gabriel33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Lassana Coulibaly0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lassana Coulibaly33%
Danilo Veiga33%
Kialonda Gaspar33%
Oumar Ngom33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lassana Coulibaly33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Willem Geubbels33%
Nikola Štulić33%
Lassana Coulibaly0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
AC Milan's squad is €513m more valuable than Lecce's (€585m vs €72m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
AC Milan's attack is €203m more valuable than Lecce's (€223m vs €20m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
AC Milan's midfield is €138m more valuable than Lecce's (€153m vs €16m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
FRO (14)
€24m
MON (11)
€20m
AC Milan's defence is €172m more valuable than Lecce's (€209m vs €37m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
AM wins
2
Draws
0
LEC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AC Milan vs Lecce · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
18/01/26HAM Vs Lecce1-0
29/08/25ALecce Vs AM0-2
08/03/25ALecce Vs AM2-3
27/09/24HAM Vs Lecce3-0
06/04/24HAM Vs Lecce3-0
11/11/23ALecce Vs AM2-2
23/04/23HAM Vs Lecce2-0
14/01/23ALecce Vs AM2-2

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HAM Vs Venezia2-0
23/08/26ATorino Vs AM1-2
24/05/26HAM Vs Cagliari1-2
17/05/26AGenoa Vs AM1-2
10/05/26HAM Vs Atalanta2-3
03/05/26ASassuolo Vs AM2-0
26/04/26HAM Vs Juventus0-0
19/04/26AHellas Verona Vs AM0-1
11/04/26HAM Vs Udinese0-3
06/04/26ANapoli Vs AM1-0

LecceLecce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HLEC Vs AS Roma0-4
23/08/26AVenezia Vs LEC0-2
24/05/26HLEC Vs Genoa1-0
17/05/26ASassuolo Vs LEC2-3
09/05/26HLEC Vs Juventus0-1
01/05/26APisa Vs LEC1-2
25/04/26AHellas Verona Vs LEC0-0
20/04/26HLEC Vs Fiorentina1-1
12/04/26ABologna Vs LEC2-0
06/04/26HLEC Vs Atalanta0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.90
HomeLDLLW1.80
AwayLWLWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%52%60%
AVG goals2.462.482.44
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.521.441.60
Conceded0.941.040.84
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet38%36%40%
Corners8.608.528.68
Cards3.744.163.32
Lecce
Lecce
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.00
HomeLDLWL0.96
AwayLDWWW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%24%28%
AVG goals2.061.962.16
Over 1.5 %62%60%64%
Over 2.5 %36%40%32%
Over 3.5 %12%8%16%
Scored0.740.600.88
Conceded1.321.361.28
BTTS38%32%44%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners9.768.7210.80
Cards3.793.923.65

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AS RomaAS Roma26
100%
3.0
80+8
4.0
100%
100%
100%
4.0
0%
3.0
50%
21.0
50%
471
1381182154.00.0
56%
2InterInter26
100%
3.0
51+4
3.0
50%
50%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
15.0
0%
694
2202322422.50.5
60%
3AC MilanAC Milan26
100%
3.0
41+3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
5.0
0%
2.5
50%
19.0
0%
585
2231532092.00.5
52%
4JuventusJuventus26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
13.5
100%
4.0
100%
33.5
100%
569
2401401891.50.0
58%
5AtalantaAtalanta26
100%
3.0
31+2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
5.5
0%
1.0
0%
21.0
50%
438
1581281531.50.5
55%
6LazioLazio26
100%
3.0
20+2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
10.0
50%
4.5
50%
30.0
100%
240
6086931.00.0
50%
7UdineseUdinese24
50%
2.0
43+1
3.5
100%
50%
50%
8.5
50%
2.0
0%
23.0
100%
157
4639722.01.5
46%
8ComoComo24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.0
50%
2.0
0%
19.0
50%
488
261831441.51.0
62%
9FrosinoneFrosinone23
50%
1.5
31+2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
14.0
100%
5.0
100%
34.0
100%
84
3427241.50.5
-
10NapoliNapoli23
50%
1.5
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
8.0
0%
1.0
0%
14.0
0%
459
2061011521.51.0
59%
11SassuoloSassuolo23
50%
1.5
33+0
3.0
100%
100%
0%
7.5
0%
4.0
100%
20.0
0%
194
9053521.51.5
46%
12CagliariCagliari23
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
8.0
50%
2.5
0%
14.0
0%
134
5131520.50.5
46%
13LecceLecce23
50%
1.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
5.5
0%
3.0
50%
18.5
0%
72
2016371.02.0
42%
14TorinoTorino20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
6.5
0%
2.5
50%
20.0
0%
144
4346541.02.0
44%
15BolognaBologna20
0%
0.0
02-2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
8.5
50%
4.5
50%
30.0
100%
218
10434790.01.0
55%
16ParmaParma20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.0
50%
3.0
50%
25.5
50%
142
3560460.01.5
44%
17GenoaGenoa20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
6.5
0%
1.0
0%
18.5
50%
182
5444840.01.5
49%
18MonzaMonza20
0%
0.0
37-4
5.0
100%
100%
100%
6.0
0%
2.5
50%
20.5
50%
70
2624201.53.5
-
19VeneziaVenezia20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
100%
0%
0%
6.0
0%
4.0
100%
19.5
0%
117
3931470.02.0
-
20FiorentinaFiorentina20
0%
0.0
07-7
3.5
100%
100%
50%
9.0
50%
5.0
100%
30.0
100%
330
125107980.03.5
51%
Italy: Serie A 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

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