This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.27
1.19
1.44
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.81
1.29
0.64
1.27
1.00
1.30
vs Weaker (8)
1.88
1.12
2.40
1.80
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Adanaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.7%
Under 1.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.3%
Under 2.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.4%
Under 3.5
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
10.3%
1-0 ✓
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.6%
Adanaspor goals ↓
Erzurumspor FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
10%
7.6%
3.3%
1.1%
1
8.7%
14%
8.4%
3.6%
1.2%
2
5.6%
7.2%
4.7%
2.0%
0.7%
3
2.1%
2.7%
1.7%
0.8%
0.2%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Adanaspor goals (down), columns = Erzurumspor FK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Eyüpspor
2.21
Göztepe
2.06
Sakaryaspor
1.74
Bodrum FK
1.66
Çorum FK
1.65
Kocaelispor
1.57
Boluspor
1.51
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.50
Bandırmaspor
1.47
Erzurumspor FK
1.38
Ümraniyespor
1.26
Keçiörengücü
1.18
Manisa F.K.
1.18
Adanaspor
1.15
Beykoz Anadolu
1.12
Şanlıurfaspor
1.12
Altay
0.56
Giresunspor
0.29
Adanaspor is 0.24 points worse than Erzurumspor FK in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eyüpspor
2.26
Göztepe
1.76
Çorum FK
1.57
Sakaryaspor
1.46
Bandırmaspor
1.44
Kocaelispor
1.40
Bodrum FK
1.24
Ümraniyespor
1.18
Manisa F.K.
1.18
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.15
Beykoz Anadolu
1.03
Keçiörengücü
1.00
Boluspor
0.94
Şanlıurfaspor
0.94
Erzurumspor FK
0.88
Adanaspor
0.82
Giresunspor
0.47
Altay
0.47
Adanaspor is 0.06 goals worse than Erzurumspor FK in terms of goals scored per game (0.82 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Göztepe
0.59
Bodrum FK
0.63
Eyüpspor
0.91
Bandırmaspor
0.94
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
1.00
Çorum FK
1.03
Sakaryaspor
1.03
Boluspor
1.06
Şanlıurfaspor
1.09
Manisa F.K.
1.18
Kocaelispor
1.23
Keçiörengücü
1.26
Adanaspor
1.32
Beykoz Anadolu
1.38
Ümraniyespor
1.38
Giresunspor
2.09
Altay
2.24
Adanaspor is 0.32 goals worse than Erzurumspor FK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Eyüpspor
64%
Manisa F.K.
54%
Kocaelispor
54%
Sakaryaspor
54%
Ümraniyespor
54%
Çorum FK
52%
Bandırmaspor
52%
Göztepe
51%
Boluspor
50%
Beykoz Anadolu
49%
Şanlıurfaspor
48%
Keçiörengücü
48%
Bodrum FK
47%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
47%
Erzurumspor FK
45%
Altay
44%
Adanaspor
44%
Giresunspor
41%
Adanaspor is 1.0 percentage points worse than Erzurumspor FK in terms of average possession (44% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Adanaspor
For 4.2 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 15.0 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Erzurumspor FK
For 2.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.7 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Adanaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
7.0
9.4
2.2
2.0
2.4
25.5
25.6
25.5
vs Stronger (32)
6.3
5.3
7.3
1.4
1.1
1.8
25.2
24.7
25.7
vs Similar (18)
10.0
8.7
11.1
3.6
3.9
3.4
25.8
26.5
25.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
32%
25%
38%
32%
25%
38%
68%
75%
62%
% under line
68%
75%
62%
68%
75%
62%
32%
25%
38%
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.2
9.0
4.1
4.0
4.2
27.5
26.3
28.5
vs Stronger (5)
10.0
9.7
10.5
6.2
7.0
5.0
30.8
28.0
35.0
vs Similar (29)
8.1
6.8
9.1
4.3
3.9
4.7
27.8
27.0
28.4
vs Weaker (16)
9.1
9.9
8.3
3.0
3.0
3.0
25.6
24.3
27.0
% over line
41%
36%
46%
54%
52%
56%
87%
77%
96%
% under line
59%
64%
54%
46%
48%
44%
13%
23%
4%
This opponent (Adanaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Şanlıurfaspor
10.0
Giresunspor
9.7
Boluspor
9.4
Ümraniyespor
9.2
Altay
8.9
Sakaryaspor
8.8
Eyüpspor
8.7
Erzurumspor FK
8.7
Manisa F.K.
8.7
Göztepe
8.7
Beykoz Anadolu
8.7
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
8.6
Keçiörengücü
8.5
Adanaspor
8.2
Bandırmaspor
8.1
Kocaelispor
8.0
Bodrum FK
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sakaryaspor
5.3
Bandırmaspor
5.3
Ümraniyespor
5.0
Keçiörengücü
4.9
Bodrum FK
4.9
Adanaspor
4.8
Manisa F.K.
4.7
Boluspor
4.5
Kocaelispor
4.5
Beykoz Anadolu
4.4
Erzurumspor FK
4.4
Göztepe
4.3
Altay
4.3
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.3
Eyüpspor
4.2
Giresunspor
3.8
Şanlıurfaspor
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bodrum FK
28.7
Kocaelispor
27.8
Boluspor
27.6
Beykoz Anadolu
27.5
Erzurumspor FK
27.4
Bandırmaspor
27.4
Sakaryaspor
27.1
Manisa F.K.
26.7
Eyüpspor
26.7
Altay
26.3
Keçiörengücü
26.0
Ümraniyespor
25.8
Adanaspor
25.5
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
24.9
Göztepe
24.0
Giresunspor
23.5
Şanlıurfaspor
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
30.8%
Under 9.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
66.3%
Under 3.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
82.1%
Under 21.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Adanaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (16)
0.75
1.00
0.88
1.00
0.62
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.71
0.43
1.17
1.00
0.38
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.47
0.50
0.50
0.36
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.24
0.43
0.18
0.36
0.30
0.50
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.50
1.20
0.80
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Adanaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Adanaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Adanaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.50
0.64
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (16)
0.75
0.94
0.62
0.62
0.88
1.25
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.71
0.33
0.67
0.38
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.69
0.94
0.64
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.86
0.45
0.91
0.70
0.80
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.62
1.20
1.00
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Adanaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Adanaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Adanaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Junior Fernandes26%
Samuel Yepie Yepie13%
Dimitri Oberlin12%
Abdoulaye Dabo10%
Fatih Kurucuk10%
Burhan Tuzun8%
Mehmet Taş8%
Hakki Türker5%
Metehan Altunbaş4%
Mehmet Feyzi Yıldırım4%
Serhat Kot0%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Joe Champness0%
Samuel Tetteh0%
Amadou Ciss0%
Evren Korkmaz0%
Arda Akbulut0%
Ferhat Kaplan0%
Harun Alpsoy0%
Rashad Muhammed0%
Eric Ayuk0%
Kubilay Aktaş0%
Hüseyin Öztürk0%
Ahmet Said Kıvanç0%
Ferhat Katipoglu0%
Mutlu Aksu Dogan0%
Muhammet Enes Gok0%
Check Oumar Diakité0%
Devran Şenyurt0%
Cem Guzelbay0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Evren Korkmaz36%
Cem Guzelbay33%
Fatih Kurucuk29%
Muhammet Enes Gok25%
Kubilay Aktaş24%
Abdoulaye Dabo23%
Ferhat Kaplan20%
Metehan Altunbaş20%
Amadou Ciss17%
Dimitri Oberlin15%
Mehmet Taş15%
Ferhat Katipoglu15%
Check Oumar Diakité15%
Jordan Lukaku14%
Harun Alpsoy14%
Mehmet Feyzi Yıldırım14%
Junior Fernandes11%
Hakki Türker11%
Devran Şenyurt10%
Hüseyin Öztürk10%
Samuel Yepie Yepie7%
Serhat Kot0%
Joe Champness0%
Samuel Tetteh0%
Arda Akbulut0%
Rashad Muhammed0%
Eric Ayuk0%
Ahmet Said Kıvanç0%
Mutlu Aksu Dogan0%
Burhan Tuzun0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Burhan Tuzun8%
Mehmet Taş8%
Ferhat Katipoglu8%
Junior Fernandes7%
Check Oumar Diakité7%
Samuel Yepie Yepie7%
Hakki Türker5%
Hüseyin Öztürk5%
Kubilay Aktaş4%
Abdoulaye Dabo3%
Fatih Kurucuk3%
Serhat Kot0%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Joe Champness0%
Samuel Tetteh0%
Dimitri Oberlin0%
Amadou Ciss0%
Evren Korkmaz0%
Arda Akbulut0%
Ferhat Kaplan0%
Harun Alpsoy0%
Rashad Muhammed0%
Eric Ayuk0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Mehmet Feyzi Yıldırım0%
Ahmet Said Kıvanç0%
Mutlu Aksu Dogan0%
Muhammet Enes Gok0%
Devran Şenyurt0%
Cem Guzelbay0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Junior Fernandes26%
Hakki Türker16%
Abdoulaye Dabo10%
Dimitri Oberlin8%
Mehmet Feyzi Yıldırım7%
Serhat Kot0%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Joe Champness0%
Samuel Tetteh0%
Amadou Ciss0%
Evren Korkmaz0%
Arda Akbulut0%
Ferhat Kaplan0%
Harun Alpsoy0%
Rashad Muhammed0%
Eric Ayuk0%
Kubilay Aktaş0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Mehmet Taş0%
Fatih Kurucuk0%
Hüseyin Öztürk0%
Ahmet Said Kıvanç0%
Ferhat Katipoglu0%
Mutlu Aksu Dogan0%
Samuel Yepie Yepie0%
Muhammet Enes Gok0%
Check Oumar Diakité0%
Devran Şenyurt0%
Burhan Tuzun0%
Cem Guzelbay0%
Erzurumspor FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eren Tozlu29%
Mustafa Yumlu13%
Muhammed Furkan Özhan13%
Celal Hanalp10%
Mikhael Rosheuvel10%
Yakup Kirtay5%
Ozgur Sert3%
Herolind Shala0%
Estrela0%
Batuhan Artarslan0%
Mustafa Akbaş0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Sefa Akgün0%
Alican Özfesli0%
Süleyman Koç0%
Ufuk Budak0%
Fırat Sasi0%
Muhammed Yavas0%
Hüseyin Mevlütoglu0%
Mustafa Varlik0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mustafa Yumlu39%
Eren Tozlu29%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş19%
Estrela17%
Sefa Akgün16%
Celal Hanalp13%
Süleyman Koç13%
Orhan Ovacıklı12%
Herolind Shala11%
Ufuk Budak11%
Batuhan Artarslan9%
Mustafa Akbaş9%
Alican Özfesli8%
Muhammed Yavas7%
Mikhael Rosheuvel6%
Muhammed Furkan Özhan6%
Yakup Kirtay5%
Ozgur Sert3%
Fırat Sasi0%
Hüseyin Mevlütoglu0%
Mustafa Varlik0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alican Özfesli8%
Celal Hanalp7%
Mustafa Yumlu6%
Mikhael Rosheuvel6%
Eren Tozlu6%
Sefa Akgün6%
Yakup Kirtay5%
Mustafa Akbaş4%
Süleyman Koç4%
Orhan Ovacıklı3%
Herolind Shala0%
Estrela0%
Batuhan Artarslan0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Ufuk Budak0%
Muhammed Furkan Özhan0%
Fırat Sasi0%
Ozgur Sert0%
Muhammed Yavas0%
Hüseyin Mevlütoglu0%
Mustafa Varlik0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eren Tozlu45%
Mustafa Yumlu13%
Celal Hanalp3%
Mikhael Rosheuvel3%
Muhammed Furkan Özhan3%
Sefa Akgün3%
Ozgur Sert3%
Herolind Shala0%
Estrela0%
Batuhan Artarslan0%
Mustafa Akbaş0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Alican Özfesli0%
Süleyman Koç0%
Ufuk Budak0%
Fırat Sasi0%
Muhammed Yavas0%
Hüseyin Mevlütoglu0%
Yakup Kirtay0%
Mustafa Varlik0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Turkey: 1. Lig 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →