This opponent (Yeni Malatyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yeni Malatyaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.80
0.60
1.93
0.87
1.67
vs Stronger (22)
0.77
2.18
0.64
2.45
0.91
1.91
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Adanaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.8%
Under 1.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.1%
Under 2.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.7%
Under 3.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.0%
No
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.2%
2-2 ✓
6.0%
0-1
5.4%
Adanaspor goals ↓
Yeni Malatyaspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
5.4%
4.1%
1.7%
0.6%
1
7.6%
12%
7.0%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.4%
9.4%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
3
4.2%
5.3%
3.4%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.8%
2.3%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Adanaspor goals (down), columns = Yeni Malatyaspor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Samsunspor
2.12
Rizespor
1.86
Pendikspor
1.83
Eyüpspor
1.71
Bodrum FK
1.70
Sakaryaspor
1.60
Göztepe
1.59
Keçiörengücü
1.47
Manisa F.K.
1.47
Bandırmaspor
1.44
Boluspor
1.35
Altay
1.18
Adanaspor
1.14
Erzurumspor FK
1.06
Beykoz Anadolu
1.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.94
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.86
Altınordu
0.85
Denizlispor
0.59
Adanaspor is 0.27 points better than Yeni Malatyaspor in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 0.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Samsunspor
1.88
Rizespor
1.74
Pendikspor
1.74
Keçiörengücü
1.56
Bodrum FK
1.52
Sakaryaspor
1.51
Adanaspor
1.45
Bandırmaspor
1.44
Manisa F.K.
1.38
Altay
1.24
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.18
Göztepe
1.18
Boluspor
1.12
Beykoz Anadolu
1.11
Erzurumspor FK
1.09
Altınordu
1.03
Eyüpspor
1.03
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.00
Denizlispor
0.85
Adanaspor is 0.45 goals better than Yeni Malatyaspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Samsunspor
0.76
Eyüpspor
0.84
Göztepe
0.91
Bodrum FK
0.95
Rizespor
1.00
Pendikspor
1.06
Altay
1.32
Boluspor
1.35
Sakaryaspor
1.37
Keçiörengücü
1.38
Manisa F.K.
1.38
Erzurumspor FK
1.41
Beykoz Anadolu
1.49
Adanaspor
1.55
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.62
Altınordu
1.68
Bandırmaspor
1.71
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.77
Denizlispor
1.97
Adanaspor is 0.23 goals better than Yeni Malatyaspor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.77).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pendikspor
64%
Eyüpspor
56%
Adanaspor
54%
Manisa F.K.
53%
Altınordu
53%
Rizespor
53%
Sakaryaspor
53%
Samsunspor
51%
Bandırmaspor
51%
Keçiörengücü
50%
Boluspor
49%
Beykoz Anadolu
49%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
47%
Denizlispor
46%
Göztepe
46%
Bodrum FK
45%
Erzurumspor FK
45%
Altay
45%
Yeni Malatyaspor
44%
Adanaspor is 9.3 percentage points better than Yeni Malatyaspor in terms of average possession (54% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Adanaspor
For 4.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Yeni Malatyaspor
For 5.2 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.7 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Adanaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
7.1
9.0
1.5
1.2
1.8
25.7
25.2
26.1
vs Stronger (36)
6.7
5.8
7.3
1.1
0.6
1.5
24.4
22.5
25.7
vs Similar (14)
10.0
8.5
11.5
2.6
2.7
2.4
27.4
28.0
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
28%
25%
30%
24%
17%
31%
72%
75%
70%
% under line
72%
75%
70%
76%
83%
69%
28%
25%
30%
This opponent (Yeni Malatyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yeni Malatyaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.0
9.4
4.1
4.2
4.0
24.6
23.3
25.7
vs Stronger (37)
9.7
9.7
9.7
4.4
4.5
4.3
24.2
22.8
25.5
vs Similar (13)
9.8
11.2
8.6
3.5
3.5
3.4
25.6
24.7
26.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
62%
46%
64%
67%
62%
64%
54%
73%
% under line
46%
38%
54%
36%
33%
38%
36%
46%
27%
This opponent (Adanaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Samsunspor
10.2
Rizespor
10.1
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.7
Denizlispor
9.7
Altay
9.3
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.3
Boluspor
9.2
Manisa F.K.
9.2
Erzurumspor FK
9.2
Göztepe
9.2
Eyüpspor
8.6
Altınordu
8.6
Adanaspor
8.2
Sakaryaspor
8.1
Bandırmaspor
7.9
Keçiörengücü
7.8
Beykoz Anadolu
7.8
Pendikspor
7.8
Bodrum FK
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sakaryaspor
5.5
Bandırmaspor
5.5
Samsunspor
5.1
Manisa F.K.
5.1
Erzurumspor FK
5.0
Beykoz Anadolu
4.9
Göztepe
4.8
Rizespor
4.7
Adanaspor
4.7
Eyüpspor
4.5
Boluspor
4.4
Keçiörengücü
4.3
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.3
Denizlispor
4.3
Altay
4.3
Bodrum FK
4.2
Yeni Malatyaspor
4.1
Altınordu
4.0
Pendikspor
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Pendikspor
29.9
Beykoz Anadolu
28.6
Erzurumspor FK
28.5
Samsunspor
28.1
Altınordu
27.3
Keçiörengücü
27.2
Bandırmaspor
27.2
Boluspor
27.2
Rizespor
27.0
Bodrum FK
26.9
Manisa F.K.
26.9
Sakaryaspor
26.6
Altay
26.4
Eyüpspor
26.3
Denizlispor
25.9
Adanaspor
25.7
Göztepe
24.7
Yeni Malatyaspor
24.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
34.1%
Under 9.5
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.7%
Under 3.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.1%
Under 21.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Adanaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.97
1.00
1.29
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (20)
0.75
1.05
0.89
1.22
0.64
0.91
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.80
1.20
1.40
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Yeni Malatyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yeni Malatyaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.80
0.27
0.80
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (22)
0.45
0.86
0.36
0.91
0.55
0.82
vs Similar (8)
0.00
0.62
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Adanaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Adanaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yeni Malatyaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yeni Malatyaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yeni Malatyaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Adanaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.87
0.64
0.50
0.50
1.19
vs Stronger (20)
0.75
1.10
0.78
0.78
0.73
1.36
vs Similar (10)
0.20
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.00
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Yeni Malatyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yeni Malatyaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.00
0.33
1.13
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (22)
0.32
1.32
0.27
1.55
0.36
1.09
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.12
0.50
0.00
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Adanaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Adanaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yeni Malatyaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yeni Malatyaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yeni Malatyaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Adanaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmethan Köse28%
Samuel Tetteh26%
Hadi Sacko25%
Aaron Leya Iseka20%
Burak Coban14%
Lamin Jallow12%
Hakki Türker10%
Evren Korkmaz8%
Hakan Yeşil8%
Pedro Nuno6%
Youssef Aït Bennasser6%
Enes Sağlık0%
Yohan Roche0%
Burak Çamoğlu0%
Yiğithan Güveli0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Hüseyin Öztürk0%
Abdurrahman Canli0%
Ahmet Said Kivanc0%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay0%
Ferhat Katipoglu0%
Sefa Etöz0%
Berkan Firat0%
Emre Kaplan0%
Ozcan Aydin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sefa Etöz38%
Evren Korkmaz31%
Yiğithan Güveli29%
Burak Çamoğlu25%
Lamin Jallow25%
Ahmet Said Kivanc20%
Hakki Türker20%
Hadi Sacko17%
Yohan Roche17%
Ahmethan Köse17%
Hakan Yeşil15%
Emre Kaplan14%
Ferhat Katipoglu13%
Aaron Leya Iseka10%
Burak Coban10%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay7%
Pedro Nuno6%
Youssef Aït Bennasser6%
Samuel Tetteh5%
Enes Sağlık0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Hüseyin Öztürk0%
Abdurrahman Canli0%
Berkan Firat0%
Ozcan Aydin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Burak Coban19%
Youssef Aït Bennasser18%
Hüseyin Öztürk11%
Aaron Leya Iseka10%
Emre Kaplan10%
Hadi Sacko8%
Pedro Nuno6%
Samuel Tetteh5%
Hakki Türker5%
Enes Sağlık0%
Yohan Roche0%
Burak Çamoğlu0%
Lamin Jallow0%
Evren Korkmaz0%
Yiğithan Güveli0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Ahmethan Köse0%
Abdurrahman Canli0%
Ahmet Said Kivanc0%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay0%
Hakan Yeşil0%
Ferhat Katipoglu0%
Sefa Etöz0%
Berkan Firat0%
Ozcan Aydin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aaron Leya Iseka40%
Ahmethan Köse17%
Pedro Nuno12%
Hakki Türker10%
Burak Coban10%
Lamin Jallow6%
Youssef Aït Bennasser6%
Samuel Tetteh5%
Hadi Sacko0%
Enes Sağlık0%
Yohan Roche0%
Burak Çamoğlu0%
Evren Korkmaz0%
Yiğithan Güveli0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Hüseyin Öztürk0%
Abdurrahman Canli0%
Ahmet Said Kivanc0%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay0%
Hakan Yeşil0%
Ferhat Katipoglu0%
Sefa Etöz0%
Berkan Firat0%
Emre Kaplan0%
Ozcan Aydin0%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Haqi Osman27%
Cengizhan Akgün24%
Nuri Fatih Aydin20%
Doğukan Emeksiz14%
Barış Başdaş8%
Yakup Alkan7%
Buğra Çağıran7%
Jospin Nshimirimana6%
Mert Miraç Altıntaş6%
Ogun Ozcicek5%
Godfred Donsah0%
Aly Mallé0%
Abdulsamed Damlu0%
Huseyin Ekici0%
Atakan Ayna0%
Arda Hilmi Sengul0%
Burak Kavlak0%
Ersan Yasa0%
Taha Gur0%
Philip Gameli Awuku0%
Alperen Arslan0%
Berat Yaman0%
Yigit Ulas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Barış Başdaş42%
Burak Kavlak37%
Buğra Çağıran33%
Huseyin Ekici29%
Doğukan Emeksiz29%
Abdulsamed Damlu24%
Nuri Fatih Aydin20%
Aly Mallé19%
Ogun Ozcicek19%
Godfred Donsah19%
Atakan Ayna17%
Philip Gameli Awuku15%
Cengizhan Akgün14%
Ersan Yasa12%
Taha Gur12%
Yigit Ulas10%
Yakup Alkan7%
Arda Hilmi Sengul7%
Haqi Osman7%
Jospin Nshimirimana6%
Mert Miraç Altıntaş0%
Alperen Arslan0%
Berat Yaman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nuri Fatih Aydin20%
Buğra Çağıran13%
Haqi Osman13%
Jospin Nshimirimana12%
Doğukan Emeksiz10%
Ogun Ozcicek10%
Taha Gur6%
Cengizhan Akgün5%
Godfred Donsah0%
Aly Mallé0%
Abdulsamed Damlu0%
Huseyin Ekici0%
Barış Başdaş0%
Atakan Ayna0%
Arda Hilmi Sengul0%
Burak Kavlak0%
Yakup Alkan0%
Ersan Yasa0%
Mert Miraç Altıntaş0%
Philip Gameli Awuku0%
Alperen Arslan0%
Berat Yaman0%
Yigit Ulas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Buğra Çağıran47%
Haqi Osman20%
Doğukan Emeksiz14%
Aly Mallé10%
Cengizhan Akgün10%
Yakup Alkan7%
Jospin Nshimirimana6%
Ogun Ozcicek5%
Godfred Donsah0%
Abdulsamed Damlu0%
Huseyin Ekici0%
Barış Başdaş0%
Atakan Ayna0%
Nuri Fatih Aydin0%
Arda Hilmi Sengul0%
Burak Kavlak0%
Ersan Yasa0%
Taha Gur0%
Mert Miraç Altıntaş0%
Philip Gameli Awuku0%
Alperen Arslan0%
Berat Yaman0%
Yigit Ulas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Turkey: 1. Lig 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Samsunspor
Bodrum FK
Rizespor
Eyüpspor
Pendikspor
Sakaryaspor
Göztepe
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
Bandırmaspor
Boluspor
Altay
Erzurumspor FK
Beykoz Anadolu
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Altınordu
Denizlispor