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Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical Result & Analysis

Date: 29/11/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 4-0
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Vs
47%
28%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hamilton Academical
Hamilton Academical
Scotland: FA Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Airdrie United win✓ Hit
46.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical win✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D04L10W03L11D30W30W01L01LA·QUE18/10A·QUE18/10H·DUN21/10H·ARB25/10A·ST 01/11H·PAR07/11A·RAI15/11A·RAI15/11H·AYR22/11H·AYR22/11← ChampionshipFA Cup →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.270.941.191.361.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.001.400.691.381.331.42
vs Weaker (5)1.800.602.000.331.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L10W21W00D03L13L20W04L12L01LH·RAI29/03A·DUN05/04A·PAR12/04H·QUE19/04H·LIV26/04A·FAL02/05A·STI12/07H·HEA15/07A·DUN22/07H·DUM26/07← ChampionshipFA Cup →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.800.861.861.001.75
vs Stronger (6)1.332.001.672.331.001.67
vs Similar (22)0.821.860.701.800.921.92
vs Weaker (2)1.000.500.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.7%
Under 2.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
Airdrie United goals ↓
Hamilton Academical goals →
01234
09.1%6.9%4.2%1.5%0.4%
111%14%6.4%2.2%0.6%
28.9%9.2%4.8%1.7%0.4%
34.5%4.6%2.4%0.8%0.2%
41.7%1.7%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Airdrie United goals (down), columns = Hamilton Academical goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Formartine United
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Celtic
2.60
Musselburgh Athletic
2.40
Clydebank
2.40
Jeanfield Swifts
2.33
Cowdenbeath
2.33
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.25
Aberdeen
2.20
ST Mirren
2.00
Banks O' Dee
2.00
Turriff United
2.00
Lochee United
2.00
Camelon Juniors
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Sauchie Juniors
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
2.00
Bo'ness United
2.00
Hibernian
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Hamilton Academical
2.00
Ayr Utd
2.00
Dunfermline
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Cove Rangers
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Buckie Thistle
2.00
Dundee North End
1.75
Brechin
1.75
Broxburn Athletic
1.75
Fraserburgh
1.75
Dunbar United
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Dalkeith Thistle
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Vale of Leithen
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Culter
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Rangers
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Newtongrange Star
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Livingston
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Queen's Park
1.25
Tweedmouth
1.03
Lossiemouth
1.03
Johnstone Burgh
1.03
St Cadoc's
1.03
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Wick Academy
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Keith
0.50
Raith Rovers
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.50
Huntly
0.50
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Dunipace
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Albion Rovers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Forres Mechanics
0.00
Nairn County
0.00
Preston Athletic
0.00
East Stirlingshire
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Tayport
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Deveronvale
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Creetown
0.00
Glenafton Athletic
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Edinburgh University
0.00
Spartans
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Motherwell
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
Morton
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Alloa Athletic
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Dalbeattie Star
0.00
Pollok
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Haddington Athletic
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Airdrie United and Hamilton Academical are level in average points per game (both 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Girvan
5.00
Threave Rovers
4.00
Peterhead
4.00
Stirling
4.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
3.67
Camelon Juniors
3.50
Lochee United
3.33
Ayr Utd
3.33
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clydebank
3.00
Celtic
3.00
Tynecastle
3.00
Fraserburgh
2.75
Sauchie Juniors
2.67
Culter
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Stenhousemuir
2.50
Montrose
2.50
Aberdeen
2.40
Bo'ness United
2.33
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Heart Of Midlothian
2.25
ST Mirren
2.00
Formartine United
2.00
Dundee North End
2.00
Preston Athletic
2.00
East Stirlingshire
2.00
Vale of Leithen
2.00
Jeanfield Swifts
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Deveronvale
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Rutherglen Glencairn
2.00
Glenafton Athletic
2.00
Berwick Rangers
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Partick
2.00
Ross County
2.00
Alloa Athletic
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Newtongrange Star
2.00
Huntly
2.00
Hamilton Academical
1.67
Livingston
1.67
Dunfermline
1.67
Musselburgh Athletic
1.60
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Brechin
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Broxburn Athletic
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Tweedmouth
1.41
Lossiemouth
1.41
Johnstone Burgh
1.41
St Cadoc's
1.41
Hibernian
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Buckie Thistle
1.33
Banks O' Dee
1.00
Dunbar United
1.00
Kilmarnock
1.00
Dunipace
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Albion Rovers
1.00
Forres Mechanics
1.00
Nairn County
1.00
Turriff United
1.00
Tayport
1.00
Whitehill Welfare
1.00
Creetown
1.00
Edinburgh University
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Edinburgh City
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.00
Dalbeattie Star
1.00
Pollok
1.00
Haddington Athletic
1.00
ST Johnstone
0.75
Dalkeith Thistle
0.50
Keith
0.50
Raith Rovers
0.50
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Motherwell
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
Morton
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Airdrie United is 0.33 goals better than Hamilton Academical in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Formartine United
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.33
Celtic
0.40
Turriff United
0.50
Camelon Juniors
0.50
Rangers
0.50
Newtongrange Star
0.50
Aberdeen
0.60
Banks O' Dee
0.67
Jeanfield Swifts
0.67
Hibernian
0.67
Dundee North End
0.75
Clydebank
0.80
ST Mirren
1.00
Bonnyton Thistle
1.00
Clachnacuddin
1.00
Carluke Rovers
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Musselburgh Athletic
1.00
Caledonian Braves
1.00
Dundonald Bluebell
1.00
Sauchie Juniors
1.00
Auchinleck Talbot
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Heart Of Midlothian
1.00
Darvel
1.00
Cumnock Juniors
1.00
Culter
1.00
Blackburn United
1.00
Dundee
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Hamilton Academical
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Stirling
1.00
Buckie Thistle
1.00
Penicuik Athletic
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.33
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
1.33
Dunfermline
1.33
East Kilbride
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Fraserburgh
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Stranraer
1.50
Edinburgh City
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Airdrie United
1.67
Bo'ness United
1.67
Brechin
1.75
Dunbar United
2.00
Kilmarnock
2.00
Dunipace
2.00
Dalkeith Thistle
2.00
Golspie Sutherland
2.00
Albion Rovers
2.00
Lothian Hutchison
2.00
Forres Mechanics
2.00
Stirling University
2.00
Kilwinning Rangers
2.00
Bo'ness Athletic
2.00
Keith
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Gretna 2008
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Queen's Park
2.00
Morton
2.00
Partick
2.00
Ross County
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Annan Athletic
2.00
Elgin
2.00
Dalbeattie Star
2.00
Tweedmouth
2.09
Lossiemouth
2.09
Johnstone Burgh
2.09
St Cadoc's
2.09
Broxburn Athletic
2.25
Burntisland Shipyard
2.50
Huntly
2.50
Lochee United
2.67
Cumbernauld Colts
3.00
Nairn County
3.00
Preston Athletic
3.00
East Stirlingshire
3.00
Vale of Leithen
3.00
Tayport
3.00
Creetown
3.00
Benburb
3.00
Edinburgh University
3.00
Raith Rovers
3.00
Alloa Athletic
3.00
Peterhead
3.00
Kelty Hearts
3.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.00
Pollok
3.00
Newton Stewart
3.00
Dumbarton
3.50
Hawick Royal Albert
4.00
Glasgow University
4.00
Tranent Juniors
4.00
Deveronvale
4.00
Glenafton Athletic
4.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
4.00
Easthouses Lily
4.00
Invergordon
4.00
Haddington Athletic
4.00
Strathspey Thistle
6.00
Coldstream
6.00
St Andrews United
7.00
Rothes
8.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
9.00
Airdrie United is 0.67 goals worse than Hamilton Academical in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

For 4.2 · Against 6.8 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

160323137444511375161181610H·AYRA·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·RAIH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

7022213112134424237H·AYRA·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·RAIH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 9.7 · Total 19.8

⚠️ Fouls

280119888712117101513201615231728H·AYRA·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·RAIH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

50325A·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.710.80.91.00.821.121.720.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (45)10.810.710.81.01.10.821.121.720.5
vs Weaker (5)---0.00.00.0---
% over line58%67%50%12%15%8%50%50%50%
% under line42%33%50%88%85%92%50%50%50%
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.10.00.2---
vs Stronger (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (38)---0.10.00.2---
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---2%0%4%---
% under line---98%100%96%---
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Ross County
11.4
Celtic
11.2
East Kilbride
11.2
Falkirk
11.2
Hibernian
11.2
Morton
11.0
Aberdeen
10.8
Dumbarton
10.8
Rangers
10.8
Dundee Utd
10.8
Stirling
10.6
ST Mirren
10.5
Kilmarnock
10.4
Airdrie United
10.4
Dundee
10.3
ST Johnstone
10.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.2
Partick
10.2
Motherwell
10.1
Dunfermline
10.1
Elgin
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Arbroath
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.8
Clyde
9.8
Stranraer
9.7
East Fife
9.6
Cowdenbeath
9.4
Cove Rangers
9.4
Edinburgh City
9.2
Forfar
9.2
Livingston
9.1
Spartans
9.0
Stenhousemuir
9.0
Inverness CT
9.0
Montrose
8.8
Peterhead
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.4
Peterhead
5.4
Edinburgh City
5.2
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Morton
5.0
Aberdeen
4.9
Forfar
4.9
Elgin
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.6
ST Mirren
4.5
Clyde
4.5
Stranraer
4.4
Spartans
4.4
Dundee Utd
4.4
Hibernian
4.3
East Fife
4.3
Stirling
4.3
Partick
4.3
Stenhousemuir
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Livingston
4.1
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
Rangers
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.0
Falkirk
3.9
Montrose
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Kelty Hearts
3.8
Dumbarton
3.8
Dunfermline
3.7
Dundee
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Celtic
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Inverness CT
3.3
Airdrie United
3.3
Arbroath
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.1
Raith Rovers
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
28.0
Peterhead
25.9
Livingston
25.0
Motherwell
25.0
Forfar
24.8
Edinburgh City
24.3
East Fife
23.9
Elgin
23.8
Aberdeen
23.8
Stenhousemuir
23.4
Heart Of Midlothian
23.2
Rangers
23.0
Kilmarnock
23.0
Falkirk
22.8
Clyde
22.6
Morton
22.3
ST Johnstone
22.3
Stranraer
21.9
Cowdenbeath
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.8
Inverness CT
21.7
Montrose
21.6
Stirling
21.5
ST Mirren
21.3
Spartans
21.2
Hibernian
21.2
Dundee
20.9
Ross County
20.7
Dunfermline
20.7
Kelty Hearts
20.6
Annan Athletic
20.6
Cove Rangers
20.6
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.3
Arbroath
20.2
Partick
20.2
Celtic
20.1
Dumbarton
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Airdrie United or Draw✓ Hit
75.0%
Avg Implied -
47%
28%
25%
covers Airdrie United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United or Hamilton Academical✓ Hit
71.7%
Avg Implied -
47%
28%
25%
covers Airdrie United + Hamilton Academical
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Hamilton Academical✗ Miss
53.3%
Avg Implied -
47%
28%
25%
covers Draw + Hamilton Academical
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.8%
Under
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
44.4%
Under
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
19.2%
Under
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
64.7%
Under
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
27.9%
Under
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.8%
Under
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Airdrie United, so a minus line means Airdrie United give that many goals of a start and Hamilton Academical receive them. At -1, Airdrie United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Airdrie United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Airdrie United)Actual: Airdrie United
Airdrie United -2
9.6%
Draw -2
14.5%
Hamilton Academical +2
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Airdrie United)Actual: Airdrie United
Airdrie United -1
24.1%
Draw -1
22.6%
Hamilton Academical +1
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Airdrie United)Actual: Airdrie United
Airdrie United +1
75.0%
Draw +1
15.2%
Hamilton Academical -1
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Airdrie United)Actual: Airdrie United
Airdrie United +2
90.3%
Draw +2
6.9%
Hamilton Academical -2
2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L10W01L00D10W10W01L01LA·QUE18/10A·QUE18/10H·DUN21/10H·ARB25/10A·ST 01/11H·PAR07/11A·RAI15/11A·RAI15/11H·AYR22/11H·AYR22/11← ChampionshipFA Cup →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.670.310.500.640.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.280.800.000.620.581.00
vs Weaker (5)1.400.001.670.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W20W00D02L11D00D02L01L01LH·RAI29/03A·DUN05/04A·PAR12/04H·QUE19/04H·LIV26/04A·FAL02/05A·STI12/07H·HEA15/07A·DUN22/07H·DUM26/07← ChampionshipFA Cup →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.500.930.560.50
vs Stronger (6)1.000.671.001.001.000.33
vs Similar (22)0.450.730.400.900.500.58
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L00D02L11D20W20W00D00DA·QUE18/10A·QUE18/10H·DUN21/10H·ARB25/10A·ST 01/11H·PAR07/11A·RAI15/11A·RAI15/11H·AYR22/11H·AYR22/11← ChampionshipFA Cup →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.600.620.690.710.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.720.600.690.770.750.42
vs Weaker (5)0.400.600.330.330.501.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L00D01L02L20W02L11D00DH·RAI29/03A·DUN05/04A·PAR12/04H·QUE19/04H·LIV26/04A·FAL02/05A·STI12/07H·HEA15/07A·DUN22/07H·DUM26/07← ChampionshipFA Cup →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.100.360.930.441.25
vs Stronger (6)0.331.330.671.330.001.33
vs Similar (22)0.361.140.300.900.421.33
vs Weaker (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.595.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.4%-------✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals91.2%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap90.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.588.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals80.8%-------✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals77.8%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap75.9%-------✗ Miss
Home or Draw75.0%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap75.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals72.1%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away71.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
AU wins
1
Draws
3
HA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical · H/A from AU
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25HAU Vs Hamilton Academical2-1
28/12/24AHamilton Academical Vs AU3-2
02/11/24HAU Vs Hamilton Academical0-4
31/08/24AHamilton Academical Vs AU2-2
20/05/23AHamilton Academical Vs AU2-1
17/05/23HAU Vs Hamilton Academical1-0

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25HAU Vs Ayr Utd0-1
22/11/25HAU Vs Ayr0-1
15/11/25ARaith Rvs Vs AU0-3
15/11/25ARaith Rovers Vs AU0-3
07/11/25HAU Vs Partick1-1
01/11/25AST Johnstone Vs AU3-0
25/10/25HAU Vs Arbroath1-0
21/10/25HAU Vs Dunfermline0-4
18/10/25AQueens Park Vs AU0-0
18/10/25AQueen's Park Vs AU0-0

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/25HHA Vs Dumbarton0-1
22/07/25ADunfermline Vs HA2-1
15/07/25HHA Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-4
12/07/25AStirling Vs HA0-2
02/05/25AFalkirk Vs HA3-1
26/04/25HHA Vs Livingston0-3
19/04/25HHA Vs Queen's Park0-0
12/04/25APartick Vs HA1-2
05/04/25ADunfermline Vs HA0-1
29/03/25HHA Vs Raith Rovers0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: FA Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.26
HomeLWDLL1.23
AwayDDLWW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%31%33%
AVG goals2.542.192.92
Over 1.5 %68%58%79%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %24%15%33%
Scored1.241.001.50
Conceded1.301.191.42
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet30%27%33%
Corners10.7510.6710.83
Cards3.584.173.00
Hamilton Academical
Hamilton Academical
Scotland: FA Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.18
HomeLDLLL1.24
AwayWWLWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.822.722.92
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %62%64%60%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.181.081.28
Conceded1.641.641.64
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners---
Cards5.00-5.00

🏆 17. League Table

Airdrie United plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ST JohnstoneST Johnstone48103
60%
2.1
8734+53
2.5
67%
44%
29%
10.0
50%
4.8
83%
22.5
67%
5
2121.80.7
-
2PartickPartick4889
48%
1.9
7246+26
2.5
75%
44%
27%
10.7
67%
4.6
58%
20.2
33%
3
1111.51.0
-
3DunfermlineDunfermline4874
44%
1.5
6949+20
2.5
73%
44%
25%
7.0
8%
4.8
83%
23.9
67%
4
2021.41.0
-
4ArbroathArbroath4871
38%
1.5
6055+5
2.4
69%
46%
21%
8.2
33%
4.2
67%
23.8
67%
1
0001.21.1
-
5MortonMorton4850
21%
1.0
4866-18
2.4
71%
44%
25%
10.2
58%
4.5
50%
23.4
58%
1
0001.01.4
-
6Ross CountyRoss County4849
25%
1.0
5075-25
2.6
69%
50%
29%
8.0
25%
3.9
58%
22.8
67%
1
0011.01.6
-
7Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United5047
20%
0.9
4667-21
2.3
64%
46%
22%
10.6
67%
3.3
50%
18.3
25%
0
0000.91.3
-
8Raith RoversRaith Rovers3645
33%
1.2
4342+1
2.4
75%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.21.2
-
9
RR
Raith Rvs
3645
33%
1.2
4342+1
2.4
75%
42%
19%
9.6
47%
4.3
56%
21.0
53%
0
0001.21.2
-
10Queens ParkQueens Park3641
25%
1.1
3548-13
2.3
67%
39%
19%
8.7
39%
4.1
69%
21.8
56%
0
0001.01.3
-
11QueenQueen's Park3641
25%
1.1
3548-13
2.3
67%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
12
A
Ayr
3639
22%
1.1
3847-9
2.4
69%
42%
17%
10.0
50%
4.5
69%
22.4
58%
0
0001.11.3
-
13Ayr UtdAyr Utd3639
22%
1.1
3847-9
2.4
69%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.3
-
14Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic49
75%
2.2
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
15StenhousemuirStenhousemuir45
25%
1.2
54+1
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
16Queen of the SouthQueen of the South22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Scotland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
Hamilton Academical plays in Scotland - League One
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inverness CTInverness CT3674
58%
2.1
6024+36
2.3
72%
39%
25%
9.1
39%
3.5
47%
22.2
53%
1
0001.70.7
-
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3667
50%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
64%
33%
22%
8.6
39%
5.2
81%
27.0
81%
0
0001.40.8
-
3
H
Hamilton
3655
44%
1.5
5442+12
2.7
75%
58%
33%
9.7
44%
3.2
42%
20.4
39%
0
0001.51.2
-
4
QO
Queen of Sth
3654
39%
1.5
5847+11
2.9
92%
53%
33%
8.9
33%
5.2
75%
24.3
67%
0
0001.61.3
-
5
A
Alloa
3653
42%
1.5
5038+12
2.4
67%
44%
22%
9.4
42%
4.5
61%
23.4
64%
0
0001.41.1
-
6PeterheadPeterhead3643
33%
1.2
4864-16
3.1
92%
67%
42%
9.5
44%
5.0
78%
27.9
86%
0
0001.31.8
-
7MontroseMontrose3642
31%
1.2
4867-19
3.2
89%
61%
39%
8.6
31%
3.7
61%
23.7
69%
0
0001.31.9
-
8Cove RangersCove Rangers3638
25%
1.1
4144-3
2.4
69%
39%
22%
9.4
44%
3.5
47%
22.3
53%
0
0001.11.2
-
9East FifeEast Fife3636
25%
1.0
3461-27
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.6
47%
3.4
50%
22.8
56%
0
0000.91.7
-
10Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3629
17%
0.8
3362-29
2.6
86%
50%
22%
9.4
42%
4.7
75%
23.8
61%
1
1000.91.7
-
11Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical410
75%
2.5
106+4
4.0
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.51.5
-
12ClydeClyde45
25%
1.2
76+1
3.2
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
13SpartansSpartans21
0%
0.5
13-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
14ForfarForfar20
0%
0.0
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
Scotland: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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