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Airdrie United vs Queens Park Result & Analysis

Date: 29/12/2021
Time: 19:45
Final 1-0
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Vs
42%
26%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Queens Park
Queens Park
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Airdrie United win✓ Hit
41.9%
Avg Implied 36.4% · @ 2.51
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.32
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Queens Park win✗ Miss
31.9%
Avg Implied 36.0% · @ 2.54
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W30W32W12L31W10W02L12L31WA·COV25/09H·CLY02/10A·FAL16/10H·DUM23/10A·ALL30/10H·PET06/11A·EAS13/11H·COV20/11A·MON07/12H·ALL26/12
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.232.001.331.331.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.461.211.831.331.081.08
vs Weaker (6)2.501.332.671.332.331.33
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Queens Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Queens ParkQueens Park

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-632W11D30W34L33D11D00D12L60W11DH·PET25/09H·MON03/10A·DUM16/10H·ALL24/10A·COV30/10H·EAS06/11H·CLY13/11A·PET20/11H·FAL04/12A·MON18/12
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.900.871.810.562.001.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.891.062.110.891.671.22
vs Weaker (12)1.920.581.430.142.601.20
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.6%
@ 1.78+6.1%
Under 2.5
41.4%
@ 1.97-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.2%
Under 3.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.9%
No
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0 ✓
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
Airdrie United goals ↓
Queens Park goals →
01234
05.9%5.6%4.7%2.2%0.8%
16.7%12%7.7%3.6%1.3%
26.4%9.0%6.3%3.0%1.0%
33.5%4.9%3.4%1.6%0.6%
41.4%2.0%1.4%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Airdrie United goals (down), columns = Queens Park goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.19
Airdrie United
2.00
Montrose
1.64
Queens Park
1.42
Alloa
1.25
Falkirk
1.22
Peterhead
1.17
Clyde
1.08
Dumbarton
0.94
East Fife
0.64
Airdrie United is 0.58 points better than Queens Park in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.42).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.03
Airdrie United
1.89
Montrose
1.47
Queens Park
1.42
Falkirk
1.36
Alloa
1.36
Dumbarton
1.33
Peterhead
1.28
Clyde
1.08
East Fife
0.86
Airdrie United is 0.47 goals better than Queens Park in terms of goals scored per game (1.89 vs 1.42).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
0.89
Montrose
1.00
Queens Park
1.00
Airdrie United
1.03
Peterhead
1.42
Falkirk
1.53
Alloa
1.58
Clyde
1.72
East Fife
1.94
Dumbarton
1.97
Airdrie United is 0.03 goals worse than Queens Park in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

For 7.4 · Against 3.2 · Total 10.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

14081836381771041115711239119914141212133H·ALLA·MONH·COVA·EASH·PETA·ALLH·DUMA·FALH·CLYA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

9031112321141271221234252259335H·ALLA·MONH·COVA·EASH·PETA·ALLH·DUMA·FALH·CLYA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 10.6 · Total 20.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

3109991086612121013131110141069141718191418222621241531H·ALLA·MONH·COVA·EASH·PETA·ALLH·DUMA·FALH·CLYA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Queens ParkQueens Park

For 5.8 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

160181069585665553335363916141312108689A·MONH·FALA·PETH·CLYH·EASA·COVH·ALLA·DUMH·MONH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7011333225321221313232657334445A·MONH·FALA·PETH·CLYH·EASA·COVH·ALLA·DUMH·MONH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 10.6 · Total 19.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

32013137671381458127127141851091026132022131919321519A·MONH·FALA·PETH·CLYH·EASA·COVH·ALLA·DUMH·MONH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.810.63.43.53.420.720.421.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (36)10.511.09.93.33.63.121.221.221.1
vs Weaker (14)11.310.412.53.73.24.319.618.620.8
% over line60%58%62%42%42%42%44%38%50%
% under line40%42%38%58%58%58%56%62%50%
This opponent (Queens Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Queens ParkQueens Park

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.69.83.73.73.620.918.523.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)10.59.811.23.53.33.719.016.721.5
vs Weaker (23)8.89.48.23.94.23.623.220.725.4
% over line42%40%44%52%52%52%34%16%52%
% under line58%60%56%48%48%48%66%84%48%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Airdrie United
10.7
Falkirk
10.3
Clyde
10.2
Alloa
10.1
Peterhead
10.1
Dumbarton
10.0
Queens Park
9.7
Montrose
9.7
East Fife
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.3

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.2
Falkirk
3.8
Queens Park
3.7
Cove Rangers
3.6
Dumbarton
3.5
Montrose
3.5
Airdrie United
3.4
East Fife
3.4
Clyde
3.3
Alloa
3.3

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.9
Alloa
23.8
Falkirk
23.7
Montrose
22.6
Cove Rangers
22.5
Dumbarton
22.5
East Fife
22.1
Queens Park
20.9
Airdrie United
20.7
Clyde
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.9%
Under 9.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.4%
Under 3.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
43.4%
Under 21.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W11D01L10W10W00D11D20WA·COV25/09H·CLY02/10A·FAL16/10H·DUM23/10A·ALL30/10H·PET06/11A·EAS13/11H·COV20/11A·MON07/12H·ALL26/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.730.530.530.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.500.420.670.420.330.42
vs Weaker (6)1.170.671.001.001.330.33
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Queens Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Queens ParkQueens Park

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D11D21W00D00D10W20W10WH·PET25/09H·MON03/10A·DUM16/10H·ALL24/10A·COV30/10H·EAS06/11H·CLY13/11A·PET20/11H·FAL04/12A·MON18/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.170.690.120.930.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.780.170.560.111.000.22
vs Weaker (12)0.830.170.860.140.800.20
Clean sheet %83% (+58pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Park over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Park over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Park over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W20W21W11D21W00D02L01L11DA·COV25/09H·CLY02/10A·FAL16/10H·DUM23/10A·ALL30/10H·PET06/11A·EAS13/11H·COV20/11A·MON07/12H·ALL26/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.771.270.800.800.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.960.791.170.920.750.67
vs Weaker (6)1.330.671.670.331.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Queens Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Queens ParkQueens Park

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D11D30W23L12L11D00D02L40W01LH·PET25/09H·MON03/10A·DUM16/10H·ALL24/10A·COV30/10H·EAS06/11H·CLY13/11A·PET20/11H·FAL04/12A·MON18/12
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.701.120.441.071.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.110.891.560.780.671.00
vs Weaker (12)1.080.420.570.001.801.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Park over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Park over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Park over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls84.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards82.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls72.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
AU wins
3
Draws
1
QP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Airdrie United vs Queens Park · H/A from AU
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/21AQueens Park Vs AU0-0
31/03/18AQueens Park Vs AU0-0
17/02/18HAU Vs Queens Park2-1
16/12/17AQueens Park Vs AU1-1
30/09/17HAU Vs Queens Park4-2
06/05/17HAU Vs Queens Park3-2
07/01/17AQueens Park Vs AU2-1
22/10/16HAU Vs Queens Park4-1

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/12/21HAU Vs Alloa3-1
07/12/21AMontrose Vs AU2-1
20/11/21HAU Vs Cove Rangers0-2
13/11/21AEast Fife Vs AU0-1
06/11/21HAU Vs Peterhead3-1
30/10/21AAlloa Vs AU2-1
23/10/21HAU Vs Dumbarton3-2
16/10/21AFalkirk Vs AU0-3
02/10/21HAU Vs Clyde2-1
25/09/21ACove Rangers Vs AU1-0

Queens ParkQueens Park

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/12/21AMontrose Vs QP1-1
04/12/21HQP Vs Falkirk6-0
20/11/21APeterhead Vs QP2-1
13/11/21HQP Vs Clyde0-0
06/11/21HQP Vs East Fife1-1
30/10/21ACove Rangers Vs QP3-3
24/10/21HQP Vs Alloa3-4
16/10/21ADumbarton Vs QP0-3
03/10/21HQP Vs Montrose1-1
25/09/21HQP Vs Peterhead3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.66
HomeWWWLW1.96
AwayLWLWL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals2.542.652.42
Over 1.5 %72%81%62%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.461.651.25
Conceded1.081.001.17
BTTS44%46%42%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners10.7010.8110.58
Cards3.443.463.42
Queens Park
Queens Park
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWD2.04
HomeDLDDW2.20
AwayDWDLD1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%64%52%
AVG goals2.642.602.68
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.821.961.68
Conceded0.820.641.00
BTTS44%32%56%
Clean Sheet52%64%40%
Corners9.709.609.80
Cards3.663.683.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers3679
64%
2.2
7332+41
2.9
78%
50%
31%
9.6
47%
3.8
58%
21.6
42%
0
0002.00.9
-
2Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3672
58%
2.0
6837+31
2.9
83%
58%
33%
10.0
61%
3.5
42%
20.0
44%
0
0001.91.0
-
3MontroseMontrose3659
42%
1.6
5336+17
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.0
50%
3.7
50%
22.2
58%
0
0001.51.0
-
4Queens ParkQueens Park3651
31%
1.4
5136+15
2.4
78%
36%
14%
9.6
47%
3.7
53%
18.9
17%
0
0001.41.0
-
5
A
Alloa
3645
33%
1.2
4957-8
2.9
89%
58%
28%
9.6
47%
3.1
36%
20.4
44%
0
0001.41.6
-
6FalkirkFalkirk3644
33%
1.2
4955-6
2.9
89%
58%
22%
10.2
56%
4.2
72%
21.5
47%
6
2131.41.5
-
7PeterheadPeterhead3642
31%
1.2
4651-5
2.7
67%
47%
28%
10.2
58%
4.2
58%
25.5
81%
0
0001.31.4
-
8ClydeClyde3639
25%
1.1
3962-23
2.8
83%
61%
31%
9.5
53%
3.9
58%
21.7
50%
0
0001.11.7
-
9DumbartonDumbarton3634
25%
0.9
4871-23
3.3
92%
69%
36%
10.9
69%
3.8
56%
21.8
46%
0
0001.32.0
-
10East FifeEast Fife3623
14%
0.6
3170-39
2.8
83%
47%
31%
9.1
50%
3.2
39%
20.7
34%
0
0000.91.9
-
Scotland: League One 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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