This opponent (RED Star FC 93) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RED Star FC 93
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.32
1.54
1.23
1.38
1.40
1.67
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.75
1.00
2.50
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (21)
1.14
1.48
1.30
1.30
1.00
1.64
vs Weaker (3)
3.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
4.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
29% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.3%
Under 1.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.6%
@ 2.53+3.5%
Under 2.5
59.4%
@ 1.49-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.2%
No
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
9.8%
2-1 ✓
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
Ajaccio goals ↓
RED Star FC 93 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.8%
4.1%
1.2%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.7%
1.7%
0.4%
2
9.8%
8.8%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.6%
4.1%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.6%
1.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ajaccio goals (down), columns = RED Star FC 93 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lorient
2.14
Paris FC
2.08
Metz
1.86
Dunkerque
1.66
Annecy
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Laval
1.50
Guingamp
1.49
Bastia
1.44
Estac Troyes
1.33
PAU
1.33
Grenoble
1.31
Amiens
1.28
Ajaccio
1.25
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.11
Clermont Foot
1.00
Martigues
0.89
Caen
0.67
Ajaccio is 0.13 points better than RED Star FC 93 in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lorient
2.00
Metz
1.81
Paris FC
1.72
Guingamp
1.65
Rodez
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Dunkerque
1.34
Laval
1.33
PAU
1.28
Grenoble
1.22
Bastia
1.22
Annecy
1.22
Amiens
1.14
Estac Troyes
1.14
Red Star
1.09
RED Star FC 93
1.09
Clermont Foot
0.95
Caen
0.94
Ajaccio
0.89
Martigues
0.81
Ajaccio is 0.20 goals worse than RED Star FC 93 in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lorient
0.92
Paris FC
0.97
Estac Troyes
1.00
Metz
1.00
Bastia
1.03
Laval
1.08
Dunkerque
1.11
Annecy
1.19
Ajaccio
1.22
Grenoble
1.31
Clermont Foot
1.34
Guingamp
1.43
Amiens
1.44
Red Star
1.50
RED Star FC 93
1.50
PAU
1.53
Rodez
1.58
Martigues
1.61
Caen
1.69
Boulogne
2.00
Ajaccio is 0.28 goals better than RED Star FC 93 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Paris FC
61%
Metz
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Lorient
56%
Guingamp
55%
Caen
54%
RED Star FC 93
52%
Bastia
52%
Clermont Foot
51%
Boulogne
50%
PAU
49%
Ajaccio
46%
Grenoble
45%
Estac Troyes
45%
Amiens
44%
Martigues
44%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Rodez
43%
Ajaccio is 6.0 percentage points worse than RED Star FC 93 in terms of average possession (46% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ajaccio
For 4.0 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 14.1 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RED Star FC 93
For 4.1 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 12.8 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ajaccio
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.1
7.7
8.4
3.9
3.7
4.0
27.8
26.7
28.8
vs Stronger (15)
8.4
9.5
7.5
3.9
4.2
3.7
28.2
29.5
27.2
vs Similar (35)
8.0
7.1
8.9
3.9
3.6
4.2
27.6
25.7
29.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
27%
22%
32%
58%
54%
62%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
73%
78%
68%
42%
46%
38%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (RED Star FC 93) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RED Star FC 93
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
10.3
10.5
10.2
3.0
4.0
2.2
24.8
26.5
23.1
vs Stronger (4)
10.5
9.0
12.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
23.0
24.0
22.0
vs Similar (21)
10.2
11.2
9.2
3.0
4.2
2.0
24.9
26.5
23.2
vs Weaker (3)
11.5
7.0
16.0
3.0
4.0
2.5
28.0
32.0
24.0
% over line
65%
69%
62%
36%
54%
20%
69%
77%
62%
% under line
35%
31%
38%
64%
46%
80%
31%
23%
38%
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodez
10.6
RED Star FC 93
10.3
Grenoble
10.1
Red Star
10.1
Clermont Foot
9.9
Martigues
9.9
PAU
9.8
Caen
9.7
Laval
9.6
Lorient
9.5
Amiens
9.5
Metz
9.3
Annecy
9.2
Guingamp
9.2
Bastia
9.1
Paris FC
9.0
Estac Troyes
8.7
Dunkerque
8.6
Ajaccio
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
5.3
PAU
4.3
Clermont Foot
4.2
Lorient
4.2
Estac Troyes
4.2
Martigues
4.1
Dunkerque
4.1
Laval
4.1
Amiens
4.0
Caen
4.0
Paris FC
3.9
Ajaccio
3.9
Annecy
3.9
Metz
3.9
Rodez
3.7
Guingamp
3.7
Red Star
3.5
Grenoble
3.4
RED Star FC 93
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Caen
28.4
Ajaccio
27.9
Bastia
27.9
Amiens
27.5
Laval
27.4
Guingamp
27.2
Annecy
26.9
Red Star
26.5
Estac Troyes
26.4
Dunkerque
25.8
PAU
25.8
Paris FC
25.5
Martigues
25.4
Metz
25.3
Lorient
25.1
RED Star FC 93
24.8
Clermont Foot
24.7
Grenoble
24.2
Rodez
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
41.6%
Under 9.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.6%
Under 3.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
76.2%
Under 21.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ajaccio
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.70
0.29
0.57
0.38
0.81
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.50
0.00
0.75
0.25
0.25
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.77
0.40
0.50
0.42
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (RED Star FC 93) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RED Star FC 93
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.61
0.71
0.62
0.69
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.25
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.67
0.70
0.60
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
39% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ajaccio over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RED Star FC 93 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RED Star FC 93 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RED Star FC 93 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ajaccio
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.86
0.50
0.19
0.69
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.00
0.75
0.75
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.45
0.90
0.40
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (RED Star FC 93) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RED Star FC 93
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
0.82
0.62
0.69
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.81
0.60
0.70
0.45
0.91
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ajaccio over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RED Star FC 93 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RED Star FC 93 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RED Star FC 93 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ajaccio
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aboubakary Kanté25%
Ben Touré15%
Moussa Soumano15%
Yoann Touzghar11%
Christopher Ibayi11%
Axel Bamba10%
Everson Junior10%
Julien Anziani9%
Mickaël Barreto8%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli7%
Benjamin Santelli4%
Tony Strata4%
Valentin Jacob0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Thomas Mangani0%
Clement Vidal0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stephen Quemper40%
Everson Junior29%
Thomas Mangani26%
Mickaël Barreto25%
Clement Vidal22%
Benjamin Santelli22%
Christopher Ibayi21%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli20%
Jesah Ayessa20%
Matthieu Huard18%
Ivane Chegra16%
Mohamed Youssouf15%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro14%
Axel Bamba13%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi13%
Julien Anziani12%
Ben Touré10%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz9%
Moussa Soumano7%
Tony Strata7%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Valentin Jacob0%
Aboubakary Kanté0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mickaël Barreto17%
Valentin Jacob14%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi9%
Moussa Soumano7%
Tony Strata7%
Thomas Mangani5%
Christopher Ibayi5%
Matthieu Huard5%
Benjamin Santelli4%
Aboubakary Kanté4%
Julien Anziani3%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Axel Bamba0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Clement Vidal0%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Everson Junior0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ben Touré0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julien Anziani26%
Christopher Ibayi16%
Moussa Soumano11%
Aboubakary Kanté8%
Ben Touré5%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Axel Bamba0%
Valentin Jacob0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Thomas Mangani0%
Benjamin Santelli0%
Clement Vidal0%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Everson Junior0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Tony Strata0%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi0%
RED Star FC 93
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hacene Benali21%
Damien Durand21%
Aliou Badji20%
Kemo Cissé12%
Pierre Lemonnier11%
Joachim Eickmayer8%
Bradley Danger7%
Merwan Ifnaoui6%
Fodé Doucouré5%
Hianga'a M'Bock4%
Samuel Renel3%
Loic Kouagba3%
Ryad Hachem3%
Aniss El Hriti0%
Bissenty Mendy0%
Quentin Beunardeau0%
Jose Dembi0%
Alioune Fall0%
Ivann Botella0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Josue Escartin0%
Blondon Meyapya Fongain0%
Robin Risser0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bissenty Mendy31%
Aliou Badji23%
Pierre Lemonnier22%
Hianga'a M'Bock19%
Ryad Hachem18%
Robin Risser16%
Bradley Danger14%
Josue Escartin13%
Joachim Eickmayer12%
Aniss El Hriti11%
Hacene Benali10%
Loic Kouagba9%
Fodé Doucouré9%
Damien Durand9%
Merwan Ifnaoui9%
Blondon Meyapya Fongain8%
Dylan Durivaux7%
Quentin Beunardeau7%
Jose Dembi6%
Kemo Cissé4%
Samuel Renel3%
Alioune Fall0%
Ivann Botella0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Merwan Ifnaoui15%
Aliou Badji10%
Samuel Renel10%
Ryad Hachem9%
Damien Durand9%
Dylan Durivaux7%
Hacene Benali7%
Joachim Eickmayer4%
Kemo Cissé4%
Aniss El Hriti0%
Loic Kouagba0%
Bissenty Mendy0%
Bradley Danger0%
Pierre Lemonnier0%
Quentin Beunardeau0%
Jose Dembi0%
Alioune Fall0%
Ivann Botella0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Fodé Doucouré0%
Josue Escartin0%
Blondon Meyapya Fongain0%
Robin Risser0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aliou Badji23%
Hacene Benali21%
Damien Durand15%
Ryad Hachem6%
Kemo Cissé4%
Hianga'a M'Bock4%
Samuel Renel3%
Aniss El Hriti0%
Loic Kouagba0%
Bissenty Mendy0%
Bradley Danger0%
Joachim Eickmayer0%
Pierre Lemonnier0%
Quentin Beunardeau0%
Jose Dembi0%
Alioune Fall0%
Ivann Botella0%
Fodé Doucouré0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Merwan Ifnaoui0%
Josue Escartin0%
Blondon Meyapya Fongain0%
Robin Risser0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Lorient
Paris FC
Metz
Dunkerque
Annecy
Guingamp
Laval
Bastia
Estac Troyes
PAU
Grenoble
Amiens
Rodez
Clermont Foot
Martigues
Caen
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