This opponent (Telstar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Telstar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.43
2.27
1.07
1.13
1.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.72
1.45
2.27
1.07
1.14
1.86
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.1%
Under 1.5
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
74.1%
Under 2.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.1%
No
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-0
13.9%
2-0 ✓
12.2%
4-0
11.8%
5-0
8.0%
1-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
4-1
5.5%
Ajax goals ↓
Telstar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.5%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
1
6.9%
3.7%
0.8%
0.1%
0.0%
2
12%
5.7%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
3
14%
6.4%
1.5%
0.2%
0.0%
4
12%
5.5%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ajax goals (down), columns = Telstar goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
Heerenveen
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Utrecht
2.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
ASWH
2.25
Heracles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
Feyenoord
2.00
Waalwijk
2.00
De Graafschap
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Winterswijk
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
Quick '20
2.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Hercules
1.67
Blauw Geel
1.67
Ajax
1.50
Groningen
1.50
Twente
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
TEC
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
ADO '20
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
RKAVV
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
HV & CV Quick
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Kolping Boys
1.33
Dovo
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Capelle
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Spakenburg
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
EVV
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
HBC
1.00
De Bilt
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Geldrop
1.00
Willem II
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Roda
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
GOES
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
HHC
0.00
URK
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Heerjansdam
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
ACV
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Huizen
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Laar
0.00
SVBO
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
UNA
0.00
ONS Sneek
0.00
DEM
0.00
Ajax and Telstar are level in average points per game (both 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Utrecht
3.00
Groningen
3.00
Barendrecht
3.00
Excelsior
2.67
Waalwijk
2.67
De Graafschap
2.67
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
FC Volendam
2.50
Hercules
2.33
Blauw Geel
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Feyenoord
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Twente
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Katwijk
2.00
GOES
2.00
TEC
2.00
URK
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
ACV
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
HBC
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Kolping Boys
1.67
Capelle
1.67
Willem II
1.50
Telstar
1.50
MVV
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
Heracles
1.40
SC Genemuiden
1.33
Winterswijk
1.33
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Roda
1.00
Ajax
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
De Treffers
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Heerjansdam
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Huizen
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
SVBO
1.00
RKAVV
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
UNA
1.00
ONS Sneek
1.00
DEM
1.00
Hoek
0.50
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Emmen
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
HHC
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
EVV
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Laar
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
Ajax is 0.50 goals worse than Telstar in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
EVV
0.00
Winterswijk
0.33
Heracles
0.40
Barendrecht
0.50
ASWH
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
ADO '20
0.50
RKAVV
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
Utrecht
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Ajax
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Telstar
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Emmen
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
HHC
1.00
Gemert
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
Waalwijk
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Blauw Geel
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
MVV
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Achilles Veen
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Excelsior
1.67
Hercules
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Willem II
2.00
Groningen
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Capelle
2.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
2.00
Forum Sport
2.00
Huizen
2.00
HBC
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
Zwaluw VFC
2.00
DAW Schaijk
2.00
Blauw Wit '34
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
DEM
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Twente
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Katwijk
2.50
Eemdijk
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Kolping Boys
2.67
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
Almere City FC
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
TEC
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
SVBO
3.00
ONS Sneek
3.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
De Treffers
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
GOES
4.00
URK
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
Heerjansdam
4.00
TOGB
4.00
UNA
4.00
ACV
5.00
Laar
6.00
Ajax and Telstar are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ajax
For 4.5 · Against 3.3 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.9 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Telstar
For 4.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 14.5 · Total 28.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ajax
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
7.4
8.7
4.0
3.7
4.3
21.7
20.8
22.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
7.2
6.8
7.6
5.2
5.6
4.9
25.8
24.0
27.0
vs Weaker (38)
8.3
7.6
9.2
3.6
3.2
4.1
20.2
19.9
20.5
% over line
27%
17%
36%
54%
56%
52%
40%
35%
45%
% under line
73%
83%
64%
46%
44%
48%
60%
65%
55%
This opponent (Telstar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Telstar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
11.0
9.7
3.1
2.9
3.3
24.8
23.9
25.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
10.3
10.9
9.7
3.2
2.9
3.5
24.9
24.2
25.6
vs Weaker (3)
11.0
14.0
9.5
1.3
2.0
1.0
23.3
17.0
26.5
% over line
53%
62%
44%
44%
40%
48%
73%
67%
80%
% under line
47%
38%
56%
56%
60%
52%
27%
33%
20%
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Heracles
11.2
Vitesse
11.2
Sparta Rotterdam
11.1
FC Volendam
11.1
NEC Nijmegen
11.0
Waalwijk
11.0
Cambuur
10.9
Dordrecht
10.9
Feyenoord
10.8
PSV Eindhoven
10.6
Den Bosch
10.5
Utrecht
10.5
FC Eindhoven
10.5
GO Ahead Eagles
10.4
PEC Zwolle
10.4
Emmen
10.3
Telstar
10.3
Willem II
10.3
Heerenveen
10.3
De Graafschap
10.3
Helmond Sport
10.1
Almere City FC
10.1
FC OSS
10.1
Excelsior
10.1
MVV
10.1
Fortuna Sittard
10.0
Twente
10.0
Roda
10.0
ADO Den Haag
9.9
Groningen
9.9
VVV Venlo
9.8
AZ Alkmaar
9.5
NAC Breda
9.3
Ajax
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ajax
4.1
Cambuur
4.1
ADO Den Haag
4.0
Excelsior
4.0
AZ Alkmaar
4.0
Vitesse
3.9
Feyenoord
3.9
NAC Breda
3.9
Roda
3.9
Almere City FC
3.9
Groningen
3.8
Emmen
3.8
Den Bosch
3.8
Willem II
3.8
NEC Nijmegen
3.7
PEC Zwolle
3.7
Helmond Sport
3.7
Dordrecht
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
VVV Venlo
3.6
Fortuna Sittard
3.6
PSV Eindhoven
3.6
Telstar
3.6
FC OSS
3.6
Twente
3.6
FC Volendam
3.5
Heracles
3.5
De Graafschap
3.5
Waalwijk
3.3
Sparta Rotterdam
3.3
MVV
3.2
GO Ahead Eagles
3.1
FC Eindhoven
3.1
Heerenveen
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Telstar
24.8
Vitesse
24.2
Dordrecht
24.1
Emmen
23.9
ADO Den Haag
23.9
FC OSS
23.6
VVV Venlo
23.1
Cambuur
23.1
Helmond Sport
22.8
Almere City FC
22.5
Roda
22.3
Heracles
22.1
Den Bosch
21.8
Ajax
21.7
MVV
21.7
NAC Breda
21.5
Groningen
21.5
NEC Nijmegen
21.1
AZ Alkmaar
21.0
Utrecht
20.6
PEC Zwolle
20.6
Fortuna Sittard
20.6
FC Eindhoven
20.5
Feyenoord
20.5
Willem II
20.4
De Graafschap
20.3
Twente
20.3
Heerenveen
20.1
FC Volendam
19.7
GO Ahead Eagles
19.5
Waalwijk
19.0
Excelsior
18.7
Sparta Rotterdam
18.6
PSV Eindhoven
17.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.7%
Under 9.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.7%
Under 3.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.9%
Under 21.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ajax or Draw✓ Hit
97.9%
Avg Implied -
90%
8%
2%
covers Ajax + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ajax or Telstar✓ Hit
92.4%
Avg Implied -
90%
8%
2%
covers Ajax + Telstar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Telstar✗ Miss
9.7%
Avg Implied -
90%
8%
2%
covers Draw + Telstar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ajax over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
96.7%
Under
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
85.3%
Under
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
66.0%
Under
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
44.1%
Under
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telstar over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
37.0%
Under
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telstar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telstar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telstar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.1%
Under
99.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ajax, so a minus line means Ajax give that many goals of a start and Telstar receive them. At -1, Ajax must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ajax win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ajax)Actual: Draw
Ajax -2
56.3%
Draw -2
19.9%
Telstar +2
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ajax)Actual: Ajax
Ajax -1
76.2%
Draw -1
14.1%
Telstar +1
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ajax)Actual: Ajax
Ajax +1
97.9%
Draw +1
1.6%
Telstar -1
0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ajax)Actual: Ajax
Ajax +2
99.6%
Draw +2
0.4%
Telstar -2
0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ajax
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.30
1.27
0.20
0.73
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.29
0.67
0.67
0.75
0.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.09
0.30
1.42
0.08
0.73
0.55
Clean sheet %
73% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (Telstar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Telstar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
1.13
0.53
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.90
0.59
1.13
0.53
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ajax over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telstar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telstar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telstar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ajax
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.60
1.20
0.40
1.20
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.00
1.14
2.00
1.00
0.25
1.25
vs Weaker (23)
1.26
0.43
1.00
0.25
1.55
0.64
Clean sheet %
53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Telstar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Telstar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.87
1.13
0.53
0.47
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.83
0.86
1.13
0.53
0.50
1.21
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ajax over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telstar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telstar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telstar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home -1 handicap
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ajax
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kenneth Taylor30%
Wout Weghorst29%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen27%
Youri Regeer25%
Davy Klaassen23%
Bertrand Traoré20%
Chuba Akpom19%
Brian Brobbey15%
Mika Godts14%
Kian Fitz-Jim13%
Kristian Hlynsson12%
Jorthy Mokio12%
Christian Rasmussen10%
Anton Gaaei8%
Steven Berghuis5%
Josip Šutalo5%
Branco van den Boomen5%
Devyne Rensch5%
Jorrel Hato5%
Daniele Rugani4%
Youri Baas3%
Jordan Henderson3%
Owen Wijndal0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Matheus0%
Lucas Rosa0%
Ahmetcan Kaplan0%
Dies Janse0%
Don-Angelo Konadu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Owen Wijndal38%
Lucas Rosa25%
Youri Regeer25%
Ahmetcan Kaplan25%
Jordan Henderson23%
Jorrel Hato23%
Anton Gaaei19%
Brian Brobbey18%
Kian Fitz-Jim15%
Kenneth Taylor15%
Branco van den Boomen15%
Youri Baas12%
Jorthy Mokio12%
Devyne Rensch10%
Wout Weghorst10%
Bertrand Traoré9%
Josip Šutalo8%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen7%
Steven Berghuis5%
Christian Rasmussen5%
Mika Godts5%
Daniele Rugani4%
Chuba Akpom0%
Davy Klaassen0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Matheus0%
Kristian Hlynsson0%
Dies Janse0%
Don-Angelo Konadu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Youri Regeer25%
Don-Angelo Konadu20%
Steven Berghuis16%
Bertrand Traoré16%
Anton Gaaei14%
Jordan Henderson13%
Brian Brobbey12%
Lucas Rosa12%
Kenneth Taylor11%
Matheus10%
Mika Godts10%
Jorrel Hato9%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen7%
Wout Weghorst6%
Davy Klaassen6%
Branco van den Boomen5%
Chuba Akpom4%
Remko Pasveer3%
Kian Fitz-Jim3%
Daniele Rugani0%
Josip Šutalo0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Christian Rasmussen0%
Devyne Rensch0%
Kristian Hlynsson0%
Ahmetcan Kaplan0%
Youri Baas0%
Dies Janse0%
Jorthy Mokio0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bertrand Traoré20%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen13%
Wout Weghorst13%
Kristian Hlynsson12%
Mika Godts12%
Branco van den Boomen10%
Brian Brobbey10%
Ahmetcan Kaplan8%
Chuba Akpom8%
Kenneth Taylor7%
Jorthy Mokio6%
Davy Klaassen6%
Steven Berghuis5%
Kian Fitz-Jim5%
Devyne Rensch5%
Anton Gaaei3%
Jordan Henderson0%
Daniele Rugani0%
Josip Šutalo0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Matheus0%
Lucas Rosa0%
Youri Regeer0%
Christian Rasmussen0%
Youri Baas0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Dies Janse0%
Don-Angelo Konadu0%
Telstar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zakaria Eddahchouri48%
Youssef El Kachati47%
Danny Bakker18%
Soufiane Hetli14%
Jeff Hardeveld12%
Mees Kaandorp11%
Mohamed Hamdaoui9%
Tyrone Owusu9%
Tyrese Noslin8%
Tom Overtoom6%
Jayden Turfkruier2%
Nils Rossen2%
Guus Offerhaus2%
Ronald Koeman Jr0%
Mitch Apau0%
Reda Kharchouch0%
Sem Dirks0%
Remi van Ekeris0%
Devon Koswal0%
Achraf Douiri0%
Cain Seedorf0%
Adil Lechkar0%
Sebastiaan Hagedoorn0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Achraf Douiri33%
Youssef El Kachati20%
Remi van Ekeris20%
Devon Koswal20%
Danny Bakker18%
Tyrese Noslin18%
Guus Offerhaus14%
Jayden Turfkruier12%
Jeff Hardeveld12%
Tyrone Owusu12%
Nils Rossen12%
Mitch Apau11%
Reda Kharchouch10%
Mohamed Hamdaoui6%
Sem Dirks6%
Soufiane Hetli3%
Ronald Koeman Jr2%
Tom Overtoom0%
Zakaria Eddahchouri0%
Mees Kaandorp0%
Cain Seedorf0%
Adil Lechkar0%
Sebastiaan Hagedoorn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cain Seedorf25%
Jeff Hardeveld19%
Mohamed Hamdaoui18%
Mees Kaandorp17%
Nils Rossen16%
Tyrone Owusu15%
Tom Overtoom12%
Youssef El Kachati11%
Tyrese Noslin10%
Danny Bakker9%
Soufiane Hetli9%
Zakaria Eddahchouri8%
Guus Offerhaus7%
Remi van Ekeris5%
Reda Kharchouch3%
Devon Koswal3%
Jayden Turfkruier2%
Ronald Koeman Jr0%
Mitch Apau0%
Sem Dirks0%
Achraf Douiri0%
Adil Lechkar0%
Sebastiaan Hagedoorn0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zakaria Eddahchouri76%
Youssef El Kachati44%
Soufiane Hetli14%
Tyrese Noslin10%
Danny Bakker7%
Jeff Hardeveld5%
Nils Rossen2%
Mohamed Hamdaoui0%
Tom Overtoom0%
Ronald Koeman Jr0%
Mees Kaandorp0%
Mitch Apau0%
Reda Kharchouch0%
Tyrone Owusu0%
Guus Offerhaus0%
Sem Dirks0%
Remi van Ekeris0%
Devon Koswal0%
Achraf Douiri0%
Cain Seedorf0%
Jayden Turfkruier0%
Adil Lechkar0%
Sebastiaan Hagedoorn0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
Ajax's squad is €165m more valuable than Telstar's (€173m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
Ajax's attack is €92m more valuable than Telstar's (€95m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
Ajax's midfield is €13m more valuable than Telstar's (€15m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
Ajax's defence is €60m more valuable than Telstar's (€63m vs €3m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Heracles
NAC Breda
Willem II
Waalwijk
Almere City FC
Dordrecht
Den Bosch
Cambuur
De Graafschap
ADO Den Haag
FC Volendam
Excelsior
Emmen
Jong AZ
FC Eindhoven
Roda
Helmond Sport
Vitesse
VVV Venlo
MVV
FC OSS
Jong Ajax
Jong PSV U21
Jong Utrecht