This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.73
1.27
0.47
1.27
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.20
0.53
1.38
0.50
1.00
0.57
vs Weaker (15)
1.33
0.93
1.14
0.43
1.50
1.38
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
54.7%
Under 1.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
26.7%
Under 2.5
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
10.7%
Under 3.5
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
35.1%
No
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0 ✓
18.0%
1-0
16.4%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
0-2
4.4%
Alaves goals ↓
Levante goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
18%
11%
4.4%
1.1%
0.2%
1
16%
14%
4.7%
1.1%
0.2%
2
9.4%
6.9%
2.5%
0.6%
0.1%
3
3.3%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
4
0.9%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Alaves goals (down), columns = Levante goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Granada CF
1.79
Levante
1.72
Alaves
1.72
Las Palmas
1.71
Eibar
1.64
Albacete
1.52
FC Andorra
1.40
Oviedo
1.40
FC Cartagena
1.38
Tenerife
1.36
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.29
Leganes
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Huesca
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Villarreal II
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.19
Malaga
1.05
Ponferradina
1.05
Ibiza
0.81
Lugo
0.74
Alaves and Levante are level in average points per game (both 1.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Albacete
1.34
Granada CF
1.31
Villarreal II
1.17
Las Palmas
1.17
Mirandes
1.14
Levante
1.13
FC Andorra
1.12
FC Cartagena
1.12
Alaves
1.11
Eibar
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Tenerife
1.00
Ponferradina
0.95
Zaragoza
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Malaga
0.88
Leganes
0.88
Huesca
0.86
Oviedo
0.81
Burgos
0.79
Ibiza
0.79
Lugo
0.64
Alaves is 0.02 goals worse than Levante in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.13).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Las Palmas
0.69
Levante
0.70
Granada CF
0.71
Alaves
0.74
Burgos
0.83
Oviedo
0.83
Huesca
0.86
Tenerife
0.88
FC Andorra
0.88
Eibar
0.89
Zaragoza
0.93
Racing Santander
0.95
Leganes
1.00
Malaga
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.17
Albacete
1.20
Ponferradina
1.26
Mirandes
1.29
Villarreal II
1.31
Lugo
1.36
Ibiza
1.57
Alaves is 0.04 goals worse than Levante in terms of goals conceded per game (0.74 vs 0.70).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Alaves
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Levante
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Alaves
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
12.0
7.0
0.8
0.6
1.1
25.3
23.0
27.7
vs Stronger (1)
13.0
13.0
-
7.0
7.0
-
19.0
19.0
-
vs Similar (33)
8.8
11.5
7.0
1.1
0.5
1.6
26.6
25.0
27.7
vs Weaker (16)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
33%
67%
0%
10%
8%
12%
67%
67%
67%
% under line
67%
33%
100%
90%
92%
88%
33%
33%
33%
This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.3
10.0
0.8
1.0
0.6
22.8
23.7
22.0
vs Stronger (2)
12.5
13.0
12.0
4.0
5.0
3.0
17.5
21.0
14.0
vs Similar (26)
9.8
10.5
9.0
1.2
1.5
0.8
25.5
25.0
26.0
vs Weaker (22)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
67%
67%
67%
8%
12%
4%
33%
33%
33%
% under line
33%
33%
33%
92%
88%
96%
67%
67%
67%
This opponent (Alaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mirandes
9.9
Huesca
9.9
Alaves
9.9
Ibiza
9.7
Zaragoza
9.6
Granada CF
9.3
Ponferradina
9.3
Eibar
9.2
Sporting Gijon
9.2
Malaga
9.2
Burgos
9.2
Lugo
9.1
Levante
9.0
Racing Santander
8.8
Oviedo
8.8
Tenerife
8.7
Las Palmas
8.7
Leganes
8.6
FC Cartagena
8.5
Albacete
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.0
Granada CF
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Albacete
5.5
Las Palmas
5.4
Levante
5.4
Tenerife
5.3
Zaragoza
5.1
Oviedo
5.0
FC Cartagena
4.9
Mirandes
4.9
Leganes
4.9
Huesca
4.8
Ponferradina
4.8
Alaves
4.7
Sporting Gijon
4.7
Lugo
4.6
Eibar
4.3
Ibiza
4.2
Burgos
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
33.9
Las Palmas
30.7
Leganes
30.0
Albacete
29.4
FC Cartagena
28.9
Ibiza
28.1
Huesca
28.1
Malaga
28.0
Tenerife
28.0
Lugo
27.7
Oviedo
27.2
Alaves
26.7
Zaragoza
26.6
Granada CF
25.9
Mirandes
25.6
Levante
25.3
Burgos
24.6
Eibar
24.6
Ponferradina
24.4
Sporting Gijon
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.4%
Under 9.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.0%
Under 3.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.0%
Under 21.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Alaves
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.43
0.47
0.27
0.27
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.45
0.30
0.30
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (10)
0.40
0.40
0.80
0.20
0.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.30
0.73
0.20
0.73
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.13
0.75
0.12
0.71
0.14
vs Weaker (15)
0.73
0.47
0.71
0.29
0.75
0.62
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Alaves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Alaves
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.30
0.93
0.20
0.53
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.30
1.10
0.20
0.50
0.40
vs Weaker (10)
0.60
0.30
0.60
0.20
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.43
0.53
0.27
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.40
0.62
0.38
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (15)
0.60
0.47
0.43
0.14
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Alaves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Alaves
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Asier Villalibre25%
Mamadou Sylla22%
Luis Rioja19%
Abderrahman Rebbach14%
Miguel de la Fuente12%
Xeber Alkain12%
Nahuel Tenaglia8%
Salva Sevilla8%
Toni Moya7%
Taichi Hara7%
Jason6%
Rober González3%
Carlos Benavídez3%
Abdelkabir Abqar3%
Jon Guridi2%
Aleksandar Sedlar0%
Nikola Maraš0%
Antonio Sivera0%
Rubén Duarte0%
Víctor Laguardia0%
Anderson Arroyo0%
Abdallahi Mahmoud0%
Antonio Blanco0%
Javi López0%
Alex Balboa0%
Joaquin Panichelli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Antonio Blanco56%
Rubén Duarte39%
Carlos Benavídez36%
Salva Sevilla32%
Abdelkabir Abqar31%
Joaquin Panichelli25%
Nahuel Tenaglia21%
Aleksandar Sedlar21%
Asier Villalibre20%
Víctor Laguardia19%
Miguel de la Fuente15%
Luis Rioja14%
Taichi Hara13%
Jon Guridi12%
Rober González10%
Nikola Maraš10%
Toni Moya9%
Alex Balboa9%
Abderrahman Rebbach9%
Antonio Sivera9%
Jason9%
Mamadou Sylla9%
Javi López6%
Anderson Arroyo6%
Xeber Alkain3%
Abdallahi Mahmoud0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rubén Duarte12%
Luis Rioja12%
Miguel de la Fuente12%
Asier Villalibre10%
Toni Moya9%
Abderrahman Rebbach9%
Rober González7%
Nahuel Tenaglia5%
Salva Sevilla5%
Mamadou Sylla4%
Jon Guridi2%
Carlos Benavídez0%
Taichi Hara0%
Aleksandar Sedlar0%
Nikola Maraš0%
Abdelkabir Abqar0%
Antonio Sivera0%
Víctor Laguardia0%
Jason0%
Anderson Arroyo0%
Xeber Alkain0%
Abdallahi Mahmoud0%
Antonio Blanco0%
Javi López0%
Alex Balboa0%
Joaquin Panichelli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Abderrahman Rebbach18%
Asier Villalibre15%
Miguel de la Fuente15%
Luis Rioja10%
Jason9%
Mamadou Sylla9%
Nahuel Tenaglia5%
Rober González3%
Jon Guridi2%
Toni Moya2%
Carlos Benavídez0%
Taichi Hara0%
Aleksandar Sedlar0%
Nikola Maraš0%
Salva Sevilla0%
Abdelkabir Abqar0%
Antonio Sivera0%
Rubén Duarte0%
Víctor Laguardia0%
Anderson Arroyo0%
Xeber Alkain0%
Abdallahi Mahmoud0%
Antonio Blanco0%
Javi López0%
Alex Balboa0%
Joaquin Panichelli0%
Levante
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Shkodran Mustafi33%
José Campaña24%
Mohamed Bouldini20%
Robert Ibáñez16%
Joni Montiel14%
Roger Brugué12%
Roberto Soldado10%
Jorge de Frutos9%
Álejandro Cantero8%
Wesley Moraes8%
Pablo Martínez7%
Vicente Iborra5%
Marc Pubill4%
Son3%
Pepelu2%
Marcelo Saracchi0%
Charly Musonda Jr0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Rúben Vezo0%
Sergio Postigo0%
Róber Pier0%
Enric Franquesa0%
Joan Femenías0%
Dani Cárdenas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roberto Soldado34%
Shkodran Mustafi33%
Rúben Vezo30%
Sergio Postigo28%
Joni Montiel28%
Pepelu28%
Álex Muñoz24%
Charly Musonda Jr22%
Marcelo Saracchi21%
Vicente Iborra20%
Mohamed Bouldini20%
José Campaña19%
Wesley Moraes18%
Marc Pubill18%
Jorge de Frutos14%
Robert Ibáñez12%
Dani Cárdenas12%
Pablo Martínez11%
Álejandro Cantero11%
Róber Pier11%
Son8%
Roger Brugué4%
Enric Franquesa0%
Joan Femenías0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jorge de Frutos12%
Wesley Moraes8%
Álejandro Cantero6%
Mohamed Bouldini5%
Joni Montiel5%
Pepelu5%
Pablo Martínez4%
Roberto Soldado3%
Dani Cárdenas3%
Álex Muñoz3%
Marcelo Saracchi0%
Shkodran Mustafi0%
Vicente Iborra0%
Charly Musonda Jr0%
Robert Ibáñez0%
Roger Brugué0%
Rúben Vezo0%
Sergio Postigo0%
Róber Pier0%
José Campaña0%
Enric Franquesa0%
Joan Femenías0%
Son0%
Marc Pubill0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roger Brugué25%
Joni Montiel21%
Mohamed Bouldini12%
Pablo Martínez11%
Álejandro Cantero8%
Marc Pubill7%
Jorge de Frutos7%
Roberto Soldado7%
Wesley Moraes3%
Vicente Iborra2%
Marcelo Saracchi0%
Shkodran Mustafi0%
Charly Musonda Jr0%
Robert Ibáñez0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Rúben Vezo0%
Sergio Postigo0%
Róber Pier0%
Pepelu0%
José Campaña0%
Enric Franquesa0%
Joan Femenías0%
Son0%
Dani Cárdenas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Alaves's squad is €21m less valuable than Levante's (€68m vs €89m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEV (10)
€51m
RS (7)
€34m
MAL (11)
€26m
ALA (8)
€24m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Alaves's attack is €27m less valuable than Levante's (€24m vs €51m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (5)
€28m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Alaves's midfield is €6m more valuable than Levante's (€22m vs €16m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (8)
€28m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Alaves and Levante have a similar defence value (both €22m).
Spain: Segunda División 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →