This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.53
0.93
1.67
1.00
1.40
vs Stronger (17)
0.82
1.76
0.73
2.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (13)
1.15
1.23
1.50
0.75
1.00
1.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.5%
@ 2.15+1.7%
Under 2.5
54.5%
@ 1.68-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.1%
No
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.1%
0-0
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.3%
Albacete goals ↓
FC Cartagena goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
8.9%
6.3%
2.6%
0.8%
1
9.1%
14%
8.0%
3.3%
1.0%
2
6.5%
8.1%
5.0%
2.1%
0.6%
3
2.7%
3.4%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albacete goals (down), columns = FC Cartagena goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leganes
1.76
Valladolid
1.71
Espanyol
1.65
Eibar
1.64
Oviedo
1.54
Racing Santander
1.52
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Burgos
1.40
Levante
1.40
Elche
1.40
Racing Ferrol
1.40
Tenerife
1.33
FC Cartagena
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Albacete
1.21
Eldense
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Mirandes
1.17
Amorebieta
1.07
Alcorcon
1.05
Villarreal II
1.02
FC Andorra
1.02
Albacete and FC Cartagena are level in average points per game (both 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eibar
1.64
Racing Santander
1.50
Espanyol
1.35
Leganes
1.33
Oviedo
1.26
Burgos
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Albacete
1.19
Levante
1.17
Racing Ferrol
1.17
Sporting Gijon
1.16
Mirandes
1.12
Eldense
1.10
Elche
1.02
Zaragoza
1.00
Villarreal II
0.98
Tenerife
0.90
Amorebieta
0.88
FC Cartagena
0.88
Huesca
0.86
FC Andorra
0.79
Alcorcon
0.76
Albacete is 0.31 goals better than FC Cartagena in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leganes
0.64
Huesca
0.79
Valladolid
0.86
Oviedo
0.89
Espanyol
0.89
Tenerife
0.98
Sporting Gijon
0.98
Zaragoza
1.00
Levante
1.07
Elche
1.10
Eibar
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.21
Racing Ferrol
1.24
Amorebieta
1.26
FC Andorra
1.26
Alcorcon
1.26
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Eldense
1.33
Albacete
1.33
Villarreal II
1.48
Albacete is 0.12 goals worse than FC Cartagena in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
63%
Elche
58%
Valladolid
56%
Eibar
55%
Oviedo
54%
Sporting Gijon
54%
Levante
52%
Racing Ferrol
52%
Espanyol
51%
Zaragoza
50%
Villarreal II
50%
Tenerife
50%
Albacete
49%
Racing Santander
47%
Burgos
47%
Amorebieta
46%
Leganes
46%
Eldense
45%
Huesca
45%
Mirandes
45%
FC Cartagena
44%
Alcorcon
42%
Albacete is 4.8 percentage points better than FC Cartagena in terms of average possession (49% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Albacete
For 5.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 11.3 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Cartagena
For 4.0 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 12.6 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Albacete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.5
8.1
2.1
2.3
1.8
26.5
26.0
26.9
vs Stronger (12)
8.6
9.7
7.0
1.9
2.8
1.0
30.4
29.7
31.5
vs Similar (35)
8.1
7.8
8.3
2.2
2.2
2.2
25.8
25.5
26.0
vs Weaker (3)
11.0
11.0
-
0.7
1.0
0.0
19.0
19.0
-
% over line
21%
25%
17%
30%
36%
24%
83%
75%
92%
% under line
79%
75%
83%
70%
64%
76%
17%
25%
8%
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.7
9.3
2.6
2.6
2.6
26.0
26.8
25.2
vs Stronger (27)
9.4
9.1
10.0
2.9
3.2
2.6
26.9
26.0
28.8
vs Similar (23)
9.6
10.8
9.0
2.3
1.7
2.7
25.0
28.2
23.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
58%
50%
38%
36%
40%
88%
92%
83%
% under line
46%
42%
50%
62%
64%
60%
12%
8%
17%
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mirandes
10.5
Huesca
10.0
Valladolid
9.9
Espanyol
9.8
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Burgos
9.7
Levante
9.6
Racing Santander
9.6
Villarreal II
9.5
Amorebieta
9.4
Eibar
9.4
Elche
9.3
Eldense
9.3
Zaragoza
9.2
Oviedo
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
FC Cartagena
8.9
Leganes
8.9
Alcorcon
8.8
Racing Ferrol
8.5
Albacete
8.3
FC Andorra
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Espanyol
5.9
Racing Santander
5.8
Levante
5.5
Oviedo
5.4
Elche
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.3
Tenerife
5.2
FC Cartagena
5.2
Huesca
5.2
Leganes
5.1
Valladolid
5.0
Mirandes
5.0
Zaragoza
5.0
FC Andorra
4.9
Villarreal II
4.8
Eibar
4.8
Albacete
4.7
Alcorcon
4.6
Amorebieta
4.4
Burgos
4.3
Eldense
4.1
Racing Ferrol
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
31.1
Leganes
28.4
Oviedo
28.0
FC Cartagena
27.3
Elche
27.3
Espanyol
27.3
Tenerife
27.0
Valladolid
26.9
Albacete
26.9
Eldense
26.7
Huesca
26.6
Levante
26.2
Zaragoza
26.2
Alcorcon
25.9
Villarreal II
25.5
FC Andorra
25.5
Amorebieta
25.3
Racing Ferrol
25.1
Mirandes
24.9
Eibar
24.2
Sporting Gijon
23.6
Burgos
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.2%
Under 9.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.9%
Under 3.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
78.4%
Under 21.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Albacete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.70
0.47
0.47
0.40
0.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.25
0.40
0.80
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.45
0.44
0.11
0.36
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.83
0.47
0.93
0.27
0.73
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
1.00
0.55
1.09
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (13)
0.23
0.62
0.25
0.50
0.22
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albacete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Albacete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
0.87
0.73
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.75
0.40
0.80
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.95
1.11
0.78
0.55
1.09
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.47
0.73
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (17)
0.35
0.76
0.18
0.91
0.67
0.50
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.62
1.25
0.25
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albacete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Albacete
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alberto Quiles24%
Manuel Fuster17%
Higinio Marín16%
Agus Medina11%
Jonathan Silva10%
Juanma García8%
Cristian Glauder8%
Álvaro Rodríguez7%
Dani Escriche6%
Lander Olaetxea5%
Juan Antonio Ros5%
Mohammed Djetei4%
Antonio Pacheco4%
Carlos Isaac3%
Julio Alonso0%
Tomáš Vaclík0%
Toni Datković0%
Fidel0%
Bernabé Barragán0%
Samuel Shashoua0%
Riki Rodríguez0%
Rai Marchán0%
Diego Altube0%
Pedro Benito0%
Kaiky0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lander Olaetxea38%
Jonathan Silva28%
Toni Datković25%
Kaiky25%
Álvaro Rodríguez23%
Juan Antonio Ros23%
Cristian Glauder21%
Agus Medina20%
Rai Marchán20%
Diego Altube20%
Riki Rodríguez15%
Dani Escriche15%
Julio Alonso15%
Carlos Isaac12%
Mohammed Djetei12%
Alberto Quiles10%
Bernabé Barragán8%
Fidel7%
Manuel Fuster7%
Antonio Pacheco4%
Higinio Marín3%
Juanma García3%
Tomáš Vaclík0%
Samuel Shashoua0%
Pedro Benito0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Fuster24%
Fidel14%
Dani Escriche12%
Álvaro Rodríguez10%
Higinio Marín10%
Riki Rodríguez8%
Alberto Quiles7%
Juanma García5%
Lander Olaetxea5%
Antonio Pacheco4%
Carlos Isaac3%
Agus Medina3%
Cristian Glauder3%
Julio Alonso0%
Tomáš Vaclík0%
Toni Datković0%
Bernabé Barragán0%
Mohammed Djetei0%
Jonathan Silva0%
Samuel Shashoua0%
Rai Marchán0%
Diego Altube0%
Juan Antonio Ros0%
Pedro Benito0%
Kaiky0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Manuel Fuster29%
Alberto Quiles21%
Dani Escriche21%
Higinio Marín16%
Juan Antonio Ros5%
Agus Medina3%
Riki Rodríguez3%
Carlos Isaac0%
Julio Alonso0%
Tomáš Vaclík0%
Toni Datković0%
Fidel0%
Bernabé Barragán0%
Mohammed Djetei0%
Jonathan Silva0%
Cristian Glauder0%
Samuel Shashoua0%
Juanma García0%
Lander Olaetxea0%
Álvaro Rodríguez0%
Rai Marchán0%
Diego Altube0%
Antonio Pacheco0%
Pedro Benito0%
Kaiky0%
FC Cartagena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alfredo Ortuño22%
Darío Poveda17%
Juan Carlos12%
Ivan Ayllon12%
Jose Fontán11%
Andy Rodríguez10%
Luis Muñoz9%
Juan Narváez6%
Jairo Izquierdo6%
Isak Jansson6%
Arnau Solà6%
Kiko Olivas5%
Tomás Alarcón3%
Ivan Calero3%
Hector Hevel0%
Úmaro Embaló0%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gonzalo Verdú0%
Mikel Rico0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
David Ferreiro0%
Damián Musto0%
Marc Martínez0%
Lautaro De León0%
Arnau Ortiz0%
Jonathan Carmona0%
Diego Moreno0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tomás Alarcón37%
Damián Musto25%
Jose Fontán24%
Alfredo Ortuño22%
Pedro Alcalá22%
Ivan Calero22%
Gonzalo Verdú21%
Hector Hevel20%
Luis Muñoz18%
Isak Jansson17%
Raúl Lizoain16%
Marc Martínez14%
Andy Rodríguez14%
Arnau Ortiz14%
Mikel Rico13%
Úmaro Embaló12%
Juan Carlos12%
Arnau Solà11%
Juan Narváez6%
Darío Poveda6%
Jonathan Carmona6%
Kiko Olivas5%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
David Ferreiro0%
Lautaro De León0%
Diego Moreno0%
Ivan Ayllon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hector Hevel13%
Jairo Izquierdo11%
David Ferreiro11%
Ivan Calero11%
Alfredo Ortuño8%
Arnau Ortiz7%
Úmaro Embaló6%
Luis Muñoz6%
Darío Poveda6%
Isak Jansson6%
Jonathan Carmona6%
Andy Rodríguez5%
Juan Carlos4%
Tomás Alarcón3%
Juan Narváez0%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gonzalo Verdú0%
Mikel Rico0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
Marc Martínez0%
Arnau Solà0%
Lautaro De León0%
Jose Fontán0%
Diego Moreno0%
Ivan Ayllon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hector Hevel13%
Alfredo Ortuño12%
Juan Carlos12%
Ivan Ayllon12%
Juan Narváez6%
Luis Muñoz6%
Tomás Alarcón6%
Isak Jansson6%
Mikel Rico3%
Úmaro Embaló0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gonzalo Verdú0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
David Ferreiro0%
Damián Musto0%
Ivan Calero0%
Darío Poveda0%
Marc Martínez0%
Andy Rodríguez0%
Arnau Solà0%
Lautaro De León0%
Jose Fontán0%
Arnau Ortiz0%
Jonathan Carmona0%
Diego Moreno0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →