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Albion Rvs vs Annan Athletic Result & Analysis

Date: 29/12/2018
Time: 00:00
Final 1-1
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
22%
26%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
22.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic win✗ Miss
52.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D30W13L03L12L12L02L11D24L03LA·COW22/09H·STI29/09A·ANN06/10H·QUE27/10A·PET03/11H·EDI10/11A·BER17/11H·COW01/12A·ELG08/12H·CLY22/12
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.872.171.062.060.642.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.822.231.082.250.502.20
vs Weaker (8)1.002.001.001.501.002.50
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L31W10W00D02L22D12L12L01L40WH·PET29/09H·ALB06/10A·ELG27/10A·QUE03/11H·COW10/11H·STI17/11A·PET01/12H·EDI08/12A·CLY15/12H·BER22/12
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.371.941.441.141.29
vs Stronger (18)1.671.112.111.331.220.89
vs Similar (9)1.671.892.001.601.252.25
vs Weaker (3)0.671.331.001.500.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.2%
Under 2.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Annan Athletic goals →
01234
07.2%9.4%9.2%5.3%2.3%
15.3%12%9.8%5.7%2.5%
23.4%6.0%5.2%3.0%1.3%
31.2%2.1%1.8%1.1%0.5%
40.3%0.6%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Annan Athletic goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
2.19
Clyde
2.17
Edinburgh City
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.83
Stirling
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.19
Elgin
1.19
Queens Park
1.14
Albion Rvs
0.67
Berwick
0.53
Albion Rvs is 1.17 points worse than Annan Athletic in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.83).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.94
Peterhead
1.81
Clyde
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.61
Elgin
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stirling
1.22
Queens Park
1.17
Albion Rvs
0.81
Berwick
0.75
Albion Rvs is 1.14 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.94).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Peterhead
0.81
Clyde
0.83
Edinburgh City
0.86
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Queens Park
1.33
Elgin
1.86
Albion Rvs
2.00
Berwick
2.53
Albion Rvs is 0.92 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.08).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 6.5 · Against 5.7 · Total 12.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

17023854109542561118771078513141461112151715H·CLYA·ELGH·COWA·BERH·EDIA·PETH·QUEA·ANNH·STIA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

40112221221211121211341413233H·CLYA·ELGH·COWA·BERH·EDIA·PETH·QUEA·ANNH·STIA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 11.1 · Total 21.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

26091212121079141012136111591416781221241723221926232320H·CLYA·ELGH·COWA·BERH·EDIA·PETH·QUEA·ANNH·STIA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 5.1 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

15054568564272142678639111366958159H·BERA·CLYH·EDIA·PETH·STIH·COWA·QUEA·ELGH·ALBH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6023211323242431111115345663222H·BERA·CLYH·EDIA·PETH·STIH·COWA·QUEA·ELGH·ALBH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.7 · Total 23.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

31016151181119131312135187812914991531193026252315212324H·BERA·CLYH·EDIA·PETH·STIH·COWA·QUEA·ELGH·ALBH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.511.39.72.92.73.221.020.921.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (36)10.411.19.62.82.82.820.921.320.4
vs Weaker (14)10.811.79.93.32.34.321.419.922.9
% over line54%64%44%38%32%44%46%44%48%
% under line46%36%56%62%68%56%54%56%52%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.59.73.73.83.523.525.321.5
vs Stronger (29)9.08.69.43.64.12.924.425.722.9
vs Similar (16)9.08.89.23.63.23.921.624.019.2
vs Weaker (5)9.67.313.04.63.76.024.226.321.0
% over line36%23%50%46%54%38%74%88%58%
% under line64%77%50%54%46%62%26%12%42%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
10.5
Stirling
10.2
Queens Park
10.0
Clyde
9.9
Elgin
9.9
Edinburgh City
9.5
Peterhead
9.3
Berwick
9.1
Annan Athletic
9.1
Cowdenbeath
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.0
Clyde
3.8
Queens Park
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.6
Peterhead
3.6
Elgin
3.6
Stirling
3.4
Berwick
3.1
Albion Rvs
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.0
Edinburgh City
24.5
Cowdenbeath
23.8
Annan Athletic
23.5
Stirling
23.3
Berwick
22.7
Elgin
22.4
Clyde
22.0
Albion Rvs
21.0
Queens Park
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.6%
Under 9.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.3%
Under 3.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.5%
Under 21.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L02L02L11D01L11D12L02LA·COW22/09H·STI29/09A·ANN06/10H·QUE27/10A·PET03/11H·EDI10/11A·BER17/11H·COW01/12A·ELG08/12H·CLY22/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.100.691.000.141.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.501.140.751.080.201.20
vs Weaker (8)0.251.000.500.750.001.25
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W10W00D00D10W01L01L00D10WH·PET29/09H·ALB06/10A·ELG27/10A·QUE03/11H·COW10/11H·STI17/11A·PET01/12H·EDI08/12A·CLY15/12H·BER22/12
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.400.380.380.570.43
vs Stronger (18)0.500.390.330.330.670.44
vs Similar (9)0.440.440.400.400.500.50
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W12L01L10W01L01L00D12L01LA·COW22/09H·STI29/09A·ANN06/10H·QUE27/10A·PET03/11H·EDI10/11A·BER17/11H·COW01/12A·ELG08/12H·CLY22/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.070.381.060.501.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.321.090.331.170.301.00
vs Weaker (8)0.751.000.500.751.001.25
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L21W00D00D02L12L11D11D01L30WH·PET29/09H·ALB06/10A·ELG27/10A·QUE03/11H·COW10/11H·STI17/11A·PET01/12H·EDI08/12A·CLY15/12H·BER22/12
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.971.561.060.570.86
vs Stronger (18)1.170.721.781.000.560.44
vs Similar (9)1.221.441.601.200.751.75
vs Weaker (3)0.331.000.501.000.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards89.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards77.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
AR wins
0
Draws
1
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Annan Athletic · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/18AAnnan Athletic Vs AR3-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/12/18HAR Vs Clyde0-3
08/12/18AElgin Vs AR4-2
01/12/18HAR Vs Cowdenbeath1-1
17/11/18ABerwick Vs AR2-0
10/11/18HAR Vs Edinburgh City1-2
03/11/18APeterhead Vs AR2-1
27/10/18HAR Vs Queens Park0-3
06/10/18AAnnan Athletic Vs AR3-1
29/09/18HAR Vs Stirling3-0
22/09/18ACowdenbeath Vs AR1-1

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/12/18HAA Vs Berwick4-0
15/12/18AClyde Vs AA1-0
08/12/18HAA Vs Edinburgh City1-2
01/12/18APeterhead Vs AA2-1
17/11/18HAA Vs Stirling2-2
10/11/18HAA Vs Cowdenbeath0-2
03/11/18AQueens Park Vs AA0-0
27/10/18AElgin Vs AA0-1
06/10/18HAA Vs Albion Rvs3-1
29/09/18HAA Vs Peterhead1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL0.64
HomeWLLDL0.64
AwayDLLLL0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%16%16%
AVG goals3.503.323.68
Over 1.5 %88%84%92%
Over 2.5 %66%72%60%
Over 3.5 %48%40%56%
Scored1.281.161.40
Conceded2.222.162.28
BTTS60%60%60%
Clean Sheet6%8%4%
Corners10.4811.289.68
Cards2.942.683.20
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.36
HomeWLDLW1.42
AwayWWDLL1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%35%38%
AVG goals2.502.622.38
Over 1.5 %72%77%67%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %26%35%17%
Scored1.361.501.21
Conceded1.141.121.17
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet30%27%33%
Corners9.068.509.67
Cards3.663.813.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3679
67%
2.2
6529+36
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.7
42%
3.5
47%
24.2
69%
0
0001.80.8
-
2ClydeClyde3678
67%
2.2
6530+35
2.6
72%
50%
22%
8.9
33%
3.3
44%
19.7
36%
0
0001.80.8
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3667
56%
1.9
5831+27
2.5
69%
44%
28%
8.6
42%
4.0
61%
24.6
75%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3666
56%
1.8
7039+31
3.0
89%
72%
31%
10.1
58%
3.8
50%
23.6
78%
0
0001.91.1
-
5StirlingStirling3647
36%
1.3
4445-1
2.5
64%
50%
22%
11.0
64%
3.4
47%
21.9
50%
0
0001.21.2
-
6CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3643
33%
1.2
4646+0
2.6
75%
44%
22%
9.2
47%
3.7
50%
22.2
56%
0
0001.31.3
-
7ElginElgin3643
36%
1.2
5267-15
3.3
86%
69%
36%
9.9
50%
2.9
28%
21.2
50%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Queens ParkQueens Park3641
28%
1.1
4248-6
2.5
81%
44%
22%
9.4
44%
3.4
36%
20.6
44%
0
0001.21.3
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
3624
17%
0.7
2972-43
2.8
78%
50%
31%
10.6
64%
2.6
25%
21.7
53%
0
0000.82.0
-
10
B
Berwick
3619
14%
0.5
2791-64
3.3
86%
64%
31%
9.2
44%
3.4
50%
23.8
67%
0
0000.82.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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