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Albion Rvs vs Annan Athletic Result & Analysis

Date: 04/05/2019
Time: 00:00
Final 0-2
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
15%
22%
63%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
14.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic win✓ Hit
62.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L11D10W20W10W01L04L11D32W30WA·ANN23/02H·BER02/03A·STI09/03A·ELG23/03H·COW26/03H·CLY30/03H·QUE06/04A·PET13/04H·EDI20/04A·BER27/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.800.792.000.941.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.941.690.432.001.331.44
vs Weaker (14)0.791.931.142.000.431.86
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W21W12L31W12L10W60W22D30W32WA·BER26/02H·QUE02/03A·PET09/03H·EDI16/03A·CLY23/03A·ELG30/03H·BER06/04H·STI13/04A·QUE20/04H·COW27/04
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.132.471.131.401.13
vs Stronger (19)2.210.892.800.901.560.89
vs Similar (8)1.751.622.001.751.501.50
vs Weaker (3)0.671.331.001.000.501.50
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.3%
Under 2.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.6%
No
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2 ✓
11.0%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Annan Athletic goals →
01234
06.3%9.8%11%7.5%3.8%
13.8%11%9.9%6.7%3.4%
22.1%4.4%4.5%3.0%1.5%
30.6%1.3%1.3%0.9%0.5%
40.1%0.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Annan Athletic goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
2.19
Clyde
2.17
Edinburgh City
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.83
Stirling
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.19
Elgin
1.19
Queens Park
1.14
Albion Rvs
0.67
Berwick
0.53
Albion Rvs is 1.17 points worse than Annan Athletic in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.83).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.94
Peterhead
1.81
Clyde
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.61
Elgin
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stirling
1.22
Queens Park
1.17
Albion Rvs
0.81
Berwick
0.75
Albion Rvs is 1.14 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.94).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Peterhead
0.81
Clyde
0.83
Edinburgh City
0.86
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Queens Park
1.33
Elgin
1.86
Albion Rvs
2.00
Berwick
2.53
Albion Rvs is 0.92 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.08).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 3.7 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

1705524163526754849611371067881212131710A·BERH·EDIA·PETH·QUEH·CLYH·COWA·ELGA·STIH·BERA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6023411212331111131125533622143A·BERH·EDIA·PETH·QUEH·CLYH·COWA·ELGA·STIH·BERA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

290813148711812181171176188161091421221820291813262623A·BERH·EDIA·PETH·QUEH·CLYH·COWA·ELGA·STIH·BERA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 6.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

14077648591764225367510414101310136791214H·COWA·QUEH·STIH·BERA·ELGA·CLYH·EDIA·PETH·QUEA·BER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

801245344113112112331688243136H·COWA·QUEH·STIH·BERA·ELGA·CLYH·EDIA·PETH·QUEA·BER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 12.5 · Total 22.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

310761212131714171011914121051391091513243031212322181924H·COWA·QUEH·STIH·BERA·ELGA·CLYH·EDIA·PETH·QUEA·BER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.410.12.83.02.621.121.021.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)10.610.810.42.72.72.720.320.520.1
vs Weaker (17)9.69.89.42.93.52.422.622.123.1
% over line58%56%60%32%40%24%48%44%52%
% under line42%44%40%68%60%76%52%56%48%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.210.23.84.03.523.124.122.1
vs Stronger (31)10.09.810.13.73.93.523.424.022.7
vs Similar (14)10.09.011.03.94.33.622.423.921.0
vs Weaker (5)7.26.38.53.84.03.523.425.021.0
% over line48%38%58%50%58%42%74%85%62%
% under line52%62%42%50%42%58%26%15%38%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.4
Albion Rvs
10.3
Elgin
10.1
Queens Park
9.7
Annan Athletic
9.7
Peterhead
9.7
Edinburgh City
9.3
Berwick
9.2
Cowdenbeath
8.8
Clyde
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.0
Edinburgh City
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.8
Clyde
3.5
Queens Park
3.5
Peterhead
3.5
Stirling
3.4
Berwick
3.3
Elgin
2.9
Albion Rvs
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
25.0
Edinburgh City
24.3
Annan Athletic
23.1
Berwick
23.1
Cowdenbeath
22.9
Stirling
22.4
Elgin
21.2
Albion Rvs
21.1
Clyde
20.2
Queens Park
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.2%
Under 9.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.1%
Under 3.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
50.5%
Under 21.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W10W20W10W00D01L00D11D20WA·ANN23/02H·BER02/03A·STI09/03A·ELG23/03H·COW26/03H·CLY30/03H·QUE06/04A·PET13/04H·EDI20/04A·BER27/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.430.710.620.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.690.430.710.890.67
vs Weaker (14)0.360.930.430.710.291.14
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W11D10W00D10W00D01L00D20WA·BER26/02H·QUE02/03A·PET09/03H·EDI16/03A·CLY23/03A·ELG30/03H·BER06/04H·STI13/04A·QUE20/04H·COW27/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.370.730.270.470.47
vs Stronger (19)0.740.260.900.100.560.44
vs Similar (8)0.500.620.500.500.500.75
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D00D00D01L03L11D21W10WA·ANN23/02H·BER02/03A·STI09/03A·ELG23/03H·COW26/03H·CLY30/03H·QUE06/04A·PET13/04H·EDI20/04A·BER27/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.000.361.290.310.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.251.000.001.290.440.78
vs Weaker (14)0.431.000.711.290.140.71
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D11D01L21W12L00D60W21W30W12LA·BER26/02H·QUE02/03A·PET09/03H·EDI16/03A·CLY23/03A·ELG30/03H·BER06/04H·STI13/04A·QUE20/04H·COW27/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.771.730.870.930.67
vs Stronger (19)1.470.631.900.801.000.44
vs Similar (8)1.251.001.501.251.000.75
vs Weaker (3)0.671.001.000.000.501.50
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards87.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls79.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards74.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
AR wins
1
Draws
2
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Annan Athletic · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
23/02/19AAnnan Athletic Vs AR4-0
29/12/18HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-1
06/10/18AAnnan Athletic Vs AR3-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/19ABerwick Vs AR0-3
20/04/19HAR Vs Edinburgh City3-2
13/04/19APeterhead Vs AR1-1
06/04/19HAR Vs Queens Park0-4
30/03/19HAR Vs Clyde0-1
26/03/19HAR Vs Cowdenbeath1-0
23/03/19AElgin Vs AR0-2
09/03/19AStirling Vs AR0-1
02/03/19HAR Vs Berwick1-1
23/02/19AAnnan Athletic Vs AR4-0

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/19HAA Vs Cowdenbeath3-2
20/04/19AQueens Park Vs AA0-3
13/04/19HAA Vs Stirling2-2
06/04/19HAA Vs Berwick6-0
30/03/19AElgin Vs AA0-1
23/03/19AClyde Vs AA2-1
16/03/19HAA Vs Edinburgh City3-1
09/03/19APeterhead Vs AA2-1
02/03/19HAA Vs Queens Park2-1
26/02/19ABerwick Vs AA1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW0.64
HomeDWLLW0.68
AwayLWWDW0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%16%16%
AVG goals2.803.002.60
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %50%60%40%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored0.840.920.76
Conceded1.962.081.84
BTTS42%48%36%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners10.2610.4410.08
Cards2.782.962.60
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.58
HomeWWWDW1.81
AwayWLLWW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%50%42%
AVG goals3.103.422.75
Over 1.5 %88%96%79%
Over 2.5 %70%69%71%
Over 3.5 %34%54%12%
Scored1.842.231.42
Conceded1.261.191.33
BTTS66%69%62%
Clean Sheet26%27%25%
Corners9.709.1910.25
Cards3.804.043.54

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3679
67%
2.2
6529+36
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.7
42%
3.5
47%
24.2
69%
0
0001.80.8
-
2ClydeClyde3678
67%
2.2
6530+35
2.6
72%
50%
22%
8.9
33%
3.3
44%
19.7
36%
0
0001.80.8
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3667
56%
1.9
5831+27
2.5
69%
44%
28%
8.6
42%
4.0
61%
24.6
75%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3666
56%
1.8
7039+31
3.0
89%
72%
31%
10.1
58%
3.8
50%
23.6
78%
0
0001.91.1
-
5StirlingStirling3647
36%
1.3
4445-1
2.5
64%
50%
22%
11.0
64%
3.4
47%
21.9
50%
0
0001.21.2
-
6CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3643
33%
1.2
4646+0
2.6
75%
44%
22%
9.2
47%
3.7
50%
22.2
56%
0
0001.31.3
-
7ElginElgin3643
36%
1.2
5267-15
3.3
86%
69%
36%
9.9
50%
2.9
28%
21.2
50%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Queens ParkQueens Park3641
28%
1.1
4248-6
2.5
81%
44%
22%
9.4
44%
3.4
36%
20.6
44%
0
0001.21.3
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
3624
17%
0.7
2972-43
2.8
78%
50%
31%
10.6
64%
2.6
25%
21.7
53%
0
0000.82.0
-
10
B
Berwick
3619
14%
0.5
2791-64
3.3
86%
64%
31%
9.2
44%
3.4
50%
23.8
67%
0
0000.82.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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