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Albion Rvs vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 29/09/2018
Time: 00:00
Final 3-0
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
24%
23%
53%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✗ Miss
52.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L10W02L04L04L01L02L35L01L11DA·AIR14/04H·EAS21/04A·AYR28/04A·EDI04/08H·PET11/08H·ELG18/08A·QUE25/08H·BER01/09A·CLY15/09A·COW22/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.072.231.292.210.882.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.042.171.422.250.642.09
vs Weaker (7)1.142.430.502.001.402.60
Clean sheet %3% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L13L11D01L03L13L02L30W10W12LA·CLY14/04A·ANN21/04H·STE28/04A·BER04/08H·CLY11/08A·EDI18/08H·PET25/08A·ELG01/09H·QUE15/09H·ANN22/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.531.121.381.361.71
vs Stronger (18)1.171.330.901.301.501.38
vs Similar (9)1.441.781.751.251.202.20
vs Weaker (3)1.002.001.002.001.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.2%
Under 1.5
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.8%
Under 2.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.2%
Under 3.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.9%
No
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
0-1
5.5%
0-3
4.7%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
03.9%5.5%6.7%4.7%2.5%
13.4%9.8%9.3%6.5%3.4%
23.0%6.2%6.5%4.6%2.4%
31.4%2.9%3.0%2.1%1.1%
40.5%1.0%1.1%0.7%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
2.19
Clyde
2.17
Edinburgh City
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.83
Stirling
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.19
Elgin
1.19
Queens Park
1.14
Albion Rvs
0.67
Berwick
0.53
Albion Rvs is 0.64 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.31).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.94
Peterhead
1.81
Clyde
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.61
Elgin
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stirling
1.22
Queens Park
1.17
Albion Rvs
0.81
Berwick
0.75
Albion Rvs is 0.42 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.22).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Peterhead
0.81
Clyde
0.83
Edinburgh City
0.86
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Queens Park
1.33
Elgin
1.86
Albion Rvs
2.00
Berwick
2.53
Albion Rvs is 0.75 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.25).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 3.7 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1507877311069521610552157101115527157A·COWA·CLYH·BERA·QUEH·ELGH·PETA·EDIA·AYRH·EASA·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50214113121112132323424302355A·COWA·CLYH·BERA·QUEH·ELGH·PETA·EDIA·AYRH·EASA·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 8.3 · Total 19.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

2808121191298511615131591187416820202113172824191124A·COWA·CLYH·BERA·QUEH·ELGH·PETA·EDIA·AYRH·EASA·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 5.1 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

240105926101113193442264411151116241076882H·ANNH·QUEA·ELGH·PETA·EDIH·CLYA·BERH·STEA·ANNA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50222122123212212414350033H·ANNH·QUEA·ELGH·PETA·EDIH·CLYA·BERH·STEA·ANNA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 10.7 · Total 20.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

320121111131015481517881199768111123242512321620161422H·ANNH·QUEA·ELGH·PETA·EDIH·CLYA·BERH·STEA·ANNA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.311.59.02.72.33.020.720.620.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (39)10.111.19.12.52.52.520.621.120.0
vs Weaker (11)10.813.59.03.31.64.721.018.222.8
% over line51%67%36%36%28%44%40%38%41%
% under line49%33%64%64%72%56%60%62%59%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.211.09.32.82.82.823.223.323.0
vs Stronger (28)10.811.99.73.02.73.424.124.523.8
vs Similar (16)9.910.69.12.12.02.122.121.622.6
vs Weaker (6)8.08.08.03.75.02.321.622.320.5
% over line53%64%43%30%36%24%65%73%57%
% under line47%36%57%70%64%76%35%27%43%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queens Park
10.4
Clyde
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Albion Rvs
10.3
Stirling
10.2
Edinburgh City
9.7
Peterhead
9.6
Berwick
9.4
Annan Athletic
9.1
Cowdenbeath
9.1

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Clyde
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Queens Park
3.7
Annan Athletic
3.7
Peterhead
3.7
Elgin
3.6
Edinburgh City
3.5
Stirling
3.3
Albion Rvs
3.1
Berwick
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
Edinburgh City
24.1
Annan Athletic
23.9
Cowdenbeath
23.6
Stirling
23.2
Clyde
22.3
Elgin
22.2
Berwick
22.0
Albion Rvs
20.7
Queens Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.9%
Under 9.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.6%
Under 3.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
57.4%
Under 21.5
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L01L01L00D02L22D01L10WA·AIR14/04H·EAS21/04A·AYR28/04A·EDI04/08H·PET11/08H·ELG18/08A·QUE25/08H·BER01/09A·CLY15/09A·COW22/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.100.710.930.311.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.571.090.831.000.271.18
vs Weaker (7)0.291.140.000.500.401.40
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L00D02L00D01L30W10W01LA·CLY14/04A·ANN21/04H·STE28/04A·BER04/08H·CLY11/08A·EDI18/08H·PET25/08A·ELG01/09H·QUE15/09H·ANN22/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.500.560.710.50
vs Stronger (18)0.720.440.600.300.880.62
vs Similar (9)0.440.560.250.750.600.40
vs Weaker (3)0.331.000.501.500.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L03L03L01L00D13L00D01LA·AIR14/04H·EAS21/04A·AYR28/04A·EDI04/08H·PET11/08H·ELG18/08A·QUE25/08H·BER01/09A·CLY15/09A·COW22/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.130.571.290.561.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.481.090.581.250.360.91
vs Weaker (7)0.861.290.501.501.001.20
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L02L10W01L01L13L01L00D00D11DA·CLY14/04A·ANN21/04H·STE28/04A·BER04/08H·CLY11/08A·EDI18/08H·PET25/08A·ELG01/09H·QUE15/09H·ANN22/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.000.620.810.641.21
vs Stronger (18)0.440.890.301.000.620.75
vs Similar (9)1.001.221.500.500.601.80
vs Weaker (3)0.671.000.500.501.002.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards91.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.587.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards81.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls74.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls73.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AR wins
0
Draws
0
STI wins

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Stirling · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/18ACowdenbeath Vs AR1-1
15/09/18AClyde Vs AR1-0
01/09/18HAR Vs Berwick3-5
25/08/18AQueens Park Vs AR2-0
18/08/18HAR Vs Elgin0-1
11/08/18HAR Vs Peterhead0-4
04/08/18AEdinburgh City Vs AR4-0
28/04/18AAyr Vs AR2-0
21/04/18HAR Vs East Fife1-0
14/04/18AAirdrie United Vs AR2-0

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/18HSTI Vs Annan Athletic1-2
15/09/18HSTI Vs Queens Park1-0
01/09/18AElgin Vs STI0-3
25/08/18HSTI Vs Peterhead0-2
18/08/18AEdinburgh City Vs STI3-1
11/08/18HSTI Vs Clyde0-3
04/08/18ABerwick Vs STI1-0
28/04/18HSTI Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
21/04/18AAnnan Athletic Vs STI3-1
14/04/18AClyde Vs STI2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD0.72
HomeLWLLL0.64
AwayLLLLD0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%16%20%
AVG goals3.443.323.56
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %48%44%52%
Scored1.321.161.48
Conceded2.122.162.08
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet6%8%4%
Corners10.2611.529.05
Cards3.092.713.45
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.38
HomeDLLWL1.28
AwayLLLLW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%36%44%
AVG goals2.982.843.12
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %64%60%68%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.481.321.64
Conceded1.501.521.48
BTTS54%44%64%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners10.1610.959.33
Cards3.263.143.38

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3679
67%
2.2
6529+36
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.7
42%
3.5
47%
24.2
69%
0
0001.80.8
-
2ClydeClyde3678
67%
2.2
6530+35
2.6
72%
50%
22%
8.9
33%
3.3
44%
19.7
36%
0
0001.80.8
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3667
56%
1.9
5831+27
2.5
69%
44%
28%
8.6
42%
4.0
61%
24.6
75%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3666
56%
1.8
7039+31
3.0
89%
72%
31%
10.1
58%
3.8
50%
23.6
78%
0
0001.91.1
-
5StirlingStirling3647
36%
1.3
4445-1
2.5
64%
50%
22%
11.0
64%
3.4
47%
21.9
50%
0
0001.21.2
-
6CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3643
33%
1.2
4646+0
2.6
75%
44%
22%
9.2
47%
3.7
50%
22.2
56%
0
0001.31.3
-
7ElginElgin3643
36%
1.2
5267-15
3.3
86%
69%
36%
9.9
50%
2.9
28%
21.2
50%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Queens ParkQueens Park3641
28%
1.1
4248-6
2.5
81%
44%
22%
9.4
44%
3.4
36%
20.6
44%
0
0001.21.3
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
3624
17%
0.7
2972-43
2.8
78%
50%
31%
10.6
64%
2.6
25%
21.7
53%
0
0000.82.0
-
10
B
Berwick
3619
14%
0.5
2791-64
3.3
86%
64%
31%
9.2
44%
3.4
50%
23.8
67%
0
0000.82.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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