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Albion Rvs vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 26/01/2019
Time: 00:00
Final 0-5
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
26%
26%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✓ Hit
47.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L12L12L02L11D24L03L11D22D02LH·QUE27/10A·PET03/11H·EDI10/11A·BER17/11H·COW01/12A·ELG08/12H·CLY22/12H·ANN29/12A·QUE05/01H·PET12/01
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.872.100.942.000.772.23
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.812.190.922.250.672.11
vs Weaker (9)1.001.891.001.401.002.50
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W11D22D52W11D14L21W10W21W11DH·BER03/11A·CLY10/11A·ANN17/11H·ELG01/12A·QUE08/12A·PET22/12H·COW29/12A·EDI05/01H·ANN12/01H·QUE19/01
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.631.431.641.061.62
vs Stronger (17)1.291.531.751.620.891.44
vs Similar (10)1.301.701.201.401.402.00
vs Weaker (3)0.672.000.003.001.001.50
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.5%
Under 2.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
06.8%8.4%7.9%4.4%1.8%
15.7%13%9.5%5.3%2.2%
24.1%6.8%5.7%3.2%1.3%
31.6%2.7%2.3%1.3%0.5%
40.5%0.8%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
2.19
Clyde
2.17
Edinburgh City
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.83
Stirling
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.19
Elgin
1.19
Queens Park
1.14
Albion Rvs
0.67
Berwick
0.53
Albion Rvs is 0.64 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.31).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.94
Peterhead
1.81
Clyde
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.61
Elgin
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stirling
1.22
Queens Park
1.17
Albion Rvs
0.81
Berwick
0.75
Albion Rvs is 0.42 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.22).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Peterhead
0.81
Clyde
0.83
Edinburgh City
0.86
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Queens Park
1.33
Elgin
1.86
Albion Rvs
2.00
Berwick
2.53
Albion Rvs is 0.75 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.25).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 5.8 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

170556114112385410954256111101715513141461112H·PETA·QUEH·ANNH·CLYA·ELGH·COWA·BERH·EDIA·PETH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 0.9 · Total 2.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

401131112221221211141341413H·PETA·QUEH·ANNH·CLYA·ELGH·COWA·BERH·EDIA·PETH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

260119910121191212121079141012136111520192321241723221926H·PETA·QUEH·ANNH·CLYA·ELGH·COWA·BERH·EDIA·PETH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 3.6 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

16041234246538155924278116761111614699H·QUEH·ANNA·EDIH·COWA·PETA·QUEH·ELGA·ANNA·CLYH·BER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60112123413321423112354433641H·QUEH·ANNA·EDIH·COWA·PETA·QUEH·ELGA·ANNA·CLYH·BER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 9.8 · Total 22.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

32010616121715118714771011131217814516283219211421252519H·QUEH·ANNA·EDIH·COWA·PETA·QUEH·ELGA·ANNA·CLYH·BER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.611.59.72.82.73.021.121.021.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (36)10.611.210.12.72.82.620.921.320.6
vs Weaker (14)10.612.18.73.22.54.221.620.223.3
% over line58%69%46%36%35%38%48%46%50%
% under line42%31%54%64%65%62%52%54%50%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.311.09.63.43.23.623.022.823.3
vs Stronger (29)11.212.010.43.43.23.622.823.022.6
vs Similar (16)9.410.18.63.02.63.423.822.625.0
vs Weaker (5)7.66.58.34.45.53.721.821.522.0
% over line54%60%48%38%40%36%62%60%64%
% under line46%40%52%62%60%64%38%40%36%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
10.6
Queens Park
10.3
Stirling
10.3
Clyde
9.9
Elgin
9.8
Edinburgh City
9.6
Peterhead
9.4
Annan Athletic
9.3
Berwick
9.0
Cowdenbeath
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.0
Clyde
3.8
Queens Park
3.7
Annan Athletic
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.6
Peterhead
3.6
Elgin
3.6
Stirling
3.4
Berwick
3.1
Albion Rvs
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
26.3
Edinburgh City
24.3
Cowdenbeath
23.5
Annan Athletic
23.4
Stirling
23.0
Berwick
22.7
Elgin
22.0
Clyde
21.3
Albion Rvs
21.1
Queens Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.0%
Under 9.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.6%
Under 3.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
56.4%
Under 21.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L02L11D01L11D12L02L00D21W00DH·QUE27/10A·PET03/11H·EDI10/11A·BER17/11H·COW01/12A·ELG08/12H·CLY22/12H·ANN29/12A·QUE05/01H·PET12/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.000.590.880.311.15
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.571.050.671.000.441.11
vs Weaker (9)0.220.890.400.600.001.25
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D01L32W11D02L21W00D11D11DH·BER03/11A·CLY10/11A·ANN17/11H·ELG01/12A·QUE08/12A·PET22/12H·COW29/12A·EDI05/01H·ANN12/01H·QUE19/01
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.860.930.440.69
vs Stronger (17)0.880.821.250.750.560.89
vs Similar (10)0.400.800.401.000.400.60
vs Weaker (3)0.000.670.002.000.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L01L00D12L01L11D01L02LH·QUE27/10A·PET03/11H·EDI10/11A·BER17/11H·COW01/12A·ELG08/12H·CLY22/12H·ANN29/12A·QUE05/01H·PET12/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.100.351.120.461.08
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.241.140.251.250.221.00
vs Weaker (9)0.781.000.600.801.001.25
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D21W20W00D12L00D10W10W00DH·BER03/11A·CLY10/11A·ANN17/11H·ELG01/12A·QUE08/12A·PET22/12H·COW29/12A·EDI05/01H·ANN12/01H·QUE19/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.570.710.620.94
vs Stronger (17)0.410.710.500.880.330.56
vs Similar (10)0.900.900.800.401.001.40
vs Weaker (3)0.671.330.001.001.001.50
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards89.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards78.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls74.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls72.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
AR wins
0
Draws
0
STI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Stirling · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/18HAR Vs Stirling3-0

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/01/19HAR Vs Peterhead0-2
05/01/19AQueens Park Vs AR2-2
29/12/18HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-1
22/12/18HAR Vs Clyde0-3
08/12/18AElgin Vs AR4-2
01/12/18HAR Vs Cowdenbeath1-1
17/11/18ABerwick Vs AR2-0
10/11/18HAR Vs Edinburgh City1-2
03/11/18APeterhead Vs AR2-1
27/10/18HAR Vs Queens Park0-3

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/01/19HSTI Vs Queens Park1-1
12/01/19HSTI Vs Annan Athletic2-1
05/01/19AEdinburgh City Vs STI0-1
29/12/18HSTI Vs Cowdenbeath2-1
22/12/18APeterhead Vs STI4-1
08/12/18AQueens Park Vs STI1-1
01/12/18HSTI Vs Elgin5-2
17/11/18AAnnan Athletic Vs STI2-2
10/11/18AClyde Vs STI1-1
03/11/18HSTI Vs Berwick3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL0.56
HomeLDLDL0.65
AwayLLLLD0.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%15%8%
AVG goals3.463.233.71
Over 1.5 %88%85%92%
Over 2.5 %64%65%62%
Over 3.5 %48%38%58%
Scored1.201.121.29
Conceded2.262.122.42
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet4%8%0%
Corners10.6411.509.71
Cards2.842.693.00
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.30
HomeWWWWD1.52
AwayDDDLW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.822.842.80
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.361.481.24
Conceded1.461.361.56
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners10.2810.969.60
Cards3.383.203.56

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3679
67%
2.2
6529+36
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.7
42%
3.5
47%
24.2
69%
0
0001.80.8
-
2ClydeClyde3678
67%
2.2
6530+35
2.6
72%
50%
22%
8.9
33%
3.3
44%
19.7
36%
0
0001.80.8
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3667
56%
1.9
5831+27
2.5
69%
44%
28%
8.6
42%
4.0
61%
24.6
75%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3666
56%
1.8
7039+31
3.0
89%
72%
31%
10.1
58%
3.8
50%
23.6
78%
0
0001.91.1
-
5StirlingStirling3647
36%
1.3
4445-1
2.5
64%
50%
22%
11.0
64%
3.4
47%
21.9
50%
0
0001.21.2
-
6CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3643
33%
1.2
4646+0
2.6
75%
44%
22%
9.2
47%
3.7
50%
22.2
56%
0
0001.31.3
-
7ElginElgin3643
36%
1.2
5267-15
3.3
86%
69%
36%
9.9
50%
2.9
28%
21.2
50%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Queens ParkQueens Park3641
28%
1.1
4248-6
2.5
81%
44%
22%
9.4
44%
3.4
36%
20.6
44%
0
0001.21.3
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
3624
17%
0.7
2972-43
2.8
78%
50%
31%
10.6
64%
2.6
25%
21.7
53%
0
0000.82.0
-
10
B
Berwick
3619
14%
0.5
2791-64
3.3
86%
64%
31%
9.2
44%
3.4
50%
23.8
67%
0
0000.82.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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