This opponent (Adanaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Adanaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.87
1.60
1.87
1.13
1.87
vs Stronger (21)
1.48
2.14
1.60
2.00
1.36
2.27
vs Similar (9)
1.11
1.22
1.60
1.60
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.5%
Under 2.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
0-1 ✓
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
Altay goals ↓
Adanaspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
6.6%
5.1%
2.2%
0.7%
1
7.8%
13%
7.7%
3.4%
1.1%
2
6.8%
8.9%
5.8%
2.6%
0.8%
3
3.4%
4.5%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.3%
1.7%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Altay goals (down), columns = Adanaspor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Samsunspor
2.12
Rizespor
1.86
Pendikspor
1.83
Eyüpspor
1.71
Bodrum FK
1.70
Sakaryaspor
1.60
Göztepe
1.59
Keçiörengücü
1.47
Manisa F.K.
1.47
Bandırmaspor
1.44
Boluspor
1.35
Altay
1.18
Adanaspor
1.14
Erzurumspor FK
1.06
Beykoz Anadolu
1.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.94
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.86
Altınordu
0.85
Denizlispor
0.59
Altay is 0.04 points better than Adanaspor in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Samsunspor
1.88
Rizespor
1.74
Pendikspor
1.74
Keçiörengücü
1.56
Bodrum FK
1.52
Sakaryaspor
1.51
Adanaspor
1.45
Bandırmaspor
1.44
Manisa F.K.
1.38
Altay
1.24
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.18
Göztepe
1.18
Boluspor
1.12
Beykoz Anadolu
1.11
Erzurumspor FK
1.09
Altınordu
1.03
Eyüpspor
1.03
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.00
Denizlispor
0.85
Altay is 0.22 goals worse than Adanaspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.45).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Samsunspor
0.76
Eyüpspor
0.84
Göztepe
0.91
Bodrum FK
0.95
Rizespor
1.00
Pendikspor
1.06
Altay
1.32
Boluspor
1.35
Sakaryaspor
1.37
Keçiörengücü
1.38
Manisa F.K.
1.38
Erzurumspor FK
1.41
Beykoz Anadolu
1.49
Adanaspor
1.55
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.62
Altınordu
1.68
Bandırmaspor
1.71
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.77
Denizlispor
1.97
Altay is 0.22 goals better than Adanaspor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pendikspor
64%
Eyüpspor
56%
Adanaspor
54%
Manisa F.K.
53%
Altınordu
53%
Rizespor
53%
Sakaryaspor
53%
Samsunspor
51%
Bandırmaspor
51%
Keçiörengücü
50%
Boluspor
49%
Beykoz Anadolu
49%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
47%
Denizlispor
46%
Göztepe
46%
Bodrum FK
45%
Erzurumspor FK
45%
Altay
45%
Yeni Malatyaspor
44%
Altay is 8.8 percentage points worse than Adanaspor in terms of average possession (45% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Altay
For 2.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 7.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Adanaspor
For 4.5 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 14.7 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Altay
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.0
9.4
4.2
4.5
3.8
26.3
27.2
25.5
vs Stronger (35)
9.1
8.9
9.4
4.1
4.3
3.8
26.8
27.2
26.4
vs Similar (15)
9.4
9.4
9.4
4.4
5.4
3.9
25.2
27.0
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
38%
42%
64%
62%
65%
83%
88%
79%
% under line
60%
62%
58%
36%
38%
35%
17%
12%
21%
This opponent (Adanaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Adanaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
7.0
9.0
1.8
1.7
1.8
26.4
26.6
26.1
vs Stronger (36)
6.4
5.2
7.3
1.2
0.8
1.5
25.0
24.2
25.7
vs Similar (14)
10.0
8.8
11.5
3.3
3.6
2.8
28.0
29.0
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
30%
30%
26%
20%
32%
75%
80%
70%
% under line
70%
70%
70%
74%
80%
68%
25%
20%
30%
This opponent (Altay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rizespor
10.0
Samsunspor
9.8
Denizlispor
9.7
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.6
Manisa F.K.
9.6
Altay
9.3
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.2
Göztepe
9.1
Erzurumspor FK
9.1
Boluspor
9.1
Eyüpspor
8.5
Altınordu
8.4
Sakaryaspor
8.2
Adanaspor
8.0
Beykoz Anadolu
8.0
Bandırmaspor
8.0
Keçiörengücü
7.7
Pendikspor
7.7
Bodrum FK
7.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sakaryaspor
5.6
Bandırmaspor
5.3
Manisa F.K.
5.2
Samsunspor
5.2
Erzurumspor FK
5.1
Beykoz Anadolu
4.9
Adanaspor
4.9
Göztepe
4.8
Eyüpspor
4.6
Rizespor
4.6
Keçiörengücü
4.5
Boluspor
4.5
Altay
4.4
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.3
Yeni Malatyaspor
4.3
Denizlispor
4.3
Bodrum FK
4.2
Altınordu
4.1
Pendikspor
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Samsunspor
28.9
Erzurumspor FK
28.8
Beykoz Anadolu
28.4
Pendikspor
28.1
Manisa F.K.
27.8
Bodrum FK
27.3
Altınordu
27.1
Keçiörengücü
27.1
Boluspor
27.1
Rizespor
27.0
Bandırmaspor
26.9
Eyüpspor
26.6
Altay
26.5
Sakaryaspor
26.4
Adanaspor
26.4
Denizlispor
26.3
Yeni Malatyaspor
25.1
Göztepe
24.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
24.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
35.2%
Under 9.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.4%
Under 3.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
85.6%
Under 21.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Altay
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.63
0.50
0.75
0.43
0.50
vs Stronger (19)
0.47
0.63
0.54
0.77
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.64
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Adanaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Adanaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.93
0.93
1.20
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (21)
0.71
1.05
0.80
1.20
0.64
0.91
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.67
1.20
1.20
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Altay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Altay
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.62
0.69
0.64
0.93
vs Stronger (19)
0.63
0.84
0.62
0.69
0.67
1.17
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.73
0.67
0.67
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Adanaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Adanaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.93
0.67
0.67
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (21)
0.76
1.10
0.80
0.80
0.73
1.36
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.56
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Altay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Altay
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marco Paixão56%
Sefa Özdemir11%
Ceyhun Gülselam10%
Zeki Yildirim10%
İbrahim Öztürk10%
Salih Sarikaya10%
Eren Erdogan7%
Mohammad Naderi7%
Deniz Kadah6%
Arda Gezer5%
Eric Björkander4%
Ozan Evrim Özenç0%
Tolga Ünlü0%
Özgür Özkaya0%
Murat Demir0%
Murat Uluc0%
Yusuf Tekin0%
Kutay Yokuslu0%
Eren Karatas0%
Onur Efe0%
Ali Kizilkuyu0%
Efe Sarikaya0%
Erdem Ozcan0%
Mehmet Gunduz0%
Enes Yetkin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zeki Yildirim30%
Efe Sarikaya28%
Salih Sarikaya26%
Eric Björkander25%
Murat Uluc25%
Onur Efe25%
Ceyhun Gülselam23%
Eren Erdogan21%
Yusuf Tekin17%
Ozan Evrim Özenç16%
Mohammad Naderi14%
Sefa Özdemir11%
Kutay Yokuslu11%
İbrahim Öztürk10%
Murat Demir10%
Tolga Ünlü10%
Marco Paixão9%
Eren Karatas8%
Mehmet Gunduz6%
Deniz Kadah6%
Özgür Özkaya0%
Arda Gezer0%
Ali Kizilkuyu0%
Erdem Ozcan0%
Enes Yetkin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ali Kizilkuyu33%
Zeki Yildirim20%
Eren Erdogan18%
Ceyhun Gülselam13%
Tolga Ünlü13%
Özgür Özkaya12%
Marco Paixão12%
Sefa Özdemir11%
Deniz Kadah6%
Yusuf Tekin4%
Mohammad Naderi0%
Eric Björkander0%
Ozan Evrim Özenç0%
İbrahim Öztürk0%
Murat Demir0%
Murat Uluc0%
Kutay Yokuslu0%
Salih Sarikaya0%
Eren Karatas0%
Arda Gezer0%
Onur Efe0%
Efe Sarikaya0%
Erdem Ozcan0%
Mehmet Gunduz0%
Enes Yetkin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marco Paixão38%
Eren Erdogan7%
Tolga Ünlü6%
Deniz Kadah6%
Zeki Yildirim5%
Sefa Özdemir0%
Mohammad Naderi0%
Eric Björkander0%
Ceyhun Gülselam0%
Ozan Evrim Özenç0%
Özgür Özkaya0%
İbrahim Öztürk0%
Murat Demir0%
Murat Uluc0%
Yusuf Tekin0%
Kutay Yokuslu0%
Salih Sarikaya0%
Eren Karatas0%
Arda Gezer0%
Onur Efe0%
Ali Kizilkuyu0%
Efe Sarikaya0%
Erdem Ozcan0%
Mehmet Gunduz0%
Enes Yetkin0%
Adanaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmethan Köse28%
Samuel Tetteh26%
Hadi Sacko25%
Aaron Leya Iseka20%
Burak Coban14%
Lamin Jallow12%
Hakki Türker10%
Evren Korkmaz8%
Hakan Yeşil8%
Pedro Nuno6%
Youssef Aït Bennasser6%
Enes Sağlık0%
Yohan Roche0%
Burak Çamoğlu0%
Yiğithan Güveli0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Hüseyin Öztürk0%
Abdurrahman Canli0%
Ahmet Said Kivanc0%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay0%
Ferhat Katipoglu0%
Sefa Etöz0%
Berkan Firat0%
Emre Kaplan0%
Ozcan Aydin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sefa Etöz38%
Evren Korkmaz31%
Yiğithan Güveli29%
Burak Çamoğlu25%
Lamin Jallow25%
Ahmet Said Kivanc20%
Hakki Türker20%
Hadi Sacko17%
Yohan Roche17%
Ahmethan Köse17%
Hakan Yeşil15%
Emre Kaplan14%
Ferhat Katipoglu13%
Aaron Leya Iseka10%
Burak Coban10%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay7%
Pedro Nuno6%
Youssef Aït Bennasser6%
Samuel Tetteh5%
Enes Sağlık0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Hüseyin Öztürk0%
Abdurrahman Canli0%
Berkan Firat0%
Ozcan Aydin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Burak Coban19%
Youssef Aït Bennasser18%
Hüseyin Öztürk11%
Aaron Leya Iseka10%
Emre Kaplan10%
Hadi Sacko8%
Pedro Nuno6%
Samuel Tetteh5%
Hakki Türker5%
Enes Sağlık0%
Yohan Roche0%
Burak Çamoğlu0%
Lamin Jallow0%
Evren Korkmaz0%
Yiğithan Güveli0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Ahmethan Köse0%
Abdurrahman Canli0%
Ahmet Said Kivanc0%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay0%
Hakan Yeşil0%
Ferhat Katipoglu0%
Sefa Etöz0%
Berkan Firat0%
Ozcan Aydin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aaron Leya Iseka40%
Ahmethan Köse17%
Pedro Nuno12%
Hakki Türker10%
Burak Coban10%
Lamin Jallow6%
Youssef Aït Bennasser6%
Samuel Tetteh5%
Hadi Sacko0%
Enes Sağlık0%
Yohan Roche0%
Burak Çamoğlu0%
Evren Korkmaz0%
Yiğithan Güveli0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Hüseyin Öztürk0%
Abdurrahman Canli0%
Ahmet Said Kivanc0%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay0%
Hakan Yeşil0%
Ferhat Katipoglu0%
Sefa Etöz0%
Berkan Firat0%
Emre Kaplan0%
Ozcan Aydin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Turkey: 1. Lig 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →