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Alverca vs Estrela Result & Analysis

Date: 31/01/2026
Time: 20:30
Final 1-1
Alverca
Alverca
Vs
49%
28%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alverca win✗ Miss
49.2%
Avg Implied 44.2% · @ 2.09
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.7%
Avg Implied 29.7% · @ 3.11
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Estrela win✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.54
Edge
-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AlvercaAlverca

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L11D20W10W01L03L14L10W21W05LA·SPO31/10H·RIO08/11A·CAS29/11H·NAC07/12A·ARO14/12H·FC 22/12A·EST27/12H·FAM04/01H·MOR17/01A·SC 25/01
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.431.201.131.331.73
vs Stronger (5)0.203.000.332.670.003.50
vs Similar (14)1.211.501.141.141.291.86
vs Weaker (11)1.820.641.800.201.831.00
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-553W11D04L31W13L00D32W33D05L04LA·CAS01/11H·NAC09/11A·SPO30/11H·ARO07/12A·FC 15/12H·MOR20/12A·FAM27/12H·SC 03/01H·EST19/01A·BEN25/01
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.801.071.530.802.07
vs Stronger (10)0.902.401.001.800.803.00
vs Similar (20)0.951.501.101.400.801.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Alverca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.0%
Under 1.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.5%
@ 2.27+6.6%
Under 2.5
52.5%
@ 1.57-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
Alverca goals ↓
Estrela goals →
01234
08.8%6.5%3.9%1.3%0.3%
111%13%6.1%2.0%0.5%
29.4%9.4%4.7%1.6%0.4%
34.9%4.9%2.5%0.8%0.2%
41.9%1.9%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Alverca goals (down), columns = Estrela goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Guimaraes
1.24
Arouca
1.24
Alverca
1.15
Estoril
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Rio Ave
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Tondela
0.82
AVS
0.62
Torreense
0.50
Alverca is 0.26 points better than Estrela in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 0.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Alverca
1.03
Rio Ave
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
AVS
0.79
Tondela
0.79
Torreense
0.00
Alverca is 0.09 goals worse than Estrela in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
Torreense
1.00
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Casa Pia
1.58
Tondela
1.62
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
AVS
1.97
Alverca is 0.12 goals better than Estrela in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Torreense
60%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Tondela
44%
Casa Pia
41%
AVS
39%
Alverca is 2.0 percentage points worse than Estrela in terms of average possession (45% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AlvercaAlverca

For 3.8 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

130743473415822469310747105134101210A·SC H·MORH·FAMA·ESTH·FC A·AROH·NACA·CASH·RIOA·SPO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

9022312232115111452114445262922A·SC H·MORH·FAMA·ESTH·FC A·AROH·NACA·CASH·RIOA·SPO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 12.9 · Total 25.2

⚠️ Fouls

3601191661422111281211151019179151610920223623202629263119A·SC H·MORH·FAMA·ESTH·FC A·AROH·NACA·CASH·RIOA·SPO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

For 2.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.0

🚩 Corners

13016145749374531526257512131048687A·BENH·ESTH·SC A·FAMH·MORA·FC H·AROA·SPOH·NACA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

8043322153215116134327538367175A·BENH·ESTH·SC A·FAMH·MORA·FC H·AROA·SPOH·NACA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.9 · Against 14.1 · Total 30.0

⚠️ Fouls

41024101612148161815191713121412121215212034282234343026242741A·BENH·ESTH·SC A·FAMH·MORA·FC H·AROA·SPOH·NACA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AlvercaAlverca

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.76.88.63.33.03.717.819.016.6
vs Stronger (5)7.06.08.54.45.33.022.023.719.5
vs Similar (20)8.26.89.34.33.45.222.322.322.2
vs Weaker (25)7.47.57.32.32.12.512.214.410.1
% over line35%25%45%48%42%54%47%50%44%
% under line65%75%55%52%58%46%53%50%56%
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.09.05.15.54.731.431.431.4
vs Stronger (17)9.18.89.54.75.44.130.630.430.9
vs Similar (33)9.09.28.75.25.64.931.831.931.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line34%33%35%72%71%73%96%92%100%
% under line66%67%65%28%29%27%4%8%0%
This opponent (Alverca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.5
Nacional
10.4
Arouca
10.1
Rio Ave
9.8
Benfica
9.8
Torreense
9.7
Casa Pia
9.5
Sporting CP
9.5
GIL Vicente
9.4
Guimaraes
9.4
Tondela
9.1
Estrela
9.1
Estoril
8.9
AVS
8.8
SC Braga
8.7
Santa Clara
8.7
FC Porto
8.6
Moreirense
8.1
Alverca
7.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.5
FC Porto
5.8
Torreense
5.8
Sporting CP
5.8
Guimaraes
5.7
Casa Pia
5.7
Arouca
5.5
Famalicao
5.5
AVS
5.4
Nacional
5.4
Estrela
5.3
Moreirense
5.2
Rio Ave
5.2
Benfica
5.1
GIL Vicente
5.1
Tondela
4.9
Alverca
4.9
Estoril
4.5
SC Braga
4.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
31.9
Estrela
31.3
Santa Clara
30.7
Moreirense
30.7
Guimaraes
28.9
Estoril
28.5
Casa Pia
28.3
GIL Vicente
28.2
Rio Ave
27.9
Nacional
27.5
AVS
27.5
Arouca
27.3
Sporting CP
26.8
FC Porto
26.8
Benfica
25.5
SC Braga
25.0
Tondela
19.9
Alverca
17.4
Torreense
13.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
28.1%
Under 9.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
73.8%
Under 3.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.8%
Under 21.5
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AlvercaAlverca

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L00D00D00D01L02L00D00D04LA·SPO31/10H·RIO08/11A·CAS29/11H·NAC07/12A·ARO14/12H·FC 22/12A·EST27/12H·FAM04/01H·MOR17/01A·SC 25/01
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.830.470.670.671.00
vs Stronger (5)0.002.000.002.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.500.710.430.570.570.86
vs Weaker (11)0.910.450.800.001.000.83
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L03L20W01L00D22D11D01L01LA·CAS01/11H·NAC09/11A·SPO30/11H·ARO07/12A·FC 15/12H·MOR20/12A·FAM27/12H·SC 03/01H·EST19/01A·BEN25/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.600.400.331.13
vs Stronger (10)0.401.000.400.400.401.60
vs Similar (20)0.500.650.700.400.300.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Alverca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Alverca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alverca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alverca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AlvercaAlverca

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W20W10W01L02L12L10W21W01LA·SPO31/10H·RIO08/11A·CAS29/11H·NAC07/12A·ARO14/12H·FC 22/12A·EST27/12H·FAM04/01H·MOR17/01A·SC 25/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.600.730.470.670.73
vs Stronger (5)0.201.000.330.670.001.50
vs Similar (14)0.710.790.710.570.711.00
vs Weaker (11)0.910.181.000.200.830.17
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W10W01L11D12L00D10W22D04L03LA·CAS01/11H·NAC09/11A·SPO30/11H·ARO07/12A·FC 15/12H·MOR20/12A·FAM27/12H·SC 03/01H·EST19/01A·BEN25/01
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.030.471.130.470.93
vs Stronger (10)0.501.400.601.400.401.40
vs Similar (20)0.450.850.401.000.500.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Alverca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Alverca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alverca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alverca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls94.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners89.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls87.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards87.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners81.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls77.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards73.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 9.5 corners71.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Alverca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marko Milovanović29%
Figueiredo22%
Gonçalo Esteves20%
Sandro Lima17%
Fabrício Garcia17%
Alexsandro Amorim11%
Chiquinho10%
Rhaldney7%
Lincoln7%
Kaiky Naves6%
Cédric Nuozzi4%
Davy Gui4%
Nabil Touaizi3%
Sergi Gómez0%
Sabit Abdulai0%
Matheus Mendes0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Vasco Moreira0%
Tiago Leite0%
Gian Cabezas0%
Tomás Mendes0%
Diogo Spencer0%
André Gomes0%
Steven Baseya0%
Bastien Meupiyou0%
Isaac James0%
Julián Jose Martinez0%
Francisco Chissumba0%
Felipe Lima0%
Kauan Gomes0%
Zakaria Kassary0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chiquinho30%
Rhaldney29%
Kaiky Naves25%
Sabit Abdulai24%
Nabil Touaizi21%
Gian Cabezas20%
Tomás Mendes20%
Gonçalo Esteves20%
Lincoln17%
Bastien Meupiyou17%
André Gomes16%
Isaac James16%
Alexsandro Amorim16%
Francisco Chissumba16%
Matheus Mendes11%
Figueiredo11%
Davy Gui11%
Marko Milovanović10%
Julián Jose Martinez9%
Steven Baseya8%
Sandro Lima7%
Vasco Moreira6%
Sergi Gómez3%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Tiago Leite0%
Diogo Spencer0%
Fabrício Garcia0%
Cédric Nuozzi0%
Felipe Lima0%
Kauan Gomes0%
Zakaria Kassary0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Chiquinho20%
Tomás Mendes20%
Lincoln17%
Nabil Touaizi15%
Isaac James11%
Figueiredo7%
Sandro Lima7%
Marko Milovanović6%
Sabit Abdulai6%
Davy Gui4%
Sergi Gómez0%
Rhaldney0%
Matheus Mendes0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Vasco Moreira0%
Tiago Leite0%
Gian Cabezas0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Diogo Spencer0%
Kaiky Naves0%
André Gomes0%
Steven Baseya0%
Fabrício Garcia0%
Bastien Meupiyou0%
Cédric Nuozzi0%
Alexsandro Amorim0%
Julián Jose Martinez0%
Francisco Chissumba0%
Felipe Lima0%
Kauan Gomes0%
Zakaria Kassary0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Figueiredo15%
Tiago Leite11%
Sandro Lima7%
Marko Milovanović6%
Sabit Abdulai6%
Isaac James5%
Chiquinho5%
Lincoln3%
Nabil Touaizi3%
Sergi Gómez0%
Rhaldney0%
Matheus Mendes0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Vasco Moreira0%
Gian Cabezas0%
Tomás Mendes0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Diogo Spencer0%
Kaiky Naves0%
André Gomes0%
Steven Baseya0%
Fabrício Garcia0%
Bastien Meupiyou0%
Cédric Nuozzi0%
Alexsandro Amorim0%
Julián Jose Martinez0%
Francisco Chissumba0%
Felipe Lima0%
Davy Gui0%
Kauan Gomes0%
Zakaria Kassary0%
Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas29%
Jovane Cabral22%
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Abraham Marcus16%
Stefan Leković11%
Rodrigo Pinho10%
Paulo Moreira10%
Sydney van Hooijdonk10%
Ianis Stoica9%
Eddy Doué7%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Jefferson Encada0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Bernardo Schappo0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Jorge Meireles0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho0%
Otavio0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
João Moisés Gastão0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yahya Kalley33%
Eddy Doué29%
Oumar Ngom27%
Jefferson Encada27%
Atanas Chernev27%
João Moisés Gastão25%
Paulo Moreira24%
Kevin Höög Jansson23%
Bernardo Schappo23%
Otavio23%
Stefan Leković22%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho22%
Sydney van Hooijdonk20%
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Alisson Souza de Jesus20%
Jovane Cabral19%
Max Scholze18%
Guilherme Montóia18%
Rodrigo Pinho17%
Renan Ribeiro15%
Alex Sola12%
Ianis Stoica12%
Luan Patrick10%
Abraham Marcus6%
Jorge Meireles5%
Billal Brahimi0%
Kikas0%
Bruno Langa0%
Alan Godoy0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sidny Lopes Cabral13%
Abraham Marcus13%
João Moisés Gastão12%
Sydney van Hooijdonk10%
Oumar Ngom9%
Jorge Meireles9%
Jefferson Encada8%
Paulo Moreira7%
Kikas6%
Otavio5%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho4%
Jovane Cabral4%
Rodrigo Pinho3%
Ianis Stoica3%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Bernardo Schappo0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Stefan Leković0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
Eddy Doué0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Jovane Cabral19%
Kikas18%
Rodrigo Pinho10%
Abraham Marcus6%
Ianis Stoica6%
Jorge Meireles5%
Bernardo Schappo4%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Sydney van Hooijdonk0%
Jefferson Encada0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Paulo Moreira0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Stefan Leković0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho0%
Otavio0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
João Moisés Gastão0%
Eddy Doué0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
TON (20)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
Alverca's squad is €19m more valuable than Estrela's (€39m vs €20m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
Alverca's attack is €9m more valuable than Estrela's (€15m vs €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
Alverca's midfield is €3m more valuable than Estrela's (€6m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
AVS (10)
€3m
Alverca's defence is €7m more valuable than Estrela's (€18m vs €11m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
ALV wins
1
Draws
0
EST wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Alverca vs Estrela · H/A from ALV
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/25AEstrela Vs ALV2-2

AlvercaAlverca

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/01/26ASC Braga Vs ALV5-0
17/01/26HALV Vs Moreirense2-1
04/01/26HALV Vs Famalicao1-0
27/12/25AEstoril Vs ALV4-1
22/12/25HALV Vs FC Porto0-3
14/12/25AArouca Vs ALV1-0
07/12/25HALV Vs Nacional1-0
29/11/25ACasa Pia Vs ALV0-2
08/11/25HALV Vs Rio Ave1-1
31/10/25ASporting CP Vs ALV2-0

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/01/26ABenfica Vs EST4-0
19/01/26HEST Vs Estoril0-5
03/01/26HEST Vs SC Braga3-3
27/12/25AFamalicao Vs EST2-3
20/12/25HEST Vs Moreirense0-0
15/12/25AFC Porto Vs EST3-1
07/12/25HEST Vs Arouca3-1
30/11/25ASporting CP Vs EST4-0
09/11/25HEST Vs Nacional1-1
01/11/25ACasa Pia Vs EST3-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Alverca
Alverca
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.68
HomeDWLWW2.08
AwayLWLLL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%62%33%
AVG goals2.802.732.88
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %56%58%54%
Over 3.5 %34%31%38%
Scored1.561.731.38
Conceded1.241.001.50
BTTS52%42%62%
Clean Sheet32%46%17%
Corners7.706.838.64
Cards4.854.285.50
Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLL0.94
HomeDWDDL1.17
AwayWLLWL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%29%15%
AVG goals2.682.672.69
Over 1.5 %70%71%69%
Over 2.5 %44%50%38%
Over 3.5 %32%29%35%
Scored0.921.210.65
Conceded1.761.462.04
BTTS40%46%35%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners9.029.049.00
Cards5.385.505.26

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches