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Anderlecht vs Eupen Result & Analysis

Date: 18/12/2016
Time: 00:00
Final 4-0
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
Vs
77%
15%
7%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
E
Eupen
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Anderlecht win✓ Hit
77.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
15.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Eupen win✗ Miss
7.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AnderlechtAnderlecht

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-710W10W12L20W12L11D23L70W31W00DA·STA02/10H·LOK16/10A·CLU23/10H·KV 26/10A·SK 30/10H·OOS06/11A·ZUL20/11H·MOU27/11A·KOR04/12H·CLU11/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.132.500.931.501.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.501.171.001.001.751.25
vs Weaker (24)2.081.122.750.921.421.33
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

E
Eupen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L24L32W11D22D42W02L33D01L22DH·MOU01/10A·SK 15/10H·GEN23/10A·KOR26/10H·LOK29/10H·ST.05/11A·GEN19/11H·KVC26/11A·KV 02/12H·CHA10/12
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.562.282.112.221.002.33
vs Stronger (15)1.532.272.332.171.002.33
vs Similar (3)1.672.331.672.33--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.5%
Under 1.5
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.0%
Under 2.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.2%
Under 3.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.5%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.2%
4-0 ✓
6.9%
4-1
5.3%
Anderlecht goals ↓
Eupen goals →
01234
03.8%1.8%0.9%0.2%0.0%
17.9%7.2%2.5%0.6%0.1%
211%8.8%3.3%0.8%0.2%
310%7.8%3.0%0.8%0.1%
46.9%5.3%2.0%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anderlecht goals (down), columns = Eupen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Anderlecht
2.03
Club Brugge KV
1.97
Zulte Waregem
1.80
Oostende
1.67
Gent
1.67
Charleroi
1.63
Genk
1.60
KV Mechelen
1.60
Standard Liege
1.40
Kortrijk
1.03
Lokeren
1.03
St. Truiden
1.00
Eupen
1.00
SK Beveren
1.00
Mouscron
0.80
KVC Westerlo
0.77
Anderlecht is 1.03 points better than Eupen in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Anderlecht
2.23
Club Brugge KV
1.87
Oostende
1.73
Zulte Waregem
1.63
Standard Liege
1.57
Gent
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.37
Genk
1.33
Eupen
1.33
Kortrijk
1.27
St. Truiden
1.17
Charleroi
1.13
KVC Westerlo
1.10
Mouscron
0.97
SK Beveren
0.93
Lokeren
0.80
Anderlecht is 0.90 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals scored per game (2.23 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.80
Charleroi
0.97
Gent
0.97
Anderlecht
1.00
Lokeren
1.13
Genk
1.17
KV Mechelen
1.20
Oostende
1.23
Zulte Waregem
1.27
Standard Liege
1.27
SK Beveren
1.43
St. Truiden
1.60
Mouscron
1.77
Kortrijk
1.83
Eupen
2.13
KVC Westerlo
2.17
Anderlecht is 1.13 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.13).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AnderlechtAnderlecht

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

E
Eupen

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

AnderlechtAnderlecht

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (48)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (10)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (38)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

E
Eupen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (18)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (15)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (3)---0.00.0----
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

🟨 Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠️ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AnderlechtAnderlecht

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D01L10W12L00D21W40W10W00DA·STA02/10H·LOK16/10A·CLU23/10H·KV 26/10A·SK 30/10H·OOS06/11A·ZUL20/11H·MOU27/11A·KOR04/12H·CLU11/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.530.860.430.620.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.500.500.500.500.500.50
vs Weaker (24)0.790.540.920.420.670.67
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

E
Eupen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L01L01L11D01L02L22D00D11DH·MOU01/10A·SK 15/10H·GEN23/10A·KOR26/10H·LOK29/10H·ST.05/11A·GEN19/11H·KVC26/11A·KV 02/12H·CHA10/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.060.671.110.331.00
vs Stronger (15)0.471.070.671.170.331.00
vs Similar (3)0.671.000.671.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %22% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Anderlecht over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AnderlechtAnderlecht

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W11D10W00D11D02L30W21W00DA·STA02/10H·LOK16/10A·CLU23/10H·KV 26/10A·SK 30/10H·OOS06/11A·ZUL20/11H·MOU27/11A·KOR04/12H·CLU11/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.601.640.500.880.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.000.670.500.501.250.75
vs Weaker (24)1.290.581.830.500.750.67
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

E
Eupen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L23L31W10W11D41W00D11D01L11DH·MOU01/10A·SK 15/10H·GEN23/10A·KOR26/10H·LOK29/10H·ST.05/11A·GEN19/11H·KVC26/11A·KV 02/12H·CHA10/12
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.061.221.441.110.671.33
vs Stronger (15)1.071.201.671.000.671.33
vs Similar (3)1.001.331.001.33--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Anderlecht over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.5%-------✓ Hit
Home win77.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Anderlecht · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joshua Nga Kana33%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Oliver Antman0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Danylo Sikan0%
Marco Kana0%
Léo Pétrot0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Lukáš Ambros0%
Mihajlo Cvetković0%
Ali Maamar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giulian Biancone67%
Danylo Sikan33%
Marco Kana33%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Oliver Antman0%
Léo Pétrot0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Lukáš Ambros0%
Mihajlo Cvetković0%
Ali Maamar0%
Joshua Nga Kana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ali Maamar33%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Oliver Antman0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Danylo Sikan0%
Marco Kana0%
Léo Pétrot0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Lukáš Ambros0%
Mihajlo Cvetković0%
Joshua Nga Kana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Danylo Sikan67%
Ali Maamar33%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Oliver Antman0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Marco Kana0%
Léo Pétrot0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Lukáš Ambros0%
Mihajlo Cvetković0%
Joshua Nga Kana0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
KW (26)
€38m
CHA (21)
€31m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
AND wins
1
Draws
0
EUP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Anderlecht vs Eupen · H/A from AND
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/16AEupen Vs AND2-2

AnderlechtAnderlecht

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/12/16HAND Vs Club Brugge KV0-0
04/12/16AKortrijk Vs AND1-3
27/11/16HAND Vs Mouscron7-0
20/11/16AZulte Waregem Vs AND3-2
06/11/16HAND Vs Oostende1-1
30/10/16ASK Beveren Vs AND2-1
26/10/16HAND Vs KV Mechelen2-0
23/10/16AClub Brugge KV Vs AND2-1
16/10/16HAND Vs Lokeren1-0
02/10/16AStandard Liege Vs AND0-1

E
Eupen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/16HEUP Vs Charleroi2-2
02/12/16AKV Mechelen Vs EUP1-0
26/11/16HEUP Vs KVC Westerlo3-3
19/11/16AGenk Vs EUP2-0
05/11/16HEUP Vs St. Truiden4-2
29/10/16HEUP Vs Lokeren2-2
26/10/16AKortrijk Vs EUP1-1
23/10/16HEUP Vs Gent3-2
15/10/16ASK Beveren Vs EUP4-2
01/10/16HEUP Vs Mouscron1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Anderlecht
Anderlecht
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWD1.81
HomeWWDWD2.21
AwayWLLLW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals2.813.002.62
Over 1.5 %79%79%79%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %31%33%29%
Scored1.812.121.50
Conceded1.000.881.12
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet35%42%29%
Corners---
Cards---
E
Eupen
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD0.94
HomeWDWDD1.44
AwayLLDLL0.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%33%11%
AVG goals3.834.333.33
Over 1.5 %94%100%89%
Over 2.5 %78%89%67%
Over 3.5 %56%78%33%
Scored1.562.111.00
Conceded2.282.222.33
BTTS72%89%56%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AnderlechtAnderlecht3061
60%
2.0
6730+37
3.2
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
91
5018242.21.0
-
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV3059
60%
2.0
5624+32
2.7
67%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
196
9223811.90.8
-
3Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem3054
50%
1.8
4938+11
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
20
8491.61.3
-
4GentGent3050
47%
1.7
4529+16
2.5
73%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
58
1722191.51.0
-
5OostendeOostende3050
47%
1.7
5237+15
3.0
87%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.2
-
6CharleroiCharleroi3049
43%
1.6
3429+5
2.1
60%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
31
134141.11.0
-
7KV MechelenKV Mechelen3048
47%
1.6
4136+5
2.6
77%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
45
137251.41.2
-
8GenkGenk3048
47%
1.6
4035+5
2.5
73%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
113
3919551.31.2
-
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege3042
33%
1.4
4738+9
2.8
73%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
54
148311.61.3
-
10
L
Lokeren
3031
23%
1.0
2434-10
1.9
60%
47%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.1
-
11KortrijkKortrijk3031
27%
1.0
3855-17
3.1
87%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
9451.31.8
-
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden3030
27%
1.0
3548-13
2.8
70%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
30
114141.21.6
-
13SK BeverenSK Beveren3030
23%
1.0
2843-15
2.4
67%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4350.91.4
-
14
E
Eupen
3030
27%
1.0
4064-24
3.5
87%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
15
M
Mouscron
3024
23%
0.8
2953-24
2.7
73%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
16KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo3023
17%
0.8
3365-32
3.3
80%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
38
169121.12.2
-
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →

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