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Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF Result & Analysis

Date: 30/07/2026
Time: 18:30
Final 3-1
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
Vs
41%
27%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hammarby FF
Hammarby FF
World: UEFA Europa League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Anderlecht’s recent five-game run of WLWWW, ending with a 3-0 win over Kairat Almaty, fuels confidence at home. The model sees a 41% chance of a home win, 27% for a draw, and 32% for Hammarby to triumph, making a home win the clear favourite. The expected total of 2.9 goals suggests a moderately high-scoring affair, with the most likely total of 2 goals carrying a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.7% chance. Anderlecht’s home form against weaker opposition shows 1.78 goals scored and 1.44 conceded, while Hammarby’s away form is not detailed in the data. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 88.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 82.4% with a 9% edge, Under 11.5 corners at 79.9% with an 11% edge, Over 1.5 goals at 79.6% with a 4% edge, Over 21.5 fouls at 77.5%, Under 5.5 cards at 70.7%, and Under 10.5 corners at 70.2% with an 11% edge.

Results analysis

Anderlecht’s recent form, highlighted by a win over Kairat Almaty, set the stage for a home victory that the Pythia model predicted correctly. The model’s favourite, a home win with a 41% probability, materialised as a 3-1 triumph for the Belgian side. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 88.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 82.4%, Under 11.5 corners at 79.9%, Over 1.5 at 79.6%, Over 21.5 fouls at 77.5%, Under 5.5 cards at 70.7%, and Under 10.5 corners at 70.2%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s outcome was reported without repetition, confirming the model’s overall success.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Anderlecht win✓ Hit
41.5%
Avg Implied 39.1% · @ 2.38
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.50
1xBet
2.49
Betfair
2.45
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.31
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.45
Betano
3.45
Unibet
3.45
Dafabet
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Hammarby FF win✗ Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied 32.7% · @ 2.85
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.20
SBO
2.97
1xBet
2.96
Unibet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.90

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AnderlechtAnderlecht

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W02L13L13L11D13L22D31W15L11DA·KV 18/04A·ST.23/04H·UNI26/04H·CLU03/05A·GEN10/05A·UNI14/05H·KV 17/05H·ST.21/05A·UNI24/05A·HAM23/07
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.831.621.381.472.18
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.581.921.251.251.752.25
vs Weaker (18)1.501.781.781.441.222.11
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hammarby FFHammarby FF

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L41W02L12L23L21W20W40W11D11DA·MJA14/05H·MAL17/05A·GAI20/05H·AIK24/05A·BK 31/05A·IF 05/07H·KAL12/07H·DEG19/07H·AND23/07A·IF 26/07
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.331.033.000.561.571.57
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (16)2.001.312.500.751.501.88
vs Weaker (13)2.850.693.860.291.671.17
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.6%
@ 1.23+4.1%
Under 1.5
20.4%
@ 3.79-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Betano
3.90
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.3%
@ 1.78+2.4%
Under 2.5
44.7%
@ 2.00-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Under
Betano
2.07
Bet365
2.05
SBO
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.9%
@ 2.89+0.7%
Under 3.5
67.1%
@ 1.37-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Betano
2.90
Under
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.3%
@ 1.61+1.8%
No
40.7%
@ 2.18-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.64
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
No
Betano
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Superbet
2.17

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 6.05+5.1%
2-1
9.0%@ 8.48+3.6%
1-2
7.7%@ 9.50+2.9%
1-0
7.5%@ 8.59+2.2%
2-0
6.7%@ 11.88+2.9%
0-0
6.7%@ 10.41+2.3%
0-1
6.2%@ 9.48+1.4%
2-2
6.0%@ 11.00+1.9%
Anderlecht goals ↓
Hammarby FF goals →
01234
06.7%6.2%4.9%2.2%0.7%
17.5%13%7.7%3.4%1.1%
26.7%9.0%6.0%2.7%0.9%
33.5%4.7%3.1%1.4%0.5%
41.4%1.8%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anderlecht goals (down), columns = Hammarby FF goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

European competition: teams are ranked by a cross-league strength score - each side's domestic attack and defence made comparable via the model's fitted league strengths (stronger leagues weighted up). Each side's actual domestic figures are shown below.

🏆 Cross-league strength

0-100 · adjusted for league strength · 48 teams
Benfica
100
FC Midtjylland
89
Aarhus
88
St. Truiden
86
Twente
85
PAOK
85
Hammarby FF
85
Tromso
83
Omonia Nicosia
83
Trabzonspor
82
Anderlecht
82
Beşiktaş
81
Lech Poznan
80
Jagiellonia
80
Gornik Zabrze
80
Lillestrom
77
Plzen
76
Ferencvarosi TC
76
FC Thun
75
FC ST. Gallen
75
Hradec Králové
73
Qarabag
72
Pafos
72
HNK Hajduk Split
72
FK Crvena Zvezda
71
Mjallby AIF
70
Universitatea Craiova
70
Red Bull Salzburg
70
Maccabi Tel Aviv
68
OFI
68
Dynamo Kyiv
68
Rangers
67
Kairat Almaty
61
Vikingur Reykjavik
60
CSKA Sofia
59
Žilina
58
Shamrock Rovers
54
KuPS
52
Ararat-Armenia
51
Sheriff Tiraspol
50
Saburtalo
50
Kauno Žalgiris
48
Vestri
44
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
42
Larne
42
Lincoln Red Imps FC
34
KI Klaksvik
34
Heart Of Midlothian
0
Anderlecht is 3 pts weaker cross-league than Hammarby FF (82 vs 85 · ranks #11 vs #7 of 48).
Anderlecht 1.38 (Belgium: Jupiler Pro League) · Hammarby FF 2.00 (Sweden: Allsvenskan). Domestic-league average points per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
Anderlecht 1.48 (Belgium: Jupiler Pro League) · Hammarby FF 2.33 (Sweden: Allsvenskan). Domestic-league goals scored per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
Anderlecht 1.55 (Belgium: Jupiler Pro League) · Hammarby FF 0.83 (Sweden: Allsvenskan). Domestic-league goals conceded per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.

⏱️ Possession

Not compared for European ties.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AnderlechtAnderlecht

For 4.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

1701489222484437435412851746127118510A·UNIH·ST.H·KV A·GENH·CLUH·UNIA·ST.A·KV H·GENA·CLU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

10042322245422332641265449462103A·HAMA·UNIH·ST.H·KV A·GENH·CLUH·UNIA·ST.A·KV H·GEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 10.3 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

310141011121615141189168981910129141124233125172417292125A·UNIH·ST.H·KV A·GENH·CLUH·UNIA·ST.A·KV H·GENA·CLU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Hammarby FFHammarby FF

For 6.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1509262518387543210354711861115951397A·IF H·DEGH·KALA·IF A·BK H·AIKA·GAIH·MALA·IFKH·VAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

6011241211231432222612255522A·IF H·ANDH·DEGH·KALA·IF A·BK H·AIKA·GAIH·MALA·IFK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 13.1 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

30013911812118981112181116131692091322192317193027292922A·IF H·DEGH·KALA·IF A·BK H·AIKA·GAIH·MALA·IFKH·VAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AnderlechtAnderlecht

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.310.54.54.64.524.724.724.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)9.17.910.34.24.24.224.923.626.3
vs Weaker (31)11.111.610.64.74.84.724.525.323.8
% over line69%71%67%62%67%58%79%81%76%
% under line31%29%33%38%33%42%21%19%24%
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hammarby FFHammarby FF

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.79.92.72.82.624.324.024.7
vs Stronger (1)---6.06.0----
vs Similar (27)9.810.39.52.72.82.624.625.324.1
vs Weaker (22)9.79.110.72.52.52.624.022.925.7
% over line47%40%56%32%30%35%76%70%83%
% under line53%60%44%68%70%65%24%30%17%
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Larne
11.1
FC ST. Gallen
10.6
FC Thun
10.5
Gornik Zabrze
10.5
Rangers
10.4
Kairat Almaty
10.3
Anderlecht
10.3
Mjallby AIF
10.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.2
CSKA Sofia
10.2
Lillestrom
10.2
Lech Poznan
10.1
Omonia Nicosia
10.1
FC Midtjylland
10.1
Beşiktaş
10.1
Dynamo Kyiv
10.1
Benfica
10.1
KI Klaksvik
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Hammarby FF
10.0
KuPS
9.9
Jagiellonia
9.8
Pafos
9.7
Ferencvarosi TC
9.7
Qarabag
9.7
St. Truiden
9.7
Twente
9.7
Hradec Králové
9.7
Plzen
9.6
Žilina
9.6
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
9.5
HNK Hajduk Split
9.4
Aarhus
9.4
Trabzonspor
9.3
Universitatea Craiova
9.2
Saburtalo
9.2
Tromso
9.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
9.1
Red Bull Salzburg
9.1
OFI
9.0
Sheriff Tiraspol
8.9
PAOK
8.8
Ararat-Armenia
8.8
Shamrock Rovers
8.6
Vikingur Reykjavik
8.4
Lincoln Red Imps FC
8.1
Kauno Žalgiris
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
6.0
Ararat-Armenia
5.8
OFI
5.7
Saburtalo
5.4
Benfica
5.4
Anderlecht
5.3
Plzen
5.2
FC Thun
5.1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.0
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
5.0
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
Shamrock Rovers
5.0
Vikingur Reykjavik
4.9
Beşiktaş
4.9
Trabzonspor
4.8
Larne
4.8
Lincoln Red Imps FC
4.7
PAOK
4.7
CSKA Sofia
4.7
Pafos
4.7
Jagiellonia
4.6
Ferencvarosi TC
4.6
HNK Hajduk Split
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.5
Sheriff Tiraspol
4.5
Heart Of Midlothian
4.3
KI Klaksvik
4.3
Rangers
4.2
St. Truiden
4.2
FC Midtjylland
4.1
Qarabag
4.1
Kairat Almaty
4.0
Dynamo Kyiv
4.0
Gornik Zabrze
4.0
Aarhus
3.9
Žilina
3.9
Lillestrom
3.9
Mjallby AIF
3.8
Lech Poznan
3.8
Red Bull Salzburg
3.8
Twente
3.7
Hammarby FF
3.6
Hradec Králové
3.6
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.6
Kauno Žalgiris
3.5
KuPS
3.3
Tromso
3.3
Vestri
0.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.0
OFI
28.8
FC Thun
28.1
Ferencvarosi TC
27.5
HNK Hajduk Split
26.7
Jagiellonia
26.7
FC Midtjylland
26.6
Žilina
26.3
Kairat Almaty
26.3
Trabzonspor
26.2
Benfica
26.1
Vikingur Reykjavik
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Plzen
25.5
Mjallby AIF
25.5
Pafos
25.5
Beşiktaş
25.2
Hammarby FF
25.0
Ararat-Armenia
25.0
PAOK
24.9
Anderlecht
24.8
Universitatea Craiova
24.6
Omonia Nicosia
24.4
FK Crvena Zvezda
24.0
Qarabag
23.9
Lincoln Red Imps FC
23.7
Heart Of Midlothian
23.6
Aarhus
23.4
Lech Poznan
23.4
Hradec Králové
23.4
Larne
23.3
Tromso
22.8
Sheriff Tiraspol
22.8
Gornik Zabrze
22.5
CSKA Sofia
22.4
Shamrock Rovers
22.1
Kauno Žalgiris
22.0
Lillestrom
21.7
KuPS
21.7
Dynamo Kyiv
21.5
St. Truiden
21.3
Twente
21.1
Red Bull Salzburg
20.0
KI Klaksvik
17.5
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
12.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
41.8%
@ 1.81-9.3%
Under 9.5
58.2%
@ 1.89+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Under
Unibet
1.97
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.4%
@ 1.61+8.2%
Under 3.5
34.6%
@ 2.15-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.61
Under
Superbet
2.15
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
77.5%
Under 21.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AnderlechtAnderlecht

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D12L01L11D00D11D20W04L10WA·KV 18/04A·ST.23/04H·UNI26/04H·CLU03/05A·GEN10/05A·UNI14/05H·KV 17/05H·ST.21/05A·UNI24/05A·HAM23/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.000.620.920.591.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.581.080.501.000.621.12
vs Weaker (18)0.610.940.670.890.561.00
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hammarby FFHammarby FF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L31W01L00D20W00D10W10W01L00DA·MJA14/05H·MAL17/05A·GAI20/05H·AIK24/05A·BK 31/05A·IF 05/07H·KAL12/07H·DEG19/07H·AND23/07A·IF 26/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.401.000.310.790.50
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (16)0.940.500.880.251.000.75
vs Weaker (13)0.920.231.290.290.500.17
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Anderlecht over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hammarby FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hammarby FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hammarby FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AnderlechtAnderlecht

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W02L01L12L00D13L11D11D11D01LA·KV 18/04A·ST.23/04H·UNI26/04H·CLU03/05A·GEN10/05A·UNI14/05H·KV 17/05H·ST.21/05A·UNI24/05A·HAM23/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.831.000.460.881.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.000.830.750.251.121.12
vs Weaker (18)0.890.831.110.560.671.11
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hammarby FFHammarby FF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L12L03L21W10W30W10W11DA·MJA14/05H·MAL17/05A·GAI20/05H·AIK24/05A·BK 31/05A·IF 05/07H·KAL12/07H·DEG19/07H·AND23/07A·IF 26/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.632.000.250.791.07
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (16)1.060.811.620.500.501.12
vs Weaker (13)1.920.462.570.001.171.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Anderlecht over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hammarby FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hammarby FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hammarby FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls88.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.4%1.23
Superbet
1.23
----+9.3%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners79.9%1.33
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
+11.1%✓ Hit
Over 1.579.6%1.23
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
+4.1%✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls77.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards70.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners70.2%1.55
Unibet
1.62
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.51
+10.8%✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BEN (19)
€288m
RBS (36)
€192m
RAN (25)
€127m
AND (34)
€126m
FM (28)
€120m
TRA (29)
€116m
PAO (34)
€96m
DK (30)
€85m
TWE (27)
€84m
JAG (29)
€62m
PLZ (28)
€57m
LP (31)
€53m
ST (25)
€53m
FSG (33)
€41m
FT (40)
€40m
AAR (29)
€37m
UC (34)
€37m
HHS (29)
€34m
HOM (33)
€33m
FT (28)
€30m
GZ (28)
€29m
PAF (23)
€28m
CS (25)
€26m
MA (24)
€26m
QAR (25)
€25m
ON (37)
€19m
ŽIL (38)
€18m
LIL (25)
€14m
KŽ (25)
€9m
ARA (26)
€8m
KA (22)
€8m
SR (31)
€7m
ST (24)
€6m
VR (23)
€5m
LAR (23)
€4m
KK (20)
€3m
LRI (25)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BEN (6)
€105m
RBS (11)
€93m
FM (10)
€62m
RAN (9)
€59m
PAO (12)
€50m
TRA (11)
€48m
AND (11)
€46m
JAG (17)
€43m
DK (12)
€31m
ST (11)
€29m
TWE (10)
€26m
FT (18)
€24m
LP (14)
€21m
FSG (15)
€20m
HOM (12)
€19m
GZ (13)
€17m
HHS (10)
€15m
PLZ (8)
€15m
UC (13)
€15m
PAF (9)
€14m
AAR (10)
€13m
CS (9)
€10m
ON (13)
€8m
QAR (9)
€8m
FT (7)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
LIL (9)
€6m
ŽIL (15)
€5m
KŽ (11)
€4m
SR (14)
€3m
ARA (9)
€3m
KA (7)
€3m
ST (8)
€3m
VR (9)
€2m
LAR (6)
€1m
LRI (11)
€1m
KK (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BEN (6)
€93m
RBS (9)
€40m
AND (6)
€38m
RAN (6)
€28m
FM (7)
€27m
DK (5)
€24m
PAO (7)
€24m
TRA (8)
€23m
PLZ (8)
€22m
AAR (9)
€14m
FT (10)
€13m
TWE (4)
€13m
MA (6)
€11m
ST (4)
€10m
HOM (8)
€9m
UC (6)
€9m
LP (5)
€8m
PAF (5)
€8m
FT (9)
€8m
HHS (6)
€8m
FSG (6)
€6m
CS (6)
€6m
GZ (3)
€4m
ON (6)
€4m
ŽIL (4)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
QAR (3)
€3m
KA (5)
€2m
SR (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
JAG (3)
€2m
ST (6)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
LAR (7)
€1m
LRI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BEN (7)
€90m
RBS (16)
€59m
TWE (13)
€45m
TRA (10)
€45m
AND (17)
€42m
RAN (10)
€40m
FM (11)
€32m
DK (13)
€30m
LP (12)
€23m
PAO (15)
€23m
PLZ (12)
€20m
JAG (9)
€17m
FSG (12)
€14m
QAR (13)
€14m
ST (10)
€13m
UC (15)
€13m
HHS (13)
€11m
AAR (10)
€10m
CS (10)
€10m
FT (11)
€10m
ŽIL (19)
€9m
FT (13)
€9m
MA (9)
€8m
GZ (12)
€7m
PAF (9)
€7m
ON (18)
€7m
HOM (13)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
ARA (11)
€4m
KŽ (10)
€4m
KA (10)
€3m
ST (10)
€3m
SR (10)
€2m
VR (9)
€2m
LAR (10)
€2m
LRI (10)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
AND wins
1
Draws
0
HF wins

Head-to-head

Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF · H/A from AND
DateH/AGameScore
23/07/26AHammarby FF Vs AND1-1

AnderlechtAnderlecht

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/07/26AHammarby FF Vs AND1-1
24/05/26AUnion St. Gilloise Vs AND5-1
21/05/26HAND Vs St. Truiden3-1
17/05/26HAND Vs KV Mechelen2-2
14/05/26AUnion St. Gilloise Vs AND3-1
10/05/26AGent Vs AND1-1
03/05/26HAND Vs Club Brugge KV1-3
26/04/26HAND Vs Union St. Gilloise1-3
23/04/26ASt. Truiden Vs AND2-0
18/04/26AKV Mechelen Vs AND1-2

Hammarby FFHammarby FF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26AIF Brommapojkarna Vs HF1-1
23/07/26HHF Vs Anderlecht1-1
19/07/26HHF Vs Degerfors IF4-0
12/07/26HHF Vs Kalmar FF2-0
05/07/26AIF Elfsborg Vs HF1-2
31/05/26ABK Hacken Vs HF3-2
24/05/26HHF Vs AIK Stockholm1-2
20/05/26AGais Vs HF2-0
17/05/26HHF Vs Malmo FF4-1
14/05/26AMjallby AIF Vs HF2-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Anderlecht
Anderlecht
World: UEFA Europa League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLD1.40
HomeWLLDW1.75
AwayLDLLD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%27%
AVG goals2.822.543.08
Over 1.5 %76%62%88%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %40%38%42%
Scored1.421.541.31
Conceded1.401.001.77
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet28%42%15%
Corners10.4310.3310.52
Cards5.285.245.32
Hammarby FF
Hammarby FF
World: UEFA Europa League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD1.90
HomeWLWWD2.19
AwayLLLWD1.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%67%43%
AVG goals3.043.112.96
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %56%59%52%
Over 3.5 %32%33%30%
Scored2.042.411.61
Conceded1.000.701.35
BTTS52%44%61%
Clean Sheet40%52%26%
Corners9.799.659.94
Cards3.583.623.53

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BeşiktaşBeşiktaş515
100%
3.0
80+8
1.6
40%
20%
0%
15.0
100%
5.0
75%
17.5
0%
0
0001.60.0
-
2AnderlechtAnderlecht513
80%
2.6
114+7
3.0
80%
60%
40%
8.7
67%
5.5
100%
29.3
100%
126
4638422.20.8
-
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC511
60%
2.2
74+3
2.2
60%
40%
20%
9.5
50%
3.0
50%
24.0
50%
40
24891.40.8
45%
4BenficaBenfica510
60%
2.0
165+11
4.2
100%
80%
60%
10.0
50%
4.2
75%
25.5
100%
288
10593903.21.0
-
5Lech PoznanLech Poznan39
100%
3.0
130+13
4.3
67%
67%
67%
10.0
33%
4.7
67%
23.3
100%
53
218234.30.0
38%
6Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv49
75%
2.2
94+5
3.2
75%
75%
50%
4.0
0%
5.0
67%
38.0
100%
0
0002.21.0
43%
7JagielloniaJagiellonia37
67%
2.3
72+5
3.0
100%
67%
33%
8.0
50%
5.0
100%
31.0
100%
62
432172.30.7
-
8Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg37
67%
2.3
53+2
2.7
33%
33%
33%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
21.5
50%
192
9340591.71.0
45%
9PAOKPAOK46
50%
1.5
76+1
3.2
75%
50%
50%
6.0
0%
4.0
67%
38.0
100%
96
5024231.81.5
48%
10Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
25%
25%
25%
11.0
50%
4.3
67%
20.5
50%
0
0001.00.8
-
11QarabagQarabag35
33%
1.7
30+3
1.0
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
4.0
33%
-
0%
25
83141.00.0
-
12Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova35
33%
1.7
43+1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
27.0
50%
37
159131.31.0
-
13CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia55
20%
1.0
46-2
2.0
60%
60%
20%
4.5
0%
5.8
75%
25.5
50%
26
106100.81.2
-
14Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë34
33%
1.3
64+2
3.3
67%
67%
67%
10.0
100%
2.5
0%
28.0
100%
0
0002.01.3
-
15PafosPafos44
25%
1.0
76+1
3.2
75%
50%
50%
14.0
100%
5.0
100%
24.0
100%
28
14871.81.5
-
16Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia34
33%
1.3
22+0
1.3
33%
0%
0%
8.0
0%
5.0
50%
30.5
100%
19
8470.70.7
-
17SaburtaloSaburtalo34
33%
1.3
25-3
2.3
67%
67%
33%
11.0
100%
5.3
67%
41.0
100%
0
0000.71.7
-
18OFIOFI13
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
5.0
0%
4.0
100%
13.0
0%
0
0003.00.0
-
19FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda13
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
3.0
0%
6.0
100%
11.0
0%
0
0003.00.0
49%
20ŽilinaŽilina13
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
18
5492.01.0
-
21St. TruidenSt. Truiden13
100%
3.0
10+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
3.0
0%
22.0
100%
53
2910131.00.0
-
22Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers23
50%
1.5
46-2
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
3.0
0%
-
0%
7
3222.03.0
-
23Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik23
50%
1.5
35-2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
20.0
0%
5
2121.52.5
-
24HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split33
33%
1.0
36-3
3.0
100%
67%
33%
15.0
100%
4.7
100%
-
0%
34
158111.02.0
-
25FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen23
50%
1.5
26-4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
41
206141.03.0
-
26FC ThunFC Thun33
33%
1.0
510-5
5.0
100%
100%
67%
9.0
50%
3.5
50%
22.0
50%
30
813101.73.3
-
27Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
12.0
100%
4.0
100%
20.0
0%
8
3241.01.0
-
28LillestromLillestrom11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
10.0
100%
2.0
0%
28.0
100%
14
6450.00.0
-
29TwenteTwente21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
2.5
50%
-
0%
84
2613451.52.0
-
30KuPSKuPS21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
8.0
0%
3.0
0%
34.0
100%
0
0001.01.5
46%
31RangersRangers21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
6.0
0%
4.0
100%
26.0
100%
127
5928401.01.5
50%
32LarneLarne21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
12.0
100%
5.0
50%
46.0
100%
4
1120.51.0
-
33Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
1.0
0%
21.0
0%
29
17470.51.0
-
34Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
9.0
0%
7.0
100%
39.0
100%
2
1010.51.0
43%
35Hammarby FFHammarby FF21
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.0
100%
5.5
100%
22.0
100%
0
0001.02.0
-
36Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian21
0%
0.5
27-5
4.5
100%
50%
50%
8.0
0%
6.0
100%
24.0
100%
33
19951.03.5
-
37TrabzonsporTrabzonspor10
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
12.0
100%
6.0
100%
27.0
100%
116
4823450.01.0
-
38Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF10
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
8.0
0%
1.0
0%
19.0
0%
26
71180.01.0
-
39AarhusAarhus10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
12.0
100%
3.0
0%
27.0
100%
37
1314101.03.0
-
40Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv20
0%
0.0
25-3
3.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
85
3124301.02.5
44%
41TromsoTromso20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
50%
50%
50%
9.0
0%
3.5
50%
25.0
100%
0
0000.52.0
-
42FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.5
50%
-
0%
120
6227320.01.5
51%
43Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
6.0
100%
28.0
100%
8
3230.03.0
-
44PlzenPlzen10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
3.0
0%
6.0
100%
11.0
0%
57
1522200.03.0
45%
45Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
17.0
100%
5.0
100%
19.0
0%
9
4240.03.0
-
46VestriVestri10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
0.0
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
47Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol20
0%
0.0
06-6
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
4.0
50%
-
0%
6
3130.03.0
-
48KI KlaksvikKI Klaksvik20
0%
0.0
06-6
3.0
50%
50%
50%
11.0
50%
5.5
100%
23.0
100%
3
1110.03.0
-
World: UEFA Europa League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full World: UEFA Europa League stats & trends →

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