Anderlecht’s strong home form, scoring an average of 2.43 goals and conceding only 1.14 against weaker opposition, makes the model’s 74% home-win probability the clear favourite, especially after a recent 0-3 loss that left them eager for a decisive result. The opponent, Kortrijk, has struggled away, averaging no goals and conceding three against stronger teams, which further tilts the odds toward a home victory. The model predicts an average of three goals in the match, with the most likely total being two goals at 23% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for Anderlecht, carrying a 13.4% chance.
The home win chance is 74%, the draw 18%, and the away win 8%. Suggested picks include: Away under 3.5 goals99.5% (edge 4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals99.4%, Under 7.598.8% (edge 2%), Away under 2.5 2H goals98.4% (edge 3%), Home +2 handicap97.7% (edge 5%), Away under 2.5 goals96.9% (edge 7%), Under 6.596.6% (edge 3%), and Home under 2.5 HT goals94.8% (edge 5%).
Results analysis
Anderlecht’s recent win extends their strong home run, while Kortrijk return to the field after a four-game losing streak. The model’s favourite, a home win, was correct as the final score was 1-0. The pre-match probability for a home victory was 74%. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.3%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.3%, Home +2 handicap hit at 97.7%, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 96.9%, Under 6.5 hit at 96.6%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 94.7%. All predictions settled as expected.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Anderlecht win✓ Hit
73.9%
Avg Implied 65.4% · @ 1.43
Edge
+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
10Bet
1.44
Draw✗ Miss
17.9%
Avg Implied 19.9% · @ 4.68
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.07
Betano
5.00
Dafabet
4.90
1xBet
4.76
Unibet
4.75
Kortrijk win✗ Miss
8.2%
Avg Implied 14.7% · @ 6.34
Edge
-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
7.00
Betano
6.80
Pinnacle
6.63
Dafabet
6.60
Marathonbet
6.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Anderlecht
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.57
2.15
1.46
1.29
1.65
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.50
1.88
1.83
1.83
1.30
1.90
vs Weaker (14)
1.86
1.21
2.43
1.14
1.29
1.29
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kortrijk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.37
2.19
1.25
0.71
1.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.60
1.20
2.38
1.23
0.75
1.17
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.67
2.00
0.50
1.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.1%
@ 1.15-0.6%
Under 1.5
18.9%
@ 5.12+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Unibet
1.14
Under
Pinnacle
5.52
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Unibet
5.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.0%
@ 1.51-3.8%
Under 2.5
42.0%
@ 2.45+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.58
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.61
Betfair
2.60
Betano
2.52
Unibet
2.48
10Bet
2.45
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.6%
@ 2.30-5.3%
Under 3.5
64.4%
@ 1.59+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.42
Pinnacle
2.37
1xBet
2.36
Betano
2.35
Unibet
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Betfair
1.60
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.2%
@ 1.67-10.3%
No
54.8%
@ 2.08+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.71
Unibet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.70
1xBet
1.68
No
Betfair
2.20
William Hil
2.10
Superbet
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Betano
2.07
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.4%@ 7.42+7.5%
1-0 ✓
10.7%@ 8.00+5.2%
3-0
10.5%@ 9.69+5.9%
2-1
9.1%@ 7.40+3.1%
1-1
8.5%@ 8.31+3.2%
3-1
7.1%@ 9.76+2.5%
4-0
6.1%@ 16.09+3.4%
0-0
5.7%@ 15.39+2.8%
Anderlecht goals ↓
Kortrijk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
2.5%
1.1%
0.3%
0.0%
1
11%
8.5%
2.6%
0.6%
0.1%
2
13%
9.1%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
3
10%
7.1%
2.4%
0.5%
0.1%
4
6.1%
4.1%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anderlecht goals (down), columns = Kortrijk goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Anderlecht is 0.21 points better than Kortrijk in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Anderlecht is 0.27 goals better than Kortrijk in terms of goals scored per game (1.48 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
Anderlecht is 0.04 goals better than Kortrijk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.59).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Anderlecht
For 6.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 11.6 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kortrijk
For 6.3 · Against 5.5 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.6 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Anderlecht
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.4
10.4
4.5
4.6
4.5
25.0
24.5
25.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
9.3
9.0
9.7
4.0
4.2
3.8
24.7
22.4
26.9
vs Weaker (25)
11.2
11.5
11.0
5.1
5.0
5.2
25.2
26.1
24.3
% over line
71%
76%
67%
66%
72%
60%
81%
81%
81%
% under line
29%
24%
33%
34%
28%
40%
19%
19%
19%
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kortrijk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.7
9.6
3.0
3.3
2.7
25.1
25.7
24.5
vs Stronger (5)
9.6
12.5
7.7
2.8
2.5
3.0
19.2
18.0
20.0
vs Similar (39)
10.2
10.5
9.9
3.3
3.6
2.9
26.1
26.8
25.4
vs Weaker (6)
11.0
10.5
12.0
1.7
2.3
1.0
25.3
25.5
25.0
% over line
54%
58%
50%
40%
42%
38%
68%
68%
67%
% under line
46%
42%
50%
60%
58%
62%
32%
32%
33%
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
11.0
Charleroi
10.6
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.4
Anderlecht
10.3
Kortrijk
10.1
Gent
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.0
Standard Liege
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.8
St. Truiden
9.8
Lommel United
9.8
SK Beveren
9.7
Genk
9.6
Antwerp
9.2
Union St. Gilloise
9.0
RAAL La Louvière
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.2
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.8
SK Beveren
4.4
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.3
Lommel United
4.1
Antwerp
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
St. Truiden
4.0
Cercle Brugge
4.0
KVC Westerlo
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Genk
3.7
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Club Brugge KV
3.6
Gent
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
25.0
Anderlecht
24.9
RAAL La Louvière
24.6
Antwerp
24.1
Lommel United
23.9
Kortrijk
23.4
SK Beveren
23.3
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Zulte Waregem
23.1
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Genk
22.2
Standard Liege
22.1
Charleroi
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.9
Union St. Gilloise
21.8
St. Truiden
21.2
Gent
21.2
Club Brugge KV
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.8%
@ 1.71+1.5%
Under 9.5
44.2%
@ 2.03-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.71
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Under
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.11
Pinnacle
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Unibet
2.05
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.8%
@ 1.82+6.9%
Under 3.5
42.2%
@ 1.89-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Unibet
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Under
Superbet
1.92
Unibet
1.89
Betano
1.85
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
55.8%
@ 1.51-2.1%
Under 21.5
44.2%
@ 2.08+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.51
Under
1xBet
2.08
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Anderlecht or Draw✓ Hit
91.8%
Avg Implied 84.7% · @ 1.11
Edge
+7.1%
74%
18%
8%
covers Anderlecht + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Anderlecht or Kortrijk✓ Hit
82.1%
Avg Implied 80.7% · @ 1.16
Edge
+1.5%
74%
18%
8%
covers Anderlecht + Kortrijk
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Draw or Kortrijk✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 34.6% · @ 2.71
Edge
-8.6%
74%
18%
8%
covers Draw + Kortrijk
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.85
Betano
2.80
Betfair
2.80
Marathonbet
2.76
Bet365
2.75
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Anderlecht over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.4%
@ 1.07+3.2%
Under
9.6%
@ 7.26-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Under
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
7.50
1xBet
7.30
BetVictor
7.00
Anderlecht over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
67.8%
@ 1.41+1.9%
Under
32.2%
@ 2.73-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Under
Pinnacle
2.96
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Anderlecht over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
41.5%
@ 2.32+1.2%
Under
58.5%
@ 1.56-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.47
BetVictor
2.38
Pinnacle
2.37
10Bet
2.35
1xBet
2.34
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.57
Unibet
1.57
Anderlecht over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
20.9%
@ 4.39-0.3%
Under
79.1%
@ 1.18+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Pinnacle
4.46
Under
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Kortrijk over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
49.1%
@ 1.52-11.9%
Under
50.9%
@ 2.39+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
Superbet
2.42
10Bet
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
Kortrijk over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
14.7%
@ 3.56-11.5%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.26+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.82
Unibet
3.70
1xBet
3.64
Marathonbet
3.64
BetVictor
3.60
Under
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Kortrijk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 9.56-6.7%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.04+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.70
1xBet
9.60
Betfair
9.50
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Kortrijk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
@ 22.83-3.7%
Under
99.5%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
27.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Anderlecht, so a minus line means Anderlecht give that many goals of a start and Kortrijk receive them. At -1, Anderlecht must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Anderlecht win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Anderlecht)Actual: Kortrijk
Anderlecht -2
29.4%
@ 3.64+4.7%
Draw -2
22.0%
@ 4.26+1.0%
Kortrijk +2
48.6%
@ 1.66-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Draw
Superbet
4.45
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Away
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Handicap -1 (Anderlecht)Actual: Draw
Anderlecht -1
51.4%
@ 2.06+8.1%
Draw -1
22.5%
@ 3.69-1.7%
Kortrijk +1
26.1%
@ 2.75-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
2.25
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.03
Unibet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Unibet
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Away
Unibet
2.85
Betfair
2.80
Marathonbet
2.76
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Handicap +1 (Anderlecht)Actual: Anderlecht
Anderlecht +1
91.8%
@ 1.09+9.5%
Draw +1
5.9%
@ 7.72-5.7%
Kortrijk -1
2.3%
@ 14.60-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
9.00
Unibet
8.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Bet365
19.00
Betfair
18.00
Unibet
14.00
Marathonbet
7.40
Handicap +2 (Anderlecht)Actual: Anderlecht
Anderlecht +2
97.7%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Draw +2
1.8%
@ 22.00-2.5%
Kortrijk -2
0.4%
@ 59.00-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
Draw
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Away
Betfair
67.00
Bet365
51.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Anderlecht
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.62
0.92
0.71
0.82
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.50
1.12
0.33
1.17
0.60
1.10
vs Weaker (14)
0.86
0.57
0.86
0.71
0.86
0.43
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kortrijk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.81
0.56
0.36
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.52
0.92
0.62
0.42
0.42
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.6%
@ 1.25-1.0%
Under 0.5
26.4%
@ 3.66+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.75
10Bet
3.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.1%
@ 2.20-4.4%
Under 1.5
61.9%
@ 1.63+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.25
Unibet
2.25
1xBet
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
William Hil
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.7%
@ 4.79-6.7%
Under 2.5
87.3%
@ 1.16+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.90
1xBet
4.70
Under
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Anderlecht over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
59.0%
@ 1.48-4.1%
Under
41.0%
@ 2.53+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Unibet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.46
Under
Pinnacle
2.76
Unibet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.48
Betano
2.42
Anderlecht over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
23.3%
@ 3.26-5.1%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.29+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.35
Superbet
3.35
Unibet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Unibet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Anderlecht over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 8.30-5.9%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.04+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.80
Unibet
8.50
Superbet
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Unibet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Kortrijk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.8%
@ 2.65-0.4%
Under
65.2%
@ 1.44+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.74
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.61
10Bet
2.60
Under
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Kortrijk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 9.58-2.6%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.03+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
11.00
Marathonbet
10.00
1xBet
9.90
Superbet
9.10
10Bet
9.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Kortrijk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 39.00-99.3%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
39.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Anderlecht
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.70
1.54
0.54
0.59
0.82
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.00
0.75
1.50
0.67
0.70
0.80
vs Weaker (14)
1.00
0.64
1.57
0.43
0.43
0.86
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kortrijk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.83
1.38
0.69
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.92
0.68
1.46
0.62
0.33
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.33
1.50
0.50
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
82.7%
@ 1.14+1.4%
Under 0.5
17.3%
@ 4.99-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.20
Betano
5.10
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
50.9%
@ 1.74-2.7%
Under 1.5
49.1%
@ 2.01+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.77
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Under
Betano
2.10
Unibet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.01
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.0%
@ 3.24-5.5%
Under 2.5
77.0%
@ 1.30+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
William Hil
3.30
1xBet
3.22
Marathonbet
3.18
Under
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Anderlecht over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
69.8%
@ 1.33-0.1%
Under
30.2%
@ 3.09+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Under
Betano
3.20
10Bet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Superbet
2.95
Anderlecht over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
33.7%
@ 2.50-3.3%
Under
66.3%
@ 1.47+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.62
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.43
Betano
2.42
Under
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.43
Anderlecht over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 5.76-4.9%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.10+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.20
1xBet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Kortrijk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
39.4%
@ 2.16-3.5%
Under
60.6%
@ 1.62+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.17
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.57
Kortrijk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 6.98-4.2%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.07+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
7.30
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Kortrijk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 20.67-3.0%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.3%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
97.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.9%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.6%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Unibet
1.01
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Unibet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
91.8%
1.11
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.11
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
91.8%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
-
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.4%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.0%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
90.4%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
88.9%
1.10
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.16
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
85.3%
1.26
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
+11.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.7%
1.14
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+1.4%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
82.1%
1.16
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Unibet
1.17
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.3%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.1%
1.15
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Unibet
1.14
-0.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
79.1%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.6%
1.27
Unibet
1.35
Betano
1.20
-
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.1%
1.35
Betano
1.40
Unibet
1.35
Superbet
1.31
-
-
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.0%
1.30
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.28
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
76.7%
1.29
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Unibet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.3%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+8.2%
✗ Miss
Home win
73.9%
1.43
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
10Bet
1.44
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.6%
1.25
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
72.0%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Anderlecht
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joshua Nga Kana33%
D. Sikan25%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Oliver Antman0%
Enric Llansana0%
Giulian Biancone0%
M. Kana0%
L. Pétrot0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Lukáš Ambros0%
Mihajlo Cvetković0%
A. Maamar0%
Noa Cobiella0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giulian Biancone50%
M. Kana50%
Enric Llansana33%
D. Sikan25%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Oliver Antman0%
L. Pétrot0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Lukáš Ambros0%
Mihajlo Cvetković0%
A. Maamar0%
Joshua Nga Kana0%
Noa Cobiella0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
A. Maamar50%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Oliver Antman0%
Enric Llansana0%
Giulian Biancone0%
D. Sikan0%
M. Kana0%
L. Pétrot0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Lukáš Ambros0%
Mihajlo Cvetković0%
Joshua Nga Kana0%
Noa Cobiella0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. Sikan75%
A. Maamar25%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Oliver Antman0%
Enric Llansana0%
Giulian Biancone0%
M. Kana0%
L. Pétrot0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Lukáš Ambros0%
Mihajlo Cvetković0%
Joshua Nga Kana0%
Noa Cobiella0%
Kortrijk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Shandre Campbell33%
Brecht Dejaegere0%
J. Van Landschoot0%
Thierry Ambrose0%
Goduine Koyalipou0%
M. Ilić0%
G. Ruyssen0%
K. Masui0%
N. Mehssatou0%
Rudy Kohon0%
J. Ndjeungoue0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rudy Kohon67%
G. Ruyssen33%
J. Ndjeungoue33%
Brecht Dejaegere0%
J. Van Landschoot0%
Thierry Ambrose0%
Goduine Koyalipou0%
M. Ilić0%
K. Masui0%
N. Mehssatou0%
Shandre Campbell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thierry Ambrose33%
Brecht Dejaegere0%
J. Van Landschoot0%
Goduine Koyalipou0%
M. Ilić0%
G. Ruyssen0%
K. Masui0%
N. Mehssatou0%
Rudy Kohon0%
J. Ndjeungoue0%
Shandre Campbell0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Goduine Koyalipou67%
Shandre Campbell33%
Brecht Dejaegere0%
J. Van Landschoot0%
Thierry Ambrose0%
M. Ilić0%
G. Ruyssen0%
K. Masui0%
N. Mehssatou0%
Rudy Kohon0%
J. Ndjeungoue0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Anderlecht's squad is €74m more valuable than Kortrijk's (€91m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
Anderlecht's attack is €42m more valuable than Kortrijk's (€50m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Anderlecht's midfield is €14m more valuable than Kortrijk's (€18m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
Anderlecht's defence is €18m more valuable than Kortrijk's (€24m vs €5m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Zulte Waregem
Standard Liege
Genk
Lommel United
Antwerp
St. Truiden
SK Beveren
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven