This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.67
1.43
1.57
0.69
1.75
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
2.33
2.25
2.75
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (15)
0.93
1.40
1.17
1.00
0.78
1.67
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
1.67
1.00
1.25
0.80
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.6%
Under 1.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.4%
Under 2.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.0%
No
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.0%
1-0
13.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-0
4.3%
Anderlecht goals ↓
KV Mechelen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
4.1%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
1
14%
11%
3.2%
0.7%
0.1%
2
14%
9.2%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
3
8.9%
5.9%
1.9%
0.4%
0.1%
4
4.3%
2.8%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anderlecht goals (down), columns = KV Mechelen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.23
Anderlecht
1.83
Charleroi
1.70
Gent
1.67
Genk
1.47
Standard Liege
1.47
Kortrijk
1.40
Antwerp
1.37
Zulte Waregem
1.23
St. Truiden
1.23
Oostende
1.20
SK Beveren
1.17
Lokeren
1.03
Mouscron
1.00
Eupen
0.90
KV Mechelen
0.90
Anderlecht is 0.93 points better than KV Mechelen in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 0.90).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.27
SK Beveren
1.67
Anderlecht
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.57
Charleroi
1.53
Gent
1.50
Genk
1.47
Standard Liege
1.43
Oostende
1.40
Kortrijk
1.40
Eupen
1.33
Mouscron
1.33
Antwerp
1.27
Lokeren
1.10
KV Mechelen
1.03
St. Truiden
0.97
Anderlecht is 0.60 goals better than KV Mechelen in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gent
0.90
Charleroi
1.00
Club Brugge KV
1.10
Genk
1.20
Kortrijk
1.30
Antwerp
1.33
Oostende
1.37
St. Truiden
1.37
Standard Liege
1.37
Anderlecht
1.40
Lokeren
1.63
KV Mechelen
1.63
SK Beveren
1.70
Zulte Waregem
1.73
Eupen
1.90
Mouscron
1.97
Anderlecht is 0.23 goals better than KV Mechelen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.63).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Anderlecht
For 4.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
KV Mechelen
For 3.7 · Against 3.8 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Anderlecht
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.7
11.0
2.2
2.1
2.3
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
9.7
8.3
10.8
3.0
3.2
2.9
-
-
-
vs Weaker (37)
11.3
11.4
11.1
1.9
1.8
2.1
-
-
-
% over line
62%
58%
67%
28%
27%
29%
-
-
-
% under line
38%
42%
33%
72%
73%
71%
-
-
-
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.8
9.0
2.5
2.8
2.2
-
-
-
vs Stronger (10)
9.8
9.0
11.0
3.0
3.6
2.4
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
8.1
8.3
7.8
2.4
2.6
2.2
-
-
-
vs Weaker (14)
11.3
13.3
9.8
2.2
2.4
2.0
-
-
-
% over line
33%
42%
25%
42%
44%
40%
-
-
-
% under line
67%
58%
75%
58%
56%
60%
-
-
-
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kortrijk
12.2
Oostende
11.5
SK Beveren
11.0
Gent
10.9
Anderlecht
10.8
Lokeren
10.7
Zulte Waregem
10.2
Eupen
10.2
Club Brugge KV
9.9
Antwerp
9.8
Standard Liege
9.7
St. Truiden
9.6
Genk
9.4
KV Mechelen
9.4
Mouscron
9.1
Charleroi
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.9
Gent
5.7
St. Truiden
5.4
KV Mechelen
5.2
Eupen
5.2
Zulte Waregem
5.1
Kortrijk
5.0
Genk
4.8
Antwerp
4.7
Club Brugge KV
4.7
Mouscron
4.6
Lokeren
4.6
Anderlecht
4.5
Charleroi
4.5
Oostende
4.2
SK Beveren
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.7%
Under 9.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.7%
Under 3.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Anderlecht
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.53
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (22)
1.14
0.64
1.00
0.55
1.27
0.73
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.93
0.71
0.71
0.38
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.73
0.33
0.33
0.44
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
0.44
0.89
0.50
0.50
0.40
1.20
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Anderlecht over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Anderlecht
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
1.00
0.47
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.00
0.75
vs Weaker (22)
1.05
0.77
1.18
0.55
0.91
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.71
0.86
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.75
1.25
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.67
0.83
0.67
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (9)
0.44
0.78
0.50
0.75
0.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Anderlecht over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Anderlecht · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joshua Nga Kana33%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Oliver Antman0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Danylo Sikan0%
Marco Kana0%
Léo Pétrot0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Lukáš Ambros0%
Mihajlo Cvetković0%
Ali Maamar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giulian Biancone67%
Danylo Sikan33%
Marco Kana33%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Oliver Antman0%
Léo Pétrot0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Lukáš Ambros0%
Mihajlo Cvetković0%
Ali Maamar0%
Joshua Nga Kana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ali Maamar33%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Oliver Antman0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Danylo Sikan0%
Marco Kana0%
Léo Pétrot0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Lukáš Ambros0%
Mihajlo Cvetković0%
Joshua Nga Kana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Danylo Sikan67%
Ali Maamar33%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Oliver Antman0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Marco Kana0%
Léo Pétrot0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Lukáš Ambros0%
Mihajlo Cvetković0%
Joshua Nga Kana0%
KV Mechelen · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Myron Van Brederode50%
Thérence Koudou33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Massimo Decoene33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Fredrik Hammar25%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Thérence Koudou0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi25%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Thérence Koudou0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Adeshina Ayodele0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thérence Koudou33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Anderlecht's squad is €46m more valuable than KV Mechelen's (€91m vs €45m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
GEN (11)
€17m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
Anderlecht's attack is €37m more valuable than KV Mechelen's (€50m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
ANT (4)
€10m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Anderlecht's midfield is €10m more valuable than KV Mechelen's (€18m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
Anderlecht's defence is €1m less valuable than KV Mechelen's (€24m vs €25m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Club Brugge KV
Charleroi
Gent
Genk
Standard Liege
Kortrijk
Antwerp
Zulte Waregem
St. Truiden
Oostende
SK Beveren