PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Annan Athletic vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 06/10/2018
Time: 00:00
Final 3-1
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Vs
55%
26%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Annan Athletic win✓ Hit
55.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
18.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W20W11D21W31W30W12L12L21W13LH·STI21/04A·COW28/04H·ELG04/08A·COW11/08H·QUE18/08A·BER25/08H·CLY01/09A·EDI15/09A·STI22/09H·PET29/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.301.691.251.501.36
vs Stronger (16)1.621.061.671.221.570.86
vs Similar (11)1.821.732.001.201.672.17
vs Weaker (3)0.671.001.001.500.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W02L04L04L01L02L35L01L11D30WH·EAS21/04A·AYR28/04A·EDI04/08H·PET11/08H·ELG18/08A·QUE25/08H·BER01/09A·CLY15/09A·COW22/09H·STI29/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.102.131.402.070.802.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.002.141.422.250.502.00
vs Weaker (8)1.382.121.331.331.402.60
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.1%
Under 2.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.2%
Under 3.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
6.0%
3-1 ✓
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
Annan Athletic goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
08.3%5.5%3.0%0.9%0.2%
111%12%5.2%1.6%0.4%
211%9.7%4.5%1.4%0.3%
36.0%5.6%2.6%0.8%0.2%
42.6%2.4%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Annan Athletic goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
2.19
Clyde
2.17
Edinburgh City
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.83
Stirling
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.19
Elgin
1.19
Queens Park
1.14
Albion Rvs
0.67
Berwick
0.53
Annan Athletic is 1.17 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 0.67).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.94
Peterhead
1.81
Clyde
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.61
Elgin
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stirling
1.22
Queens Park
1.17
Albion Rvs
0.81
Berwick
0.75
Annan Athletic is 1.14 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.94 vs 0.81).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Peterhead
0.81
Clyde
0.83
Edinburgh City
0.86
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Queens Park
1.33
Elgin
1.86
Albion Rvs
2.00
Berwick
2.53
Annan Athletic is 0.92 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 2.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 3.7 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

15063510293337424845224491511610612948H·PETA·STIA·EDIH·CLYA·BERH·QUEA·COWH·ELGA·COWH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50112142223222212212254254233H·PETA·STIA·EDIH·CLYA·BERH·QUEA·COWH·ELGA·COWH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 11.7 · Total 22.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

280915111281415131010159111415118138624232228202425262114H·PETA·STIA·EDIH·CLYA·BERH·QUEA·COWH·ELGA·COWH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 3.9 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

170710787731106952161051715710111552715H·STIA·COWA·CLYH·BERA·QUEH·ELGH·PETA·EDIA·AYRH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 0.9 · Total 2.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50212141131211121323342430235H·STIA·COWA·CLYH·BERA·QUEH·ELGH·PETA·EDIA·AYRH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 8.2 · Total 19.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

2801678121191298511615131591187423202021131728241911H·STIA·COWA·CLYH·BERA·QUEH·ELGH·PETA·EDIA·AYRH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.39.93.23.23.323.925.022.8
vs Stronger (28)9.28.410.23.23.33.125.025.724.3
vs Similar (16)8.98.59.22.92.73.120.822.819.2
vs Weaker (6)8.87.311.04.23.74.727.026.328.0
% over line36%23%50%42%44%40%77%86%68%
% under line64%77%50%58%56%60%23%14%32%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.89.02.72.33.220.720.720.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (38)10.111.19.12.62.52.720.621.120.0
vs Weaker (12)11.414.29.03.21.84.721.219.222.8
% over line52%68%36%36%27%46%41%41%41%
% under line48%32%64%64%73%54%59%59%59%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
10.4
Queens Park
10.4
Stirling
10.3
Clyde
10.3
Elgin
10.2
Edinburgh City
9.7
Peterhead
9.6
Berwick
9.4
Cowdenbeath
9.1
Annan Athletic
9.1

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Clyde
3.9
Queens Park
3.7
Annan Athletic
3.7
Peterhead
3.7
Elgin
3.6
Edinburgh City
3.5
Stirling
3.2
Albion Rvs
3.1
Berwick
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.2
Edinburgh City
24.3
Annan Athletic
23.9
Cowdenbeath
23.9
Stirling
23.2
Clyde
22.3
Elgin
22.2
Berwick
22.0
Albion Rvs
20.7
Queens Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
36.6%
Under 9.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.8%
Under 3.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.6%
Under 21.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W00D11D00D10W11D01L10W01LH·STI21/04A·COW28/04H·ELG04/08A·COW11/08H·QUE18/08A·BER25/08H·CLY01/09A·EDI15/09A·STI22/09H·PET29/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.530.310.560.500.50
vs Stronger (16)0.440.500.220.560.710.43
vs Similar (11)0.360.640.400.600.330.67
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L01L00D02L22D01L10W10WH·EAS21/04A·AYR28/04A·EDI04/08H·PET11/08H·ELG18/08A·QUE25/08H·BER01/09A·CLY15/09A·COW22/09H·STI29/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.070.730.870.271.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.551.090.831.000.201.20
vs Weaker (8)0.381.000.330.330.401.40
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D11D10W31W20W01L11D11D12LH·STI21/04A·COW28/04H·ELG04/08A·COW11/08H·QUE18/08A·BER25/08H·CLY01/09A·EDI15/09A·STI22/09H·PET29/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.771.380.691.000.86
vs Stronger (16)1.190.561.440.670.860.43
vs Similar (11)1.451.091.600.601.331.50
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.501.000.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L03L03L01L00D13L00D01L20WH·EAS21/04A·AYR28/04A·EDI04/08H·PET11/08H·ELG18/08A·QUE25/08H·BER01/09A·CLY15/09A·COW22/09H·STI29/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.070.671.200.530.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.451.050.581.250.300.80
vs Weaker (8)1.001.121.001.001.001.20
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners83.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls75.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.575.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners74.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.572.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards72.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls71.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AA wins
0
Draws
0
AR wins

Head-to-head

Annan Athletic vs Albion Rvs · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/18HAA Vs Peterhead1-3
22/09/18AStirling Vs AA1-2
15/09/18AEdinburgh City Vs AA2-1
01/09/18HAA Vs Clyde1-2
25/08/18ABerwick Vs AA0-3
18/08/18HAA Vs Queens Park3-1
11/08/18ACowdenbeath Vs AA1-2
04/08/18HAA Vs Elgin1-1
28/04/18ACowdenbeath Vs AA0-2
21/04/18HAA Vs Stirling3-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/18HAR Vs Stirling3-0
22/09/18ACowdenbeath Vs AR1-1
15/09/18AClyde Vs AR1-0
01/09/18HAR Vs Berwick3-5
25/08/18AQueens Park Vs AR2-0
18/08/18HAR Vs Elgin0-1
11/08/18HAR Vs Peterhead0-4
04/08/18AEdinburgh City Vs AR4-0
28/04/18AAyr Vs AR2-0
21/04/18HAR Vs East Fife1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.38
HomeWDWLL1.44
AwayWWWLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%36%40%
AVG goals2.842.802.88
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.541.561.52
Conceded1.301.241.36
BTTS64%68%60%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners9.098.279.91
Cards3.683.643.73
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW0.76
HomeWLLLW0.73
AwayLLLLD0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%19%21%
AVG goals3.463.313.62
Over 1.5 %84%81%88%
Over 2.5 %60%65%54%
Over 3.5 %48%42%54%
Scored1.361.231.50
Conceded2.102.082.12
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet8%12%4%
Corners10.4111.779.05
Cards3.092.733.45

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3679
67%
2.2
6529+36
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.7
42%
3.5
47%
24.2
69%
0
0001.80.8
-
2ClydeClyde3678
67%
2.2
6530+35
2.6
72%
50%
22%
8.9
33%
3.3
44%
19.7
36%
0
0001.80.8
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3667
56%
1.9
5831+27
2.5
69%
44%
28%
8.6
42%
4.0
61%
24.6
75%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3666
56%
1.8
7039+31
3.0
89%
72%
31%
10.1
58%
3.8
50%
23.6
78%
0
0001.91.1
-
5StirlingStirling3647
36%
1.3
4445-1
2.5
64%
50%
22%
11.0
64%
3.4
47%
21.9
50%
0
0001.21.2
-
6CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3643
33%
1.2
4646+0
2.6
75%
44%
22%
9.2
47%
3.7
50%
22.2
56%
0
0001.31.3
-
7ElginElgin3643
36%
1.2
5267-15
3.3
86%
69%
36%
9.9
50%
2.9
28%
21.2
50%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Queens ParkQueens Park3641
28%
1.1
4248-6
2.5
81%
44%
22%
9.4
44%
3.4
36%
20.6
44%
0
0001.21.3
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
3624
17%
0.7
2972-43
2.8
78%
50%
31%
10.6
64%
2.6
25%
21.7
53%
0
0000.82.0
-
10
B
Berwick
3619
14%
0.5
2791-64
3.3
86%
64%
31%
9.2
44%
3.4
50%
23.8
67%
0
0000.82.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

← all matches