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Annan Athletic vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 23/02/2019
Time: 00:00
Final 4-0
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Vs
65%
22%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Annan Athletic win✓ Hit
65.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
12.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L01L40W11D20W12L21W30W11D42WH·EDI08/12A·CLY15/12H·BER22/12A·ALB29/12H·ELG05/01A·STI12/01A·EDI19/01H·PET26/01H·CLY09/02A·COW16/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.131.931.131.471.13
vs Stronger (19)1.840.842.100.901.560.78
vs Similar (8)1.751.752.001.671.601.80
vs Weaker (3)0.671.331.001.500.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L11D22D02L05L13L03L01L01L01LH·CLY22/12H·ANN29/12A·QUE05/01H·PET12/01H·STI26/01A·EDI02/02H·ELG09/02A·STI12/02A·CLY16/02A·COW19/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.602.130.712.210.502.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.612.170.622.380.602.00
vs Weaker (12)0.582.080.832.000.332.17
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.3%
Under 1.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.7%
Under 2.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.4%
Under 3.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.8%
No
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.2%
1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.2%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-0 ✓
4.2%
Annan Athletic goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
06.9%3.8%1.9%0.5%0.1%
111%11%3.8%1.0%0.2%
212%9.7%3.9%1.0%0.2%
38.2%6.6%2.6%0.7%0.1%
44.2%3.3%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Annan Athletic goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
2.19
Clyde
2.17
Edinburgh City
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.83
Stirling
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.19
Elgin
1.19
Queens Park
1.14
Albion Rvs
0.67
Berwick
0.53
Annan Athletic is 1.17 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 0.67).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.94
Peterhead
1.81
Clyde
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.61
Elgin
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stirling
1.22
Queens Park
1.17
Albion Rvs
0.81
Berwick
0.75
Annan Athletic is 1.14 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.94 vs 0.81).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Peterhead
0.81
Clyde
0.83
Edinburgh City
0.86
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Queens Park
1.33
Elgin
1.86
Albion Rvs
2.00
Berwick
2.53
Annan Athletic is 0.92 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 2.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 6.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 10.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

15011145695439211454568511511147111591113A·COWH·CLYH·PETA·EDIA·STIH·ELGA·ALBH·BERA·CLYH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60422123121213132321136353344534A·COWH·CLYH·PETA·EDIA·STIH·ELGA·ALBH·BERA·CLYH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 12.9 · Total 25.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

3101313111213151111121615811121615118111926232822282323311930A·COWH·CLYH·PETA·EDIA·STIH·ELGA·ALBH·BERA·CLYH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 3.9 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

1704576294344175561141123913117881017155A·COWA·CLYA·STIH·ELGA·EDIH·STIH·PETA·QUEH·ANNH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

40122122121113113232131141A·COWA·CLYA·STIH·ELGA·EDIH·STIH·PETA·QUEH·ANNH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 10.6 · Total 22.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

310817971671412191289119910121191225162326311720192321A·COWA·CLYA·STIH·ELGA·EDIH·STIH·PETA·QUEH·ANNH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.38.510.23.73.93.523.324.522.0
vs Stronger (29)9.28.99.63.84.33.424.225.123.2
vs Similar (15)9.78.910.43.33.43.221.422.720.2
vs Weaker (6)8.86.813.04.33.56.024.025.521.0
% over line40%27%54%48%58%38%76%88%62%
% under line60%73%46%52%42%62%24%12%38%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.810.02.82.63.021.121.021.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)10.310.210.32.72.62.720.821.520.1
vs Weaker (17)10.612.19.32.92.43.421.820.023.3
% over line56%64%48%30%28%32%50%48%52%
% under line44%36%52%70%72%68%50%52%48%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
10.4
Stirling
10.4
Queens Park
10.1
Elgin
9.9
Clyde
9.6
Edinburgh City
9.5
Peterhead
9.4
Annan Athletic
9.3
Berwick
9.0
Cowdenbeath
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.1
Annan Athletic
3.7
Clyde
3.7
Queens Park
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.6
Peterhead
3.6
Elgin
3.4
Stirling
3.3
Berwick
3.1
Albion Rvs
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
26.2
Edinburgh City
24.4
Cowdenbeath
23.4
Annan Athletic
23.3
Stirling
23.0
Berwick
22.7
Elgin
21.7
Albion Rvs
21.1
Clyde
21.1
Queens Park
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.9%
Under 9.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.8%
Under 3.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.7%
Under 21.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W00D10W11D01L00D01L12LH·EDI08/12A·CLY15/12H·BER22/12A·ALB29/12H·ELG05/01A·STI12/01A·EDI19/01H·PET26/01H·CLY09/02A·COW16/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.430.470.330.600.53
vs Stronger (19)0.530.260.400.100.670.44
vs Similar (8)0.620.750.670.670.600.80
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.501.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D21W00D01L12L01L00D01L00DH·CLY22/12H·ANN29/12A·QUE05/01H·PET12/01H·STI26/01A·EDI02/02H·ELG09/02A·STI12/02A·CLY16/02A·COW19/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.900.430.790.311.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.440.940.500.880.401.00
vs Weaker (12)0.250.830.330.670.171.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L30W11D10W01L20W30W10W30WH·EDI08/12A·CLY15/12H·BER22/12A·ALB29/12H·ELG05/01A·STI12/01A·EDI19/01H·PET26/01H·CLY09/02A·COW16/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.701.470.800.870.60
vs Stronger (19)1.320.581.700.800.890.33
vs Similar (8)1.121.001.331.001.001.00
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.500.500.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D01L02L04L01L02L01L00D01LH·CLY22/12H·ANN29/12A·QUE05/01H·PET12/01H·STI26/01A·EDI02/02H·ELG09/02A·STI12/02A·CLY16/02A·COW19/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.231.230.291.430.191.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.171.220.121.500.201.00
vs Weaker (12)0.331.250.501.330.171.17
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards87.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards75.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners74.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
AA wins
1
Draws
0
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Annan Athletic vs Albion Rvs · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
29/12/18AAlbion Rvs Vs AA1-1
06/10/18HAA Vs Albion Rvs3-1

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/02/19ACowdenbeath Vs AA2-4
09/02/19HAA Vs Clyde1-1
26/01/19HAA Vs Peterhead3-0
19/01/19AEdinburgh City Vs AA1-2
12/01/19AStirling Vs AA2-1
05/01/19HAA Vs Elgin2-0
29/12/18AAlbion Rvs Vs AA1-1
22/12/18HAA Vs Berwick4-0
15/12/18AClyde Vs AA1-0
08/12/18HAA Vs Edinburgh City1-2

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/02/19ACowdenbeath Vs AR1-0
16/02/19AClyde Vs AR1-0
12/02/19AStirling Vs AR1-0
09/02/19HAR Vs Elgin0-3
02/02/19AEdinburgh City Vs AR3-1
26/01/19HAR Vs Stirling0-5
12/01/19HAR Vs Peterhead0-2
05/01/19AQueens Park Vs AR2-2
29/12/18HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-1
22/12/18HAR Vs Clyde0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.44
HomeLWWWD1.54
AwayLDLWW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals2.682.732.62
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %26%35%17%
Scored1.521.651.38
Conceded1.161.081.25
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet28%31%25%
Corners9.328.5410.17
Cards3.743.923.54
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.42
HomeLDLLL0.56
AwayDLLLL0.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %8%12%4%
AVG goals3.203.363.04
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %44%40%48%
Scored0.961.080.84
Conceded2.242.282.20
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet4%8%0%
Corners10.4010.849.96
Cards2.762.562.96

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3679
67%
2.2
6529+36
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.7
42%
3.5
47%
24.2
69%
0
0001.80.8
-
2ClydeClyde3678
67%
2.2
6530+35
2.6
72%
50%
22%
8.9
33%
3.3
44%
19.7
36%
0
0001.80.8
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3667
56%
1.9
5831+27
2.5
69%
44%
28%
8.6
42%
4.0
61%
24.6
75%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3666
56%
1.8
7039+31
3.0
89%
72%
31%
10.1
58%
3.8
50%
23.6
78%
0
0001.91.1
-
5StirlingStirling3647
36%
1.3
4445-1
2.5
64%
50%
22%
11.0
64%
3.4
47%
21.9
50%
0
0001.21.2
-
6CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3643
33%
1.2
4646+0
2.6
75%
44%
22%
9.2
47%
3.7
50%
22.2
56%
0
0001.31.3
-
7ElginElgin3643
36%
1.2
5267-15
3.3
86%
69%
36%
9.9
50%
2.9
28%
21.2
50%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Queens ParkQueens Park3641
28%
1.1
4248-6
2.5
81%
44%
22%
9.4
44%
3.4
36%
20.6
44%
0
0001.21.3
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
3624
17%
0.7
2972-43
2.8
78%
50%
31%
10.6
64%
2.6
25%
21.7
53%
0
0000.82.0
-
10
B
Berwick
3619
14%
0.5
2791-64
3.3
86%
64%
31%
9.2
44%
3.4
50%
23.8
67%
0
0000.82.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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