This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.37
1.47
1.13
1.20
1.60
vs Stronger (26)
1.23
1.38
1.31
1.23
1.15
1.54
vs Similar (4)
2.00
1.25
2.50
0.50
1.50
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Antwerp) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.2%
@ 1.68-2.8%
Under 2.5
46.8%
@ 2.14+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.7%
2-0
10.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.0%
Antwerp goals ↓
Mouscron goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
4.7%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
1
10%
12%
5.0%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.7%
1.5%
0.3%
3
6.5%
6.1%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
4
3.0%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Antwerp goals (down), columns = Mouscron goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.24
Antwerp
1.76
Anderlecht
1.71
Genk
1.65
Oostende
1.56
Standard Liege
1.47
Gent
1.44
KV Mechelen
1.41
Beerschot VA
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.35
OH Leuven
1.32
Eupen
1.26
Charleroi
1.24
Kortrijk
1.15
St. Truiden
1.12
Cercle Brugge
1.06
Mouscron
0.91
SK Beveren
0.91
Antwerp is 0.85 points better than Mouscron in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 0.91).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.15
Genk
1.97
Beerschot VA
1.71
Antwerp
1.68
Gent
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
OH Leuven
1.59
Zulte Waregem
1.56
Standard Liege
1.53
Anderlecht
1.50
Oostende
1.44
Charleroi
1.35
Kortrijk
1.29
SK Beveren
1.29
Eupen
1.29
St. Truiden
1.21
Cercle Brugge
1.18
Mouscron
0.94
Antwerp is 0.74 goals better than Mouscron in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 0.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.76
Anderlecht
1.00
Oostende
1.21
Standard Liege
1.21
Gent
1.24
Antwerp
1.41
Genk
1.41
Charleroi
1.44
Cercle Brugge
1.50
St. Truiden
1.53
Mouscron
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.59
Eupen
1.62
Kortrijk
1.68
OH Leuven
1.74
Beerschot VA
1.88
Zulte Waregem
2.03
SK Beveren
2.06
Antwerp is 0.18 goals better than Mouscron in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.59).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Antwerp
For 4.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 15.1 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
M
Mouscron
For 4.4 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Antwerp
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.5
9.6
4.9
5.4
4.5
29.0
29.0
28.9
vs Stronger (3)
6.7
13.0
3.5
6.3
9.0
5.0
35.0
35.0
35.0
vs Similar (25)
9.9
10.3
9.5
5.4
5.1
5.8
28.9
29.6
28.2
vs Weaker (22)
10.6
10.5
10.7
4.2
5.5
3.2
27.9
26.8
28.8
% over line
58%
58%
58%
70%
79%
62%
90%
86%
93%
% under line
42%
42%
42%
30%
21%
38%
10%
14%
7%
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.6
9.2
4.2
4.0
4.3
27.1
27.7
26.6
vs Stronger (43)
9.4
9.3
9.5
4.3
4.1
4.5
27.4
28.2
26.5
vs Similar (7)
9.6
11.2
7.3
3.4
3.5
3.3
25.5
24.0
27.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
64%
56%
60%
60%
60%
86%
93%
79%
% under line
40%
36%
44%
40%
40%
40%
14%
7%
21%
This opponent (Antwerp) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
St. Truiden
10.3
SK Beveren
10.2
Oostende
10.2
Genk
10.1
Eupen
10.1
Antwerp
10.0
Kortrijk
9.9
KV Mechelen
9.9
Charleroi
9.8
Anderlecht
9.8
Cercle Brugge
9.6
Club Brugge KV
9.6
Standard Liege
9.5
Gent
9.5
Mouscron
9.4
Zulte Waregem
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Antwerp
4.9
Standard Liege
4.6
Cercle Brugge
4.5
Anderlecht
4.4
Gent
4.4
St. Truiden
4.4
Club Brugge KV
4.3
Charleroi
4.2
Mouscron
4.2
KV Mechelen
4.1
Eupen
4.1
SK Beveren
4.1
Zulte Waregem
4.0
Kortrijk
4.0
Genk
3.8
Oostende
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kortrijk
30.0
Charleroi
29.5
Antwerp
29.0
Eupen
28.3
Standard Liege
28.2
SK Beveren
28.1
Cercle Brugge
28.0
Anderlecht
27.9
Club Brugge KV
27.6
Zulte Waregem
27.5
Mouscron
27.1
KV Mechelen
27.0
Gent
26.7
St. Truiden
26.5
Genk
26.4
Oostende
26.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.5%
Under 9.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.7%
Under 3.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
85.9%
Under 21.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Antwerp
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.93
0.43
0.44
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.50
0.88
0.38
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (12)
0.83
0.42
1.20
0.40
0.57
0.43
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.53
0.60
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (26)
0.50
0.62
0.54
0.62
0.46
0.62
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Antwerp) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Antwerp over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Antwerp over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Antwerp over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Antwerp
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.67
1.07
0.43
0.88
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.69
0.75
0.50
0.88
0.88
vs Weaker (12)
1.17
0.67
1.40
0.40
1.00
0.86
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
0.93
0.53
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (26)
0.73
0.77
0.77
0.62
0.69
0.92
vs Similar (4)
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Antwerp) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Antwerp over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Antwerp over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Antwerp over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Antwerp · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michael Frey33%
Taishi Brandon Nozawa0%
Thibo Somers0%
Rein Van Helden0%
Ibrahim Salah0%
Yuto Tsunashima0%
Eran Tuypens0%
Xander Dierckx0%
Luca Schelfhout0%
Modibo Fofana0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luca Schelfhout67%
Michael Frey0%
Taishi Brandon Nozawa0%
Thibo Somers0%
Rein Van Helden0%
Ibrahim Salah0%
Yuto Tsunashima0%
Eran Tuypens0%
Xander Dierckx0%
Modibo Fofana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thibo Somers33%
Michael Frey0%
Taishi Brandon Nozawa0%
Rein Van Helden0%
Ibrahim Salah0%
Yuto Tsunashima0%
Eran Tuypens0%
Xander Dierckx0%
Luca Schelfhout0%
Modibo Fofana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michael Frey33%
Taishi Brandon Nozawa0%
Thibo Somers0%
Rein Van Helden0%
Ibrahim Salah0%
Yuto Tsunashima0%
Eran Tuypens0%
Xander Dierckx0%
Luca Schelfhout0%
Modibo Fofana0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Antwerp
Club Brugge KV
Anderlecht
Genk
Oostende
Standard Liege
Gent
KV Mechelen
Beerschot VA
Zulte Waregem
OH Leuven
Charleroi
Kortrijk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
SK Beveren