Antwerp vs Standard Liege Result & Analysis

Antwerp are the clear favourites, with a 45% chance of victory, 28% for a draw and 28% for Standard Liege to win. The model expects 2.7 goals on average, with a 26% chance of a 2-goal total. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.1% probability. Antwerp, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Standard Liege, on the road to a similar strength side, averages 1.33 scored and 1.11 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 95.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 89.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 84.2%, Over 23.5 fouls at 80.7%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.3% and Under 3.5 at 70.8%. The match is likely to see a high-foul, high-card affair, with both teams expected to find the net.

The pre-match favourite, Antwerp, failed to deliver, as the match finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s Home win call incorrect. Antwerp’s recent form, after a defeat to St. Truiden, had been shaky, while Standard Liege, on a two-game winning streak, showed resilience. The model had given Antwerp a 45% chance of victory, yet the game ended in a stalemate. All the model’s selections were settled: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 95.5%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 89.8%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 84.2%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 80.7%, Over 1.5 hit at 76.8%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 76.3%, and Under 3.5 missed at 70.8%. The final score of 2-2 matched the expected total of 2.7 goals, with the most likely scoreline of 1-1 at 13.1%.