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Arouca vs Estrela Result & Analysis

Date: 05/05/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 0-0
Arouca
Arouca
Vs
49%
27%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arouca win✗ Miss
49.1%
Avg Implied 46.8% · @ 2.01
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.3%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.65
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Estrela win✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.44
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AroucaArouca

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L32W51W03L01L21W30W21W11D22DA·CAS18/02H·FAM23/02A·CHA01/03H·SPO10/03A·MOR17/03H·FAR30/03A·SC 06/04H·BOA14/04A·RIO19/04A·GIL26/04
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.301.501.431.751.19
vs Stronger (8)1.121.750.752.251.501.25
vs Similar (18)1.611.172.001.001.301.30
vs Weaker (4)2.751.001.001.504.500.50
Clean sheet %13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D03L31W00D12L22D22D11D03LA·FC 17/02H·CHA24/02A·SC 02/03H·CAS08/03A·FAM16/03H·SPO29/03A·MOR07/04H·RIO14/04A·BOA20/04H·FAR29/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.601.401.730.731.47
vs Stronger (11)0.642.181.002.200.332.17
vs Similar (19)1.321.261.601.501.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.2%
Under 1.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.2%
@ 1.86-1.7%
Under 2.5
50.8%
@ 1.93+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.3%
Under 3.5
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.8%
No
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
0-0 ✓
8.3%
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
Arouca goals ↓
Estrela goals →
01234
08.3%6.2%3.9%1.3%0.4%
110%13%6.2%2.2%0.6%
29.1%9.5%5.0%1.7%0.4%
34.9%5.1%2.6%0.9%0.2%
41.9%2.0%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arouca goals (down), columns = Estrela goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
AVS
3.00
Sporting CP
2.65
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.12
SC Braga
2.00
Guimaraes
1.85
Moreirense
1.62
Arouca
1.35
Famalicao
1.24
Casa Pia
1.12
Farense
1.09
Rio Ave
1.09
GIL Vicente
1.06
Estoril
0.97
Estrela
0.97
Boavista
0.94
Portimonense
0.89
Vizela
0.76
Chaves
0.68
Arouca is 0.38 points better than Estrela in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.82
Benfica
2.26
SC Braga
2.09
AVS
2.00
FC Porto
1.85
Arouca
1.59
Guimaraes
1.53
Estoril
1.44
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.24
Boavista
1.15
Portimonense
1.14
Casa Pia
1.12
Rio Ave
1.12
Famalicao
1.09
Vizela
1.06
Moreirense
1.06
Estrela
0.97
Chaves
0.91
Arouca is 0.62 goals better than Estrela in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.79
Benfica
0.82
Sporting CP
0.85
AVS
1.00
Moreirense
1.03
Guimaraes
1.12
Famalicao
1.21
Rio Ave
1.26
Casa Pia
1.47
SC Braga
1.47
Arouca
1.47
Farense
1.50
GIL Vicente
1.53
Estrela
1.56
Estoril
1.71
Boavista
1.82
Vizela
1.94
Portimonense
2.11
Chaves
2.12
Arouca is 0.09 goals better than Estrela in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Porto
64%
Benfica
59%
Sporting CP
59%
SC Braga
57%
Arouca
54%
Vizela
50%
GIL Vicente
49%
Rio Ave
49%
Estoril
49%
Guimaraes
48%
Boavista
48%
Famalicao
47%
Estrela
47%
Moreirense
46%
Portimonense
46%
Casa Pia
44%
Chaves
43%
Farense
42%
AVS
35%
Arouca is 7.4 percentage points better than Estrela in terms of average possession (54% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AroucaArouca

For 5.0 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

1905264149101343222434627105191752678A·GILA·RIOH·BOAA·SC H·FARA·MORH·SPOA·CHAH·FAMA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

901333353134112212724684722392A·GILA·RIOH·BOAA·SC H·FARA·MORH·SPOA·CHAH·FAMA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.5 · Total 25.0

⚠️ Fouls

34097131417111511151391113111515171712516272826282024303417A·GILA·RIOH·BOAA·SC H·FARA·MORH·SPOA·CHAH·FAMA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

For 6.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.4

🚩 Corners

1501145610162377484457668151111810111291314H·FARA·BOAH·RIOA·MORH·SPOA·FAMH·CASA·SC H·CHAA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

70222214331412122224237452342H·FARA·BOAH·RIOA·MORH·SPOA·FAMH·CASA·SC H·CHAA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 26.3

⚠️ Fouls

33099716121214142071914161114111419131218232428273327253325H·FARA·BOAH·RIOA·MORH·SPOA·FAMH·CASA·SC H·CHAA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AroucaArouca

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.89.43.83.73.926.026.825.3
vs Stronger (15)9.17.011.23.83.44.125.026.823.2
vs Similar (28)9.510.28.93.63.63.626.426.726.1
vs Weaker (7)7.06.57.54.64.25.027.027.526.5
% over line39%38%41%48%50%46%79%88%71%
% under line61%62%59%52%50%54%21%12%29%
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.911.110.64.84.45.125.826.025.5
vs Stronger (12)11.311.511.24.65.73.525.227.223.3
vs Similar (34)10.911.110.74.63.95.425.425.425.4
vs Weaker (4)9.09.09.06.25.06.730.530.030.7
% over line66%70%62%68%72%64%77%70%83%
% under line34%30%38%32%28%36%23%30%17%
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Farense
11.9
AVS
11.6
Chaves
11.0
Portimonense
11.0
Estrela
10.9
Guimaraes
10.6
Benfica
10.6
Vizela
10.4
FC Porto
10.4
Estoril
10.3
Casa Pia
10.1
Rio Ave
10.1
Famalicao
9.9
Moreirense
9.5
SC Braga
9.4
Arouca
9.4
GIL Vicente
9.4
Boavista
9.4
Sporting CP
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Porto
6.6
Famalicao
6.4
Boavista
6.3
Chaves
6.1
Guimaraes
6.0
Arouca
5.8
Vizela
5.7
Estoril
5.7
Portimonense
5.6
Farense
5.4
AVS
5.4
Rio Ave
5.4
Estrela
5.3
Sporting CP
5.2
GIL Vicente
5.1
Benfica
5.0
SC Braga
4.8
Moreirense
4.8
Casa Pia
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
31.3
Rio Ave
30.5
Chaves
29.8
FC Porto
28.9
Boavista
28.9
Vizela
28.9
Farense
28.2
Guimaraes
27.8
Portimonense
27.5
AVS
27.5
Arouca
27.4
Moreirense
27.2
Estoril
27.0
Casa Pia
26.8
GIL Vicente
26.4
Estrela
26.0
SC Braga
24.6
Sporting CP
24.0
Benfica
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.5%
Under 9.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.2%
Under 3.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
78.4%
Under 21.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AroucaArouca

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W21W01L01L10W20W20W01L00DA·CAS18/02H·FAM23/02A·CHA01/03H·SPO10/03A·MOR17/03H·FAR30/03A·SC 06/04H·BOA14/04A·RIO19/04A·GIL26/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.710.640.690.69
vs Stronger (8)0.620.750.501.000.750.50
vs Similar (18)0.500.720.750.620.300.80
vs Weaker (4)1.750.251.000.002.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D00D00D00D12L02L11D00D01LA·FC 17/02H·CHA24/02A·SC 02/03H·CAS08/03A·FAM16/03H·SPO29/03A·MOR07/04H·RIO14/04A·BOA20/04H·FAR29/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.530.600.600.130.47
vs Stronger (11)0.180.820.401.200.000.50
vs Similar (19)0.470.370.700.300.220.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arouca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AroucaArouca

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D30W02L00D11D10W01L10W22DA·CAS18/02H·FAM23/02A·CHA01/03H·SPO10/03A·MOR17/03H·FAR30/03A·SC 06/04H·BOA14/04A·RIO19/04A·GIL26/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.630.790.791.060.50
vs Stronger (8)0.501.000.251.250.750.75
vs Similar (18)1.110.441.250.381.000.50
vs Weaker (4)1.000.750.001.502.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D03L31W00D00D20W11D11D02LA·FC 17/02H·CHA24/02A·SC 02/03H·CAS08/03A·FAM16/03H·SPO29/03A·MOR07/04H·RIO14/04A·BOA20/04H·FAR29/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.070.801.130.601.00
vs Stronger (11)0.451.360.601.000.331.67
vs Similar (19)0.840.890.901.200.780.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arouca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls88.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards88.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls78.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.575.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards74.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Arouca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafa Mújica50%
Cristo González35%
Jason18%
André Bukia10%
Morlaye Sylla9%
Matías Rocha9%
Tiago Esgaio7%
Weverson4%
Pedro Santos4%
Francisco Montero3%
Oriol Busquets0%
Kouassi Eboue0%
David Simão0%
Yusuf Lawal0%
Robson Bambu0%
Nino Galović0%
Yaw Moses0%
Pedro Moreira0%
Benji Michel0%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena0%
Vladislav Morozov0%
Mateus Quaresma0%
Miguel Puche0%
Bogdan Milovanov0%
Alfonso Trezza0%
Vitinho0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Francisco Montero31%
David Simão28%
Morlaye Sylla25%
Pedro Santos25%
Alfonso Trezza21%
Kouassi Eboue20%
Pedro Moreira20%
Mateus Quaresma17%
Weverson15%
Tiago Esgaio14%
Bogdan Milovanov14%
Rafa Mújica13%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena13%
Cristo González12%
Jason12%
Oriol Busquets11%
Nino Galović11%
Robson Bambu10%
Matías Rocha9%
Rafael Fernandes9%
Yusuf Lawal6%
Yaw Moses0%
André Bukia0%
Benji Michel0%
Vladislav Morozov0%
Miguel Puche0%
Vitinho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cristo González24%
David Simão19%
Mateus Quaresma17%
Jason15%
Morlaye Sylla12%
Tiago Esgaio11%
André Bukia10%
Rafa Mújica10%
Yusuf Lawal6%
Nino Galović6%
Weverson4%
Francisco Montero3%
Oriol Busquets0%
Kouassi Eboue0%
Robson Bambu0%
Yaw Moses0%
Pedro Moreira0%
Benji Michel0%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena0%
Vladislav Morozov0%
Miguel Puche0%
Bogdan Milovanov0%
Alfonso Trezza0%
Matías Rocha0%
Vitinho0%
Pedro Santos0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafa Mújica50%
Cristo González32%
Jason21%
Mateus Quaresma17%
Morlaye Sylla6%
Miguel Puche4%
David Simão3%
Francisco Montero0%
Oriol Busquets0%
Kouassi Eboue0%
Yusuf Lawal0%
Robson Bambu0%
Nino Galović0%
Yaw Moses0%
André Bukia0%
Pedro Moreira0%
Benji Michel0%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena0%
Vladislav Morozov0%
Tiago Esgaio0%
Bogdan Milovanov0%
Alfonso Trezza0%
Weverson0%
Matías Rocha0%
Vitinho0%
Pedro Santos0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas23%
Léo Jabá16%
André Luiz15%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronaldo Tavares12%
Léo Cordeiro9%
Leonel Bucca7%
Ronald6%
Jean Felipe4%
Regis Ndo4%
Kialonda Gaspar4%
Miguel Lopes0%
Mansur0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Rúben Lima0%
Vitó0%
Aloisio0%
Nanú0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Alioune Ndour0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Shinga0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kialonda Gaspar33%
Leonel Bucca27%
Regis Ndo26%
Aloisio25%
Rodrigo Pinho25%
Ronald24%
Rúben Lima21%
Mansur20%
Johnstone Omurwa20%
Nanú17%
Nilton Varela17%
João Reis16%
Léo Cordeiro16%
Erivaldo Almeida14%
Kikas13%
Miguel Lopes12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Hevertton Santos10%
Léo Jabá10%
Ronaldo Tavares8%
Pedro Mendes8%
André Luiz7%
Pedro Sá6%
Vitó0%
António Filipe0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Jean Felipe0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Shinga0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Erivaldo Almeida14%
Léo Jabá13%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronald12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Jean Felipe9%
Nanú8%
Rúben Lima7%
Mansur5%
Regis Ndo4%
Aloisio4%
Hevertton Santos3%
Kikas3%
Miguel Lopes0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Vitó0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Léo Cordeiro0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Shinga0%
Leonel Bucca0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
André Luiz0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Luiz19%
Kikas13%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronaldo Tavares12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Léo Jabá10%
Leonel Bucca7%
Léo Cordeiro6%
Regis Ndo4%
Aloisio4%
Miguel Lopes0%
Mansur0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Rúben Lima0%
Vitó0%
Nanú0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Jean Felipe0%
Ronald0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Shinga0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
Arouca's squad is €8m more valuable than Estrela's (€28m vs €20m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
POR (7)
€2m
Arouca's attack is €6m more valuable than Estrela's (€11m vs €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
EST (5)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
POR (5)
€1m
Arouca's midfield is €5m more valuable than Estrela's (€8m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
Arouca's defence is €3m less valuable than Estrela's (€8m vs €11m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
ARO wins
0
Draws
0
EST wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arouca vs Estrela · H/A from ARO
DateH/AGameScore
28/12/23AEstrela Vs ARO1-4

AroucaArouca

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/24AGIL Vicente Vs ARO2-2
19/04/24ARio Ave Vs ARO1-1
14/04/24HARO Vs Boavista2-1
06/04/24ASC Braga Vs ARO0-3
30/03/24HARO Vs Farense2-1
17/03/24AMoreirense Vs ARO1-0
10/03/24HARO Vs Sporting CP0-3
01/03/24AChaves Vs ARO1-5
23/02/24HARO Vs Famalicao3-2
18/02/24ACasa Pia Vs ARO1-0

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/24HEST Vs Farense0-3
20/04/24ABoavista Vs EST1-1
14/04/24HEST Vs Rio Ave2-2
07/04/24AMoreirense Vs EST2-2
29/03/24HEST Vs Sporting CP1-2
16/03/24AFamalicao Vs EST0-0
08/03/24HEST Vs Casa Pia3-1
02/03/24ASC Braga Vs EST3-0
24/02/24HEST Vs Chaves1-1
17/02/24AFC Porto Vs EST2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arouca
Arouca
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD1.52
HomeWWLWW1.75
AwayWLWDD1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%35%
AVG goals2.562.622.50
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %22%21%23%
Scored1.401.421.38
Conceded1.161.211.12
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners9.098.759.41
Cards5.765.506.00
Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDL1.30
HomeDWLDL1.40
AwayLLDDD1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.722.922.52
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %52%60%44%
Over 3.5 %30%36%24%
Scored1.301.441.16
Conceded1.421.481.36
BTTS60%60%60%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners10.8711.1310.62
Cards5.064.785.33

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sporting CPSporting CP3490
85%
2.6
9629+67
3.7
91%
76%
41%
9.2
44%
5.5
76%
24.3
76%
414
146911762.80.9
59%
2BenficaBenfica3480
74%
2.4
7728+49
3.1
82%
62%
41%
10.5
59%
5.4
73%
23.6
71%
357
172771082.30.8
59%
3FC PortoFC Porto3472
65%
2.1
6327+36
2.6
76%
56%
24%
11.2
62%
7.1
88%
30.0
91%
467
2141051481.90.8
64%
4SC BragaSC Braga3468
62%
2.0
7150+21
3.6
82%
71%
47%
9.9
56%
5.1
73%
24.0
65%
165
4156682.11.5
57%
5GuimaraesGuimaraes3463
56%
1.9
5238+14
2.6
74%
56%
26%
11.6
71%
6.0
82%
26.8
82%
46
2211121.51.1
48%
6MoreirenseMoreirense3455
47%
1.6
3635+1
2.1
47%
35%
21%
9.4
32%
5.0
69%
27.8
85%
22
5891.11.0
46%
7AroucaArouca3446
38%
1.4
5450+4
3.1
79%
65%
35%
9.0
38%
5.7
74%
25.7
76%
28
11881.61.5
54%
8FamalicaoFamalicao3442
29%
1.2
3741-4
2.3
65%
44%
24%
9.7
44%
6.2
91%
31.6
94%
57
1620221.11.2
47%
9Casa PiaCasa Pia3438
29%
1.1
3850-12
2.6
65%
47%
35%
10.1
47%
4.3
59%
26.6
79%
27
96121.11.5
44%
10FarenseFarense3437
29%
1.1
4651-5
2.9
79%
56%
35%
12.3
74%
4.7
68%
26.6
79%
8
3241.41.5
42%
11Rio AveRio Ave3437
18%
1.1
3843-5
2.4
79%
35%
21%
9.8
44%
5.8
82%
29.6
94%
37
88211.11.3
49%
12GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3436
26%
1.1
4252-10
2.8
74%
50%
29%
8.9
44%
4.7
69%
26.3
74%
29
118111.21.5
49%
13EstorilEstoril3433
26%
1.0
4958-9
3.1
71%
62%
47%
10.2
53%
5.6
75%
26.1
79%
42
248101.41.7
49%
14EstrelaEstrela3433
21%
1.0
3353-20
2.5
71%
47%
29%
10.7
65%
4.7
68%
25.0
76%
20
63111.01.6
47%
15BoavistaBoavista3432
21%
0.9
3962-23
3.0
85%
53%
38%
9.9
47%
5.9
85%
28.8
97%
0
0001.11.8
48%
16PortimonensePortimonense3632
22%
0.9
4176-35
3.2
83%
64%
39%
11.1
67%
5.5
80%
27.2
89%
6
2131.12.1
46%
17VizelaVizela3426
15%
0.8
3666-30
3.0
71%
56%
44%
9.9
50%
5.2
82%
29.3
100%
12
5241.11.9
50%
18ChavesChaves3423
15%
0.7
3172-41
3.0
79%
62%
38%
10.2
56%
5.9
88%
28.6
97%
9
3240.92.1
43%
19AVSAVS26
100%
3.0
42+2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
12.5
50%
8.5
100%
32.0
100%
7
3232.01.0
35%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches