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AS Roma vs AC Milan Result & Analysis

Date: 25/01/2026
Time: 19:45
Final 1-1
AS Roma
AS Roma
Vs
40%
31%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AS Roma win✗ Miss
40.2%
Avg Implied 35.9% · @ 2.62
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.9%
Avg Implied 31.3% · @ 3.00
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AC Milan win✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 32.8% · @ 2.87
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AS RomaAS Roma

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W10W12L31W01L20W20W20W20WA·CAG07/12A·CEL11/12H·COM15/12A·JUV20/12H·GEN29/12A·ATA03/01A·LEC06/01H·SAS10/01A·TOR18/01H·VFB22/01
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.601.400.671.470.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.210.711.140.711.290.71
vs Weaker (16)1.620.501.620.621.620.38
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W32W22D30W10W11D11D31W10WA·INT23/11H·LAZ29/11A·TOR08/12H·SAS14/12H·HEL28/12A·CAG02/01H·GEN08/01A·FIO11/01A·COM15/01H·LEC18/01
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.700.871.600.871.800.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.231.001.330.831.141.14
vs Weaker (17)2.060.761.780.892.380.62
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.8%
Under 1.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.9%
@ 2.17-3.3%
Under 2.5
60.1%
@ 1.65+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.2%
No
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.5%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.4%
AS Roma goals ↓
AC Milan goals →
01234
012%9.2%5.4%1.8%0.5%
112%14%6.8%2.3%0.6%
28.0%8.2%4.2%1.4%0.4%
33.4%3.4%1.8%0.6%0.2%
41.1%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AS Roma goals (down), columns = AC Milan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Lecce
1.00
Cremonese
0.89
Hellas Verona
0.55
Pisa
0.47
AS Roma is 0.08 points better than AC Milan in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 1.84).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Cremonese
0.84
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Pisa
0.68
Hellas Verona
0.66
AS Roma is 0.16 goals better than AC Milan in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
Inter
0.92
AC Milan
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Bologna
1.21
Parma
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Cremonese
1.50
Hellas Verona
1.61
Torino
1.66
Pisa
1.87
AS Roma is 0.11 goals better than AC Milan in terms of goals conceded per game (0.82 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Cremonese
46%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Pisa
40%
Hellas Verona
40%
AS Roma is 4.4 percentage points better than AC Milan in terms of average possession (56% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AS RomaAS Roma

For 3.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.7

🚩 Corners

1202412522257614263441463741276985H·VFBA·TORH·SASA·LECA·ATAH·GENA·JUVH·COMA·CELA·CAG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

601212221321132335223344315654H·VFBA·TORH·SASA·LECA·ATAH·GENA·JUVH·COMA·CELA·CAG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.8

⚠️ Fouls

340121291315162010151613131314168910161824223130312627241934H·VFBA·TORH·SASA·LECA·ATAH·GENA·JUVH·COMA·CELA·CAG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

For 5.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

1301024858121767373421419121213131310106510H·LECA·COMA·FIOH·GENA·CAGH·HELH·SASA·TORH·LAZA·INT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

701113241121131234212155314373H·LECA·COMA·FIOH·GENA·CAGH·HELH·SASA·TORH·LAZA·INT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 10.8 · Total 19.9

⚠️ Fouls

240911571410128810515121271610129720122420182024232216H·LECA·COMA·FIOH·GENA·CAGH·HELH·SASA·TORH·LAZA·INT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AS RomaAS Roma

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.58.18.94.24.34.226.025.726.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)8.77.310.25.05.14.826.526.626.4
vs Weaker (24)8.49.27.73.53.23.725.524.526.3
% over line36%28%44%62%60%64%78%76%80%
% under line64%72%56%38%40%36%22%24%20%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.29.74.04.53.522.522.722.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)9.59.69.54.75.24.121.721.821.5
vs Weaker (27)10.310.79.83.43.92.923.123.522.7
% over line56%65%46%52%69%33%54%54%54%
% under line44%35%54%48%31%67%46%46%46%
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lecce
10.0
AC Milan
9.9
Juventus
9.9
Atalanta
9.6
Udinese
9.6
Inter
9.6
Genoa
9.4
Lazio
9.4
Cremonese
9.1
Cagliari
9.1
Bologna
9.0
Napoli
9.0
Parma
9.0
Fiorentina
8.8
Hellas Verona
8.7
Torino
8.6
AS Roma
8.5
Sassuolo
8.4
Pisa
8.3
Como
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.8
Fiorentina
5.0
Como
4.9
Bologna
4.8
Cremonese
4.5
AS Roma
4.4
Genoa
4.3
Hellas Verona
4.3
Pisa
4.2
Parma
4.2
Sassuolo
4.1
AC Milan
4.0
Cagliari
4.0
Udinese
3.9
Lecce
3.9
Inter
3.5
Juventus
3.5
Torino
3.4
Napoli
3.4
Atalanta
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bologna
30.4
Cremonese
29.7
Fiorentina
28.5
Como
27.5
Genoa
27.5
Cagliari
26.9
Sassuolo
26.6
Pisa
26.6
AS Roma
26.0
Hellas Verona
25.8
Lazio
25.5
Udinese
25.4
Lecce
25.1
Torino
24.7
Inter
24.0
Parma
23.9
Napoli
23.7
Juventus
23.7
AC Milan
22.5
Atalanta
21.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.4%
Under 9.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.3%
Under 3.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.0%
Under 21.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AS RomaAS Roma

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W00D01L30W01L10W00D10W10WA·CAG07/12A·CEL11/12H·COM15/12A·JUV20/12H·GEN29/12A·ATA03/01A·LEC06/01H·SAS10/01A·TOR18/01H·VFB22/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.330.530.400.870.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.790.570.430.571.140.57
vs Weaker (16)0.620.120.620.250.620.00
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D12L11D10W00D01L00D11D00DA·INT23/11H·LAZ29/11A·TOR08/12H·SAS14/12H·HEL28/12A·CAG02/01H·GEN08/01A·FIO11/01A·COM15/01H·LEC18/01
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.430.530.330.670.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.540.540.670.330.430.71
vs Weaker (17)0.650.350.440.330.880.38
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AS RomaAS Roma

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W11D01L00D10W20W10W10WA·CAG07/12A·CEL11/12H·COM15/12A·JUV20/12H·GEN29/12A·ATA03/01A·LEC06/01H·SAS10/01A·TOR18/01H·VFB22/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.270.870.270.600.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.430.140.710.140.140.14
vs Weaker (16)1.000.381.000.381.000.38
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W20W11D20W10W10W11D20W10WA·INT23/11H·LAZ29/11A·TOR08/12H·SAS14/12H·HEL28/12A·CAG02/01H·GEN08/01A·FIO11/01A·COM15/01H·LEC18/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.431.070.531.130.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.690.460.670.500.710.43
vs Weaker (17)1.410.411.330.561.500.25
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls86.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners81.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards81.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.580.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls75.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

AS Roma
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donyell Malen50%
Antonio Arena33%
Lorenzo Pellegrini21%
Evan Ferguson18%
Artem Dovbyk17%
Matías Soulé17%
Wesley13%
Evan Ndicka12%
Mario Hermoso11%
Paulo Dybala11%
Tommaso Baldanzi10%
Gianluca Mancini9%
Niccolò Pisilli9%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Robinio Vaz7%
Neil El Aynaoui6%
Manu Koné5%
Bryan Cristante4%
Jan Ziółkowski4%
Devyne Rensch3%
Zeki Çelik2%
Angeliño0%
Mile Svilar0%
Leon Bailey0%
Kostas Tsimikas0%
Bryan Zaragoza0%
Daniele Ghilardi0%
Lorenzo Venturino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mario Hermoso31%
Gianluca Mancini27%
Angeliño22%
Tommaso Baldanzi20%
Wesley18%
Stephan El Shaarawy18%
Neil El Aynaoui18%
Bryan Cristante17%
Jan Ziółkowski17%
Evan Ndicka17%
Bryan Zaragoza17%
Niccolò Pisilli12%
Zeki Çelik11%
Daniele Ghilardi11%
Manu Koné8%
Kostas Tsimikas8%
Devyne Rensch6%
Lorenzo Pellegrini6%
Donyell Malen5%
Matías Soulé5%
Evan Ferguson5%
Mile Svilar0%
Paulo Dybala0%
Leon Bailey0%
Artem Dovbyk0%
Robinio Vaz0%
Lorenzo Venturino0%
Antonio Arena0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Paulo Dybala22%
Leon Bailey18%
Bryan Zaragoza17%
Matías Soulé17%
Devyne Rensch12%
Lorenzo Pellegrini12%
Niccolò Pisilli12%
Artem Dovbyk11%
Donyell Malen10%
Evan Ferguson9%
Zeki Çelik9%
Manu Koné8%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Neil El Aynaoui6%
Mario Hermoso6%
Gianluca Mancini4%
Bryan Cristante4%
Kostas Tsimikas4%
Wesley3%
Angeliño0%
Mile Svilar0%
Evan Ndicka0%
Tommaso Baldanzi0%
Daniele Ghilardi0%
Jan Ziółkowski0%
Robinio Vaz0%
Lorenzo Venturino0%
Antonio Arena0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Donyell Malen55%
Antonio Arena33%
Evan Ferguson23%
Paulo Dybala19%
Matías Soulé17%
Lorenzo Pellegrini9%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Evan Ndicka5%
Bryan Cristante4%
Niccolò Pisilli3%
Mario Hermoso3%
Manu Koné3%
Wesley3%
Gianluca Mancini2%
Angeliño0%
Mile Svilar0%
Leon Bailey0%
Kostas Tsimikas0%
Artem Dovbyk0%
Zeki Çelik0%
Devyne Rensch0%
Neil El Aynaoui0%
Bryan Zaragoza0%
Tommaso Baldanzi0%
Daniele Ghilardi0%
Jan Ziółkowski0%
Robinio Vaz0%
Lorenzo Venturino0%
AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafael Leão29%
Christian Pulišić24%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Strahinja Pavlović14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Alexis Saelemaekers8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Youssouf Fofana6%
Luka Modrić6%
Santiago Giménez6%
Niclas Füllkrug5%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Samuele Ricci3%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pervis Estupiñán29%
Fikayo Tomori19%
Strahinja Pavlović16%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Rafael Leão16%
Alexis Saelemaekers13%
Matteo Gabbia13%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Luka Modrić11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Zachary Athekame11%
Mike Maignan10%
Davide Bartesaghi9%
Koni De Winter7%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek6%
Christian Pulišić0%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christian Pulišić12%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Alexis Saelemaekers11%
Rafael Leão10%
Christopher Nkunku9%
Luka Modrić8%
Fikayo Tomori8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Ardon Jashari6%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafael Leão26%
Christian Pulišić21%
Santiago Giménez17%
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christopher Nkunku12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Ardon Jashari6%
Alexis Saelemaekers5%
Samuele Ricci3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Luka Modrić0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Koni De Winter0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
David Odogu0%
Zachary Athekame0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CRE (30)
€49m
AS Roma's squad is €114m less valuable than AC Milan's (€471m vs €585m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
PAR (8)
€35m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
AS Roma's attack is €85m less valuable than AC Milan's (€138m vs €223m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
PIS (9)
€26m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
AS Roma's midfield is €35m less valuable than AC Milan's (€118m vs €153m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
AS Roma's defence is €6m more valuable than AC Milan's (€215m vs €209m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AR wins
2
Draws
3
AM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AS Roma vs AC Milan · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/25AAC Milan Vs AR1-0
18/05/25HAR Vs AC Milan3-1
29/12/24AAC Milan Vs AR1-1
18/04/24HAR Vs AC Milan2-1
11/04/24AAC Milan Vs AR0-1
14/01/24AAC Milan Vs AR3-1
01/09/23HAR Vs AC Milan1-2
29/04/23HAR Vs AC Milan1-1

AS RomaAS Roma

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/01/26HAR Vs VfB Stuttgart2-0
18/01/26ATorino Vs AR0-2
10/01/26HAR Vs Sassuolo2-0
06/01/26ALecce Vs AR0-2
03/01/26AAtalanta Vs AR1-0
29/12/25HAR Vs Genoa3-1
20/12/25AJuventus Vs AR2-1
15/12/25HAR Vs Como1-0
11/12/25ACeltic Vs AR0-3
07/12/25ACagliari Vs AR1-0

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/01/26HAM Vs Lecce1-0
15/01/26AComo Vs AM1-3
11/01/26AFiorentina Vs AM1-1
08/01/26HAM Vs Genoa1-1
02/01/26ACagliari Vs AM0-1
28/12/25HAM Vs Hellas Verona3-0
14/12/25HAM Vs Sassuolo2-2
08/12/25ATorino Vs AM2-3
29/11/25HAM Vs Lazio1-0
23/11/25AInter Vs AM0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AS Roma
AS Roma
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW2.18
HomeLWWWW2.24
AwayWLLWW2.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%72%68%
AVG goals2.082.201.96
Over 1.5 %60%64%56%
Over 2.5 %34%36%32%
Over 3.5 %12%16%8%
Scored1.441.561.32
Conceded0.640.640.64
BTTS38%40%36%
Clean Sheet48%44%52%
Corners8.528.128.92
Cards4.424.284.57
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWW1.88
HomeWDWDW1.96
AwayWWWDW1.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%54%54%
AVG goals2.482.352.62
Over 1.5 %74%69%79%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %22%19%25%
Scored1.521.461.58
Conceded0.960.881.04
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet36%35%38%
Corners9.9410.199.67
Cards4.004.503.46

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3887
71%
2.3
8935+54
3.3
84%
55%
37%
9.2
55%
3.5
38%
24.2
58%
694
2202322422.30.9
60%
2NapoliNapoli3876
61%
2.0
5836+22
2.5
68%
53%
26%
8.2
26%
3.5
42%
23.4
61%
459
2061011521.50.9
59%
3AS RomaAS Roma3873
61%
1.9
5931+28
2.4
66%
37%
18%
8.6
34%
4.1
66%
27.8
89%
471
1381182151.60.8
56%
4ComoComo3871
53%
1.9
6529+36
2.5
71%
45%
24%
7.7
24%
4.6
68%
25.9
79%
488
261831441.70.8
62%
5AC MilanAC Milan3870
53%
1.8
5335+18
2.3
66%
45%
18%
8.6
42%
3.8
58%
21.9
58%
585
2231532091.40.9
52%
6JuventusJuventus3869
50%
1.8
6134+27
2.5
74%
39%
24%
9.2
37%
3.7
59%
22.3
61%
569
2401401891.60.9
58%
7AtalantaAtalanta3859
39%
1.6
5136+15
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.8
50%
3.4
47%
22.1
53%
438
1581281531.30.9
55%
8BolognaBologna3856
42%
1.5
4946+3
2.5
71%
45%
26%
8.7
34%
4.1
51%
27.8
89%
218
10434791.31.2
55%
9LazioLazio3854
37%
1.4
4140+1
2.1
66%
32%
16%
7.9
29%
4.9
76%
25.1
68%
240
6086931.11.1
50%
10UdineseUdinese3850
37%
1.3
4548-3
2.4
68%
45%
21%
9.3
39%
3.7
53%
25.1
79%
157
4639721.21.3
46%
11SassuoloSassuolo3849
37%
1.3
4650-4
2.5
74%
55%
21%
8.7
50%
4.5
65%
24.9
68%
194
9053521.21.3
46%
12ParmaParma3845
29%
1.2
2846-18
1.9
58%
29%
16%
8.8
37%
3.9
61%
24.3
79%
142
3560460.71.2
44%
13TorinoTorino3845
32%
1.2
4463-19
2.8
74%
63%
29%
8.5
42%
3.5
44%
24.5
68%
144
4346541.21.7
44%
14CagliariCagliari3843
29%
1.1
4053-13
2.4
76%
50%
18%
8.9
37%
4.1
58%
28.6
89%
134
5131521.11.4
46%
15FiorentinaFiorentina3842
24%
1.1
4150-9
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.0
47%
4.8
78%
28.1
92%
330
125107981.11.3
51%
16GenoaGenoa3841
26%
1.1
4151-10
2.4
76%
53%
16%
8.6
37%
4.5
76%
27.4
87%
182
5444841.11.3
49%
17LecceLecce3838
26%
1.0
2850-22
2.1
61%
37%
13%
9.6
58%
3.8
50%
26.7
74%
72
2016370.71.3
42%
18CremoneseCremonese3834
21%
0.9
3257-25
2.3
68%
45%
24%
9.5
47%
3.8
46%
26.4
84%
49
1215220.81.5
46%
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3821
8%
0.6
2561-36
2.3
68%
50%
21%
9.0
42%
4.1
54%
25.3
74%
57
1314300.71.6
40%
20PisaPisa3818
5%
0.5
2671-45
2.6
66%
53%
32%
8.4
37%
3.8
53%
24.7
79%
71
2426220.71.9
40%
Italy: Serie A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches