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AS Roma vs Fiorentina Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2020
Time: 18:30
Final 2-1
AS Roma
AS Roma
Vs
37%
26%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The match sits on a razor-thin edge, with the model favouring a home win but the odds for a draw or an away victory are almost as close. Home win probability 37%, draw 26%, away 36%. The expected total goals is 3.0, yet the most likely total is 2, a 23% chance. The single score the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.3% probability. AS Roma, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Fiorentina, on the road, averages 1.5 scored and 1.62 conceded versus this tier. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls 91.6%, Over 2.5 cards 89.2%, Over 21.5 fouls 83.0%, Over 8.5 corners 81.9%, Over 1.5 81.4%, Over 3.5 cards 76.3%, Over 9.5 corners 72.4% and Over 23.5 fouls 70.6%. Roma’s recent five-game winning streak contrasts with Fiorentina’s two-straight defeats, adding intrigue to an evenly matched contest.

Results analysis

The win extends Roma’s five-game winning run, while Fiorentina’s form has dipped after two straight defeats. The final score of 2-1 confirmed the model’s pre-match favourite, a home win, with a 37% probability, and the model’s pick was correct. The model’s selection of over 1.5 goals, with an 81.4% chance, hit as the match produced two goals. Over 19.5 fouls (91.6%) and over 2.5 cards (89.2%) also came in, as did over 21.5 fouls (83.0%), over 8.5 corners (81.9%), over 3.5 cards (76.3%), over 9.5 corners (72.4%) and over 23.5 fouls (70.6%). All eight suggested picks were settled and each hit.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AS Roma win✓ Hit
37.4%
Avg Implied 58.6% · @ 1.62
Edge
-21.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 22.3% · @ 4.26
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina win✗ Miss
36.1%
Avg Implied 19.1% · @ 4.98
Edge
+17.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AS RomaAS Roma

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-643W21W02L02L12L21W30W21W22D61WA·CAG01/03H·SAM24/06A·AC 28/06H·UDI02/07A·NAP05/07H·PAR08/07A·BRE11/07H·HEL15/07H·INT19/07A·SPA22/07
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.271.801.272.131.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.401.401.601.401.201.40
vs Weaker (20)2.251.201.901.202.601.20
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D12L13L21W00D11D31W20W00DA·UDI08/03H·BRE22/06A·LAZ27/06H·SAS01/07A·PAR05/07H·CAG08/07H·HEL12/07A·LEC15/07H·TOR19/07A·INT22/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.200.871.131.471.27
vs Stronger (4)0.751.001.001.000.671.00
vs Similar (17)1.241.531.001.441.501.62
vs Weaker (9)1.220.670.600.602.000.75
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.9%
@ 1.51-4.8%
Under 2.5
42.1%
@ 2.54+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.5%
Under 3.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.7%
No
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1 ✓
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
2-0
5.7%
AS Roma goals ↓
Fiorentina goals →
01234
06.0%6.2%5.5%2.7%1.0%
16.4%12%8.3%4.1%1.5%
25.7%8.5%6.3%3.1%1.2%
32.9%4.3%3.2%1.6%0.6%
41.1%1.6%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AS Roma goals (down), columns = Fiorentina goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Juventus
2.18
Inter
2.16
Atalanta
2.05
Lazio
2.05
AS Roma
1.84
AC Milan
1.74
Napoli
1.63
Sassuolo
1.34
Hellas Verona
1.29
Fiorentina
1.29
Parma
1.29
Bologna
1.24
Cagliari
1.18
Udinese
1.18
Sampdoria
1.11
Torino
1.05
Genoa
1.03
Lecce
0.92
Brescia
0.66
Spal
0.53
AS Roma is 0.55 points better than Fiorentina in terms of average points per game (1.84 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Atalanta
2.58
Inter
2.13
Lazio
2.08
AS Roma
2.03
Juventus
2.00
Sassuolo
1.82
AC Milan
1.66
Napoli
1.61
Parma
1.47
Bologna
1.37
Lecce
1.37
Cagliari
1.37
Fiorentina
1.34
Sampdoria
1.26
Hellas Verona
1.24
Genoa
1.24
Torino
1.21
Udinese
0.97
Brescia
0.92
Spal
0.71
AS Roma is 0.68 goals better than Fiorentina in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.34).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Inter
0.95
Lazio
1.11
Juventus
1.13
AC Milan
1.21
Atalanta
1.26
Fiorentina
1.26
Napoli
1.32
AS Roma
1.34
Hellas Verona
1.34
Udinese
1.34
Cagliari
1.47
Parma
1.50
Sassuolo
1.66
Sampdoria
1.71
Bologna
1.71
Torino
1.79
Genoa
1.92
Spal
2.03
Brescia
2.08
Lecce
2.24
AS Roma is 0.08 goals worse than Fiorentina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AS RomaAS Roma

For 6.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.7

🚩 Corners

180138576839318107651087241313111291711189A·SPAH·INTH·HELA·BREH·PARA·NAPH·UDIA·AC H·SAMA·CAG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

90111432151424222541273666409A·SPAH·INTH·HELA·BREH·PARA·NAPH·UDIA·AC H·SAMA·CAG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 11.7 · Total 25.8

⚠️ Fouls

35011101813146161917101610101116101014131421312035272621262427A·SPAH·INTH·HELA·BREH·PARA·NAPH·UDIA·AC H·SAMA·CAG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FiorentinaFiorentina

For 4.8 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

15021141566863383177296135111493118915A·INTH·TORA·LECH·HELH·CAGA·PARH·SASA·LAZH·BREA·UDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.7

🟨 Cards

1003112233222644235642435541068102A·INTH·TORA·LECH·HELH·CAGA·PARH·SASA·LAZH·BREA·UDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 13.4 · Total 26.0

⚠️ Fouls

42013137117151514111014172012131321215826182229213132264213A·INTH·TORA·LECH·HELH·CAGA·PARH·SASA·LAZH·BREA·UDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AS RomaAS Roma

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.512.310.75.55.15.925.825.126.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)10.410.610.26.16.25.927.127.426.6
vs Weaker (33)12.113.210.95.24.55.925.123.926.4
% over line72%77%67%76%69%83%80%73%88%
% under line28%23%33%24%31%17%20%27%12%
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.910.211.75.35.25.428.128.727.5
vs Stronger (8)11.810.013.54.96.23.526.631.821.5
vs Similar (27)10.410.310.55.24.55.927.626.129.3
vs Weaker (15)11.410.013.05.65.85.429.831.927.4
% over line68%54%83%78%77%79%86%85%88%
% under line32%46%17%22%23%21%14%15%12%
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lecce
11.6
AS Roma
11.5
Udinese
11.5
Bologna
11.2
Torino
11.1
Juventus
11.1
Sassuolo
11.0
Fiorentina
10.9
Inter
10.8
Sampdoria
10.7
Brescia
10.6
AC Milan
10.6
Hellas Verona
10.5
Lazio
10.4
Spal
10.4
Parma
10.3
Napoli
10.1
Cagliari
10.0
Atalanta
9.9
Genoa
9.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bologna
6.1
Torino
5.9
Hellas Verona
5.8
Sassuolo
5.8
Genoa
5.6
AS Roma
5.5
Cagliari
5.5
Brescia
5.4
Inter
5.4
Sampdoria
5.3
Spal
5.3
Lazio
5.3
Fiorentina
5.3
AC Milan
5.2
Juventus
5.2
Lecce
5.1
Atalanta
4.9
Parma
4.7
Napoli
4.6
Udinese
4.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Torino
31.2
Bologna
30.8
Brescia
30.5
Hellas Verona
29.9
Genoa
29.8
Spal
28.7
Sassuolo
28.5
Fiorentina
28.1
AC Milan
28.0
Atalanta
27.8
Cagliari
27.2
Sampdoria
26.9
Lecce
26.8
Inter
26.7
Parma
26.6
Juventus
26.1
AS Roma
25.8
Udinese
25.4
Napoli
25.0
Lazio
24.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
72.4%
Under 9.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.3%
Under 3.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.0%
Under 21.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AS RomaAS Roma

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L00D01L00D11D00D20W11D21WA·CAG01/03H·SAM24/06A·AC 28/06H·UDI02/07A·NAP05/07H·PAR08/07A·BRE11/07H·HEL15/07H·INT19/07A·SPA22/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.670.730.800.800.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.500.800.800.600.20
vs Weaker (20)0.800.750.700.800.900.70
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D10W02L20W00D01L30W10W00DA·UDI08/03H·BRE22/06A·LAZ27/06H·SAS01/07A·PAR05/07H·CAG08/07H·HEL12/07A·LEC15/07H·TOR19/07A·INT22/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.330.600.800.40
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.001.000.330.33
vs Similar (17)0.530.650.440.670.620.62
vs Weaker (9)0.780.220.200.401.500.00
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AS RomaAS Roma

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D20W02L01L12L10W30W01L11D40WA·CAG01/03H·SAM24/06A·AC 28/06H·UDI02/07A·NAP05/07H·PAR08/07A·BRE11/07H·HEL15/07H·INT19/07A·SPA22/07
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.601.070.471.330.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.900.800.600.601.20
vs Weaker (20)1.450.451.200.401.700.50
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L11D01L00D10W01L10W00DA·UDI08/03H·BRE22/06A·LAZ27/06H·SAS01/07A·PAR05/07H·CAG08/07H·HEL12/07A·LEC15/07H·TOR19/07A·INT22/07
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.530.530.670.87
vs Stronger (4)0.500.501.000.000.330.67
vs Similar (17)0.710.880.560.780.881.00
vs Weaker (9)0.440.440.400.200.500.75
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls91.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards89.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls83.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners81.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards76.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners72.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls70.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

AS Roma · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donyell Malen50%
Antonio Arena33%
Lorenzo Pellegrini21%
Evan Ferguson18%
Artem Dovbyk17%
Matías Soulé17%
Wesley13%
Evan Ndicka12%
Mario Hermoso11%
Paulo Dybala11%
Tommaso Baldanzi10%
Gianluca Mancini9%
Niccolò Pisilli9%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Robinio Vaz7%
Neil El Aynaoui6%
Manu Koné5%
Bryan Cristante4%
Jan Ziółkowski4%
Devyne Rensch3%
Zeki Çelik2%
Angeliño0%
Mile Svilar0%
Leon Bailey0%
Kostas Tsimikas0%
Bryan Zaragoza0%
Daniele Ghilardi0%
Lorenzo Venturino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mario Hermoso31%
Gianluca Mancini27%
Angeliño22%
Tommaso Baldanzi20%
Wesley18%
Stephan El Shaarawy18%
Neil El Aynaoui18%
Bryan Cristante17%
Jan Ziółkowski17%
Evan Ndicka17%
Bryan Zaragoza17%
Niccolò Pisilli12%
Zeki Çelik11%
Daniele Ghilardi11%
Manu Koné8%
Kostas Tsimikas8%
Devyne Rensch6%
Lorenzo Pellegrini6%
Donyell Malen5%
Matías Soulé5%
Evan Ferguson5%
Mile Svilar0%
Paulo Dybala0%
Leon Bailey0%
Artem Dovbyk0%
Robinio Vaz0%
Lorenzo Venturino0%
Antonio Arena0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Paulo Dybala22%
Leon Bailey18%
Bryan Zaragoza17%
Matías Soulé17%
Devyne Rensch12%
Lorenzo Pellegrini12%
Niccolò Pisilli12%
Artem Dovbyk11%
Donyell Malen10%
Evan Ferguson9%
Zeki Çelik9%
Manu Koné8%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Neil El Aynaoui6%
Mario Hermoso6%
Gianluca Mancini4%
Bryan Cristante4%
Kostas Tsimikas4%
Wesley3%
Angeliño0%
Mile Svilar0%
Evan Ndicka0%
Tommaso Baldanzi0%
Daniele Ghilardi0%
Jan Ziółkowski0%
Robinio Vaz0%
Lorenzo Venturino0%
Antonio Arena0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Donyell Malen55%
Antonio Arena33%
Evan Ferguson23%
Paulo Dybala19%
Matías Soulé17%
Lorenzo Pellegrini9%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Evan Ndicka5%
Bryan Cristante4%
Niccolò Pisilli3%
Mario Hermoso3%
Manu Koné3%
Wesley3%
Gianluca Mancini2%
Angeliño0%
Mile Svilar0%
Leon Bailey0%
Kostas Tsimikas0%
Artem Dovbyk0%
Zeki Çelik0%
Devyne Rensch0%
Neil El Aynaoui0%
Bryan Zaragoza0%
Tommaso Baldanzi0%
Daniele Ghilardi0%
Jan Ziółkowski0%
Robinio Vaz0%
Lorenzo Venturino0%
Fiorentina · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cher Ndour33%
Nicolò Fagioli0%
David De Gea0%
Marco Brescianini0%
João Mário0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Arthur Atta0%
Franco Mastantuono0%
Christ Inao Oulaï0%
Víctor Valdepeñas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolò Fagioli33%
Radu Drăguşin33%
Christ Inao Oulaï33%
David De Gea0%
Marco Brescianini0%
João Mário0%
Cher Ndour0%
Arthur Atta0%
Franco Mastantuono0%
Víctor Valdepeñas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marco Brescianini33%
João Mário33%
Radu Drăguşin33%
Nicolò Fagioli0%
David De Gea0%
Cher Ndour0%
Arthur Atta0%
Franco Mastantuono0%
Christ Inao Oulaï0%
Víctor Valdepeñas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cher Ndour33%
Arthur Atta33%
Franco Mastantuono33%
Nicolò Fagioli0%
David De Gea0%
Marco Brescianini0%
João Mário0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Christ Inao Oulaï0%
Víctor Valdepeñas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
LEC (31)
€72m
HV (34)
€57m
SAM (27)
€37m
AS Roma's squad is €141m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€471m vs €330m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
PAR (8)
€35m
LEC (9)
€20m
SAM (7)
€14m
HV (10)
€13m
AS Roma's attack is €13m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€138m vs €125m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
SAM (6)
€7m
AS Roma's midfield is €11m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€118m vs €107m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
SAM (14)
€17m
AS Roma's defence is €117m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€215m vs €98m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
AR wins
2
Draws
2
FIO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AS Roma vs Fiorentina · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
20/12/19AFiorentina Vs AR1-4
03/04/19HAR Vs Fiorentina2-2
03/11/18AFiorentina Vs AR1-1
07/04/18HAR Vs Fiorentina0-2
05/11/17AFiorentina Vs AR2-4
07/02/17HAR Vs Fiorentina4-0
18/09/16AFiorentina Vs AR1-0
04/03/16HAR Vs Fiorentina4-1

AS RomaAS Roma

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/07/20ASpal Vs AR1-6
19/07/20HAR Vs Inter2-2
15/07/20HAR Vs Hellas Verona2-1
11/07/20ABrescia Vs AR0-3
08/07/20HAR Vs Parma2-1
05/07/20ANapoli Vs AR2-1
02/07/20HAR Vs Udinese0-2
28/06/20AAC Milan Vs AR2-0
24/06/20HAR Vs Sampdoria2-1
01/03/20ACagliari Vs AR3-4

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/07/20AInter Vs FIO0-0
19/07/20HFIO Vs Torino2-0
15/07/20ALecce Vs FIO1-3
12/07/20HFIO Vs Hellas Verona1-1
08/07/20HFIO Vs Cagliari0-0
05/07/20AParma Vs FIO1-2
01/07/20HFIO Vs Sassuolo1-3
27/06/20ALazio Vs FIO2-1
22/06/20HFIO Vs Brescia1-1
08/03/20AUdinese Vs FIO0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AS Roma
AS Roma
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.78
HomeWLWWD1.92
AwayWLLWW1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%58%46%
AVG goals3.123.233.00
Over 1.5 %88%96%79%
Over 2.5 %66%73%58%
Over 3.5 %32%31%33%
Scored1.821.881.75
Conceded1.301.351.25
BTTS64%69%58%
Clean Sheet24%19%29%
Corners11.5212.3110.67
Cards5.485.085.92
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWD1.04
HomeDLDDW0.96
AwayDLWWD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%15%29%
AVG goals2.442.042.88
Over 1.5 %66%58%75%
Over 2.5 %46%27%67%
Over 3.5 %24%15%33%
Scored1.140.881.42
Conceded1.301.151.46
BTTS60%54%67%
Clean Sheet24%31%17%
Corners10.9010.1511.71
Cards5.265.155.38

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1JuventusJuventus3883
68%
2.2
7643+33
3.1
89%
71%
34%
11.0
66%
5.6
87%
26.6
89%
569
2401401892.01.1
-
2InterInter3882
63%
2.2
8136+45
3.1
89%
66%
34%
10.6
58%
5.5
95%
27.0
82%
694
2202322422.10.9
-
3AtalantaAtalanta3878
61%
2.1
9848+50
3.8
92%
71%
53%
9.7
55%
5.2
84%
28.3
92%
438
1581281532.61.3
-
4LazioLazio3878
63%
2.1
7942+37
3.2
87%
74%
32%
10.3
63%
5.5
87%
23.7
63%
240
6086932.11.1
-
5AS RomaAS Roma3870
55%
1.8
7751+26
3.4
92%
71%
39%
11.6
71%
5.5
79%
26.5
89%
471
1381182152.01.3
-
6AC MilanAC Milan3866
50%
1.7
6346+17
2.9
74%
55%
34%
10.2
55%
5.5
76%
27.4
84%
585
2231532091.71.2
-
7NapoliNapoli3862
47%
1.6
6150+11
2.9
87%
58%
26%
9.7
47%
4.9
79%
25.7
74%
459
2061011521.61.3
-
8SassuoloSassuolo3851
37%
1.3
6963+6
3.5
84%
76%
42%
11.0
61%
5.9
89%
28.7
87%
194
9053521.81.7
-
9FiorentinaFiorentina3849
32%
1.3
5148+3
2.6
74%
53%
26%
10.4
61%
5.5
79%
28.1
84%
330
125107981.31.3
-
10ParmaParma3849
37%
1.3
5657-1
3.0
76%
58%
37%
10.3
53%
4.7
76%
26.4
79%
142
3560461.51.5
-
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3849
32%
1.3
4751-4
2.6
79%
47%
18%
10.6
55%
5.4
89%
28.3
95%
57
1314301.21.3
-
12BolognaBologna3847
32%
1.2
5265-13
3.1
87%
63%
34%
10.9
53%
6.0
82%
31.1
97%
218
10434791.41.7
-
13CagliariCagliari3845
29%
1.2
5256-4
2.8
76%
50%
32%
10.3
55%
5.2
76%
26.8
87%
134
5131521.41.5
-
14UdineseUdinese3845
32%
1.2
3751-14
2.3
61%
45%
24%
11.4
74%
4.3
63%
24.8
71%
157
4639721.01.3
-
15SampdoriaSampdoria3842
32%
1.1
4865-17
3.0
79%
63%
29%
10.9
63%
5.5
84%
27.6
89%
37
147171.31.7
-
16TorinoTorino3840
29%
1.1
4668-22
3.0
79%
61%
34%
11.4
68%
5.7
84%
31.0
92%
144
4346541.21.8
-
17GenoaGenoa3839
26%
1.0
4773-26
3.2
84%
79%
42%
9.4
45%
5.8
71%
29.3
84%
182
5444841.21.9
-
18LecceLecce3835
24%
0.9
5285-33
3.6
87%
76%
55%
12.0
82%
5.1
74%
26.1
76%
72
2016371.42.2
-
19BresciaBrescia3825
16%
0.7
3579-44
3.0
84%
63%
26%
10.6
50%
5.5
79%
29.2
87%
0
0000.92.1
-
20SpalSpal3820
13%
0.5
2777-50
2.7
76%
58%
26%
10.5
61%
4.7
66%
28.3
82%
0
0000.72.0
-
Italy: Serie A 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

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