This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Modena
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.40
1.40
1.33
0.53
1.47
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.85
1.55
1.27
1.45
0.33
1.67
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
1.00
2.00
0.67
0.83
1.17
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.1%
Under 1.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.7%
@ 2.09-11.4%
Under 2.5
66.3%
@ 1.72+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.2%
Under 3.5
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.4%
No
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.0%
0-0
14.1%
1-1
14.1%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
1-2 ✓
5.0%
3-0
4.3%
Ascoli goals ↓
Modena goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
8.8%
4.0%
1.0%
0.2%
1
15%
14%
5.0%
1.3%
0.3%
2
10%
8.1%
3.2%
0.8%
0.2%
3
4.3%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.4%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ascoli goals (down), columns = Modena goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Frosinone
2.11
Genoa
1.95
Cagliari
1.65
Bari
1.64
Sudtirol
1.56
Parma
1.55
Reggina
1.41
Palermo
1.29
Modena
1.26
Venezia
1.26
Ascoli
1.24
Pisa
1.24
Como
1.24
Cittadella
1.13
Ternana
1.13
Cosenza
1.10
Perugia
1.03
Brescia
1.02
Spal
1.00
Benevento
0.92
Ascoli is 0.03 points worse than Modena in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Frosinone
1.66
Bari
1.43
Genoa
1.39
Venezia
1.33
Cagliari
1.33
Pisa
1.26
Palermo
1.26
Reggina
1.26
Parma
1.25
Como
1.24
Modena
1.24
Spal
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Ascoli
1.05
Sudtirol
0.98
Ternana
0.97
Brescia
0.93
Cittadella
0.89
Benevento
0.87
Cosenza
0.80
Ascoli is 0.18 goals worse than Modena in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frosinone
0.68
Genoa
0.74
Sudtirol
0.85
Cagliari
0.88
Bari
0.95
Parma
1.05
Pisa
1.11
Reggina
1.18
Cittadella
1.18
Ascoli
1.24
Como
1.26
Benevento
1.29
Palermo
1.29
Venezia
1.33
Spal
1.34
Cosenza
1.35
Perugia
1.37
Ternana
1.37
Modena
1.39
Brescia
1.48
Ascoli is 0.16 goals better than Modena in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ascoli
For 4.2 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 14.9 · Total 30.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Modena
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Ascoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.6
10.5
4.8
5.1
4.6
31.3
32.9
29.8
vs Stronger (17)
9.7
9.2
10.3
5.1
5.6
4.6
30.3
32.0
28.3
vs Similar (33)
10.2
9.8
10.7
4.7
4.8
4.5
31.8
33.4
30.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
52%
64%
72%
68%
76%
91%
95%
86%
% under line
42%
48%
36%
28%
32%
24%
9%
5%
14%
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Modena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (49)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (31)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (16)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
11.0
Venezia
10.5
Spal
10.5
Bari
10.5
Como
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Reggina
10.4
Parma
10.3
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cittadella
9.5
Perugia
9.5
Palermo
9.4
Cagliari
9.0
Genoa
8.9
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Pisa
5.8
Frosinone
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.5
Parma
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Ternana
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Benevento
4.6
Genoa
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Bari
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.7
Cittadella
33.4
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Ascoli
31.3
Palermo
31.3
Frosinone
31.2
Spal
30.8
Como
29.9
Parma
29.4
Ternana
29.1
Benevento
28.6
Bari
28.3
Genoa
27.9
Cagliari
27.8
Cosenza
27.5
Venezia
27.5
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.3%
Under 9.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
81.6%
Under 3.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
96.5%
Under 21.5
3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ascoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.43
0.69
0.38
0.64
0.50
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
0.73
0.83
0.67
0.60
0.80
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.26
0.60
0.20
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Modena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.37
0.67
0.27
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.45
0.55
0.27
0.22
0.67
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.22
1.33
0.33
0.67
0.17
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ascoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.62
0.50
0.64
0.86
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
0.73
0.17
0.83
0.60
0.60
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.63
0.90
0.30
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Modena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.03
0.73
1.07
0.13
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.45
1.10
0.73
1.18
0.11
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
0.33
0.78
0.67
0.33
0.17
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ascoli
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Davide Marsura23%
Francesco Forte21%
Amato Ciciretti15%
Federico Dionisi15%
Cedric Gondo15%
Pedro Mendes13%
Michele Collocolo11%
Eric Botteghin8%
Lorenco Šimić8%
Fabrizio Caligara6%
Francesco Donati5%
Claud Adjapong4%
Christophe Lungoyi4%
Marcel Büchel4%
Mirko Eramo0%
Federico Proia0%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Nicola Falasco0%
Marcello Falzerano0%
Enrico Guarna0%
Giuseppe Bellusci0%
Alessandro Salvi0%
Nicola Leali0%
Samuel Giovane0%
Simone Giordano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alessandro Salvi50%
Giuseppe Bellusci44%
Nicola Falasco37%
Federico Proia30%
Marcel Büchel29%
Lorenco Šimić27%
Samuel Giovane26%
Amato Ciciretti23%
Davide Marsura23%
Danilo Quaranta22%
Fabrizio Caligara21%
Cedric Gondo21%
Eric Botteghin16%
Mirko Eramo15%
Francesco Donati15%
Francesco Forte14%
Claud Adjapong12%
Federico Dionisi12%
Nicola Leali12%
Christophe Lungoyi11%
Michele Collocolo11%
Simone Giordano6%
Marcello Falzerano5%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Enrico Guarna0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michele Collocolo14%
Fabrizio Caligara12%
Soufiane Bidaoui9%
Federico Dionisi9%
Amato Ciciretti8%
Nicola Falasco7%
Francesco Forte7%
Samuel Giovane4%
Christophe Lungoyi4%
Marcel Büchel4%
Pedro Mendes3%
Eric Botteghin3%
Claud Adjapong0%
Mirko Eramo0%
Federico Proia0%
Lorenco Šimić0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Davide Marsura0%
Marcello Falzerano0%
Enrico Guarna0%
Giuseppe Bellusci0%
Alessandro Salvi0%
Nicola Leali0%
Cedric Gondo0%
Francesco Donati0%
Simone Giordano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pedro Mendes20%
Federico Dionisi15%
Francesco Forte14%
Cedric Gondo12%
Soufiane Bidaoui9%
Amato Ciciretti8%
Fabrizio Caligara6%
Simone Giordano6%
Claud Adjapong4%
Marcel Büchel4%
Michele Collocolo3%
Mirko Eramo0%
Federico Proia0%
Lorenco Šimić0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Davide Marsura0%
Nicola Falasco0%
Marcello Falzerano0%
Enrico Guarna0%
Giuseppe Bellusci0%
Alessandro Salvi0%
Nicola Leali0%
Eric Botteghin0%
Christophe Lungoyi0%
Francesco Donati0%
Samuel Giovane0%
Modena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Davide Diaw34%
Luca Strizzolo24%
Nicholas Bonfanti23%
Diego Falcinelli18%
Luca Tremolada11%
Luca Magnino11%
Davide Marsura10%
Marco Armellino7%
Fabio Gerli6%
Romeo Giovannini5%
Antonio Pergreffi3%
Andrea Poli0%
Artur Ioniță0%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Tommaso Silvestri0%
Riccardo Gagno0%
Mauro Coppolaro0%
Francesco Renzetti0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Nicola Mosti0%
Paulo Azzi0%
Shady Oukhadda0%
Edoardo Duca0%
Simone Panada0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
Fabio Ponsi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giorgio Cittadini56%
Simone Panada30%
Davide Diaw28%
Tommaso Silvestri24%
Sebastien De Maio20%
Davide Marsura20%
Andrea Poli18%
Mauro Coppolaro18%
Marco Armellino14%
Luca Magnino14%
Shady Oukhadda14%
Antonio Pergreffi13%
Diego Falcinelli12%
Fabio Ponsi12%
Luca Strizzolo12%
Nicola Mosti12%
Fabio Gerli11%
Francesco Renzetti11%
Artur Ioniță10%
Edoardo Duca10%
Luca Tremolada8%
Mario Gargiulo8%
Paulo Azzi7%
Riccardo Gagno5%
Romeo Giovannini5%
Nicholas Bonfanti3%
Thomas Battistella0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luca Tremolada19%
Diego Falcinelli12%
Davide Marsura10%
Simone Panada10%
Andrea Poli9%
Shady Oukhadda7%
Paulo Azzi7%
Luca Magnino6%
Romeo Giovannini5%
Fabio Ponsi4%
Marco Armellino4%
Davide Diaw3%
Nicholas Bonfanti3%
Antonio Pergreffi3%
Fabio Gerli3%
Artur Ioniță0%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Tommaso Silvestri0%
Riccardo Gagno0%
Mauro Coppolaro0%
Francesco Renzetti0%
Luca Strizzolo0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Nicola Mosti0%
Edoardo Duca0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Davide Diaw28%
Nicholas Bonfanti27%
Luca Strizzolo18%
Mario Gargiulo17%
Diego Falcinelli15%
Sebastien De Maio10%
Antonio Pergreffi6%
Luca Tremolada6%
Andrea Poli0%
Artur Ioniță0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Tommaso Silvestri0%
Davide Marsura0%
Riccardo Gagno0%
Mauro Coppolaro0%
Marco Armellino0%
Francesco Renzetti0%
Luca Magnino0%
Nicola Mosti0%
Fabio Gerli0%
Paulo Azzi0%
Shady Oukhadda0%
Edoardo Duca0%
Simone Panada0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
Fabio Ponsi0%
Romeo Giovannini0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (34)
€488m
GEN (32)
€182m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
PIS (36)
€71m
PAL (27)
€54m
MOD (28)
€31m
SUD (27)
€21m
BEN (30)
€12m
ASC (29)
€11m
BAR (22)
€8m
Ascoli's squad is €20m less valuable than Modena's (€11m vs €31m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
FRO (8)
€34m
PIS (13)
€24m
PAL (7)
€23m
MOD (9)
€7m
ASC (11)
€5m
BEN (8)
€4m
SUD (5)
€3m
BAR (6)
€2m
Ascoli's attack is €2m less valuable than Modena's (€5m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
GEN (6)
€44m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
PAL (7)
€12m
MOD (9)
€11m
SUD (10)
€11m
BEN (9)
€3m
BAR (6)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
Ascoli's midfield is €8m less valuable than Modena's (€3m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (14)
€144m
GEN (17)
€84m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
FRO (14)
€24m
PIS (14)
€22m
PAL (13)
€19m
MOD (10)
€12m
SUD (12)
€8m
BEN (13)
€5m
BAR (10)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
Ascoli's defence is €9m less valuable than Modena's (€3m vs €12m).
Italy: Serie B 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Frosinone
Genoa
Cagliari
Bari
Sudtirol
Parma
Reggina
Venezia
Palermo
Pisa
Como
Cosenza
Cittadella
Ternana
Brescia
Perugia
Spal
Benevento