Olympiakos Piraeus are the clear favourites, with a 54 % chance of victory, while a draw sits at 28 % and a 18 % chance for Asteras Tripolis to win. The match is expected to see 2.4 goals on average, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 28 %. The single most likely scoreline is 0-1, a 13.6 % probability, reflecting Olympiakos’s dominant away form and Asteras’s struggles at home against stronger opposition. Asteras averages only 0.25 goals scored and concedes 1.75 at home, whereas Olympiakos scores 1.7 and concedes just 0.3 on the road. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals (99.5 %), Home under 3.5 goals (99.4 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.3 %), Under 6.5 (98.4 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.0 %), Home under 2.5 goals (96.4 % with a 5 % edge), Away +2 handicap (96.2 % with a 1 % edge), and Under 5.5 (95.4 % with a 3 % edge).
Results analysis
The latest Super League clash saw Olympiakos Piraeus secure a 0-1 away victory, extending their two-game winning run and confirming the model’s prediction of an away win, which came with a 53% probability. The final score matched the most likely 0-1 outcome, which the model had assigned a 14.1% chance. The model’s favourite call was correct. All of the suggested selections were settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.5%, Home under 3.5 goals at 99.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2%, Under 6.5 at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.2%, Home under 2.5 goals at 96.1%, Away +2 handicap at 95.8%, and Under 5.5 at 95.6%. Each hit came with a probability expressed in percentage terms.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Asteras Tripolis win✗ Miss
18.3%
Avg Implied 12.6% · @ 7.42
Edge
+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.70
Pinnacle
7.68
10Bet
7.60
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied 22.6% · @ 4.12
Edge
+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.30
Pinnacle
4.30
Dafabet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.20
Olympiakos Piraeus win✓ Hit
53.1%
Avg Implied 64.8% · @ 1.44
Edge
-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Dafabet
1.46
Superbet
1.46
Bet365
1.45
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Asteras Tripolis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.43
1.43
1.07
0.56
1.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.80
0.25
1.75
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.96
1.42
1.56
0.89
0.60
1.73
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.53
1.00
0.53
1.47
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.73
1.09
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (19)
1.53
0.21
1.33
0.22
1.70
0.20
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.8%
@ 1.31-3.5%
Under 1.5
32.2%
@ 3.25+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.34
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.30
BetVictor
3.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.0%
@ 2.00-7.3%
Under 2.5
60.0%
@ 1.79+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.09
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Under
SBO
1.84
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.8%
@ 3.51-6.9%
Under 3.5
80.2%
@ 1.27+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.77
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.60
1xBet
3.52
Marathonbet
3.52
Under
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.4%
@ 2.15+0.3%
No
56.6%
@ 1.63-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
No
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.63
BetVictor
1.62
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1 ✓
14.1%@ 5.30+5.7%
1-1
13.2%@ 7.55+7.3%
0-2
11.5%@ 5.82+3.8%
0-0
11.4%@ 9.32+6.6%
1-2
9.0%@ 7.82+3.3%
1-0
6.8%@ 14.49+3.7%
0-3
5.8%@ 8.89+0.8%
2-1
4.7%@ 21.90+2.7%
Asteras Tripolis goals ↓
Olympiakos Piraeus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
14%
11%
5.8%
2.2%
1
6.8%
13%
9.0%
4.5%
1.7%
2
3.1%
4.7%
3.5%
1.8%
0.7%
3
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Asteras Tripolis goals (down), columns = Olympiakos Piraeus goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
Iraklis 1908
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Kalamata
1.03
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Asteras Tripolis is 1.09 points worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 2.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Iraklis 1908
1.17
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Kalamata
0.99
Asteras Tripolis is 0.65 goals worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Iraklis 1908
1.48
Levadiakos
1.50
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI
1.72
Kalamata
1.75
Asteras Tripolis is 0.89 goals worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Asteras Tripolis is 15.4 percentage points worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of average possession (45% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Asteras Tripolis
For 5.6 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 13.5 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olympiakos Piraeus
For 6.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 13.2 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Asteras Tripolis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.0
9.2
4.7
5.4
4.1
28.1
27.6
28.7
vs Stronger (12)
9.3
10.0
8.7
4.6
4.8
4.3
28.5
28.4
28.5
vs Similar (37)
9.7
10.0
9.4
4.9
6.0
4.0
28.0
27.3
28.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
57%
52%
68%
74%
63%
84%
90%
78%
% under line
45%
43%
48%
32%
26%
37%
16%
10%
22%
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
10.0
7.1
3.9
3.3
4.4
25.2
23.9
26.5
vs Stronger (3)
8.3
8.0
8.5
4.3
3.0
5.0
22.3
19.0
24.0
vs Similar (14)
7.9
8.3
7.5
3.6
3.0
4.3
22.3
20.7
24.2
vs Weaker (33)
8.9
10.9
6.8
3.9
3.5
4.4
26.8
25.7
27.9
% over line
31%
43%
18%
48%
35%
62%
69%
70%
68%
% under line
69%
57%
82%
52%
65%
38%
31%
30%
32%
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kifisia
9.5
Asteras Tripolis
9.3
Aris Thessalonikis
9.3
OFI
8.9
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.8
Panetolikos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.5
Volos NFC
8.5
Levadiakos
8.5
Kalamata
8.3
Iraklis 1908
4.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.6
Kalamata
6.3
Volos NFC
5.6
Panetolikos
5.5
Levadiakos
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.4
OFI
5.4
AEK Athens FC
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
Iraklis 1908
4.7
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Iraklis 1908
38.0
Kalamata
37.5
Kifisia
32.2
Volos NFC
30.5
Levadiakos
30.5
Atromitos
30.4
AEK Athens FC
29.3
OFI
28.6
Aris Thessalonikis
28.4
Panathinaikos
28.3
Asteras Tripolis
27.6
Panetolikos
27.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.4
PAOK
24.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
33.3%
@ 2.19-8.7%
Under 9.5
66.7%
@ 1.59+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.35
Superbet
2.22
Pinnacle
2.17
Marathonbet
2.16
Betano
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.57
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.5%
@ 1.42+13.2%
Under 3.5
21.5%
@ 2.66-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.36
Under
Superbet
2.75
Betano
2.57
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.7%
Under 21.5
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Asteras Tripolis or Draw✗ Miss
38.4%
Avg Implied 35.0% · @ 2.67
Edge
+3.5%
18%
29%
53%
covers Asteras Tripolis + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.75
Betano
2.72
William Hil
2.70
1xBet
2.64
Asteras Tripolis or Olympiakos Piraeus✓ Hit
75.4%
Avg Implied 78.4% · @ 1.19
Edge
-3.0%
18%
29%
53%
covers Asteras Tripolis + Olympiakos Piraeus
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Draw or Olympiakos Piraeus✓ Hit
86.2%
Avg Implied 86.7% · @ 1.08
Edge
-0.5%
18%
29%
53%
covers Draw + Olympiakos Piraeus
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
52.1%
@ 1.90+3.3%
Under
47.9%
@ 1.81-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Asteras Tripolis over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
16.9%
@ 5.71+0.5%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.11-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Superbet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Asteras Tripolis over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 18.67-1.3%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.01+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Asteras Tripolis over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 65.00-99.3%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
65.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.4%
@ 1.12-0.0%
Under
16.6%
@ 5.61+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
1xBet
5.40
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
53.5%
@ 1.66-2.8%
Under
46.5%
@ 2.14+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.74
Marathonbet
1.72
BetVictor
1.70
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Under
Bet365
2.38
Betfair
2.20
Unibet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.14
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.8%
@ 3.03-3.9%
Under
73.2%
@ 1.34+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.39
Marathonbet
3.22
BetVictor
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Betano
3.05
Under
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.8%
@ 5.82-5.1%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.10+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.40
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.90
Bet365
5.50
Under
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Asteras Tripolis, so a minus line means Asteras Tripolis give that many goals of a start and Olympiakos Piraeus receive them. At -1, Asteras Tripolis must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Asteras Tripolis win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.20
0.67
0.33
0.60
0.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.36
0.33
0.50
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (19)
0.79
0.11
0.89
0.22
0.70
0.00
Clean sheet %
83% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.8%
@ 1.39+5.8%
Under 0.5
27.2%
@ 2.83-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Under
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.92
Pinnacle
2.91
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.88
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.4%
@ 2.85+3.7%
Under 1.5
63.6%
@ 1.38-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.05
Pinnacle
3.04
1xBet
2.94
Marathonbet
2.94
Betfair
2.88
Under
10Bet
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.0%
@ 7.31+0.4%
Under 2.5
87.0%
@ 1.06-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
7.70
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
31.5%
@ 3.40+4.2%
Under
68.5%
@ 1.27-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.62
10Bet
3.45
Superbet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
Betano
3.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Asteras Tripolis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 13.92-1.1%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.02+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Asteras Tripolis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
@ 70.00-99.2%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
70.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
61.0%
@ 1.63+4.3%
Under
39.0%
@ 2.15-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Superbet
1.61
Under
10Bet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Unibet
2.17
1xBet
2.14
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.8%
@ 4.14-2.5%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.19+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
Betano
4.20
1xBet
4.10
10Bet
3.95
Superbet
3.90
Under
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 10.12-4.6%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.03+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Asteras Tripolis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.86
0.36
0.19
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.40
0.25
0.25
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.46
0.79
0.89
0.44
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.33
0.33
0.20
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.73
0.17
0.50
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
0.74
0.11
0.44
0.00
1.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
73% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
78.2%
@ 1.24+3.5%
Under 0.5
21.8%
@ 3.66-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.70
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.65
1xBet
3.64
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.8%
@ 2.18+2.1%
Under 1.5
55.2%
@ 1.63-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.30
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.15
Under
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Unibet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.0%
@ 4.80-0.4%
Under 2.5
81.0%
@ 1.15+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Superbet
4.80
Bet365
4.50
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.14
1xBet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
37.4%
@ 2.76+3.8%
Under
62.6%
@ 1.39-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.80
Superbet
2.77
1xBet
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Betano
2.72
Under
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.37
Asteras Tripolis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.8%
@ 9.58-1.0%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.04+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Asteras Tripolis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 50.00-98.2%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
65.7%
@ 1.45+1.5%
Under
34.3%
@ 2.59-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.42
Under
Betano
2.65
10Bet
2.65
1xBet
2.55
Superbet
2.52
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
28.1%
@ 3.09-1.8%
Under
71.9%
@ 1.32+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.24
Superbet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Betano
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 7.60-4.5%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.05+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Superbet
7.90
10Bet
7.50
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
96.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
95.8%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Betfair
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.6%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
94.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.3%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
91.2%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.4%
1.20
Betano
1.20
-
-
-
-
+12.8%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
89.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.7%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.10
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.0%
1.06
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.05
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
86.2%
1.08
Betano
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
86.2%
1.08
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.8%
1.17
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.19
Unibet
1.12
-
-
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
83.4%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
10Bet
1.11
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
83.1%
1.11
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.14
1xBet
1.12
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.2%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
80.2%
1.19
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.5%
1.42
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.36
-
-
-
+13.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.2%
1.24
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+3.5%
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
77.5%
1.33
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
Unibet
1.26
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.4%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
73.2%
1.34
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.8%
1.39
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
71.9%
1.32
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
+1.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Asteras Tripolis · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julián Bartolo30%
Federico Macheda26%
Georgios Charalampoglou10%
Julián Chicco9%
Kalvin Ketu9%
Nikos Kaltsas7%
Christos Almyras6%
Robert Ivanov6%
Nicholas Gioacchini6%
Chidera Okoh6%
Nikolai Alho5%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe4%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis4%
Eder González4%
Pepe Castaño0%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy0%
Júnior Mendieta0%
Issiaga Sylla0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos0%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Dani Fernández0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Miguel Muñoz Mora0%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil0%
Konstantinos Pomonis0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pepe Castaño75%
Alexandros Tereziou50%
Konstantinos Pomonis46%
Dani Fernández36%
Miguel Muñoz Mora32%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe30%
Nikola Šipčić29%
Robert Ivanov28%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos27%
Stefan Mitrović25%
Nikos Kaltsas21%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil20%
Nikolai Alho19%
Christos Almyras19%
Issiaga Sylla18%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy17%
Chidera Okoh17%
Federico Macheda16%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis12%
Julián Bartolo12%
Nicholas Gioacchini11%
Theofanis Tzandaris10%
Julián Chicco9%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis8%
Eder González8%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos7%
Kalvin Ketu6%
Júnior Mendieta0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Georgios Charalampoglou0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kalvin Ketu15%
Julián Chicco9%
Federico Macheda6%
Júnior Mendieta6%
Christos Almyras6%
Julián Bartolo6%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy6%
Nicholas Gioacchini6%
Nikolai Alho5%
Issiaga Sylla5%
Miguel Muñoz Mora5%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis4%
Eder González4%
Nikos Kaltsas3%
Pepe Castaño0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos0%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Robert Ivanov0%
Dani Fernández0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil0%
Chidera Okoh0%
Konstantinos Pomonis0%
Georgios Charalampoglou0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christos Almyras19%
Julián Bartolo18%
Nikos Kaltsas10%
Federico Macheda10%
Kalvin Ketu6%
Chidera Okoh6%
Pepe Castaño0%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy0%
Júnior Mendieta0%
Julián Chicco0%
Issiaga Sylla0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis0%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos0%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Nikolai Alho0%
Robert Ivanov0%
Eder González0%
Dani Fernández0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Nicholas Gioacchini0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Miguel Muñoz Mora0%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil0%
Konstantinos Pomonis0%
Georgios Charalampoglou0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
Olympiakos Piraeus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayoub El Kaabi25%
Jota Silva25%
Gelson Martins0%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Rodinei0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Joel Roca0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Gustavo Sá0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rodinei67%
Santiago Hezze67%
Panagiotis Retsos33%
Lorenzo Scipioni33%
Gustavo Sá33%
Gelson Martins25%
Ayoub El Kaabi0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Jota Silva0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Joel Roca0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gelson Martins0%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Ayoub El Kaabi0%
Rodinei0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Jota Silva0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Joel Roca0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Gustavo Sá0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gustavo Sá33%
Ayoub El Kaabi25%
Joel Roca25%
Gelson Martins0%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Rodinei0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Jota Silva0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
Asteras Tripolis's squad is €162m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€13m vs €175m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
Asteras Tripolis's attack is €79m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€5m vs €84m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
Asteras Tripolis's midfield is €45m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€2m vs €47m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
Asteras Tripolis's defence is €38m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€6m vs €44m).
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PAOK
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
OFI
Kifisia
Volos NFC
Iraklis 1908
Atromitos
Kalamata
Levadiakos