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Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: 12/02/2026
Time: 20:00
Final 4-0
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
vs
Barcelona
Barcelona
Spain: Copa del Rey
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table17 Who played

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atletico Madrid win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Barcelona win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W11D10W10W11D30W12L00D50W01LA·GIR21/12A·REA04/01A·DEP13/01H·ALA18/01A·GAL21/01H·MAL25/01H·BOD28/01A·LEV31/01A·REA05/02H·REA08/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.032.430.861.561.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)2.122.123.331.331.402.60
vs Weaker (22)1.910.642.180.731.640.55
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BarcelonaBarcelona

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W20W20W12L42W30W41W31W21W30WA·VIL21/12A·ESP03/01A·RAC15/01A·REA18/01A·SLA21/01H·OVI25/01H·FC 28/01A·ELC31/01A·ALB03/02H·MAL07/02
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.601.172.930.712.311.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.252.002.001.500.502.50
vs Weaker (26)2.811.043.080.582.571.43
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barcelona
2.67
Osasuna
2.40
Valencia
2.40
Real Sociedad
2.29
Atletico Madrid
2.29
Pontevedra
2.25
Elche
2.25
Almeria
2.25
Rayo Vallecano
2.25
Real Betis
2.25
Ourense CF
2.25
Celta Vigo
2.25
Real Madrid
2.17
Zaragoza
2.00
Leganes
2.00
Sevilla
2.00
Las Palmas
2.00
Valladolid
2.00
Castellón
2.00
Getafe
2.00
Huesca
2.00
Girona
2.00
Estepona
2.00
Orihuela
2.00
Eldense
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
FC Cartagena
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
Alaves
2.00
UD Logroñés
1.67
Gimnastic
1.50
Manises
1.50
Burgos
1.50
Cacereño
1.50
FC Andorra
1.50
Cadiz
1.50
Espanyol
1.50
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sant Andreu
1.50
Villarreal
1.50
Tenerife
1.33
Granada CF
1.33
Oviedo
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
UCAM Murcia
0.97
Rayo Majadahonda
0.97
Sámano
0.97
Quintanar del Rey
0.97
Real Avilés
0.97
CD Yuncos
0.97
Reddis
0.97
Mutilvera
0.97
Azuaga
0.97
Náxara
0.97
Sant Just
0.97
UD Ourense
0.97
Atlético Astorga
0.97
Valle Egüés
0.97
Deportivo Getxo
0.97
Ebro
0.97
Atlètic Lleida
0.97
CF Talavera
0.97
Torrent
0.97
Navalcarnero
0.97
Guadalajara
0.97
Palma del Rio
0.97
Teruel
0.97
Atlético Baleares
0.97
Caudal
0.97
Lorca Deportiva
0.97
Los Garres
0.97
Puerto de Vega
0.97
Atlético Tordesillas
0.97
Constància
0.97
Maracena
0.97
La Unión Atlético
0.97
Inter de Valdemoro
0.97
CD Sant Jordi
0.97
SD Negreira
0.97
Cieza
0.97
Toledo
0.97
Roda (Spain)
0.97
San Fernando CD
0.97
Antoniano
0.97
Arenas Getxo
0.97
RSD Alcalá
0.97
Tropezón
0.97
Portugalete
0.97
Puente Genil
0.97
SD Logroñés
0.97
Real Murcia
0.97
Mérida AD
0.97
Textil Escudo
0.97
Campanario
0.97
Betis Valladolid
0.97
Tarazona
0.97
Lourdes
0.97
Universitario FC
0.97
Sporting Ceuta
0.97
Atletico Calatayud
0.97
Atlético Melilla
0.97
Alberite
0.97
Antequera
0.97
Sabadell
0.68
Ponferradina
0.67
Athletic Club
0.50
Real Ávila
0.50
Ibiza
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Eibar
0.00
Levante
0.00
Mirandes
0.00
Langreo
0.00
Poblense
0.00
Malaga
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
Ciudad de Lucena
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Albacete
0.00
Juventud Torremolinos
0.00
Atletico Madrid is 0.38 points worse than Barcelona in terms of average points per game (2.29 vs 2.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celta Vigo
4.25
Barcelona
3.67
Zaragoza
3.50
Valladolid
3.33
Real Madrid
3.33
Las Palmas
3.00
Rayo Vallecano
3.00
Villarreal
3.00
Real Betis
2.75
Atletico Madrid
2.71
Osasuna
2.60
Burgos
2.50
Estepona
2.50
Almeria
2.50
Real Sociedad
2.43
Sevilla
2.33
Racing Santander
2.33
Leganes
2.20
Pontevedra
2.00
Elche
2.00
Girona
2.00
Malaga
2.00
Espanyol
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
Valencia
1.60
Manises
1.50
Cacereño
1.50
Cadiz
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sant Andreu
1.50
Ourense CF
1.50
Alaves
1.50
Granada CF
1.33
UCAM Murcia
1.19
Rayo Majadahonda
1.19
Sámano
1.19
Quintanar del Rey
1.19
Real Avilés
1.19
CD Yuncos
1.19
Reddis
1.19
Mutilvera
1.19
Azuaga
1.19
Náxara
1.19
Sant Just
1.19
UD Ourense
1.19
Atlético Astorga
1.19
Valle Egüés
1.19
Deportivo Getxo
1.19
Ebro
1.19
Atlètic Lleida
1.19
CF Talavera
1.19
Torrent
1.19
Navalcarnero
1.19
Guadalajara
1.19
Palma del Rio
1.19
Teruel
1.19
Atlético Baleares
1.19
Caudal
1.19
Lorca Deportiva
1.19
Los Garres
1.19
Puerto de Vega
1.19
Atlético Tordesillas
1.19
Constància
1.19
Maracena
1.19
La Unión Atlético
1.19
Inter de Valdemoro
1.19
CD Sant Jordi
1.19
SD Negreira
1.19
Cieza
1.19
Toledo
1.19
Roda (Spain)
1.19
San Fernando CD
1.19
Antoniano
1.19
Arenas Getxo
1.19
RSD Alcalá
1.19
Tropezón
1.19
Portugalete
1.19
Puente Genil
1.19
SD Logroñés
1.19
Real Murcia
1.19
Mérida AD
1.19
Textil Escudo
1.19
Campanario
1.19
Betis Valladolid
1.19
Tarazona
1.19
Lourdes
1.19
Universitario FC
1.19
Sporting Ceuta
1.19
Atletico Calatayud
1.19
Atlético Melilla
1.19
Alberite
1.19
Antequera
1.19
Tenerife
1.00
Gimnastic
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Castellón
1.00
Levante
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Huesca
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Poblense
1.00
Orihuela
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Athletic Club
1.00
FC Cartagena
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Ciudad de Lucena
1.00
Albacete
1.00
Juventud Torremolinos
1.00
Sabadell
0.84
Eldense
0.67
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Ponferradina
0.33
UD Logroñés
0.33
Ibiza
0.00
Oviedo
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Eibar
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Atletico Madrid is 0.95 goals worse than Barcelona in terms of goals scored per game (2.71 vs 3.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Oviedo
0.00
Girona
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Huesca
0.33
Pontevedra
0.50
Castellón
0.50
Orihuela
0.50
Cadiz
0.50
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Tenerife
0.67
Eldense
0.67
FC Cartagena
0.67
Real Sociedad
0.86
Atletico Madrid
0.86
Gimnastic
1.00
Ibiza
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Elche
1.00
Eibar
1.00
Getafe
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Granada CF
1.00
Espanyol
1.00
Deportivo La Coruna
1.00
Numancia
1.00
Cultural Leonesa
1.00
Ponferradina
1.00
Villarreal
1.00
Alaves
1.00
Barcelona
1.17
Valencia
1.20
Ourense CF
1.25
Osasuna
1.40
Zaragoza
1.50
Burgos
1.50
Athletic Club
1.50
Almeria
1.50
Rayo Vallecano
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sevilla
1.67
Las Palmas
1.67
Racing Ferrol
1.67
Real Betis
1.75
Leganes
1.80
Real Madrid
1.83
UCAM Murcia
1.87
Rayo Majadahonda
1.87
Sámano
1.87
Quintanar del Rey
1.87
Real Avilés
1.87
CD Yuncos
1.87
Reddis
1.87
Mutilvera
1.87
Azuaga
1.87
Náxara
1.87
Sant Just
1.87
UD Ourense
1.87
Atlético Astorga
1.87
Valle Egüés
1.87
Deportivo Getxo
1.87
Ebro
1.87
Atlètic Lleida
1.87
CF Talavera
1.87
Torrent
1.87
Navalcarnero
1.87
Guadalajara
1.87
Palma del Rio
1.87
Teruel
1.87
Atlético Baleares
1.87
Caudal
1.87
Lorca Deportiva
1.87
Los Garres
1.87
Puerto de Vega
1.87
Atlético Tordesillas
1.87
Constància
1.87
Maracena
1.87
La Unión Atlético
1.87
Inter de Valdemoro
1.87
CD Sant Jordi
1.87
SD Negreira
1.87
Cieza
1.87
Toledo
1.87
Roda (Spain)
1.87
San Fernando CD
1.87
Antoniano
1.87
Arenas Getxo
1.87
RSD Alcalá
1.87
Tropezón
1.87
Portugalete
1.87
Puente Genil
1.87
SD Logroñés
1.87
Real Murcia
1.87
Mérida AD
1.87
Textil Escudo
1.87
Campanario
1.87
Betis Valladolid
1.87
Tarazona
1.87
Lourdes
1.87
Universitario FC
1.87
Sporting Ceuta
1.87
Atletico Calatayud
1.87
Atlético Melilla
1.87
Alberite
1.87
Antequera
1.87
Valladolid
2.00
Manises
2.00
Mirandes
2.00
Langreo
2.00
Estepona
2.00
Cacereño
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
Real Ávila
2.00
Ciudad de Lucena
2.00
Sant Andreu
2.00
Celta Vigo
2.00
Albacete
2.00
Juventud Torremolinos
2.00
Sabadell
2.64
Malaga
3.00
Mallorca
3.00
Real Jaén
3.00
Extremadura 1924
4.00
Levante
4.00
Utebo
4.00
Poblense
6.00
Atletico Madrid is 0.31 goals better than Barcelona in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Barcelona
58%
Real Madrid
50%
Atletico Madrid
43%
Real Sociedad
42%
Atletico Madrid is 15.0 percentage points worse than Barcelona in terms of average possession (43% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

For 7.0 · Against 3.7 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

1307353741211037466646643108111313111210127H·REAA·REAA·LEVH·BODH·MALA·GALH·ALAA·DEPA·REAA·GIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

703121222214311232314234372524H·REAA·REAA·LEVH·BODH·MALA·GALH·ALAA·REAA·GIRH·VAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 7.7 · Total 19.3

⚠️ Fouls

24012311111211941071111135117131114715222313172218182421H·REAA·REAA·LEVH·BODH·MALA·GALH·ALAA·DEPA·REAA·GIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BarcelonaBarcelona

For 8.5 · Against 3.4 · Total 11.9

🚩 Corners

1501236382101101458610375105159101111914131215H·MALA·ALBA·ELCH·FC H·OVIA·SLAA·REAA·RACA·ESPA·VIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

801112141214414112132353185134A·ALBA·ELCH·FC H·OVIA·SLAA·REAA·RACA·ESPA·VILA·GUA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 12.3 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

29079151291512118211198131113141081016272423292021242418H·MALA·ALBA·ELCH·FC H·OVIA·SLAA·REAA·RACA·ESPA·VIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.49.53.73.93.621.920.323.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (12)11.712.810.54.85.73.823.925.822.0
vs Weaker (38)10.010.99.23.43.33.521.218.523.6
% over line52%67%38%50%54%46%52%29%73%
% under line48%33%62%50%46%54%48%71%27%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BarcelonaBarcelona

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.011.010.94.23.44.922.522.123.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)11.411.611.26.25.07.826.926.827.0
vs Weaker (41)10.910.910.83.72.94.421.620.822.2
% over line66%62%69%52%38%65%54%46%62%
% under line34%38%31%48%62%35%46%54%38%
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Antoniano
22.0
CF Talavera
16.0
Real Ávila
14.0
Atlético Baleares
12.0
Ourense CF
11.7
Real Madrid
11.5
Rayo Vallecano
11.1
Orihuela
11.0
Real Murcia
11.0
Sant Andreu
11.0
Ebro
11.0
Guadalajara
11.0
Barcelona
11.0
Albacete
10.5
Racing Santander
10.4
Atletico Madrid
10.4
Real Sociedad
10.1
Mallorca
10.0
Navalcarnero
10.0
Valencia
10.0
Sporting Gijon
10.0
Levante
9.9
Zaragoza
9.8
Real Betis
9.8
Numancia
9.8
Cordoba
9.8
Alaves
9.7
Sevilla
9.7
Cadiz
9.7
Ibiza
9.7
Castellón
9.7
Girona
9.7
Leganes
9.7
Huesca
9.6
Malaga
9.6
Granada CF
9.5
Rayo Majadahonda
9.4
Almeria
9.4
Espanyol
9.4
FC Andorra
9.4
Cultural Leonesa
9.3
AD Ceuta FC
9.3
Ponferradina
9.3
Athletic Club
9.2
Eldense
9.2
Deportivo La Coruna
9.2
Villarreal
9.1
Oviedo
9.1
Tenerife
9.1
Gimnastic
9.0
Extremadura 1924
9.0
Racing Ferrol
9.0
Eibar
9.0
Valladolid
8.9
Celta Vigo
8.9
Mirandes
8.8
Sabadell
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.8
Osasuna
8.7
Elche
8.5
Las Palmas
8.4
Getafe
8.3
Portugalete
8.0
Burgos
8.0
Ciudad de Lucena
7.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sant Andreu
10.0
Racing Santander
6.9
Zaragoza
6.2
Orihuela
6.0
Ourense CF
6.0
Burgos
6.0
Gimnastic
5.9
Cordoba
5.9
Mirandes
5.8
Rayo Majadahonda
5.8
Numancia
5.6
Las Palmas
5.5
Almeria
5.5
Malaga
5.4
Cultural Leonesa
5.4
Getafe
5.4
Valladolid
5.3
Sevilla
5.3
FC Andorra
5.2
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Castellón
5.2
Alaves
5.2
Eibar
5.1
Cadiz
5.1
Granada CF
5.1
AD Ceuta FC
5.0
Rayo Vallecano
5.0
Leganes
5.0
Portugalete
5.0
Celta Vigo
4.9
Real Sociedad
4.8
Tenerife
4.8
Real Madrid
4.8
Ponferradina
4.8
Deportivo La Coruna
4.8
Albacete
4.7
Osasuna
4.6
Eldense
4.6
Sabadell
4.6
Elche
4.6
Levante
4.6
Huesca
4.6
Real Murcia
4.5
Girona
4.5
Oviedo
4.5
Valencia
4.4
Villarreal
4.4
Athletic Club
4.4
Real Betis
4.4
Racing Ferrol
4.3
Espanyol
4.3
Mallorca
4.3
Barcelona
4.3
FC Cartagena
4.2
Ibiza
4.2
Guadalajara
4.0
Atletico Madrid
4.0
Pontevedra
3.0
Extremadura 1924
3.0
Antoniano
3.0
Real Ávila
3.0
Navalcarnero
2.0
Ebro
2.0
Atlético Baleares
2.0
CF Talavera
1.5
Ciudad de Lucena
1.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Sant Andreu
40.0
Portugalete
36.0
Navalcarnero
33.0
Ourense CF
32.7
Orihuela
32.0
Antoniano
31.0
Numancia
30.6
Rayo Majadahonda
30.5
Gimnastic
30.1
Alaves
29.9
Getafe
29.3
Cordoba
29.0
Real Ávila
29.0
Mirandes
28.4
Ibiza
28.1
Racing Santander
27.9
Sabadell
27.8
Zaragoza
27.7
Elche
27.6
Tenerife
27.3
Valladolid
27.3
FC Andorra
27.2
Las Palmas
27.2
Burgos
27.1
Extremadura 1924
27.0
Cultural Leonesa
26.9
Granada CF
26.8
Cadiz
26.8
Eibar
26.8
Sevilla
26.8
AD Ceuta FC
26.7
Almeria
26.5
Real Sociedad
26.2
Leganes
26.1
Racing Ferrol
26.0
Oviedo
26.0
Malaga
25.8
Athletic Club
25.7
Castellón
25.6
Eldense
25.0
Atlético Baleares
25.0
Espanyol
25.0
Osasuna
24.7
Huesca
24.6
Girona
24.5
Rayo Vallecano
24.4
Levante
24.3
Villarreal
24.3
Valencia
24.3
Celta Vigo
24.3
FC Cartagena
24.1
Real Betis
24.0
Mallorca
23.9
Real Madrid
23.8
Ponferradina
23.8
Deportivo La Coruna
23.6
Sporting Gijon
22.9
Barcelona
22.5
Ebro
22.0
Atletico Madrid
21.9
Albacete
21.5
Real Murcia
20.0
Ciudad de Lucena
20.0
Guadalajara
20.0
CF Talavera
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
77.8%
Under 9.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.3%
Under 3.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
51.4%
Under 21.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D00D00D11D10W11D00D30W01LA·GIR21/12A·REA04/01A·DEP13/01H·ALA18/01A·GAL21/01H·MAL25/01H·BOD28/01A·LEV31/01A·REA05/02H·REA08/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.401.000.430.880.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.000.881.330.670.801.00
vs Weaker (22)0.910.230.910.360.910.09
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BarcelonaBarcelona

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D01L22D00D01L21W10W10WA·VIL21/12A·ESP03/01A·RAC15/01A·REA18/01A·SLA21/01H·OVI25/01H·FC 28/01A·ELC31/01A·ALB03/02H·MAL07/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.771.070.571.000.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.751.251.001.000.501.50
vs Weaker (26)1.080.691.080.501.070.86
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D10W10W00D20W01L00D20W00DA·GIR21/12A·REA04/01A·DEP13/01H·ALA18/01A·GAL21/01H·MAL25/01H·BOD28/01A·LEV31/01A·REA05/02H·REA08/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.631.430.430.690.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.121.252.000.670.601.60
vs Weaker (22)1.000.411.270.360.730.45
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BarcelonaBarcelona

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W20W11D20W30W40W10W11D20WA·VIL21/12A·ESP03/01A·RAC15/01A·REA18/01A·SLA21/01H·OVI25/01H·FC 28/01A·ELC31/01A·ALB03/02H·MAL07/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.401.860.141.310.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.500.751.000.500.001.00
vs Weaker (26)1.730.352.000.081.500.57
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 8.5 corners86.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners77.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards74.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (65)
€1301m
RM (42)
€1256m
AM (35)
€540m
VIL (39)
€360m
RS (37)
€270m
AC (39)
€236m
CV (35)
€200m
GIR (41)
€199m
SEV (37)
€163m
VAL (41)
€147m
ELC (40)
€127m
LEV (28)
€111m
OSA (32)
€99m
GET (43)
€94m
RV (31)
€94m
RS (37)
€82m
ALA (33)
€78m
MAL (23)
€77m
ALM (35)
€69m
OVI (38)
€61m
DLC (33)
€58m
LP (36)
€53m
MAL (32)
€35m
VAL (35)
€35m
SG (29)
€33m
GC (31)
€31m
FA (30)
€26m
CAS (40)
€24m
MIR (32)
€23m
BUR (33)
€21m
CAD (32)
€21m
LEG (28)
€20m
COR (29)
€18m
ZAR (36)
€18m
CL (33)
€17m
EIB (31)
€16m
HUE (33)
€16m
ALB (28)
€15m
ACF (30)
€14m
TEN (28)
€12m
SAB (28)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
Atletico Madrid's squad is €761m less valuable than Barcelona's (€540m vs €1301m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€712m
BAR (21)
€589m
AM (10)
€226m
VIL (15)
€168m
RS (16)
€132m
AC (15)
€103m
GIR (15)
€83m
CV (13)
€81m
LEV (10)
€68m
SEV (12)
€65m
VAL (13)
€54m
OSA (11)
€51m
GET (16)
€46m
DLC (10)
€43m
RS (14)
€42m
ALM (13)
€37m
ELC (15)
€34m
MAL (7)
€31m
RV (9)
€29m
ALA (11)
€26m
OVI (14)
€26m
MAL (11)
€24m
VAL (15)
€20m
SG (12)
€20m
LP (17)
€19m
CAS (20)
€16m
GC (12)
€15m
FA (13)
€12m
LEG (12)
€10m
CAD (14)
€10m
MIR (13)
€9m
ACF (15)
€9m
BUR (11)
€8m
HUE (12)
€8m
CL (12)
€8m
EIB (12)
€7m
ZAR (13)
€6m
COR (9)
€6m
TEN (13)
€5m
ALB (7)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
Atletico Madrid's attack is €363m less valuable than Barcelona's (€226m vs €589m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (14)
€298m
RM (8)
€250m
AM (7)
€123m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (6)
€55m
RS (7)
€54m
VAL (8)
€46m
CV (7)
€39m
ELC (7)
€37m
GIR (8)
€33m
SEV (7)
€28m
GET (8)
€25m
MAL (5)
€23m
ALA (6)
€22m
ALM (6)
€22m
RS (6)
€17m
LEV (7)
€15m
OSA (6)
€13m
OVI (8)
€11m
RV (7)
€11m
LP (3)
€9m
ZAR (8)
€7m
MIR (6)
€7m
BUR (9)
€7m
VAL (6)
€6m
GC (7)
€6m
ALB (9)
€5m
COR (6)
€5m
MAL (8)
€4m
DLC (6)
€4m
SG (5)
€4m
CAD (6)
€4m
FA (5)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
HUE (8)
€4m
LEG (4)
€4m
EIB (6)
€3m
ACF (5)
€2m
CAS (4)
€2m
SAB (6)
€2m
CL (6)
€2m
ELD (3)
€1m
Atletico Madrid's midfield is €175m less valuable than Barcelona's (€123m vs €298m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (30)
€413m
RM (22)
€294m
AM (18)
€190m
VIL (18)
€137m
GIR (18)
€84m
RS (14)
€83m
CV (15)
€80m
AC (17)
€76m
SEV (18)
€70m
ELC (18)
€56m
RV (15)
€54m
VAL (20)
€47m
OSA (15)
€35m
ALA (16)
€29m
LEV (11)
€27m
LP (16)
€25m
RS (17)
€24m
OVI (16)
€23m
GET (19)
€23m
MAL (11)
€23m
DLC (17)
€11m
GC (12)
€11m
SG (12)
€10m
FA (12)
€10m
ALM (16)
€9m
VAL (14)
€9m
CL (15)
€7m
MIR (13)
€7m
MAL (13)
€7m
BUR (13)
€7m
COR (14)
€7m
CAD (12)
€6m
CAS (16)
€6m
LEG (12)
€6m
EIB (13)
€6m
ALB (12)
€6m
HUE (13)
€5m
ZAR (15)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ACF (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
Atletico Madrid's defence is €223m less valuable than Barcelona's (€190m vs €413m).

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
AM wins
1
Draws
6
BAR wins

Head-to-head

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
02/12/25ABarcelona Vs AM3-1
02/04/25HAM Vs Barcelona0-1
16/03/25HAM Vs Barcelona2-4
25/02/25ABarcelona Vs AM4-4
21/12/24ABarcelona Vs AM1-2
17/03/24HAM Vs Barcelona0-3
03/12/23ABarcelona Vs AM1-0
23/04/23ABarcelona Vs AM1-0

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/02/26HAM Vs Real Betis0-1
05/02/26AReal Betis Vs AM0-5
31/01/26ALevante Vs AM0-0
28/01/26HAM Vs Bodo/Glimt1-2
25/01/26HAM Vs Mallorca3-0
21/01/26AGalatasaray Vs AM1-1
18/01/26HAM Vs Alaves1-0
13/01/26ADeportivo La Coruna Vs AM0-1
04/01/26AReal Sociedad Vs AM1-1
21/12/25AGirona Vs AM0-3

BarcelonaBarcelona

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/02/26HBAR Vs Mallorca3-0
03/02/26AAlbacete Vs BAR1-2
31/01/26AElche Vs BAR1-3
28/01/26HBAR Vs FC Copenhagen4-1
25/01/26HBAR Vs Oviedo3-0
21/01/26ASlavia Praha Vs BAR2-4
18/01/26AReal Sociedad Vs BAR2-1
15/01/26ARacing Santander Vs BAR0-2
03/01/26AEspanyol Vs BAR0-2
21/12/25AVillarreal Vs BAR0-2

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Spain: Copa del Rey
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.86
HomeWWWLL2.42
AwayDWDDW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%79%35%
AVG goals2.883.212.58
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %32%38%27%
Scored1.842.331.38
Conceded1.040.881.19
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet36%42%31%
Corners10.4211.429.50
Cards3.983.924.04
Barcelona
Barcelona
Spain: Copa del Rey
Recent: 9 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.36
HomeWWWWW2.58
AwayWLWWW2.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %76%83%69%
AVG goals3.844.123.58
Over 1.5 %94%96%92%
Over 2.5 %78%88%69%
Over 3.5 %48%58%38%
Scored2.603.042.19
Conceded1.241.081.38
BTTS64%67%62%
Clean Sheet34%33%35%
Corners10.9611.0410.88
Cards4.273.524.92

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BarcelonaBarcelona3894
82%
2.5
9536+59
3.4
89%
74%
42%
11.3
68%
4.5
51%
21.4
50%
1301
5892984132.50.9
69%
2Real MadridReal Madrid3886
71%
2.3
7735+42
2.9
87%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
4.8
54%
24.4
68%
1256
7122502942.00.9
59%
3VillarrealVillarreal3872
58%
1.9
7246+26
3.1
92%
58%
37%
9.1
45%
4.3
58%
24.1
61%
360
168551371.91.2
45%
4Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid3869
55%
1.8
6244+18
2.8
74%
50%
26%
10.8
61%
4.4
59%
20.9
39%
540
2261231901.61.2
53%
5Real BetisReal Betis3860
39%
1.6
5948+11
2.8
89%
53%
26%
9.6
50%
4.6
65%
23.7
71%
0
0001.61.3
50%
6Celta VigoCelta Vigo3854
37%
1.4
5348+5
2.7
79%
45%
24%
8.4
29%
4.4
58%
24.1
63%
200
8139801.41.3
50%
7GetafeGetafe3851
39%
1.3
3238-6
1.8
58%
26%
5%
8.9
37%
5.6
79%
29.8
100%
94
4625230.81.0
40%
8Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano3850
32%
1.3
4144-3
2.2
71%
37%
16%
10.9
66%
5.3
74%
24.5
76%
94
2911541.11.2
53%
9ValenciaValencia3849
34%
1.3
4655-9
2.7
79%
42%
24%
9.9
45%
4.6
68%
24.2
66%
147
5446471.21.4
48%
10Real SociedadReal Sociedad3846
29%
1.2
5961-2
3.2
82%
58%
42%
10.1
53%
5.0
63%
26.6
76%
270
13254831.61.6
51%
11EspanyolEspanyol3846
32%
1.2
4355-12
2.6
76%
50%
24%
9.5
45%
5.2
70%
26.5
76%
0
0001.11.4
42%
12Athletic ClubAthletic Club3845
34%
1.2
4358-15
2.7
74%
47%
21%
9.6
50%
4.6
67%
24.3
66%
236
10357761.11.5
49%
13ElcheElche3843
26%
1.1
4957-8
2.8
79%
58%
39%
8.3
34%
4.6
71%
28.3
92%
127
3437561.31.5
58%
14AlavesAlaves3843
29%
1.1
4456-12
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.1
53%
4.9
74%
28.4
95%
78
2622291.21.5
48%
15SevillaSevilla3843
32%
1.1
4660-14
2.8
79%
55%
26%
9.3
50%
5.2
68%
27.6
82%
163
6528701.21.6
51%
16OsasunaOsasuna3842
29%
1.1
4450-6
2.5
68%
50%
26%
8.6
32%
5.1
79%
25.1
82%
99
5113351.21.3
47%
17MallorcaMallorca3842
29%
1.1
4757-10
2.7
84%
63%
21%
10.0
58%
4.7
62%
24.6
74%
77
3123231.21.5
47%
18LevanteLevante3842
29%
1.1
4761-14
2.8
87%
45%
29%
10.2
47%
4.9
71%
25.3
76%
111
6815271.21.6
43%
19GironaGirona3841
24%
1.1
3955-16
2.5
79%
45%
16%
9.4
39%
4.4
50%
25.0
71%
199
8333841.01.4
51%
20OviedoOviedo3829
16%
0.8
2660-34
2.3
66%
39%
16%
9.5
47%
4.2
58%
24.1
63%
61
2611230.71.6
46%
Spain: La Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →

👥 17. Who played

Atletico Madrid
90'Matteo Ruggeri6.7
90'Nahuel Molina1A8.9
90'Dávid Hancko7.5
90'Marcos Llorente6.6
90'Juan Musso8.2
90'Giuliano Simeone6.9
90'Marc Pubill6.7
89'Koke6.9
73'Ademola Lookman⚽1A8.0
68'Julián Alvarez⚽1A7.6
68'Antoine Griezmann⚽7.9
22'Alejandro Baena6.7
22'Alexander Sørloth5.9
17'Thiago Almada7.0
11'Robin Le Normand6.6
Barcelona
90'Joan García5.9
90'Lamine Yamal7.3
90'Frenkie de Jong6.6
90'Ferran Torres6.2
90'Jules Koundé8.3
90'Dani Olmo6.9
87'Fermín López6.7
85'Eric García4.9
77'Pau Cubarsí6.0
77'Alejandro Balde5.9
37'Marc Casadó6.3
53'Robert Lewandowski6.3
14'Gerard Martín6.6
13'Ronald Araújo6.9
13'João Cancelo6.6
Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

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