Austria Lustenau are tipped to win in a tightly contested fixture, with the model favouring a home victory. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly high-scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.1 % probability. Austria’s home form shows a solid defence, conceding only 0.75 goals per game against similar opponents, while WSG Wattens struggles away, conceding 2.5 goals on average. The home side has averaged 1.67 goals scored, whereas the visitors have managed just 0.75. Home win probability stands at 45 %, draw at 30 %, and away win at 25 %. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.1 % with a 5 % edge), Under 6.5 (99.0 % with a 5 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.4 % with a 7 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (98.3 % with a 7 % edge), Under 5.5 (96.8 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.1 % with a 3 % edge), and Home under 3.5 goals (94.9 % with a 3 % edge).
Results analysis
Austria Lustenau’s recent run of defeats left the home side looking shaky, yet the model still tipped a home win at 44%. The match delivered a 0-4 away triumph for WSG Wattens, proving the model’s favourite wrong. The total goals fell well below the expected 2.3, with the final tally of four goals. The model’s selections largely held up: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.3%, Under 6.5 hit at 99.0%, Under 5.5 hit at 96.8%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 95.0%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 94.1%. However, Away under 2.5 2H goals missed at 98.3%, and Away under 3.5 goals missed at 98.2%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Austria Lustenau win✗ Miss
44.3%
Avg Implied 47.2% · @ 1.99
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.25
SBO
2.21
Unibet
2.05
1xBet
1.96
Dafabet
1.96
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.62
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.83
Dafabet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
BetVictor
3.75
Bet365
3.70
WSG Wattens win✓ Hit
25.7%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.48
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.79
BetVictor
3.70
Dafabet
3.70
Betano
3.65
Marathonbet
3.62
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Austria Lustenau
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.93
1.60
0.73
1.07
1.13
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.75
1.33
0.67
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.35
0.96
1.67
0.75
1.07
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.60
1.29
1.50
1.19
1.69
vs Stronger (13)
1.15
1.23
1.33
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
1.00
2.00
1.25
1.50
0.75
2.50
vs Weaker (1)
6.00
0.00
-
-
6.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.2%
@ 1.19-8.8%
Under 1.5
30.8%
@ 4.24+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.56
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.6%
@ 1.66-14.8%
Under 2.5
58.4%
@ 2.15+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.70
10Bet
1.70
SBO
1.69
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
SBO
2.17
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.0%
@ 2.62-14.6%
Under 3.5
79.0%
@ 1.44+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.70
Betfair
2.63
BetVictor
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Under
Pinnacle
1.49
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.8%
@ 1.57-11.2%
No
52.2%
@ 2.26+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.60
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.56
Superbet
1.56
No
Betfair
2.30
William Hil
2.30
Unibet
2.28
1xBet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%@ 6.65+7.3%
1-0
11.8%@ 8.60+6.5%
0-0
10.9%@ 12.22+7.2%
2-0
8.9%@ 10.21+4.5%
2-1
8.7%@ 7.93+3.0%
0-1
8.1%@ 11.59+4.2%
1-2
6.3%@ 10.84+2.1%
0-2
4.6%@ 18.23+2.1%
Austria Lustenau goals ↓
WSG Wattens goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.1%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.3%
2.1%
0.5%
2
8.9%
8.7%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
3
4.0%
4.0%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.4%
1.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Austria Lustenau goals (down), columns = WSG Wattens goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.60
Rapid Vienna
2.40
Sturm Graz
1.60
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Grazer AK
0.80
Ried
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
SCR Altach
0.60
Austria Lustenau is 0.40 points worse than WSG Wattens in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rapid Vienna
3.00
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.80
WSG Wattens
1.40
Sturm Graz
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Ried
1.20
TSV Hartberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
SCR Altach
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
Grazer AK
0.40
Austria Lustenau is 0.40 goals worse than WSG Wattens in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lask Linz
0.40
Red Bull Salzburg
0.60
Sturm Graz
1.00
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.40
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.60
SCR Altach
1.60
Austria Lustenau
1.80
Austria Vienna
2.00
Ried
2.00
Grazer AK
2.60
Austria Lustenau is 0.40 goals worse than WSG Wattens in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
66%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
55%
Ried
52%
Grazer AK
50%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Vienna
45%
WSG Wattens
45%
TSV Hartberg
42%
Wolfsberger AC
42%
Austria Lustenau
41%
Austria Lustenau is 3.4 percentage points worse than WSG Wattens in terms of average possession (41% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Austria Lustenau
For 6.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 13.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 11.8 · Total 20.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
WSG Wattens
For 3.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Austria Lustenau
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.9
9.0
1.3
1.4
1.2
23.1
22.1
24.3
vs Stronger (7)
11.2
12.7
9.7
3.9
3.5
4.3
22.2
22.0
22.3
vs Similar (42)
8.3
8.2
8.5
0.9
1.0
0.9
23.8
22.2
25.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
40%
50%
29%
16%
20%
12%
67%
75%
57%
% under line
60%
50%
71%
84%
80%
88%
33%
25%
43%
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.0
9.7
3.9
4.0
3.9
22.7
21.2
24.3
vs Stronger (20)
11.1
11.9
9.9
3.4
3.2
3.7
21.2
19.7
23.1
vs Similar (29)
9.0
8.4
9.6
4.4
4.7
4.2
23.7
22.4
24.9
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
48%
54%
41%
58%
58%
58%
57%
46%
68%
% under line
52%
46%
59%
42%
42%
42%
43%
54%
32%
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lask Linz
10.3
Austria Vienna
10.3
Sturm Graz
9.9
TSV Hartberg
9.9
WSG Wattens
9.8
Austria Lustenau
9.6
Wolfsberger AC
9.6
Rapid Vienna
9.6
Red Bull Salzburg
9.3
SCR Altach
9.1
Grazer AK
9.1
Ried
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SCR Altach
5.1
Austria Lustenau
4.9
Sturm Graz
4.7
Grazer AK
4.6
Ried
4.6
Wolfsberger AC
4.6
TSV Hartberg
4.6
Austria Vienna
4.4
WSG Wattens
4.4
Rapid Vienna
4.1
Red Bull Salzburg
3.9
Lask Linz
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
24.0
Sturm Graz
23.8
Grazer AK
23.3
Austria Lustenau
23.2
Austria Vienna
23.1
SCR Altach
23.1
Wolfsberger AC
22.9
Ried
22.5
WSG Wattens
22.4
TSV Hartberg
21.8
Lask Linz
20.9
Red Bull Salzburg
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.2%
@ 1.71-2.0%
Under 9.5
47.8%
@ 2.02+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.77
Unibet
1.75
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Superbet
1.65
Under
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Pinnacle
2.03
1xBet
1.99
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.3%
Under 3.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
56.9%
Under 21.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Austria Lustenau or Draw✗ Miss
74.3%
Avg Implied 72.3% · @ 1.29
Edge
+2.0%
44%
30%
26%
covers Austria Lustenau + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.30
SBO
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Austria Lustenau or WSG Wattens✓ Hit
70.0%
Avg Implied 74.3% · @ 1.26
Edge
-4.2%
44%
30%
26%
covers Austria Lustenau + WSG Wattens
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw or WSG Wattens✓ Hit
55.7%
Avg Implied 53.4% · @ 1.75
Edge
+2.3%
44%
30%
26%
covers Draw + WSG Wattens
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.90
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.80
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Austria Lustenau over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
74.4%
@ 1.16-5.2%
Under
25.6%
@ 4.55+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Under
1xBet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Superbet
4.70
Betano
4.60
Austria Lustenau over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.5%
@ 1.83-11.5%
Under
60.5%
@ 1.91+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
2.03
Betfair
2.00
BetVictor
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Austria Lustenau over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.8%
@ 3.64-9.8%
Under
84.2%
@ 1.25+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Pinnacle
3.58
Unibet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Austria Lustenau over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.0%
@ 8.00-6.7%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.05+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.03
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.5%
@ 1.31-8.0%
Under
37.5%
@ 3.14+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Under
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.35
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.20
Unibet
3.10
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
25.7%
@ 2.57-10.5%
Under
74.3%
@ 1.46+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.81
Marathonbet
2.68
1xBet
2.66
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.62
Under
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.46
Unibet
1.46
Superbet
1.45
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
7.7%
@ 6.06-7.6%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.09+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.75
1xBet
6.70
BetVictor
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Under
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
WSG Wattens over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
1.8%
@ 12.46-5.8%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.02+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
15.00
Betfair
11.00
Betano
10.75
Marathonbet
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Betfair
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Austria Lustenau, so a minus line means Austria Lustenau give that many goals of a start and WSG Wattens receive them. At -1, Austria Lustenau must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Austria Lustenau win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Austria Lustenau)Actual: WSG Wattens
Austria Lustenau -2
8.0%
@ 7.19-4.5%
Draw -2
13.6%
@ 5.58-2.4%
WSG Wattens +2
78.4%
@ 1.25+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
8.50
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Draw
10Bet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.30
Away
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Handicap -1 (Austria Lustenau)Actual: WSG Wattens
Austria Lustenau -1
21.6%
@ 3.63-3.2%
Draw -1
22.7%
@ 3.88-0.5%
WSG Wattens +1
55.7%
@ 1.73+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
Draw
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.84
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Away
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
Betfair
1.80
Unibet
1.72
Bet365
1.62
Handicap +1 (Austria Lustenau)Actual: WSG Wattens
Austria Lustenau +1
74.3%
@ 1.29+4.4%
Draw +1
16.0%
@ 5.17-1.5%
WSG Wattens -1
9.7%
@ 7.10-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw
Marathonbet
5.55
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.25
Unibet
4.70
Away
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Superbet
6.80
Unibet
6.25
Handicap +2 (Austria Lustenau)Actual: WSG Wattens
Austria Lustenau +2
90.3%
@ 1.10+7.9%
Draw +2
7.1%
@ 8.32-3.9%
WSG Wattens -2
2.7%
@ 13.46-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.10
Away
Bet365
21.00
Betfair
18.00
Unibet
13.00
10Bet
8.50
Marathonbet
6.80
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Austria Lustenau
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
1.00
0.33
0.20
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.54
1.00
0.25
0.14
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.87
0.64
0.93
0.38
0.81
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
0.85
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.71
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.94
0.75
0.88
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.7%
@ 1.31-3.7%
Under 0.5
32.3%
@ 3.26+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.33
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Pinnacle
3.31
Betfair
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.1%
@ 2.42-8.3%
Under 1.5
69.9%
@ 1.51+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.41
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.53
William Hil
1.53
BetVictor
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.1%
@ 5.62-5.3%
Under 2.5
88.9%
@ 1.11+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.65
Betfair
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Austria Lustenau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
50.6%
@ 1.75-2.5%
Under
49.4%
@ 1.98+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.74
Unibet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.11
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Betano
1.98
Austria Lustenau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.3%
@ 4.71-4.4%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.15+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
4.85
Betano
4.55
1xBet
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Austria Lustenau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 13.42-0.9%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.02+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.01
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
33.7%
@ 2.17-9.2%
Under
66.3%
@ 1.63+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Betano
2.27
Marathonbet
2.18
Superbet
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Under
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Unibet
1.63
Superbet
1.62
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.7%
@ 7.08-4.3%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.06+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Betano
6.90
10Bet
6.50
Under
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 20.17-4.1%
Under
99.3%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
25.00
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Austria Lustenau
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.87
0.40
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.25
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.42
0.67
0.50
0.93
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.64
0.57
0.81
0.88
vs Stronger (13)
0.92
0.38
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.29
vs Similar (16)
0.38
1.06
0.50
0.62
0.25
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.1%
@ 1.18-2.1%
Under 0.5
22.9%
@ 4.46+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
Under
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.50
William Hil
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
51.0%
@ 1.86+1.2%
Under 1.5
49.0%
@ 1.85-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Unibet
1.85
Under
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
William Hil
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
17.1%
@ 3.70-7.9%
Under 2.5
82.9%
@ 1.24+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Marathonbet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Superbet
3.60
Under
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Austria Lustenau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
60.8%
@ 1.54+0.4%
Under
39.2%
@ 2.35-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.60
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.50
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.40
10Bet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.16
Austria Lustenau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.7%
@ 3.45-3.2%
Under
76.3%
@ 1.27+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Austria Lustenau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 8.85-4.6%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.04+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
1xBet
9.40
Superbet
8.60
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
42.0%
@ 1.82-9.1%
Under
58.0%
@ 1.89+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
10Bet
1.73
Under
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.83
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
10.6%
@ 5.09-7.6%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.13+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.20
Superbet
5.15
Betano
4.90
10Bet
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
1.7%
@ 13.25-5.4%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Betfair
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+5.8%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
96.8%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.0%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.03
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.1%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.3%
1.09
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+7.6%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.3%
1.06
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.1%
1.16
Pinnacle
1.19
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
+10.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.3%
1.10
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
+7.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.4%
1.13
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
+7.6%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.7%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.2%
1.25
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+9.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.9%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.21
+7.9%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
79.0%
1.44
Pinnacle
1.49
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
+14.6%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
78.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.1%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.3%
1.27
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.22
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.4%
1.16
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Betano
1.17
-5.2%
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
74.3%
1.29
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.30
SBO
1.30
William Hil
1.29
+2.0%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
74.3%
1.29
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
+4.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
74.3%
1.46
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.46
Unibet
1.46
Superbet
1.45
+10.5%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.5%
1.39
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
+5.2%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
70.0%
1.26
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
-4.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Austria Lustenau
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominik Weixelbraun40%
Dion Kacuri20%
Antonio Verinac20%
Pius Grabher0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Albin Gashi0%
Danilo Soares0%
Fabian Gmeiner0%
Sacha Delaye0%
Lenn Jastremski0%
Niklas Pertlwieser0%
Seydou Diarra0%
Lord Afrifa0%
Precious Benjamin0%
Chukwu Emmanuel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fabian Gmeiner40%
Antonio Verinac40%
Danilo Soares20%
Lenn Jastremski20%
Seydou Diarra20%
Lord Afrifa20%
Chukwu Emmanuel20%
Pius Grabher0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Albin Gashi0%
Sacha Delaye0%
Dominik Weixelbraun0%
Niklas Pertlwieser0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Precious Benjamin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Danilo Soares40%
Dominik Weixelbraun20%
Antonio Verinac20%
Pius Grabher0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Albin Gashi0%
Fabian Gmeiner0%
Sacha Delaye0%
Lenn Jastremski0%
Niklas Pertlwieser0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Seydou Diarra0%
Lord Afrifa0%
Precious Benjamin0%
Chukwu Emmanuel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominik Weixelbraun20%
Antonio Verinac20%
Pius Grabher0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Albin Gashi0%
Danilo Soares0%
Fabian Gmeiner0%
Sacha Delaye0%
Lenn Jastremski0%
Niklas Pertlwieser0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Seydou Diarra0%
Lord Afrifa0%
Precious Benjamin0%
Chukwu Emmanuel0%
WSG Wattens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Olakigbe40%
Marc Striednig25%
Husein Balić20%
Nikolai Frederiksen20%
Drew Murray20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Nemanja Čelić0%
Thomas Goiginger0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
M. Boras0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. Hamzić0%
Raphael Gschösser0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Raphael Gschösser50%
Drew Murray40%
Marc Striednig25%
Nemanja Čelić20%
M. Olakigbe20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Thomas Goiginger0%
Husein Balić0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
Nikolai Frederiksen0%
M. Boras0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. Hamzić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raphael Gschösser25%
Thomas Goiginger20%
M. Boras20%
M. Olakigbe20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Nemanja Čelić0%
Husein Balić0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
Nikolai Frederiksen0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. Hamzić0%
Drew Murray0%
Marc Striednig0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikolai Frederiksen40%
Husein Balić20%
Lukas Hinterseer20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Nemanja Čelić0%
Thomas Goiginger0%
M. Boras0%
M. Olakigbe0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. Hamzić0%
Drew Murray0%
Marc Striednig0%
Raphael Gschösser0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
Austria Lustenau's squad is €2m less valuable than WSG Wattens's (€5m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
Austria Lustenau and WSG Wattens have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Austria Lustenau and WSG Wattens have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
Austria Lustenau and WSG Wattens have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
Grazer AK
SCR Altach
Austria Vienna