This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leyton Orient
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.13
1.00
1.36
1.25
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.08
1.20
0.83
1.42
1.31
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.80
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Barnsley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.8%
@ 1.93-6.9%
Under 2.5
58.2%
@ 1.83+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.1%
Under 3.5
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
10.8%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
9.9%
2-1 ✓
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.6%
Barnsley goals ↓
Leyton Orient goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.9%
6.6%
2.6%
0.8%
1
9.9%
14%
7.7%
3.0%
0.9%
2
6.6%
7.8%
4.6%
1.8%
0.5%
3
2.6%
3.0%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Barnsley goals (down), columns = Leyton Orient goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Portsmouth
2.11
Derby
2.00
Bolton
1.89
Peterboro
1.83
Oxford
1.67
Barnsley
1.65
Lincoln
1.61
Blackpool
1.59
Stevenage
1.54
Wigan
1.52
Leyton Orient
1.41
Wycombe
1.41
Exeter
1.33
Northampton
1.30
Reading
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.24
Charlton
1.15
Cambridge
1.04
Shrewsbury
1.04
Burton
1.00
Cheltenham
0.96
Fleetwood Town
0.93
Port Vale
0.89
Carlisle
0.65
Barnsley is 0.24 points better than Leyton Orient in terms of average points per game (1.65 vs 1.41).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Peterboro
1.93
Bolton
1.87
Barnsley
1.78
Oxford
1.72
Derby
1.70
Portsmouth
1.70
Reading
1.48
Lincoln
1.41
Blackpool
1.41
Charlton
1.39
Wigan
1.37
Wycombe
1.30
Northampton
1.24
Stevenage
1.24
Leyton Orient
1.15
Bristol Rvs
1.13
Fleetwood Town
1.07
Exeter
1.00
Port Vale
0.89
Carlisle
0.89
Cheltenham
0.89
Cambridge
0.85
Burton
0.85
Shrewsbury
0.76
Barnsley is 0.63 goals better than Leyton Orient in terms of goals scored per game (1.78 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Derby
0.80
Lincoln
0.87
Portsmouth
0.89
Stevenage
1.00
Blackpool
1.04
Bolton
1.11
Leyton Orient
1.20
Wycombe
1.20
Oxford
1.22
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Peterboro
1.33
Barnsley
1.39
Charlton
1.41
Cheltenham
1.41
Northampton
1.43
Shrewsbury
1.46
Burton
1.46
Bristol Rvs
1.48
Reading
1.52
Fleetwood Town
1.57
Port Vale
1.61
Carlisle
1.76
Barnsley is 0.20 goals worse than Leyton Orient in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Peterboro
62%
Bolton
60%
Portsmouth
59%
Exeter
54%
Barnsley
54%
Wigan
53%
Blackpool
53%
Reading
53%
Oxford
52%
Leyton Orient
52%
Charlton
52%
Derby
51%
Port Vale
49%
Northampton
49%
Fleetwood Town
47%
Wycombe
46%
Carlisle
46%
Stevenage
45%
Cambridge
44%
Cheltenham
44%
Lincoln
43%
Shrewsbury
41%
Burton
41%
Barnsley is 1.6 percentage points better than Leyton Orient in terms of average possession (54% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Barnsley
For 4.7 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 9.4 · Total 19.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leyton Orient
For 5.9 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 1.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 7.7 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Barnsley
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.3
10.9
3.9
4.0
3.8
21.0
20.7
21.2
vs Stronger (1)
5.0
5.0
-
6.0
6.0
-
35.0
35.0
-
vs Similar (41)
10.2
9.4
11.0
4.1
4.2
4.0
21.0
20.4
21.6
vs Weaker (8)
10.1
10.0
10.3
2.9
3.2
2.3
19.0
19.2
18.7
% over line
56%
48%
64%
60%
60%
60%
42%
40%
44%
% under line
44%
52%
36%
40%
40%
40%
58%
60%
56%
This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leyton Orient
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.6
8.9
4.1
3.9
4.3
20.3
20.8
19.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (36)
9.9
11.0
9.0
4.0
3.6
4.3
19.5
20.0
19.1
vs Weaker (14)
9.1
9.7
8.4
4.4
4.4
4.3
22.3
22.6
22.0
% over line
46%
57%
37%
64%
57%
70%
48%
48%
48%
% under line
54%
43%
63%
36%
43%
30%
52%
52%
52%
This opponent (Barnsley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Derby
11.4
Charlton
11.3
Fleetwood Town
11.2
Wycombe
11.0
Port Vale
11.0
Exeter
10.9
Peterboro
10.8
Oxford
10.8
Bristol Rvs
10.7
Bolton
10.4
Portsmouth
10.4
Reading
10.2
Barnsley
10.1
Shrewsbury
10.0
Cambridge
9.8
Carlisle
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Cheltenham
9.6
Blackpool
9.5
Stevenage
9.5
Burton
9.4
Lincoln
9.3
Northampton
9.0
Wigan
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wigan
5.2
Portsmouth
4.9
Bristol Rvs
4.7
Fleetwood Town
4.5
Stevenage
4.3
Port Vale
4.3
Shrewsbury
4.2
Oxford
4.2
Lincoln
4.2
Leyton Orient
4.1
Charlton
4.1
Cheltenham
4.1
Cambridge
4.0
Bolton
4.0
Blackpool
4.0
Carlisle
4.0
Exeter
4.0
Barnsley
3.9
Wycombe
3.9
Northampton
3.9
Peterboro
3.9
Reading
3.8
Derby
3.7
Burton
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stevenage
25.0
Portsmouth
24.2
Wigan
23.8
Bristol Rvs
23.0
Fleetwood Town
22.6
Cambridge
22.4
Oxford
22.3
Blackpool
22.3
Bolton
22.0
Cheltenham
21.8
Lincoln
21.5
Northampton
21.4
Shrewsbury
21.4
Reading
21.3
Wycombe
21.3
Port Vale
21.3
Peterboro
21.2
Barnsley
21.0
Exeter
20.8
Charlton
20.8
Carlisle
20.7
Burton
20.6
Derby
20.6
Leyton Orient
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.3%
Under 9.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
85.1%
Under 3.5
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
48.0%
Under 21.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Barnsley
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
0.62
0.75
0.93
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.54
0.54
0.69
1.00
0.38
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leyton Orient
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.50
0.71
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.44
0.68
0.33
0.75
0.54
0.62
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.20
1.50
0.50
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Barnsley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Barnsley over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnsley over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnsley over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Barnsley
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.60
1.12
0.56
0.86
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.92
0.69
1.08
0.69
0.77
0.69
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.00
1.33
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leyton Orient
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.50
0.64
0.75
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.52
0.50
0.67
0.77
0.38
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Barnsley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Barnsley over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnsley over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnsley over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Barnsley · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cameron McGeehan50%
Reyes Cleary50%
Tyrese Noslin33%
Makenzie Kirk25%
Amani Richards0%
Patrick Kelly0%
Sam Gale0%
Jonathan Bland0%
Luke Alker0%
Rogan Ravenhill0%
Arley Kay0%
Noah Philip Town0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jonathan Bland67%
Tyrese Noslin33%
Cameron McGeehan25%
Sam Gale25%
Rogan Ravenhill25%
Reyes Cleary0%
Amani Richards0%
Patrick Kelly0%
Makenzie Kirk0%
Luke Alker0%
Arley Kay0%
Noah Philip Town0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Reyes Cleary50%
Cameron McGeehan0%
Amani Richards0%
Patrick Kelly0%
Makenzie Kirk0%
Sam Gale0%
Tyrese Noslin0%
Jonathan Bland0%
Luke Alker0%
Rogan Ravenhill0%
Arley Kay0%
Noah Philip Town0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tyrese Noslin67%
Reyes Cleary25%
Makenzie Kirk25%
Cameron McGeehan0%
Amani Richards0%
Patrick Kelly0%
Sam Gale0%
Jonathan Bland0%
Luke Alker0%
Rogan Ravenhill0%
Arley Kay0%
Noah Philip Town0%
Leyton Orient · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tony Springett33%
Yusuf Akhamrich33%
Nicholas Oyekunle33%
Idris El Mizouni25%
Demetri Mitchell25%
Isaac Hayden0%
Theo Archibald0%
Jaze Kabia0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
Fin Stevens0%
Charlie Wellens0%
Noah Phillips0%
Zech Obiero0%
Phillip Chinedu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Isaac Hayden75%
Fin Stevens50%
Tony Springett33%
Theo Archibald25%
Idris El Mizouni25%
Jaze Kabia25%
Demetri Mitchell0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
Charlie Wellens0%
Noah Phillips0%
Zech Obiero0%
Yusuf Akhamrich0%
Phillip Chinedu0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tony Springett33%
Charlie Wellens33%
Jaze Kabia25%
Isaac Hayden0%
Theo Archibald0%
Idris El Mizouni0%
Demetri Mitchell0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
Fin Stevens0%
Noah Phillips0%
Zech Obiero0%
Yusuf Akhamrich0%
Phillip Chinedu0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Charlie Wellens33%
Demetri Mitchell25%
Isaac Hayden0%
Theo Archibald0%
Idris El Mizouni0%
Jaze Kabia0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
Fin Stevens0%
Tony Springett0%
Noah Phillips0%
Zech Obiero0%
Yusuf Akhamrich0%
Phillip Chinedu0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (25)
€57m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
SHR (17)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
CAR (1)
€0m
Barnsley's squad is €3m less valuable than Leyton Orient's (€8m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
POR (12)
€13m
OXF (8)
€6m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
SHR (3)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Barnsley's attack is €2m less valuable than Leyton Orient's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (6)
€14m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Barnsley and Leyton Orient have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (11)
€18m
POR (13)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
Barnsley and Leyton Orient have a similar defence value (both €3m).
England: League One 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Portsmouth
Derby
Bolton
Peterboro
Oxford
Lincoln
Blackpool
Stevenage
Wigan
Wycombe
Exeter
Northampton
Reading
Bristol Rvs
Charlton
Cambridge
Shrewsbury
Burton
Cheltenham
Fleetwood Town
Port Vale
Carlisle