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Beltinci vs Bistrica Result & Analysis

Date: 06/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 3-0
Beltinci
Beltinci
Vs
44%
28%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bistrica
Bistrica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beltinci win✓ Hit
44.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bistrica win✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BeltinciBeltinci

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W21W00D11D32W11D20W20W20WH·TRI01/03A·SLO07/03H·RUD15/03A·KRK20/03H·DRA28/03A·GOR03/04H·KRŠ10/04A·JES18/04H·DEK25/04A·TAB02/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.071.801.401.670.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.641.231.751.581.500.80
vs Weaker (8)2.000.622.000.672.000.60
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W30W12L22D11D01L21W12L12L30WH·KRK28/02A·DRA07/03H·GOR14/03A·KRŠ21/03H·JES29/03A·DEK03/04H·TAB12/04A·ILI17/04A·NAF25/04H·BIL30/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.232.601.071.471.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.921.272.461.151.381.38
vs Weaker (4)2.751.003.500.502.001.50
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.9%
Under 2.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.9%
Under 3.5
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.7%
No
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
Beltinci goals ↓
Bistrica goals →
01234
08.1%6.8%4.7%1.8%0.5%
19.2%13%7.0%2.7%0.8%
27.9%9.2%5.3%2.1%0.6%
34.0%4.6%2.7%1.0%0.3%
41.5%1.7%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beltinci goals (down), columns = Bistrica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Beltinci is 0.50 points better than Bistrica in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Beltinci is 0.17 goals better than Bistrica in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Beltinci is 0.37 goals better than Bistrica in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BeltinciBeltinci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W01L00D10W10W01L00D10W00DH·TRI01/03A·SLO07/03H·RUD15/03A·KRK20/03H·DRA28/03A·GOR03/04H·KRŠ10/04A·JES18/04H·DEK25/04A·TAB02/05
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.530.930.800.670.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.820.590.920.920.700.20
vs Weaker (8)0.750.381.000.330.600.40
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BistricaBistrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W01L11D11D00D00D10W11D10WH·KRK28/02A·DRA07/03H·GOR14/03A·KRŠ21/03H·JES29/03A·DEK03/04H·TAB12/04A·ILI17/04A·NAF25/04H·BIL30/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.731.130.731.000.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.000.771.000.771.000.77
vs Weaker (4)1.500.502.000.501.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beltinci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BeltinciBeltinci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W20W00D01L22D10W20W10W20WH·TRI01/03A·SLO07/03H·RUD15/03A·KRK20/03H·DRA28/03A·GOR03/04H·KRŠ10/04A·JES18/04H·DEK25/04A·TAB02/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.530.870.601.000.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.820.640.830.670.800.60
vs Weaker (8)1.250.251.000.331.400.20
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BistricaBistrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W11D11D00D01L21W02L01L20WH·KRK28/02A·DRA07/03H·GOR14/03A·KRŠ21/03H·JES29/03A·DEK03/04H·TAB12/04A·ILI17/04A·NAF25/04H·BIL30/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.501.470.330.470.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.920.501.460.380.380.62
vs Weaker (4)1.250.501.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beltinci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Beltinci and Bistrica have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Beltinci and Bistrica have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Beltinci and Bistrica have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Beltinci and Bistrica have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
BEL wins
2
Draws
2
BIS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Beltinci vs Bistrica · H/A from BEL
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25ABistrica Vs BEL0-1
15/03/25HBEL Vs Bistrica1-3
01/09/24ABistrica Vs BEL2-2
28/04/24ABistrica Vs BEL1-0
07/10/23HBEL Vs Bistrica3-0
20/05/23HBEL Vs Bistrica3-3
05/11/22ABistrica Vs BEL1-2

BeltinciBeltinci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26ATabor Sežana Vs BEL0-2
25/04/26HBEL Vs Dekani2-0
18/04/26AJesenice Vs BEL0-2
10/04/26HBEL Vs Krško1-1
03/04/26AGorica Vs BEL2-3
28/03/26HBEL Vs Dravinja1-1
20/03/26AKrka Vs BEL0-0
15/03/26HBEL Vs Rudar2-1
07/03/26ASlovan Ljubljana Vs BEL0-2
01/03/26HBEL Vs Triglav0-0

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/26HBIS Vs Bilje3-0
25/04/26ANafta Vs BIS2-1
17/04/26AIlirija Vs BIS2-1
12/04/26HBIS Vs Tabor Sežana2-1
03/04/26ADekani Vs BIS1-0
29/03/26HBIS Vs Jesenice1-1
21/03/26AKrško Vs BIS2-2
14/03/26HBIS Vs Gorica1-2
07/03/26ADravinja Vs BIS0-3
28/02/26HBIS Vs Krka3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Beltinci
Beltinci
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.54
HomeDWDDW1.52
AwayWDWWW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%40%48%
AVG goals2.642.842.44
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %48%56%40%
Over 3.5 %28%36%20%
Scored1.481.641.32
Conceded1.161.201.12
BTTS48%60%36%
Clean Sheet40%36%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Bistrica
Bistrica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.68
HomeWLDWW2.04
AwayWDLLL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%60%32%
AVG goals3.043.482.60
Over 1.5 %82%88%76%
Over 2.5 %60%64%56%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.922.361.48
Conceded1.121.121.12
BTTS54%60%48%
Clean Sheet36%32%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
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1
0000.92.3
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Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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