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Beltinci vs Rudar Result & Analysis

Date: 15/03/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Beltinci
Beltinci
Vs
45%
27%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beltinci win✓ Hit
44.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudar win✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BeltinciBeltinci

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W10W12L10W23L10W31W01L00D20WH·JES04/10A·DEK12/10H·TAB19/10A·BIS25/10H·NAF02/11A·BIL08/11H·ILI15/11A·BRI21/11H·TRI01/03A·SLO07/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.371.871.601.601.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.611.431.771.771.401.00
vs Weaker (7)2.141.142.500.502.001.40
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L21W11D20W21W51W00D11D50WH·KRK05/10A·DRA11/10H·GOR18/10H·JES31/10A·KRŠ04/11A·DEK09/11H·TAB16/11H·BIS21/11A·NAF27/02H·BIL07/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.301.201.201.471.40
vs Stronger (7)0.712.570.502.001.003.33
vs Similar (22)1.550.911.500.901.580.92
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.7%
Under 2.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.3%
Under 3.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.2%
No
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1 ✓
9.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
Beltinci goals ↓
Rudar goals →
01234
06.6%5.8%4.4%1.9%0.6%
17.8%12%7.2%3.1%1.0%
27.3%9.3%5.9%2.5%0.8%
34.0%5.1%3.2%1.4%0.4%
41.6%2.1%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beltinci goals (down), columns = Rudar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Beltinci is 0.77 points better than Rudar in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Beltinci is 0.30 goals better than Rudar in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Beltinci is 0.47 goals better than Rudar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BeltinciBeltinci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D01L10W13L10W30W00D00D10WH·JES04/10A·DEK12/10H·TAB19/10A·BIS25/10H·NAF02/11A·BIL08/11H·ILI15/11A·BRI21/11H·TRI01/03A·SLO07/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.630.930.870.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.830.700.851.000.800.30
vs Weaker (7)1.000.431.500.000.800.60
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D21W00D20W20W31W00D00D30WH·KRK05/10A·DRA11/10H·GOR18/10H·JES31/10A·KRŠ04/11A·DEK09/11H·TAB16/11H·BIS21/11A·NAF27/02H·BIL07/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.570.670.730.930.40
vs Stronger (7)0.431.430.501.500.331.33
vs Similar (22)0.950.320.800.501.080.17
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beltinci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BeltinciBeltinci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W11D00D10W00D01L01L00D10WH·JES04/10A·DEK12/10H·TAB19/10A·BIS25/10H·NAF02/11A·BIL08/11H·ILI15/11A·BRI21/11H·TRI01/03A·SLO07/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.730.930.730.800.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.780.740.920.770.600.70
vs Weaker (7)1.140.711.000.501.200.80
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D11D00D01L20W00D11D20WH·KRK05/10A·DRA11/10H·GOR18/10H·JES31/10A·KRŠ04/11A·DEK09/11H·TAB16/11H·BIS21/11A·NAF27/02H·BIL07/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.530.470.531.00
vs Stronger (7)0.291.140.000.500.672.00
vs Similar (22)0.590.590.700.400.500.75
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beltinci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Beltinci and Rudar have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Beltinci and Rudar have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Beltinci and Rudar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Beltinci and Rudar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
BEL wins
3
Draws
0
RUD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Beltinci vs Rudar · H/A from BEL
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25ARudar Vs BEL2-2
01/03/25HBEL Vs Rudar0-0
17/08/24ARudar Vs BEL0-5
23/03/24HBEL Vs Rudar1-0
09/09/23ARudar Vs BEL0-1
13/11/22ARudar Vs BEL2-2
29/07/22HBEL Vs Rudar2-0

BeltinciBeltinci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26ASlovan Ljubljana Vs BEL0-2
01/03/26HBEL Vs Triglav0-0
21/11/25ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs BEL1-0
15/11/25HBEL Vs Ilirija3-1
08/11/25ABilje Vs BEL0-1
02/11/25HBEL Vs Nafta2-3
25/10/25ABistrica Vs BEL0-1
19/10/25HBEL Vs Tabor Sežana1-2
12/10/25ADekani Vs BEL0-1
04/10/25HBEL Vs Jesenice5-1

RudarRudar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26HRUD Vs Bilje5-0
27/02/26ANafta Vs RUD1-1
21/11/25HRUD Vs Bistrica0-0
16/11/25HRUD Vs Tabor Sežana5-1
09/11/25ADekani Vs RUD1-2
04/11/25AKrško Vs RUD0-2
31/10/25HRUD Vs Jesenice1-1
18/10/25HRUD Vs Gorica2-1
11/10/25ADravinja Vs RUD1-0
05/10/25HRUD Vs Krka0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Beltinci
Beltinci
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.50
HomeWLLWD1.56
AwayWWWLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%44%44%
AVG goals2.963.202.72
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %36%44%28%
Scored1.661.881.44
Conceded1.301.321.28
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet36%36%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.14
HomeWDWDW1.16
AwayDLWWD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%24%28%
AVG goals2.562.522.60
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.121.121.12
Conceded1.441.401.48
BTTS42%40%44%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
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1
0000.92.3
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Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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