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Benfica vs FC ST. Gallen Result & Analysis

Date: 30/07/2026
Time: 19:00
Final 5-0
Benfica
Benfica
Vs
73%
18%
8%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
World: UEFA Europa League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Benfica’s recent 3-1 win over Aarhus and a current 2-game winning streak give the model a clear edge for a home victory, reflected in the 73% home-win probability. The model’s pick is a Benfica win, and it expects an average of three goals, with the most likely total being two. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0, carrying a 13.5% chance. Benfica’s home form shows they score 2.67 goals and concede only 0.56 against weaker opponents, while FC St. Gallen’s away form is weaker, having just lost their last match 0-1 to FC Nordsjaelland. The model’s suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 91.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 86.3%, Over 21.5 fouls at 83.0%, Over 1.5 (goals?) at 80.4%, Home win at 73.2%, Over 3.5 cards at 71.5% with a 13% edge, Over 23.5 fouls at 70.7%, and Under 11.5 corners at 70.5% with a 12% edge. The draw probability stands at 18%, and the away win probability is 8%.

Results analysis

Benfica’s 5-0 triumph over FC St. Gallen confirmed the model’s prediction that the home side would win, extending their two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 73.2 % probability, and the model’s call was correct. The model’s selections all hit: Over 2.5 cards at 86.3 %, Over 1.5 at 80.4 %, Home win at 73.2 %, and Over 3.5 cards at 71.5 %. The final score of 5-0 matched the actual result of a home win, and the most likely scoreline of 2-0 was surpassed, underscoring Benfica’s dominant form and the accuracy of the model’s predictions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica win✓ Hit
73.2%
Avg Implied 83.4% · @ 1.12
Edge
-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
SBO
1.13
BetVictor
1.12
Draw✗ Miss
18.3%
Avg Implied 10.9% · @ 8.57
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
10.10
Pinnacle
9.52
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.90
Superbet
8.80
FC ST. Gallen win✗ Miss
8.5%
Avg Implied 5.6% · @ 16.64
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
23.00
Pinnacle
20.17
1xBet
19.00
Unibet
18.00
BetVictor
18.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BenficaBenfica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W30W11D20W21W41W22D22D31W12LA·ARO14/03H·GUI21/03A·CAS06/04H·NAC12/04A·SPO19/04H·MOR25/04A·FAM02/05H·SC 11/05A·EST16/05A·FC 23/07
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.932.360.791.621.06
vs Stronger (3)1.671.672.001.501.002.00
vs Similar (6)1.171.171.671.000.671.33
vs Weaker (21)2.240.762.670.561.920.92
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D21W22D21W03L21W31W11D21W21WA·FC 21/03H·FC 06/04A·FC 12/04A·BSC26/04H·FC 03/05A·FC 10/05A·FC 14/05H·FC 17/05H·BEN23/07H·FC 26/07
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.301.531.402.001.20
vs Stronger (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (25)1.681.401.581.581.771.23
vs Weaker (4)2.250.751.000.503.501.00
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%014%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.4%
@ 1.07-6.5%
Under 1.5
19.6%
@ 7.16+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Under
BetVictor
8.00
Superbet
7.70
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.0%
@ 1.30-14.5%
Under 2.5
43.0%
@ 3.27+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.39
Betano
1.34
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Under
Superbet
3.50
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.6%
@ 1.81-17.3%
Under 3.5
65.4%
@ 1.96+17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.88
Betano
1.85
Unibet
1.84
1xBet
1.82
Betfair
1.80
Under
1xBet
2.03
Pinnacle
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Betano
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.9%
@ 1.97-2.0%
No
55.1%
@ 1.75+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
2.14
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
BetVictor
1.95
No
William Hil
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.5%@ 7.10+7.1%
1-0
11.0%@ 9.97+6.4%
3-0
10.4%@ 6.63+3.5%
2-1
9.1%@ 10.24+4.7%
1-1
8.7%@ 14.95+5.7%
3-1
7.0%@ 10.24+2.6%
4-0
5.9%@ 8.40+0.6%
0-0
5.9%@ 24.80+4.1%
Benfica goals ↓
FC ST. Gallen goals →
01234
05.9%2.7%1.2%0.3%0.0%
111%8.7%2.7%0.6%0.1%
214%9.1%3.1%0.7%0.1%
310%7.0%2.4%0.5%0.1%
45.9%4.0%1.4%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Benfica goals (down), columns = FC ST. Gallen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

European competition: teams are ranked by a cross-league strength score - each side's domestic attack and defence made comparable via the model's fitted league strengths (stronger leagues weighted up). Each side's actual domestic figures are shown below.

🏆 Cross-league strength

0-100 · adjusted for league strength · 48 teams
Benfica
100
FC Midtjylland
89
Aarhus
88
St. Truiden
86
Twente
85
PAOK
85
Hammarby FF
85
Tromso
83
Omonia Nicosia
83
Trabzonspor
82
Anderlecht
82
Beşiktaş
81
Lech Poznan
80
Jagiellonia
80
Gornik Zabrze
80
Lillestrom
77
Plzen
76
Ferencvarosi TC
76
FC Thun
75
FC ST. Gallen
75
Hradec Králové
73
Qarabag
72
Pafos
72
HNK Hajduk Split
72
FK Crvena Zvezda
71
Mjallby AIF
70
Universitatea Craiova
70
Red Bull Salzburg
70
Maccabi Tel Aviv
68
OFI
68
Dynamo Kyiv
68
Rangers
67
Kairat Almaty
61
Vikingur Reykjavik
60
CSKA Sofia
59
Žilina
58
Shamrock Rovers
54
KuPS
52
Ararat-Armenia
51
Sheriff Tiraspol
50
Saburtalo
50
Kauno Žalgiris
48
Vestri
44
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
42
Larne
42
Lincoln Red Imps FC
34
KI Klaksvik
34
Heart Of Midlothian
0
Benfica is 25 pts stronger cross-league than FC ST. Gallen (100 vs 75 · ranks #1 vs #20 of 48).
Benfica 2.35 (Portugal: Primeira Liga) · FC ST. Gallen 1.84 (Switzerland: Super League). Domestic-league average points per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
Benfica 2.18 (Portugal: Primeira Liga) · FC ST. Gallen 1.89 (Switzerland: Super League). Domestic-league goals scored per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
Benfica 0.74 (Portugal: Primeira Liga) · FC ST. Gallen 1.24 (Switzerland: Super League). Domestic-league goals conceded per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.

⏱️ Possession

Not compared for European ties.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BenficaBenfica

For 9.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 12.3

🚩 Corners

1709282469283151123481528211101011111615121710A·ESTH·SC A·FAMH·MORA·SPOH·NACA·CASH·GUIA·AROH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

13013231432221215117645554361113A·FC A·ESTH·SC A·FAMH·MORA·SPOH·NACA·CASH·GUIA·ARO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 15.3 · Total 26.6

⚠️ Fouls

340129611142013148131318101915151117111721173427213129302828A·ESTH·SC A·FAMH·MORA·SPOH·NACA·CASH·GUIA·AROH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen

For 6.4 · Against 6.0 · Total 12.4

🚩 Corners

2004439810625748561221285481218812121114209H·FC H·FC A·FC A·FC H·FC A·BSCA·FC H·FC A·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.6

🟨 Cards

10013313254736432323632445910105595H·FC H·BENH·FC A·FC A·FC H·FC A·BSCA·FC H·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.1 · Against 15.9 · Total 32.0

⚠️ Fouls

40013271617231215101815132214141915211491340333525333528343522H·FC H·FC A·FC A·FC H·FC A·BSCA·FC H·FC A·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BenficaBenfica

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.610.65.14.75.425.926.225.7
vs Stronger (3)10.310.011.06.37.54.022.320.526.0
vs Similar (11)9.97.211.45.66.05.425.127.823.6
vs Weaker (36)10.210.110.24.84.05.526.526.526.5
% over line56%57%56%68%70%67%73%70%76%
% under line44%43%44%32%30%33%27%30%24%
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.610.76.05.76.230.229.730.8
vs Stronger (1)---4.04.0----
vs Similar (40)10.610.710.46.05.76.330.930.631.3
vs Weaker (9)10.910.012.05.95.86.027.126.428.0
% over line59%67%52%88%84%92%98%96%100%
% under line41%33%48%12%16%8%2%4%0%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Larne
11.1
FC ST. Gallen
10.6
FC Thun
10.5
Gornik Zabrze
10.5
Rangers
10.4
Kairat Almaty
10.3
Anderlecht
10.3
Mjallby AIF
10.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.2
CSKA Sofia
10.2
Lillestrom
10.2
Lech Poznan
10.1
Omonia Nicosia
10.1
FC Midtjylland
10.1
Beşiktaş
10.1
Dynamo Kyiv
10.1
Benfica
10.1
KI Klaksvik
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Hammarby FF
10.0
KuPS
9.9
Jagiellonia
9.8
Pafos
9.7
Ferencvarosi TC
9.7
Qarabag
9.7
St. Truiden
9.7
Twente
9.7
Hradec Králové
9.7
Plzen
9.6
Žilina
9.6
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
9.5
HNK Hajduk Split
9.4
Aarhus
9.4
Trabzonspor
9.3
Universitatea Craiova
9.2
Saburtalo
9.2
Tromso
9.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
9.1
Red Bull Salzburg
9.1
OFI
9.0
Sheriff Tiraspol
8.9
PAOK
8.8
Ararat-Armenia
8.8
Shamrock Rovers
8.6
Vikingur Reykjavik
8.4
Lincoln Red Imps FC
8.1
Kauno Žalgiris
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
6.0
Ararat-Armenia
5.8
OFI
5.7
Saburtalo
5.4
Benfica
5.4
Anderlecht
5.3
Plzen
5.2
FC Thun
5.1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.0
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
5.0
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
Shamrock Rovers
5.0
Vikingur Reykjavik
4.9
Beşiktaş
4.9
Trabzonspor
4.8
Larne
4.8
Lincoln Red Imps FC
4.7
PAOK
4.7
CSKA Sofia
4.7
Pafos
4.7
Jagiellonia
4.6
Ferencvarosi TC
4.6
HNK Hajduk Split
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.5
Sheriff Tiraspol
4.5
Heart Of Midlothian
4.3
KI Klaksvik
4.3
Rangers
4.2
St. Truiden
4.2
FC Midtjylland
4.1
Qarabag
4.1
Kairat Almaty
4.0
Dynamo Kyiv
4.0
Gornik Zabrze
4.0
Aarhus
3.9
Žilina
3.9
Lillestrom
3.9
Mjallby AIF
3.8
Lech Poznan
3.8
Red Bull Salzburg
3.8
Twente
3.7
Hammarby FF
3.6
Hradec Králové
3.6
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.6
Kauno Žalgiris
3.5
KuPS
3.3
Tromso
3.3
Vestri
0.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.0
OFI
28.8
FC Thun
28.1
Ferencvarosi TC
27.5
HNK Hajduk Split
26.7
Jagiellonia
26.7
FC Midtjylland
26.6
Žilina
26.3
Kairat Almaty
26.3
Trabzonspor
26.2
Benfica
26.1
Vikingur Reykjavik
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Plzen
25.5
Mjallby AIF
25.5
Pafos
25.5
Beşiktaş
25.2
Hammarby FF
25.0
Ararat-Armenia
25.0
PAOK
24.9
Anderlecht
24.8
Universitatea Craiova
24.6
Omonia Nicosia
24.4
FK Crvena Zvezda
24.0
Qarabag
23.9
Lincoln Red Imps FC
23.7
Heart Of Midlothian
23.6
Aarhus
23.4
Lech Poznan
23.4
Hradec Králové
23.4
Larne
23.3
Tromso
22.8
Sheriff Tiraspol
22.8
Gornik Zabrze
22.5
CSKA Sofia
22.4
Shamrock Rovers
22.1
Kauno Žalgiris
22.0
Lillestrom
21.7
KuPS
21.7
Dynamo Kyiv
21.5
St. Truiden
21.3
Twente
21.1
Red Bull Salzburg
20.0
KI Klaksvik
17.5
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
12.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.2%
@ 1.50-8.1%
Under 9.5
46.8%
@ 2.38+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.58
Unibet
1.53
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.44
Under
Marathonbet
2.47
Betano
2.47
Pinnacle
2.43
1xBet
2.41
Unibet
2.28
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.5%
@ 1.56+12.8%
Under 3.5
28.5%
@ 2.22-12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
Under
Superbet
2.22
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.0%
Under 21.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BenficaBenfica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W00D20W10W21W20W00D30W11DA·ARO14/03H·GUI21/03A·CAS06/04H·NAC12/04A·SPO19/04H·MOR25/04A·FAM02/05H·SC 11/05A·EST16/05A·FC 23/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.431.210.501.000.38
vs Stronger (3)1.000.671.000.501.001.00
vs Similar (6)0.500.670.671.000.330.33
vs Weaker (21)1.290.331.440.331.170.33
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D11D01L00D01L00D00D00D11D00DA·FC 21/03H·FC 06/04A·FC 12/04A·BSC26/04H·FC 03/05A·FC 10/05A·FC 14/05H·FC 17/05H·BEN23/07H·FC 26/07
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.800.600.730.60
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (25)0.760.600.920.580.620.62
vs Weaker (4)0.750.500.000.501.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Benfica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BenficaBenfica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W11D00D11D20W02L22D01L01LA·ARO14/03H·GUI21/03A·CAS06/04H·NAC12/04A·SPO19/04H·MOR25/04A·FAM02/05H·SC 11/05A·EST16/05A·FC 23/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.501.140.290.620.69
vs Stronger (3)0.671.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (6)0.670.501.000.000.331.00
vs Weaker (21)0.950.431.220.220.750.58
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W21W21W02L21W31W11D10W21WA·FC 21/03H·FC 06/04A·FC 12/04A·BSC26/04H·FC 03/05A·FC 10/05A·FC 14/05H·FC 17/05H·BEN23/07H·FC 26/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.700.730.801.270.60
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (25)0.920.800.671.001.150.62
vs Weaker (4)1.500.251.000.002.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Benfica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls91.6%--------
Over 2.5 cards86.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls83.0%--------
Over 1.580.4%1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
-6.5%✓ Hit
Home win73.2%1.12
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
SBO
1.13
BetVictor
1.12
-10.2%✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards71.5%1.56
Superbet
1.56
----+12.8%✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls70.7%--------
Under 11.5 corners70.5%1.56
1xBet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Unibet
1.56
+11.6%-

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BEN (19)
€288m
RBS (36)
€192m
RAN (25)
€127m
AND (34)
€126m
FM (28)
€120m
TRA (29)
€116m
PAO (34)
€96m
DK (30)
€85m
TWE (27)
€84m
JAG (29)
€62m
PLZ (28)
€57m
LP (31)
€53m
ST (25)
€53m
FSG (33)
€41m
FT (40)
€40m
AAR (29)
€37m
UC (34)
€37m
HHS (29)
€34m
HOM (33)
€33m
FT (28)
€30m
GZ (28)
€29m
PAF (23)
€28m
CS (25)
€26m
MA (24)
€26m
QAR (25)
€25m
ON (37)
€19m
ŽIL (38)
€18m
LIL (25)
€14m
KŽ (25)
€9m
ARA (26)
€8m
KA (22)
€8m
SR (31)
€7m
ST (24)
€6m
VR (23)
€5m
LAR (23)
€4m
KK (20)
€3m
LRI (25)
€2m
Benfica's squad is €247m more valuable than FC ST. Gallen's (€288m vs €41m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BEN (6)
€105m
RBS (11)
€93m
FM (10)
€62m
RAN (9)
€59m
PAO (12)
€50m
TRA (11)
€48m
AND (11)
€46m
JAG (17)
€43m
DK (12)
€31m
ST (11)
€29m
TWE (10)
€26m
FT (18)
€24m
LP (14)
€21m
FSG (15)
€20m
HOM (12)
€19m
GZ (13)
€17m
HHS (10)
€15m
PLZ (8)
€15m
UC (13)
€15m
PAF (9)
€14m
AAR (10)
€13m
CS (9)
€10m
ON (13)
€8m
QAR (9)
€8m
FT (7)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
LIL (9)
€6m
ŽIL (15)
€5m
KŽ (11)
€4m
SR (14)
€3m
ARA (9)
€3m
KA (7)
€3m
ST (8)
€3m
VR (9)
€2m
LAR (6)
€1m
LRI (11)
€1m
KK (6)
€1m
Benfica's attack is €85m more valuable than FC ST. Gallen's (€105m vs €20m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BEN (6)
€93m
RBS (9)
€40m
AND (6)
€38m
RAN (6)
€28m
FM (7)
€27m
DK (5)
€24m
PAO (7)
€24m
TRA (8)
€23m
PLZ (8)
€22m
AAR (9)
€14m
FT (10)
€13m
TWE (4)
€13m
MA (6)
€11m
ST (4)
€10m
HOM (8)
€9m
UC (6)
€9m
LP (5)
€8m
PAF (5)
€8m
FT (9)
€8m
HHS (6)
€8m
FSG (6)
€6m
CS (6)
€6m
GZ (3)
€4m
ON (6)
€4m
ŽIL (4)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
QAR (3)
€3m
KA (5)
€2m
SR (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
JAG (3)
€2m
ST (6)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
LAR (7)
€1m
LRI (4)
€0m
Benfica's midfield is €87m more valuable than FC ST. Gallen's (€93m vs €6m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BEN (7)
€90m
RBS (16)
€59m
TWE (13)
€45m
TRA (10)
€45m
AND (17)
€42m
RAN (10)
€40m
FM (11)
€32m
DK (13)
€30m
LP (12)
€23m
PAO (15)
€23m
PLZ (12)
€20m
JAG (9)
€17m
FSG (12)
€14m
QAR (13)
€14m
ST (10)
€13m
UC (15)
€13m
HHS (13)
€11m
AAR (10)
€10m
CS (10)
€10m
FT (11)
€10m
ŽIL (19)
€9m
FT (13)
€9m
MA (9)
€8m
GZ (12)
€7m
PAF (9)
€7m
ON (18)
€7m
HOM (13)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
ARA (11)
€4m
KŽ (10)
€4m
KA (10)
€3m
ST (10)
€3m
SR (10)
€2m
VR (9)
€2m
LAR (10)
€2m
LRI (10)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
Benfica's defence is €76m more valuable than FC ST. Gallen's (€90m vs €14m).

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
BEN wins
0
Draws
1
FSG wins

Head-to-head

Benfica vs FC ST. Gallen · H/A from BEN
DateH/AGameScore
23/07/26AFC ST. Gallen Vs BEN2-1

BenficaBenfica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/07/26AFC ST. Gallen Vs BEN2-1
16/05/26AEstoril Vs BEN1-3
11/05/26HBEN Vs SC Braga2-2
02/05/26AFamalicao Vs BEN2-2
25/04/26HBEN Vs Moreirense4-1
19/04/26ASporting CP Vs BEN1-2
12/04/26HBEN Vs Nacional2-0
06/04/26ACasa Pia Vs BEN1-1
21/03/26HBEN Vs Guimaraes3-0
14/03/26AArouca Vs BEN1-2

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26HFSG Vs FC Zurich2-1
23/07/26HFSG Vs Benfica2-1
17/05/26HFSG Vs FC Thun1-1
14/05/26AFC Basel 1893 Vs FSG1-3
10/05/26AFC Lugano Vs FSG1-2
03/05/26HFSG Vs FC Sion0-3
26/04/26ABSC Young Boys Vs FSG1-2
12/04/26AFC Luzern Vs FSG2-2
06/04/26HFSG Vs FC Zurich2-1
21/03/26AFC Sion Vs FSG1-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Benfica
Benfica
World: UEFA Europa League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL1.98
HomeDWWWD2.09
AwayDWDWL1.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%61%56%
AVG goals2.703.042.41
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %58%61%56%
Over 3.5 %26%39%15%
Scored1.842.171.56
Conceded0.860.870.85
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet40%39%41%
Corners10.129.6110.60
Cards5.385.105.62
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
World: UEFA Europa League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.78
HomeWLDWW1.92
AwayDDWWW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%60%40%
AVG goals2.962.962.96
Over 1.5 %84%76%92%
Over 2.5 %62%68%56%
Over 3.5 %32%28%36%
Scored1.721.721.72
Conceded1.241.241.24
BTTS72%60%84%
Clean Sheet20%32%8%
Corners10.6310.5810.68
Cards5.965.686.24

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BeşiktaşBeşiktaş515
100%
3.0
80+8
1.6
40%
20%
0%
15.0
100%
5.0
75%
17.5
0%
0
0001.60.0
-
2AnderlechtAnderlecht513
80%
2.6
114+7
3.0
80%
60%
40%
8.7
67%
5.5
100%
29.3
100%
126
4638422.20.8
-
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC511
60%
2.2
74+3
2.2
60%
40%
20%
9.5
50%
3.0
50%
24.0
50%
40
24891.40.8
45%
4BenficaBenfica510
60%
2.0
165+11
4.2
100%
80%
60%
10.0
50%
4.2
75%
25.5
100%
288
10593903.21.0
-
5Lech PoznanLech Poznan39
100%
3.0
130+13
4.3
67%
67%
67%
10.0
33%
4.7
67%
23.3
100%
53
218234.30.0
38%
6Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv49
75%
2.2
94+5
3.2
75%
75%
50%
4.0
0%
5.0
67%
38.0
100%
0
0002.21.0
43%
7JagielloniaJagiellonia37
67%
2.3
72+5
3.0
100%
67%
33%
8.0
50%
5.0
100%
31.0
100%
62
432172.30.7
-
8Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg37
67%
2.3
53+2
2.7
33%
33%
33%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
21.5
50%
192
9340591.71.0
45%
9PAOKPAOK46
50%
1.5
76+1
3.2
75%
50%
50%
6.0
0%
4.0
67%
38.0
100%
96
5024231.81.5
48%
10Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
25%
25%
25%
11.0
50%
4.3
67%
20.5
50%
0
0001.00.8
-
11QarabagQarabag35
33%
1.7
30+3
1.0
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
4.0
33%
-
0%
25
83141.00.0
-
12Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova35
33%
1.7
43+1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
27.0
50%
37
159131.31.0
-
13CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia55
20%
1.0
46-2
2.0
60%
60%
20%
4.5
0%
5.8
75%
25.5
50%
26
106100.81.2
-
14Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë34
33%
1.3
64+2
3.3
67%
67%
67%
10.0
100%
2.5
0%
28.0
100%
0
0002.01.3
-
15PafosPafos44
25%
1.0
76+1
3.2
75%
50%
50%
14.0
100%
5.0
100%
24.0
100%
28
14871.81.5
-
16Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia34
33%
1.3
22+0
1.3
33%
0%
0%
8.0
0%
5.0
50%
30.5
100%
19
8470.70.7
-
17SaburtaloSaburtalo34
33%
1.3
25-3
2.3
67%
67%
33%
11.0
100%
5.3
67%
41.0
100%
0
0000.71.7
-
18OFIOFI13
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
5.0
0%
4.0
100%
13.0
0%
0
0003.00.0
-
19FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda13
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
3.0
0%
6.0
100%
11.0
0%
0
0003.00.0
49%
20ŽilinaŽilina13
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
18
5492.01.0
-
21St. TruidenSt. Truiden13
100%
3.0
10+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
3.0
0%
22.0
100%
53
2910131.00.0
-
22Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers23
50%
1.5
46-2
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
3.0
0%
-
0%
7
3222.03.0
-
23Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik23
50%
1.5
35-2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
20.0
0%
5
2121.52.5
-
24HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split33
33%
1.0
36-3
3.0
100%
67%
33%
15.0
100%
4.7
100%
-
0%
34
158111.02.0
-
25FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen23
50%
1.5
26-4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
41
206141.03.0
-
26FC ThunFC Thun33
33%
1.0
510-5
5.0
100%
100%
67%
9.0
50%
3.5
50%
22.0
50%
30
813101.73.3
-
27Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
12.0
100%
4.0
100%
20.0
0%
8
3241.01.0
-
28LillestromLillestrom11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
10.0
100%
2.0
0%
28.0
100%
14
6450.00.0
-
29TwenteTwente21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
2.5
50%
-
0%
84
2613451.52.0
-
30KuPSKuPS21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
8.0
0%
3.0
0%
34.0
100%
0
0001.01.5
46%
31RangersRangers21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
6.0
0%
4.0
100%
26.0
100%
127
5928401.01.5
50%
32LarneLarne21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
12.0
100%
5.0
50%
46.0
100%
4
1120.51.0
-
33Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
1.0
0%
21.0
0%
29
17470.51.0
-
34Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
9.0
0%
7.0
100%
39.0
100%
2
1010.51.0
43%
35Hammarby FFHammarby FF21
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.0
100%
5.5
100%
22.0
100%
0
0001.02.0
-
36Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian21
0%
0.5
27-5
4.5
100%
50%
50%
8.0
0%
6.0
100%
24.0
100%
33
19951.03.5
-
37TrabzonsporTrabzonspor10
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
12.0
100%
6.0
100%
27.0
100%
116
4823450.01.0
-
38Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF10
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
8.0
0%
1.0
0%
19.0
0%
26
71180.01.0
-
39AarhusAarhus10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
12.0
100%
3.0
0%
27.0
100%
37
1314101.03.0
-
40Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv20
0%
0.0
25-3
3.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
85
3124301.02.5
44%
41TromsoTromso20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
50%
50%
50%
9.0
0%
3.5
50%
25.0
100%
0
0000.52.0
-
42FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.5
50%
-
0%
120
6227320.01.5
51%
43Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
6.0
100%
28.0
100%
8
3230.03.0
-
44PlzenPlzen10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
3.0
0%
6.0
100%
11.0
0%
57
1522200.03.0
45%
45Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
17.0
100%
5.0
100%
19.0
0%
9
4240.03.0
-
46VestriVestri10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
0.0
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
47Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol20
0%
0.0
06-6
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
4.0
50%
-
0%
6
3130.03.0
-
48KI KlaksvikKI Klaksvik20
0%
0.0
06-6
3.0
50%
50%
50%
11.0
50%
5.5
100%
23.0
100%
3
1110.03.0
-
World: UEFA Europa League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full World: UEFA Europa League stats & trends →

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