Beşiktaş’s attacking prowess, averaging 2.31 goals at home against weaker opposition, sets the stage for a high-scoring encounter, while Alanyaspor’s away average of 1.25 goals against stronger teams suggests they will struggle to contain the home side’s offense. The model projects a 55% chance of a home win, 24% draw and 22% away win, making a Beşiktaş victory the clear favourite. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to a lively match, with the most likely total of three goals at 22% and the single most probable scoreline 1-1 at 10.8%. Beşiktaş’s recent form, a string of four wins after a defeat, contrasts with Alanyaspor’s mixed five-game run that began with a win. The suggested picks include a 98.9% chance of over 19.5 fouls, 98.4% for under 7.5 fouls, 97.4% for over 2.5 cards, 96.9% for over 21.5 fouls, 96.7% for away under 3.5 goals, 95.6% for under 6.5 fouls, 92.9% for over 23.5 fouls and 92.7% for over 3.5 cards. These selections reflect the model’s confidence in a robust, high-contact match.
Results analysis
Beşiktaş’s recent run of four wins after a defeat set the stage for a decisive home performance, and the model’s prediction of a home win proved accurate as Beşiktaş triumphed 3-0. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 55% probability and was indeed correct. The model’s selections largely materialised: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 98.9%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.4%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 96.9%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 95.6%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 92.9%. Two picks missed: Over 2.5 cards at 97.4% and Over 3.5 cards at 92.7%. The match delivered on the model’s overall narrative.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Beşiktaş win✓ Hit
54.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Alanyaspor win✗ Miss
21.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Beşiktaş
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.07
2.13
1.13
1.87
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.33
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.50
1.50
vs Weaker (24)
2.17
0.92
2.31
1.00
2.00
0.82
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Alanyaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alanyaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.13
1.27
1.13
1.53
1.13
vs Stronger (9)
1.11
1.67
1.00
1.80
1.25
1.50
vs Similar (21)
1.52
0.90
1.40
0.80
1.64
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.6%
Under 1.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.6%
Under 2.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.4%
Under 3.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.2%
No
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-0 ✓
5.4%
Beşiktaş goals ↓
Alanyaspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
4.0%
3.0%
1.2%
0.4%
1
7.3%
11%
5.9%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.2%
9.8%
5.9%
2.3%
0.7%
3
5.4%
6.5%
3.9%
1.5%
0.5%
4
2.7%
3.2%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beşiktaş goals (down), columns = Alanyaspor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
İstanbulspor
2.50
Bursaspor
2.50
Göztepe
2.50
Etimesgut SK
2.40
Konyaspor
2.38
Bayburt İÖİ
2.33
Galatasaray
2.33
Muş Sport Klübü
2.33
Fenerbahçe
2.25
Beşiktaş
2.25
Kocaelispor
2.25
Çorluspor 1947
2.25
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
2.25
Trabzonspor
2.17
Hatayspor
2.00
Fatih Karagümrük
2.00
Bodrum FK
2.00
Yeni Orduspor
2.00
Alanyaspor
2.00
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
2.00
Tire 2021 FK
2.00
Karaman FK
2.00
Karacabey Belediyespor
2.00
Kilis Belediyespor
2.00
Osmaniyespor
2.00
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
2.00
Düzcespor
2.00
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
2.00
Kırklarelispor
1.86
Ankaragücü
1.83
İskenderunspor
1.83
Gaziantep FK
1.80
Rizespor
1.80
Eyüpspor
1.75
Başakşehir
1.67
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.50
Keçiörengücü
1.50
Serik Spor
1.50
Ümraniyespor
1.50
Esenler Erokspor
1.50
Adana Demirspor
1.50
Pazarspor
1.50
İnegölspor
1.50
Şırnak İdmanyurdu
1.50
Sebat Gençlikspor
1.50
Talasgücü Belediyespor
1.50
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
1.50
Çorum FK
1.50
Mardin 1969
1.50
Amed
1.50
Niğde Belediyesispor
1.50
Nilüfer Belediye
1.50
Silivrispor
1.50
Amasyaspor 1968
1.50
Uşak Spor
1.50
Fatsa Belediyespor
1.50
Güzide Gebzespor
1.50
Kütahyaspor
1.50
1461 Trabzon FK
1.50
Ağrı 1970
1.50
Ayvalikgucu
1.50
Alanya 1221 FK
1.50
Menemen FK
1.50
Adana 01 FK
1.50
Batman Petrolspor
1.50
Zonguldak Kömürspor
1.50
Kahramanmaraşspor
1.50
Karaköprü Belediyespor
1.50
Isparta 32 Spor
1.50
Elazığspor
1.50
Anadolu Üniversitesi
1.50
Somaspor
1.50
Bucaspor 1928
1.50
24 Erzincanspor
1.50
Kastamonuspor
1.50
Antalyaspor
1.40
Sarıyer
1.33
Fethiyespor
1.33
Ankara Demirspor
1.33
Erzurumspor FK
1.20
Eskisehirspor
1.01
Kestel Çilek
1.01
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
1.01
Kahta 02 Spor
1.01
1926 Bulancak
1.01
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
1.01
Galata
1.01
İnkılapspor
1.01
Şiran
1.01
Kapadokyaspor
1.01
Bilecik Sogut
1.01
Denizli İYG
1.01
Ezinespor
1.01
Muğlaspor
1.00
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
1.00
Boluspor
0.75
Sivasspor
0.75
Kasımpaşa
0.75
Vanspor FK
0.50
Samsunspor
0.50
Bucak Oğuzhanspor
0.50
Kepezspor
0.50
Karsiyaka
0.50
Adanaspor
0.00
Kayserispor
0.00
Sakaryaspor
0.00
Pendikspor
0.00
Bandırmaspor
0.00
Manisa F.K.
0.00
Beykoz Anadolu
0.00
Giresunspor
0.00
Altay
0.00
Silifke Belediyespor
0.00
Balıkesirspor
0.00
Çankaya FK
0.00
Erbaaspor
0.00
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
0.00
Orduspor 1967
0.00
Kartal Bulvarspor
0.00
Afjet Afyonspor
0.00
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
0.00
Bursa Yıldırımspor
0.00
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0.00
Iğdır FK
0.00
Altınordu
0.00
Şanlıurfaspor
0.00
Beykoz İshaklıspor
0.00
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
0.00
Edirnespor
0.00
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
0.00
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.00
Kurtalanspor
0.00
Kırşehir Belediyespor
0.00
Karabük İdman Yurdu
0.00
Aliağa FAŞ
0.00
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
0.00
Ankaraspor
0.00
İzmir Çoruhlu FK
0.00
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
0.00
Dersimspor
0.00
Bornova 1877
0.00
12 Bingölspor
0.00
Kars 36
0.00
Söke 1970
0.00
Serhat Ardahanspor
0.00
Türk Metal 1963
0.00
1074 Çankırıspor
0.00
Sinopspor
0.00
Nazilli Spor
0.00
Artvin Hopaspor
0.00
Diyarbekirspor
0.00
Bartınspor
0.00
1926 Polatlı Belediye
0.00
Çayelispor
0.00
Hakkari Zapspor
0.00
Beşiktaş is 0.25 points better than Alanyaspor in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
3.67
24 Erzincanspor
3.50
Fenerbahçe
3.25
Bodrum FK
3.20
Hatayspor
3.00
Sebat Gençlikspor
3.00
Mardin 1969
3.00
Altınordu
3.00
Nilüfer Belediye
3.00
Silivrispor
3.00
Konyaspor
2.75
Çorluspor 1947
2.75
Galatasaray
2.67
Rizespor
2.60
İstanbulspor
2.50
Keçiörengücü
2.50
Şırnak İdmanyurdu
2.50
Trabzonspor
2.50
Kocaelispor
2.50
Menemen FK
2.50
Somaspor
2.50
Alanyaspor
2.40
Göztepe
2.33
Osmaniyespor
2.33
Çorum FK
2.25
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
2.25
Kırklarelispor
2.14
Kayserispor
2.00
Bandırmaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Ümraniyespor
2.00
Başakşehir
2.00
Adana Demirspor
2.00
Muğlaspor
2.00
Antalyaspor
2.00
Erbaaspor
2.00
Iğdır FK
2.00
Beykoz İshaklıspor
2.00
Karacabey Belediyespor
2.00
Amasyaspor 1968
2.00
Uşak Spor
2.00
Muş Sport Klübü
2.00
Aliağa FAŞ
2.00
Ağrı 1970
2.00
Ayvalikgucu
2.00
Zonguldak Kömürspor
2.00
Düzcespor
2.00
Anadolu Üniversitesi
2.00
Kastamonuspor
2.00
1926 Polatlı Belediye
2.00
Ankaragücü
1.83
Bursaspor
1.75
Yeni Orduspor
1.67
Tire 2021 FK
1.67
Kilis Belediyespor
1.67
İskenderunspor
1.67
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
1.67
Fethiyespor
1.67
Ankara Demirspor
1.67
Gaziantep FK
1.60
Etimesgut SK
1.60
Boluspor
1.50
Eyüpspor
1.50
Esenler Erokspor
1.50
Beşiktaş
1.50
Fatih Karagümrük
1.50
Pazarspor
1.50
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
1.50
Amed
1.50
Fatsa Belediyespor
1.50
Güzide Gebzespor
1.50
1461 Trabzon FK
1.50
Alanya 1221 FK
1.50
Isparta 32 Spor
1.50
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
1.50
Bayburt İÖİ
1.33
Eskisehirspor
1.29
Kestel Çilek
1.29
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
1.29
Kahta 02 Spor
1.29
1926 Bulancak
1.29
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
1.29
Galata
1.29
İnkılapspor
1.29
Şiran
1.29
Kapadokyaspor
1.29
Bilecik Sogut
1.29
Denizli İYG
1.29
Ezinespor
1.29
Sarıyer
1.00
Adanaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
1.00
Erzurumspor FK
1.00
Silifke Belediyespor
1.00
Orduspor 1967
1.00
İnegölspor
1.00
Talasgücü Belediyespor
1.00
Samsunspor
1.00
Karaman FK
1.00
Kurtalanspor
1.00
Ankaraspor
1.00
Adana 01 FK
1.00
Kars 36
1.00
Karaköprü Belediyespor
1.00
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
1.00
Elazığspor
1.00
Söke 1970
1.00
Bucaspor 1928
1.00
Türk Metal 1963
1.00
1074 Çankırıspor
1.00
Nazilli Spor
1.00
Artvin Hopaspor
1.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.50
Serik Spor
0.50
Niğde Belediyesispor
0.50
Kütahyaspor
0.50
Karsiyaka
0.50
Batman Petrolspor
0.50
Kahramanmaraşspor
0.50
Kasımpaşa
0.25
Sakaryaspor
0.00
Beykoz Anadolu
0.00
Giresunspor
0.00
Altay
0.00
Balıkesirspor
0.00
Çankaya FK
0.00
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
0.00
Kartal Bulvarspor
0.00
Afjet Afyonspor
0.00
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
0.00
Bursa Yıldırımspor
0.00
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0.00
Şanlıurfaspor
0.00
Bucak Oğuzhanspor
0.00
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
0.00
Edirnespor
0.00
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
0.00
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.00
Kırşehir Belediyespor
0.00
Karabük İdman Yurdu
0.00
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
0.00
İzmir Çoruhlu FK
0.00
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
0.00
Kepezspor
0.00
Dersimspor
0.00
Bornova 1877
0.00
12 Bingölspor
0.00
Serhat Ardahanspor
0.00
Sinopspor
0.00
Diyarbekirspor
0.00
Bartınspor
0.00
Çayelispor
0.00
Hakkari Zapspor
0.00
Beşiktaş is 0.90 goals worse than Alanyaspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 2.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bayburt İÖİ
0.00
Hatayspor
0.33
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.50
Göztepe
0.50
Niğde Belediyesispor
0.50
Uşak Spor
0.50
Kütahyaspor
0.50
Ağrı 1970
0.50
Batman Petrolspor
0.50
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
0.50
Fenerbahçe
0.75
Bursaspor
0.75
Konyaspor
0.75
Galatasaray
0.83
Eyüpspor
1.00
Esenler Erokspor
1.00
Beşiktaş
1.00
Başakşehir
1.00
Gaziantep FK
1.00
Giresunspor
1.00
Altay
1.00
Pazarspor
1.00
Çankaya FK
1.00
Kartal Bulvarspor
1.00
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
1.00
İnegölspor
1.00
Şanlıurfaspor
1.00
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1.00
Karaman FK
1.00
Karacabey Belediyespor
1.00
Edirnespor
1.00
Kırşehir Belediyespor
1.00
Güzide Gebzespor
1.00
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
1.00
Karsiyaka
1.00
Adana 01 FK
1.00
Düzcespor
1.00
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
1.00
Somaspor
1.00
Diyarbekirspor
1.00
Fatih Karagümrük
1.17
Etimesgut SK
1.20
Kırklarelispor
1.29
İstanbulspor
1.33
Yeni Orduspor
1.33
Tire 2021 FK
1.33
Kilis Belediyespor
1.33
Muş Sport Klübü
1.33
İskenderunspor
1.33
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
1.33
Ankara Demirspor
1.33
Sivasspor
1.50
Ankaragücü
1.50
Şırnak İdmanyurdu
1.50
Trabzonspor
1.50
Kocaelispor
1.50
Amed
1.50
Çorluspor 1947
1.50
Nilüfer Belediye
1.50
Amasyaspor 1968
1.50
Fatsa Belediyespor
1.50
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
1.50
Menemen FK
1.50
Kahramanmaraşspor
1.50
Isparta 32 Spor
1.50
Elazığspor
1.50
Antalyaspor
1.60
Alanyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.67
Osmaniyespor
1.67
Boluspor
1.75
Bodrum FK
1.80
Rizespor
1.80
Eskisehirspor
1.90
Kestel Çilek
1.90
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
1.90
Kahta 02 Spor
1.90
1926 Bulancak
1.90
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
1.90
Galata
1.90
İnkılapspor
1.90
Şiran
1.90
Kapadokyaspor
1.90
Bilecik Sogut
1.90
Denizli İYG
1.90
Ezinespor
1.90
Adanaspor
2.00
Sakaryaspor
2.00
Pendikspor
2.00
Ümraniyespor
2.00
Muğlaspor
2.00
Silifke Belediyespor
2.00
Balıkesirspor
2.00
Orduspor 1967
2.00
Bursa Yıldırımspor
2.00
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2.00
Sebat Gençlikspor
2.00
Talasgücü Belediyespor
2.00
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
2.00
Samsunspor
2.00
Mardin 1969
2.00
Bucak Oğuzhanspor
2.00
Yeni Malatyaspor
2.00
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
2.00
Ankaraspor
2.00
İzmir Çoruhlu FK
2.00
Ayvalikgucu
2.00
Bornova 1877
2.00
12 Bingölspor
2.00
Fethiyespor
2.00
Zonguldak Kömürspor
2.00
Karaköprü Belediyespor
2.00
Söke 1970
2.00
Anadolu Üniversitesi
2.00
Serhat Ardahanspor
2.00
1074 Çankırıspor
2.00
Sinopspor
2.00
Bartınspor
2.00
Çayelispor
2.00
Hakkari Zapspor
2.00
Erzurumspor FK
2.20
Kasımpaşa
2.50
Adana Demirspor
2.50
Çorum FK
2.50
Silivrispor
2.50
1461 Trabzon FK
2.50
Alanya 1221 FK
2.50
Bucaspor 1928
2.50
Bandırmaspor
3.00
Keçiörengücü
3.00
Serik Spor
3.00
Beykoz Anadolu
3.00
Erbaaspor
3.00
Iğdır FK
3.00
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
3.00
Aliağa FAŞ
3.00
Kars 36
3.00
24 Erzincanspor
3.00
Türk Metal 1963
3.00
Artvin Hopaspor
3.00
1926 Polatlı Belediye
3.00
Kastamonuspor
3.50
Kayserispor
4.00
Manisa F.K.
4.00
Vanspor FK
4.00
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
4.00
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
4.00
Kurtalanspor
4.00
Karabük İdman Yurdu
4.00
Kepezspor
4.50
Afjet Afyonspor
5.00
Nazilli Spor
5.00
Beykoz İshaklıspor
6.00
Altınordu
7.00
Dersimspor
7.00
Beşiktaş is 0.60 goals better than Alanyaspor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Trabzonspor
61%
Galatasaray
54%
Beşiktaş
52%
Fenerbahçe
51%
Göztepe
44%
Konyaspor
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Beşiktaş
For 6.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 13.6 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Alanyaspor
For 3.8 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 14.4 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beşiktaş
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.3
9.7
4.7
5.1
4.3
25.1
26.0
24.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
11.2
9.5
12.0
6.8
7.3
6.5
25.5
25.0
25.8
vs Weaker (41)
9.8
10.3
9.2
4.2
4.8
3.6
25.0
26.1
23.9
% over line
48%
59%
36%
66%
72%
60%
77%
77%
77%
% under line
52%
41%
64%
34%
28%
40%
23%
23%
23%
This opponent (Alanyaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alanyaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.8
8.1
7.6
4.1
4.0
4.2
26.8
25.9
27.8
vs Stronger (15)
7.5
7.7
7.2
4.3
4.4
4.3
25.3
25.6
25.0
vs Similar (33)
7.9
8.1
7.7
4.0
3.7
4.3
27.3
25.7
28.9
vs Weaker (2)
11.0
11.0
-
3.5
7.0
0.0
31.0
31.0
-
% over line
30%
32%
29%
54%
46%
62%
81%
77%
86%
% under line
70%
68%
71%
46%
54%
38%
19%
23%
14%
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
10.9
Beşiktaş
10.1
Kayserispor
9.9
Konyaspor
9.9
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.8
Gaziantep FK
9.8
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.8
Samsunspor
9.7
Adanaspor
9.6
Giresunspor
9.6
Başakşehir
9.4
Sivasspor
9.4
Rizespor
9.4
Antalyaspor
9.4
Trabzonspor
9.4
Kasımpaşa
9.3
Eyüpspor
9.3
Bandırmaspor
9.2
Göztepe
9.2
Iğdır FK
9.2
Bursaspor
9.1
Adana Demirspor
9.1
Fatih Karagümrük
9.0
Galatasaray
9.0
Ümraniyespor
9.0
Hatayspor
9.0
Çorum FK
8.9
Serik Spor
8.9
Amed
8.8
Beykoz Anadolu
8.8
Bodrum FK
8.8
Esenler Erokspor
8.7
Ankaragücü
8.6
Altınordu
8.6
Altay
8.6
Pendikspor
8.5
Sakaryaspor
8.5
Manisa F.K.
8.5
Erzurumspor FK
8.5
Şanlıurfaspor
8.4
İstanbulspor
8.4
Vanspor FK
8.3
Keçiörengücü
8.2
Kocaelispor
8.2
Alanyaspor
8.0
Boluspor
8.0
Sarıyer
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
6.2
Fenerbahçe
5.8
Konyaspor
5.4
Sakaryaspor
5.4
Alanyaspor
5.3
Beşiktaş
5.3
Pendikspor
5.2
Çorum FK
5.2
Vanspor FK
5.2
Boluspor
5.2
Kasımpaşa
5.2
Adanaspor
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Erzurumspor FK
5.1
Sivasspor
5.1
Eyüpspor
5.0
Keçiörengücü
5.0
Başakşehir
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Amed
4.9
Antalyaspor
4.9
Göztepe
4.9
Hatayspor
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.9
Rizespor
4.8
Beykoz Anadolu
4.8
Fatih Karagümrük
4.8
Altay
4.8
Bandırmaspor
4.8
Iğdır FK
4.7
Manisa F.K.
4.7
Samsunspor
4.7
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.7
Kayserispor
4.7
Bursaspor
4.7
İstanbulspor
4.6
Ankaragücü
4.5
Ümraniyespor
4.5
Galatasaray
4.4
Serik Spor
4.4
Trabzonspor
4.4
Şanlıurfaspor
4.3
Yeni Malatyaspor
4.3
Altınordu
4.2
Bodrum FK
4.0
Adana Demirspor
3.9
Giresunspor
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bursaspor
30.1
Fatih Karagümrük
28.9
Gaziantep FK
28.8
Vanspor FK
28.3
Altay
27.8
Kasımpaşa
27.4
Altınordu
27.1
Başakşehir
27.1
Alanyaspor
26.9
Antalyaspor
26.9
Rizespor
26.7
Pendikspor
26.6
Kocaelispor
26.4
Göztepe
26.3
Beykoz Anadolu
26.2
Boluspor
26.2
Fenerbahçe
26.1
Trabzonspor
25.9
Sakaryaspor
25.9
Eyüpspor
25.8
Konyaspor
25.5
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.3
Yeni Malatyaspor
25.3
Beşiktaş
25.1
Kayserispor
25.1
Samsunspor
25.1
Adanaspor
24.9
Erzurumspor FK
24.5
Keçiörengücü
24.3
Bodrum FK
24.2
Ümraniyespor
23.8
Şanlıurfaspor
23.8
Bandırmaspor
23.8
Hatayspor
23.7
Galatasaray
23.6
Manisa F.K.
23.5
Ankaragücü
23.5
Sivasspor
23.4
Sarıyer
23.4
Iğdır FK
23.2
İstanbulspor
23.1
Serik Spor
23.1
Çorum FK
22.9
Giresunspor
22.8
Esenler Erokspor
22.7
Amed
22.3
Adana Demirspor
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
68.5%
Under 9.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
92.7%
Under 3.5
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.9%
Under 21.5
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Beşiktaş or Draw✓ Hit
78.3%
Avg Implied -
55%
24%
22%
covers Beşiktaş + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş or Alanyaspor✓ Hit
76.4%
Avg Implied -
55%
24%
22%
covers Beşiktaş + Alanyaspor
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Alanyaspor✗ Miss
45.3%
Avg Implied -
55%
24%
22%
covers Draw + Alanyaspor
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.3%
Under
13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
59.0%
Under
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
31.9%
Under
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alanyaspor over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.8%
Under
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alanyaspor over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.6%
Under
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alanyaspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.0%
Under
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alanyaspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Beşiktaş, so a minus line means Beşiktaş give that many goals of a start and Alanyaspor receive them. At -1, Beşiktaş must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Beşiktaş win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Beşiktaş)Actual: Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş -2
16.0%
Draw -2
16.9%
Alanyaspor +2
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Beşiktaş)Actual: Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş -1
32.9%
Draw -1
21.8%
Alanyaspor +1
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Beşiktaş)Actual: Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş +1
78.3%
Draw +1
12.7%
Alanyaspor -1
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Beşiktaş)Actual: Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş +2
91.1%
Draw +2
6.1%
Alanyaspor -2
2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Beşiktaş
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.43
1.20
0.53
1.00
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.17
0.83
1.00
1.50
1.25
0.50
vs Weaker (24)
1.08
0.33
1.23
0.38
0.91
0.27
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Alanyaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alanyaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.60
0.47
0.80
0.33
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.00
0.40
1.20
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.14
0.70
0.10
0.82
0.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alanyaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alanyaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alanyaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Beşiktaş
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.63
0.93
0.60
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.17
0.83
0.00
0.50
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.08
0.58
1.08
0.62
1.09
0.55
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Alanyaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alanyaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.67
0.67
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.67
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.76
0.70
0.70
0.82
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alanyaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alanyaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alanyaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 5.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
SAK (17)
€2m
HAT (16)
€2m
AD (23)
€2m
SS (19)
€1m
Beşiktaş's squad is €164m more valuable than Alanyaspor's (€202m vs €38m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
BUR (10)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
BF (10)
€6m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
GS (4)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
SAK (6)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
AD (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€0m
HAT (4)
€0m
Beşiktaş's attack is €61m more valuable than Alanyaspor's (€70m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
BUR (5)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
AME (4)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
SAK (6)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
SS (5)
€0m
AD (4)
€0m
HAT (3)
€0m
Beşiktaş's midfield is €32m more valuable than Alanyaspor's (€50m vs €18m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
ANT (11)
€7m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
HAT (9)
€1m
AD (12)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
SAK (5)
€0m
Beşiktaş's defence is €71m more valuable than Alanyaspor's (€82m vs €11m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
Göztepe
Samsunspor
Rizespor
Konyaspor
Kocaelispor
Gaziantep FK
Kasımpaşa
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Eyüpspor
Antalyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Kayserispor